
16 potential successors to Pope Francis
But here are 15 cardinals who are among the potential favourites to succeed Pope Francis - so-called "papabili" - divided by region.
Europe
- Pietro Parolin (Italy), 70, Francis's number two at the Vatican
Parolin was secretary of state - the Vatican's effective number two - for almost Francis's entire pontificate, and its most visible exponent on the world stage.
Known for his calm and subtle sense of humour, the polyglot also has a fine grasp of the intricacies of the Roman Curia, the Holy See's central government, and was part of a group of cardinal advisers to Francis.
He is currently considered the frontrunner to become the next pope.
He played a key role in a landmark - and controversial - 2018 Vatican agreement with China on naming bishops.
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa (Italy), 60, Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem
Pizzaballa is the top Catholic in the Middle East with an archdiocese encompassing Israel, the Palestinian territories, Jordan and Cyprus.
He was made a cardinal in September 2023, shortly before the war broke out between Israel and Hamas.
The Franciscan has appealed for peace from both sides, and at Christmas in 2024 led mass in both Gaza and Jerusalem.
- Matteo Maria Zuppi (Italy), 69, Archbishop of Bologna
A member of the Roman community of Sant'Egidio, Zuppi has for more than three decades acted as a discreet diplomat for the Vatican including serving as Pope Francis's special peace envoy for Ukraine.
Known for riding his bicycle around Bologna, Zuppi is a popular figure for his decades of work on behalf of the needy. He also advocates for welcoming migrants and gay Catholics into the Church.
He has been president of the Italian Episcopal Conference (CEI) since 2022.
- Claudio Gugerotti (Italy), 69
An academic and multi-lingual diplomat from the Italian city of Verona, Gugerotti is an expert on the Eastern Churches.
He has served as nuncio - or ambassador of the Holy See - in several countries, including from 2002 in Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, later in Belarus, and then from 2015 to 2020 in Ukraine.
The author of several books, Gugerotti largely avoids commenting on controversial issues. He was named Prefect of the Dicastery for the Eastern Churches in 2022, and was made a cardinal in 2023.
- Jean-Marc Aveline (France), 66, Archbishop of Marseille
Born in Algeria, Aveline has spent most of his life in the French port city of Marseille.
Like his close friend Pope Francis, he has been a voice for welcoming migrants and promoting interreligious dialogue.
Appreciated for his discretion, intellectual abilities and people skills, Aveline has carved out a reputation as a cardinal to watch since his elevation in 2022.
- Anders Arborelius (Sweden), 75, Bishop of Stockholm
Appointed in 2017 as Sweden's first cardinal, Arborelius is a convert to Catholicism in the overwhelmingly Protestant Scandinavian country, home to one of the world's most secularised societies.
He is the first Swedish Catholic bishop since the Protestant Reformation and a staunch defender of Church doctrine, notably opposed to allowing women to be deacons or blessing same-sex couples.
Like Pope Francis, Arborelius advocates welcoming migrants to Europe, including Christians, Catholics and potential converts.
- Mario Grech (Malta), 68, Bishop emeritus of Gozo
Born into a small village on the tiny Mediterranean archipelago of Malta, Grech is a peace broker and potential compromise candidate for the papacy.
He was secretary general of the Synod of Bishops, a body that gathers information from local churches on crucial issues for the Church - such as the place of women or remarried divorcees - and passes it onto the pope.
He had to perform a delicate balancing act, following Pope Francis's lead on creating an open, attentive Church while acknowledging the concerns of conservatives.
- Peter Erdo (Hungary), 72, Metropolitan Archbishop of Esztergom-Budapest
An intellectual and respected expert in canon law, Erdo speaks seven languages, has published more than 25 books and is recognised for his openness to other religions.
But he has faced criticism for his ties with the government of nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban, whose harsh views on migration clashed with those of the late Argentine pope.
Known for his enthusiasm for evangelism, Erdo -- who grew up under Communism -- is a conservative on such issues as gay marriage and divorcees who remarry.
- Jean-Claude Hollerich, 66, Archbishop of Luxembourg
A Jesuit like Pope Francis, Hollerich spent more than 20 years in Japan, and is a specialist in European-Asian cultural relations as well as German literature.
Firm on dogma, the theologian is still open to the need for the Church to adapt to societal changes, much like the Argentine pope he was close to and for whom he served as an adviser on the Council of Cardinals.
