
Stock Market News for Jun 30, 2025
U.S. stock markets closed sharply higher at record-high level on Friday. Expectations of U.S.-China trade deal favorable economic data boosted market participants confidence in risky assets like equities. All three major stock indexes ended in positive territory. For the week as a whole, these indexes also finished in positive zone.
How Did The Benchmarks Perform?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) climbed 1% or 432.43 points to close at 43,819.27. At intraday high, the blue-chip index was up nearly 580 points. Notably, 24 components of the 30-stock index ended in positive territory and 6 finished in negative zone. The index is 2.7% away from its all-time high recorded on Dec 4, 2024.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite finished at 20,273.46, advancing 0.5% or 105.54 points due to strong performance of AI-centric technology bigwigs. This was a new record-high closing for the index. In intraday trading, the tech-laden index also posted a new all-time high of 20,311.51.
Shares of AI behemoths like NVIDIA Corp. NVDA, Alphabet Inc. GOOGL and Amazon.com Inc. AMZN gains 1.7%, 2.9% and 2.8%, respectively. All three stocks currently carry a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to finish at 6,173.07, marking a new closing-high. In intraday trading, Wall Street's most observed benchmark posted a new all-time high of 6,187.68. Eight out of 11 broad sectors of the broad-market index ended in positive territory while three in negative zone.
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR (XLB), the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector (SPDR) and the Industrials Select Sector SPDR (XLI) rose 1.2%, 1.7% and 1%, respectively. On the other hand, the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) was down 0.5%.
The fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 1.6% to 16.32. A total of 22.07 billion shares were traded on Friday, higher than the last 20-session average of 18.27 billion. Advancers outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.29-to-1 ratio. On Nasdaq, a 1.11-to-1 ratio favored declining issues.
Hope for Trade Deals
The Bloomberg News citing Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick that the framework of a trade deal between the United States and China has been reached. China also subscribed to this statement. The Trump administration is hopeful to reach trade deals with 18 major trading partners of the nation. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that July 8 and 9 deadlines given by President Trump for restarting tariffs on those nations are 'not critical.'
Economic Data
The Department of Commerce reported that the headline personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation fell 0.3% in May. Both the consensus estimates and April's data was 0.1%. Year over year, the headline PCE inflation rose 2.3%.
Core PCE inflation (excluding volatile food and energy items) rose 0.2% in May. Both the consensus estimates and April's data was 0.1%. Year over year, core PCE inflation rose 2.7%, higher-than the consensus estimate of 2.6%.
Personal income fell unexpectedly in May by 0.4% in contrast to the consensus estimate of a rise of 0.4%. The data for April was revised downward to 0.7% from 0.8% reported earlier. Personal spending also fell 0.1% in May. The consensus estimate was for 0%. The data for April was 0.2%. Personal savings rate in May decreased to 4.5% from 4.9% in April.
The University of Michigan reported that the final reading for consumer sentiment index in June came in at 60.7%. Both the consensus estimates and the preliminary reading of June was 60.5%. The final reading for May was 52.2%.
The sub-index for current economic conditions came in at 64.8% in June compared with 58.9% in May. The sub-index for consumer expectations came in at 58.1% in June compared with 47.9% in May. One year inflation expectations significantly dropped to 5% in June from 6.6% in May. Long-term (5 Years) inflation expectations fell to 4% in June from 4.2% in May.
Weekly Roundup
Last week was highly successful for Wall Street. The three major stock index – the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite – rallied 3.8%, 3.4% and 4.2%. Hope for major trade deals, ceasefire in Middle-East geopolitical conflicts and expectations of further interest rate cut in the second half of 2025 bolstered investors sentiments.
Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor Stock
It's only 1/9,000th the size of NVIDIA which skyrocketed more than +800% since we recommended it. NVIDIA is still strong, but our new top chip stock has much more room to boom.
With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $803 billion by 2028.
