Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 Predictions: Odds, expert picks, recent stats, trends and best bets for June 22
Indiana evened up the series with a 108-91 win to give us the best two words in sports: Game 7. The 17-point win over OKC reached leads of 26 and more in the third and fourth quarters as the Pacers controlled the entirety of the game outside the first few minutes.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the game in scoring with 21 points, while Obi Toppin totaled 20 for Indiana. No starter played more than 32 minutes for either team, so we should see both squads rested in Game 7.
Six different Pacers scored double-figures in Game 6, including TJ McConnell who added 12 points, 9 assists, and 6 rebounds to his Finals resume. For OKC, only Jalen Williams (16) and SGA (21) scored more than 11 points for the Thunder. The Pacers forced SGA in a career-high 8 turnovers in Game 6 and the Thunder shot 8-of-30 from three (26.7%), so it'll be interesting to see how that carries over into a home Game 7 with mounting pressure.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Listen to the Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest fantasy player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.
Game details & how to watch Pacers vs. Thunder live
Date: Sunday, June 22, 2025
Time: 8:00PM EST
Site: Paycom Center
City: Oklahoma City, OK
Network/Streaming: ESPN / ABC
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.
Game odds for Pacers vs. Thunder
The latest odds as of Saturday:
Odds: Pacers (+235), Thunder (-285)
Spread: Thunder -7.5
Over/Under: 214.5 points
That gives the Pacers an implied team point total of 103.5, and the Thunder 110.5.
Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports' Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!
Expert picks & predictions for Sunday's Pacers vs. Thunder game
'One Under, among many, that I like for Game 7 is a fade on Isaiah Hartenstein. Hartenstein's PRA prop is at 13.5 (+100) or 14.5 (-115), depending where you are playing and I think it's a hair too high.
Hartenstein hit 14 PRA in garbage time of Game 6 and was benched at the half in favor of Alex Caruso, which didn't last long. Hartenstein hasn't fit the tempo of this series and his offensive scoring ability may be a liability as four or fewer points in four of six games isn't encouraging. Go Under on the big fella.
If you want value on either the Thunder ML or Pacers ML, then you should look at betting on the MVP market. For OKC, most will say Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (-205) has the award locked up if the Thunder win, but I put my money on Jalen Williams at +2700 and +600 during Games 5 and 6, and I still like the position and current value at +1000 to +1100.
For the Pacers, the pick is Pascal Siakam at +370. I played Siakam at +900 after Game 4 and think he is a shoo-in for the MVP if Indiana wins Game 7. Tyrese Haliburton's odds have dropped to +1100, but it's obvious that his calf injury has kept him limited during the series, while that has not been the case for Siakam.'
'Tyrese Haliburton finished with 14 points, 5 assists and 2 steals in 23 minutes while nursing a calf injury to energize the Pacers to the Game 6 win. It's obvious that Haliburton is giving it his all and he would die on the court for this team. If he gets 30 minutes or so in Game 7, it's hard for me not to see Hali going for 15-plus points. '
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today's Pacers & Thunder game:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Indiana Pacers at +7.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 214.5.
Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions pagefrom NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today's calendar!
Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Pacers vs. Thunder on Sunday
If Oklahoma City closes as a favorite of -7.5 or higher, the Thunder will be the largest Game 7 favorites since the 1966 Boston Celtics (-8 vs Lakers).
The three largest Game 7 favorites in history, -6.5, -8 and -9 — all failed to cover winning by four or fewer points to go 0-3 ATS, but 3-0 on the ML.
The last four NBA Finals Game 7's went Under the total dating back to 2005.
No team in a Game 7 of the NBA Finals has scored 100 or more points in the past 25 years.
The Thunder are 1-0 in Game 7's this postseason, beating the Nuggets in OKC, 125-93.
The Pacers are 1-0 in. Game 7's this postseason, beating the Knicks in Indiana, 125-108.