Hollerich has advocated for the environment and has pushed for laypeople, especially young people, to have more involvement in the Church.
Asia
- Luis Antonio Tagle (Philippines), 67, Metropolitan Archbishop emeritus of Manila
Tagle, Asia's frontrunner for the papacy, is a charismatic moderate who has not been afraid to criticise the Church for its shortcomings, including over the sexual abuse of minors.
Fluent in English and active on social media, he is an eloquent speaker with self-deprecating humour and, like Francis, is a leading advocate for the poor, migrants and marginalised people.
Nicknamed "Chito", he was made a cardinal by Benedict XVI in 2012 and had already been considered a candidate for pope in the 2013 conclave in which Francis was elected.
- Charles Maung Bo (Myanmar), 76, Archbishop of Yangon
Myanmar-born Bo became the Buddhist-majority country's first and only cardinal in 2015, appointed by Pope Francis.
Bo has called for dialogue and reconciliation in conflict-ridden Myanmar, and after the military coup of 2021 appealed to opposition protesters to remain non-violent.
He has defended the mainly Muslim Rohingya, calling them victims of "ethnic cleansing", and spoken out against human trafficking uprooting the lives of many young Burmese.
He was head of the Federation of Asians Bishops' Conferences (FABC) between 2019 and 2024.
Africa
- Peter Turkson (Ghana), 76, Archbishop emeritus of Cape Coast
One of the Church's most influential cardinals from Africa, Turkson has for years been mentioned as a possible first black pope.
Made a cardinal by Pope John Paul II in 2003, the multi-lingual Turkson has been a papal envoy and mediator, including in South Sudan.
He also served between 2016 and 2021 as head of a top Vatican department, the Dicastery for Promoting Integral Human Development, which deals with human rights and migration among other issues.
Born into a humble family of 10 children, Turkson has criticised anti-gay legislation in Uganda, but defends Catholic sexual morality and has denied that homosexuality is a human rights issue.
Robert Sarah (Guinea), 79, former prefect of the Congregation for Divine Worship and the Discipline of the Sacraments
Had Pope Francis lived a few more months, conservative prelate Robert Sarah - who turns 80 on 16 June - would have been too old to join the conclave or to succeed him.
As it is, though, he has found himself championed by conservative Catholics in the French-speaking world as a candidate to turn the clock back on progressive reforms.
An ardent opponent of what he in 2015 called "Western ideologies on homosexuality and abortion and Islamic fanaticism", he denounced a 2024 text that paved the way for the blessing of same-sex couples.
Experts believe his views make him too conservative to win a two-thirds majority at the conclave, but even a possible candidacy has boosted his profile.
- Fridolin Ambongo Besungu (Democratic Republic of Congo), 65, Archbishop of Kinshasa
Ambongo was the only cardinal from Africa on Pope Francis's advisory council of cardinals, and is the leader of the association of African bishops, SECAM.
Born in 1960, the year of DRC's independence from Belgium, he has been a strong voice for peace in his conflict-ridden country - and is outspoken in his conservative views.
He notably signed a letter in January 2024 voicing opposition to the Vatican's declaration allowing priests to carry out non-liturgical blessings of same-sex unions.
In a 2023 interview, Ambongo - who some believe could be his continent's first pope - proclaimed that "Africa is the future of the Church, it's obvious".
Americas
- Robert Francis Prevost (United States), 69, Archbishop-Bishop emeritus of Chiclayo
A native of Chicago, Prevost was in 2023 appointed prefect of the powerful Dicastery for Bishops, which is charged with advising the pope on appointments of new bishops.
He spent years as a missionary in Peru and is the Archbishop-Bishop emeritus of Chiclayo in that South American country.
Made a cardinal by Pope Francis in 2023, he is also the president of the Pontifical Commission for Latin America.
- Timothy Dolan (United States), 75, Archbishop of New York
A jovial, ruddy-faced extrovert with Irish-American roots, Dolan is a theological conservative, fiercely opposed to abortion.
The former archbishop of Milwaukee, he oversaw the fallout from a major sexual abuse scandal in the diocese.