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Globe and Mail
11 minutes ago
- Globe and Mail
Here's Why Tesla Stock Is a Buy Before the End of July
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is expected to release its second-quarter earnings in late July, making the stock worth considering for investors who can tolerate some potential volatility. The recent robotaxi launch has altered the narrative surrounding the stock, and Tesla may reveal another event that could prove a positive catalyst for the company and the stock. Here's the lowdown. Tesla's delivery data Elon Musk's company typically releases its production and delivery data for the quarter shortly after the quarter has ended, but before the quarter's earnings are reported. That matters because, unlike most other automakers, Tesla's deliveries are its sales volumes in the quarter. Unlike legacy automakers that sell through dealers, Tesla sells directly to consumers, either online or through its stores. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » As such, investors will already be aware of Tesla's sales and production volumes before the earnings release. It's challenging to predict the numbers, and you may be reading them by the time this article is published. There are numerous moving parts here, not least of which is the refresh of the Model Y (the world's best-selling car) , as well as the timing of its availability in various markets. The bulls and bears battle it out over Tesla stock The earnings report is likely to reveal data indicating that Tesla lost share in the electric vehicle (EV) market, a trend that has persisted for the past few years. For example, at the end of 2022, Tesla held 58% of the U.S. EV market, a figure that fell to 50.9% by the end of 2023, then to 44.4% by the end of 2024, and finally to 43.5% in the first quarter of 2025. In addition, sales data from the U.S. and Europe from early in the quarter suggests Tesla is going to need a big sales month in June to stay on track for meeting analyst estimates. The bears will argue that this is a consequence of a tired lineup of vehicles, amid concerns that Tesla is losing its competitive edge. At the same time, the bulls will see it as an inevitable consequence of the fruition of heavy investments by its competitors, while noting that it's unrealistic to expect the kind of market share Tesla had in the past when it's competing with rivals taking heavy losses on every EV sold to win market share. For the bulls, the key to long-term success is Tesla's ability to lower its cost per vehicle, allowing it to increase EV sales and develop its nascent robotaxi business sustainably. Three potential positive catalysts for Tesla There's something in both bearish and bullish cases. Tesla investors may be willing to accept a decline in market share, but they won't want to see Tesla's automotive sales continue to decline, as they did in the first quarter with a 20% year-over-year drop. Moreover, Tesla needs to get back to production growth because building scale is usually the best way to lower the unit cost of production, and that's how companies learn how to reduce costs in general. Tesla needs to do this because lower-cost vehicles are an integral part of the case for robotaxis. Whether it's a dedicated robotaxi vehicle like the Cybercab due for volume production in 2026, or existing Tesla EVs transformed into robotaxis using Tesla's as-yet-unreleased autonomous full self-driving (FSD) software. In this context, there are three things Tesla's management could outline on the earnings call, and they are all likely to be positive for the stock: Affirm the plan for volume production of the Cybercab in 2026. Details of the potential expansion of the robotaxi pilot program. On the earnings call in April, management promised "cheaper models to market soon, with the start of production still planned for June," so presumably it will be able to confirm this in July. The third event is arguably the most important in the near term. Commercializing robotaxis will take time, and the Cybercab production ramp is understandably tied to that. However, Tesla's release of lower-cost models in 2025 could revitalize its lineup, start boosting sales, and capitalize on its position as a profitable EV maker with a cost structure that makes EVs more affordable to the mass public. A stock to buy Tesla remains a speculative growth stock, and there's no guarantee that its robotaxi development will be successful. That said, the launch is now history, and the narrative around the company's EV sales and market share could change with the introduction of lower-cost models. 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Globe and Mail
11 minutes ago
- Globe and Mail