Pascal Siakam is 5-1 to the Over on his assists prop
TJ McConnell is 6-0 to the Over on his points, assists and points + assists props
Lu Dort is 3-0 to the Over 0.5 assists at home in the Finals
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 31, 34, and 38 points at home in the Finals
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
37 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Roosters roll on in NRLW as Broncos receive a big scare
The Sydney Roosters have continued their relentless march to the NRLW finals with Brisbane not far behind, although the Broncos had to battle to overcome plucky Canberra to retain their top-two position on the ladder. The Roosters made it six straight wins with a 24-8 victory over Gold Coast at Cbus Stadium on Sunday to stay in top spot, while the Broncos handed the Raiders their fourth loss at home, winning 44-28. But the luckless Raiders did give the three-time premiers a run for their money. Darren Borthwick's team came from 20-0 down midway through the first half to trail by 26-22 with 15 minutes left on the clock. Watch all the highlights from Raiders v Broncos in Round 6 of the NRLW Premiership. — NRLW (@NRLWomens) August 10, 2025 That jolt to the ego sparked the Broncos to three more tries, by Romy Teitzel, Shalom Sauaso and Julia Robinson. Teitzel, the Broncos' goal-kicking back rower, claimed a personal tally of 16 points from a try and six goals, putting her on 50 for the season, eclipsing Jocelyn Kelleher (Roosters) and Jesse Southwell (Knights) – both on 48 - as the season's top points-scorer so far. The never-say-die Raiders did have the last say with prop Chloe Saunders scoring as the fulltime hooter sounded. "I'm extremely proud at the way we've come together and connected better," said Raiders captain Simaima Taufa as her team continue to search for a maiden win in 2025. Sunday's five tries were in stark contrast to the past two weeks, when the Raiders lost 26-0 to the Cowboys and 18-0 to the Knights. "We knew we had points in us and we never gave up," Taufa said. "I just want them to keep having confidence in themselves, in their ability and their talent. We just have to keep backing ourselves and the chocolates will come." The Roosters scored five tries to two to never feel threatened by Gold Coast, despite the fact the Titans held a 3-2 record over them heading into the match. Watch all the highlights from Titans v Roosters in Round 6 of the NRLW Premiership. — NRLW (@NRLWomens) August 10, 2025 Fijian international Taina Naividi scored a double on the Roosters' right wing, giving her six tries in five games. It just wasn't the Titans' day on the scoreboard or in the casualty ward. They lost five-eighth Pauline Piliae-Rasabale (hamstring) for the second half after she'd scored in the first, then fullback Jaime Chapman was helped from the field (left ankle) in the 49th minute. But debutant and First Nations player Phoenix-Raine Hippi slotted into the No.1 spot after Chapman's injury and scored a try - in her first NRLW Indigenous Round.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Kelsey Mitchell Makes Honest Caitlin Clark Admission After Indiana Fever's Setback
The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Kelsey Mitchell Makes Honest Caitlin Clark Admission After Indiana Fever's Setback originally appeared on Athlon Sports. Despite missing all three of their point guards, Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever were able to snap a two-game skid, defeating Kamilla Cardoso and the Chicago Sky 92-70 on Saturday evening. The Fever remained without Caitlin Clark for a 10th consecutive game as she is still dealing with a groin injury. However, Indiana's most recent setback came in Thursday's loss to the Phoenix Mercury, when Sydney Colson (torn ACL) and Aari McDonald (foot) saw their seasons come to an end. And Mitchell recognizes the impact of not having Clark and the other point guards on the court. Kelsey Mitchell Discusses The Fever's Injuries During the game, Mitchell and other Fever players playfully booed coach Stephanie White after she called a timeout with a big lead. The boos were meant as a lighthearted joke, picking fun at their coach. Following the win, Mitchell joined CBS Sports, which broadcast the game, for a postgame interview. When asked about the booing, she said that being without the team's three point guards is 'big,' and added that laughing is essential amid the injury struggles. "We got to laugh to keep from crying," Mitchell said. "Losing Syd was big. Losing Aari McDonald was big. And not having CC is even bigger. Those three not being here, we gotta take every joy that we can and we're going to enjoy it while we can enjoy it, but also respect the game." Mitchell Steals the Show Against Chicago With Clark out, the Fever are missing one of the top playmakers in the league, averaging 8.8 assists per game. White elected to put Cunningham into the starting point guard slot, but it was Mitchell who led he team in finished the night with 26 points on 9-of-18 shooting and 4-of-8 from distance. She also added a season-high eight assists and three rebounds. Cunningham recorded two assists in her first start at point guard. Without Angel Reese for a fifth-straight game, Rachel Banham led the way for the Sky with 11 points. Up next for the Fever (18-14), a battle with Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Kelsey Mitchell Makes Honest Caitlin Clark Admission After Indiana Fever's Setback first appeared on Athlon Sports on Aug 10, 2025 This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Aug 10, 2025, where it first appeared.
New York Post
3 hours ago
- New York Post
Caitlin Clark-less Fever topple Sky who were without Angel Reese
INDIANAPOLIS — Kelsey Mitchell scored 26 points and Lexie Hull scored 17 points and the Indiana Fever beat the Chicago Sky 92-70 on Saturday. Sophie Cunningham scored 10 of her 16 points before halftime and Aliyah Boston scored 15 points for Indiana (18-14). Hull was inserted into the starting lineup after the Fever ruled Friday that Sydney Colson would miss the remainder of the season due to a torn left ACL while fellow guard Aari McDonald was also ruled out for the rest of the season with a broken bone in her right foot. 3 Lexie Hull celebrates during the Fever's 92-70 home win over the Sky on Aug. 9, 2025. Getty Images Indiana was again without guard Caitlin Clark who hasn't played since July 15 when she aggravated a previous groin injury during a game against Connecticut. There is no timetable for Clark's return to action. 3 Kelsey Mitchell shoots over Michaela Onyenwere during the first half of the Fever's home win over the Sky. Getty Images For its part, the Sky didn't have the services of Angel Reese due to a back injury. She's missed five straight games and there is no set timetable for her return. She's only played twice since the All-Star break. 3 Caitlin Clark cheers the Fever on from the bench. NBAE via Getty Images The Fever built a 48-37 halftime lead shooting 17 for 33 (51.5%) and finished 33 for 70 (47.1%) overall. Hull shot 4 for 6 from 3-point range and Mitchell 4 for 8 from distance. Rachel Banham scored 11 points and reserve Maddy Westbeld scored 10 for Chicago (8-23). Indiana started the third quarter with an 8-0 run and cruised from there. Mitchell's shot with 2.9 seconds left in the quarter gave Indiana its first 20-point lead.