In New York, amid shrinking Church membership, Dolan has reached out to embrace the growing Hispanic population, which is predominantly Catholic.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Irish Independent
an hour ago
- Irish Independent
‘I will not enlist in an army that is committing genocide': Israeli teens refusing Benjamin Netanyahu's war
As Israel plans to expand its offensive in Gaza, a growing number of young people are choosing jail terms over military conscription Demonstrators block a road near Jerusalem, Israel, during a protest calling for the Israeli government to reverse its decision to take over Gaza City. Photo: AP Yona (19), an Israeli activist, burned her military conscription papers knowing she would be immediately sentenced to jail. She is blunt in her reasoning for doing so. 'I am refusing because my country is committing genocide and I will not enlist into an army that's committing genocide,' she said. 'I have no doubts in my mind that this is the right thing to do.' She is part of a growing movement of Israeli teenagers refusing the draft and taking a stand against the Israeli government's 22-month devastating bombardment of Gaza. Shortly after burning her papers outside the enlistment centre in Haifa at the weekend, she was sentenced to 30 days in prison. Speaking to The Independent just before being incarcerated, Yona, a transgender woman, said she knew prison wouldn't be easy: the last transgender woman 'refusenik' was held in solitary confinement. But she remains determined. 'I think it's a very simple moral and political question,' she said. "The imperative is that we withhold ourselves as a resource from the state. That we do everything in our power to resist and end this horrible crime.' She is part of a movement of youth, most of them members of Mesarvot – or 'refusers' in Hebrew – that supports conscientious objectors, that are horrified by Israel's war in Gaza. They have staged regular protests, publicly burning their papers and marching towards the border crossing with Gaza to break Israel's blockade on the besieged strip. Demonstrators block a road near Jerusalem, Israel, during a protest calling for the Israeli government to reverse its decision to take over Gaza City. Photo: AP Alongside the refuseniks, there has also been a parallel surge in soldiers reusing to show up to reserve duty – with reports in Israeli media saying in the last major offensive that as many as 100,000 have effectively deserted. Fury over the war increased inside Israel after Benjamin Netanyahu and his security cabinet controversially recently green-lit an expansion of the current offensive in Gaza. The Israeli government has repeatedly denied there is a humanitarian crisis in Gaza or that the military has committing any crimes in the enclave. But it is facing growing backlash internationally and from inside Israel. Palestinian health officials say Israel's bombardment and blockade has now killed over 62,000 people. The United Nations says the war has sparked unfolding famine and seen more than 90pc of the 2.3 million strong population forced to flee their homes. On Saturday night, hundreds of thousands of protesters took to the streets in Tel Aviv and other cities, demanding an end to the war and the immediate ceasefire deal to secure the return of the remaining 50 hostages and captives held by Hamas in Gaza. At the protests, family members of the hostages are publicly calling for reservists to refuse to serve in the upcoming military escalation. For the youth, they are protesting about even joining the army in the first place. The death toll among IDF soldiers is now nearing 900. At least 20 refuseniks have served prison time since October 2023, explained Iddo Elam (19), another Israeli activist who refused to enlist in November and was jailed before being handed an exemption on mental health grounds. We are almost two years into this genocide – or war, as many Israelis call it – but nothing has been achieved. Nothing has changed. Nothing He had a strong message for his fellow teenagers: 'It'll be on your record that you were an IDF soldier, or that you were a refusenik... 'Think whether or not you want to go around the world as a former IDF soldier. We are almost two years into this genocide – or war, as many Israelis call it – but nothing has been achieved. Nothing has changed. Nothing. 'We cannot stop terrorism. We cannot stop attacks on the Israeli state as long as we participate in – and basically live with – the occupation and oppression of millions of [Palestinian] people.' While Iddo and Yona admit those refusing to fight because of the plight of the Palestinians in Gaza is a relatively small number, it is growing. Tal Mitnik, another activist from Tel Aviv, turned 18 shortly after war erupted and so was the first public conscientious objector. He spent six months in prison, which was 'nothing like what the Palestinian prisoners are dealing with'. He said he was on his own at the beginning but that has changed: 'I think an important thing to say is that what we lose with Israeli society is what we gain with Palestinian society.' Earlier this month, Netanyahu and his security cabinet pushed through a controversial plan to expand the war in Gaza, stating that the ultimate goal was to disarm Hamas, return the hostages and to exert 'Israeli security control' over the besieged strip – a boots-on-the-ground occupation. Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Photo: Reuters It has faced fierce resistance from the international community, as well as opposition from within. Sources said even the army's chief of staff Eyal Zamir rejected the plan. Many in Israel fear it will not only embroil the Israeli military in a costly, protracted and unwinnable conflict, but also serve as a 'death sentence' for the 20 remaining hostages who are still believed to be alive. It could also crush the hopes of retrieving the bodies of 30 more slain captives who remain in the hands of militants. The Israeli military declined to comment on the numbers of those who have refused reserve service or their conscription papers. They said the military 'cherishes' all of its soldiers, expressing 'deep appreciation for their great contribution'. 'In this challenging security reality, the contribution of the reservists is essential to the success of missions and to maintaining the security of the country,' they said in a statement. According to Kan, Israel's national broadcaster, during the last offensive in May, over 40pc of soldiers did not show up to reserve duty – a stark contrast to the start of the conflict, when Israeli media reported that 135pc of people showed up. Ishai Menuchin, spokesperson for Yesh Gvul – an Israeli movement that also supports refuseniks and reservists who do not want to fight – said their hotline, which usually only gets 30 calls a year, has received more than 200 calls since January alone. It's the highest wave of refusal since we were founded at the start of the 1982 Lebanon war 'It's the highest wave of refusal since we were founded at the start of the 1982 Lebanon war,' he said, explaining how he himself spent 35 days in prison for refusing service. He said the true number of refusniks is difficult to calculate as the military is now pushing through exemptions: 'There is a policy not to deal with ideological refusal – they are afraid of the numbers.' Iddo agreed, saying they are now exempting refuseniks on mental health grounds rather than jailing them, as they 'would rather give young people exemptions than to deal with hundreds of people in prisons'. He had a strong message for Israel's western allies, including the UK and the US, to take a stand against the Israeli military and impose arms embargoes. 'At the end of the day, the butterfly effect to stop this genocide will just start with one phone call from each leader – and one phone call from Trump telling Netanyahu to stop,' he said. 'We cannot do it alone. We have to have international help.'


Irish Independent
an hour ago
- Irish Independent
‘Fifty Palestinians must die for every October 7 victim, even if they're children' – audio of former IDF intelligence chief leaked
Aharon Haliva can be heard in newly released audio clips saying that, for every person who died during October 7, '50 Palestinians must die', even if they are children. The audio clips were aired by Israeli broadcaster Channel 12. 'The fact that there are already 50,000 dead in Gaza is necessary and required for future generations. OK, you humiliated, you slaughtered, you murdered, everything is true,' the former military chief said. It is unclear when the statements were made, but Gaza's health ministry has reported that more than 62,000 Palestinians have been killed since the October 7 attacks in 2023, when Hamas massacred around 1,200 people and took more than 250 hostage. 'The price, I said before the war... for everything that happened on October 7, for every person on October 7, 50 Palestinians must die,' Mr Haliva said in a translation reported by the Jerusalem Post and other media. 'It doesn't matter now if they are children. I'm not speaking out of revenge, I'm speaking out of a message to future generations. They need a Nakba every now and then to feel the price.' The term 'Nakba' translates to 'catastrophe' in Arabic and is used to describe the 1948 war which led to the expulsion of 700,000 Palestinians during the establishment of the Israeli state. Mr Haliva was the IDF's head of military intelligence when the October 7 attacks happened. He resigned from his position in April last year over his 'leadership responsibility', becoming the first senior IDF officer to do so. It remains unclear who Mr Haliva was speaking to in the lengthy recordings, as Channel 12 does not identify them. He claims throughout the recordings that the Israeli military is not the only organisation responsible for the failures that led to the attacks. He pointed fingers at Israel's political leadership and the country's home security service, Shin Bet, for believing Hamas would not carry out an attack. The Independent has contacted the IDF for comment. Mr Haliva responded to Channel 12's reporting by expressing his regret for the recorded conversations. 'The leaked recordings were published from things said in a closed forum, and I can only regret that,' he said. He called the recordings 'fragments of partial things, which cannot reflect the full picture – certainly when it comes to complex, detailed issues, most of which are highly classified.' 'The October 7 disaster occurred on my watch as head of the Intelligence Division', he said, adding: 'I bear ultimate responsibility for what happened.'


Irish Independent
an hour ago
- Irish Independent
Thousands of Palestinians flee Gaza City ahead of new IDF offensive
Israel's plan to seize control of Gaza City has stirred alarm abroad and at home where tens of thousands of Israelis on Sunday held some of the largest protests since the war began, urging a deal to end the fighting and free the remaining 50 hostages held by Palestinian militants in Gaza since October 7, 2023. The planned offensive by the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) spurred Egyptian and Qatari ceasefire mediators to step up efforts to forge a deal between Israel and Hamas militants in Gaza, and a Hamas official said yesterday the group had approved the latest ceasefire proposal. The official did not provide further details, and it was not immediately clear what they accepted. Hamas has responded positively in the past while proposing amendments unacceptable to Israel. Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has described Gaza City as Hamas' last big urban bastion. But, with Israel already holding 75pc of Gaza, the military has warned that expanding the offensive could endanger hostages still alive and draw troops into protracted and deadly guerrilla warfare. Dani Miran, whose son Omri was taken hostage on October 7, said he feared the consequences of an Israeli ground offensive in Gaza City. 'I'm scared that my son would be hurt,' he told Reuters in Tel Aviv yesterday. In Gaza City, many Palestinians have also been calling for protests soon to demand an end to a war that has demolished much of the territory and wrought a humanitarian disaster, and for Hamas to intensify talks to avert the Israeli ground offensive. An Israeli armoured incursion into Gaza City could displace hundreds of thousands of people, many of whom have been uprooted multiple times during the war. Ahmed Mheisen, Palestinian shelter manager in Beit Lahiya, a war-devastated suburb abutting eastern Gaza City, said 995 families had departed the area in recent days for the south. With the Israeli offensive looming, Mr Mheisen put the number of tents needed for emergency shelter at 1.5 million, saying Israel had allowed only 120,000 tents into the territory during a January-March ceasefire. The UN humanitarian office said last week 1.35 million people were already in need of emergency shelter items in Gaza. 'I am heading south because I need to ease my mental state,' Mousa Obaid, a Gaza City resident, told Reuters. 'I do not want to keep moving left and right endlessly. There is no life left, and as you can see, living conditions are hard, prices are high and we've been without work for a year and a half. It is very, very difficult.' A protest by unions is scheduled for Thursday in Gaza City, and people took to social media platforms vowing to participate, which will raise pressure on Hamas. The last round of indirect ceasefire talks ended in deadlock in late July with the sides trading blame for its collapse. Israel says it will agree to cease hostilities if all the hostages are released and Hamas lays down its arms – the latter demand publicly rejected by the Islamist group until a Palestinian state is established. A Hamas official told Reuters yesterday the group rejects Israeli demands to disarm or expel its leaders from Gaza. Sharp differences also appear to remain over the extent of an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and how humanitarian aid will be delivered around the enclave, where malnutrition is rife and aid groups warn of unfolding famine. Underscoring the gaps in talks on a ceasefire, US president Donald Trump wrote on his social media platform yesterday: 'We will only see the return of the remaining hostages when Hamas is confronted and destroyed!!! The sooner this takes place, the better the chances of success will be.' On Saturday, the Israeli military said it was preparing to help equip Gazans with tents and other shelter equipment ahead of relocating them from combat zones to the south of the enclave. It did not provide further details on quantities or how long it would take to get the equipment into the enclave. 'Existing tents where people are living (in the south) have worn out and won't protect people against rainwater. There are no new tents in Gaza because of the Israeli restrictions on aid at the border crossings,' Palestinian economist Mohammad Abu Jayyab told Reuters. He said some Gaza City families had begun renting property and shelters in the south and moved in their belongings. 'Some people learned from previous experience, and they don't want to be taken by surprise. Also, some think it is better to move earlier to find a space,' Mr Abu Jayyab added. The war began when Hamas-led militants stormed across the border into southern Israel, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostages back to Gaza, according to Israeli tallies. More than 62,000 Palestinians have since been killed in Israel's ensuing air and ground war in Gaza, according to local health officials. Five more Palestinians have died of malnutrition and starvation in the past 24 hours, the Gaza health ministry said yesterday, raising the number of people who died of those causes to 263, including 112 children, since the war started. Israel disputed the figures provided by the health ministry in the Hamas-run territory.