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'The biggest challenge for the market is to understand how quickly things will whipsaw and maybe not react quite as strongly to each individual step because we still haven't negotiated a trade agreement and there still could be some more challenges there,' Verecan Capital Management CEO Colin White said. With Trump's July tariff deadline looming, investors will monitor signs of progress on the trade front. Healthcare stocks led gains on the TSX, rising 2 per cent. Bausch Health and Sienna Senior were up 4.4 per cent and 1.2 per cent, respectively. Communication stocks gained 0.9%. On the flip side, energy stocks led sectoral losses, dropping 0.6 per cent as oil prices steadied with Middle East risks easing and markets weighing on a possible OPEC+ output increase in August. Baytex Energy lost 1.8 per cent, International Petroleum was down 1.7 per cent. In individual stocks, MDA Space rose 3.2 per cent after the space firm announced a contract extension with the Canadian government providing continuous space-based maritime awareness and security. U.S. stocks are adding to their records on Monday as Wall Street nears the finish of a second straight winning month. The S&P 500 was 0.2 per cent higher in its first trading after completing a stunning rebound from its springtime sell-off of roughly 20 per cent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 146 points, or 0.3 per cent, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2% higher. Stocks got a boost after Canada said it's rescinding a planned tax on U.S. technology firms and resuming talks on trade with the United States. On Friday, Mr. Trump had said he was suspending talks with Canada because of his anger with the tax, which he called 'a direct and blatant attack on our country.' One of the main reasons U.S. stocks came back so quickly from their springtime swoon has been hope that Trump will reach deals with other countries to lower his stiff proposed tariffs. Otherwise, the fear is that trade wars could stifle the economy and send inflation higher. Many of Mr. Trump's announced tariffs are currently on pause, and they're scheduled to kick back into effect in a little more than a week. In an interview with Fox News Channel's 'Sunday Morning Futures,' Mr. Trump said his administration will notify countries that the trade penalties will take effect unless there are deals with the United States. Letters will start going out 'pretty soon' before the approaching deadline, he said. The U.S. stock market being back at a record high could actually raise the risk of renewed escalations on tariffs, according to strategists at Deutsche Bank led by Parag Thatte and Binky Chadha. 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Globe and Mail
11 minutes ago
- Globe and Mail
What Does 13% YTD Drop Mean for PayPal Stock? Buy, Hold or Sell?
PayPal PYPL shares have dropped 13.7% year to date, largely due to intensifying competition in the fintech sector. Rivals like Visa Inc. V, Mastercard Incorporated MA, Apple Pay and Adyen continue to expand their offerings, challenging PayPal's dominance in digital payments. Broader macroeconomic pressures and uncertainty surrounding the tariff policy have also dampened investor sentiment. Compared to its peers, PayPal's performance has been notably weaker. While PYPL has struggled, Visa shares have climbed 10.3%, and Mastercard has risen 4.5% over the same timeframe, highlighting PayPal's relative underperformance in a competitive and uncertain market environment. However, before rushing to sell this stock or capitalize on the dip, it's crucial to assess whether PayPal has the growth potential and determine if the current challenges could meaningfully affect its performance. Tailwinds and Challenges That Could Shape PayPal's Outlook PayPal's evolution from a payments provider to a comprehensive, end-to-end strategic commerce partner, focusing on personalized experiences and leveraging data to create a dynamic smart wallet for consumers, marks a pivotal shift in its business model. The company is converging into a single PayPal platform to harness the full potential of its two-sided network, supporting both consumers and merchants. PayPal is positioning itself as a comprehensive commerce partner for merchants, expanding its role beyond that of a traditional payments processor. PayPal's focus on enhancing branded checkout, person-to-person (P2P) services and Venmo has supported growth in active user accounts. In the first quarter of 2025, transaction margin dollars rose 7% year over year to $3.72 billion, driven by strong performance across omnichannel commerce, Venmo and Payment Service Provider ('PSP'). Venmo revenues surged 20%, contributing 18% to the total payment volume. The company remains on track with its intention to extend its successful U.S. omnichannel strategy to global markets, with NFC functionality scheduled to roll out in Germany during the second quarter and in the U.K. in the third quarter. PayPal's Buy Now Pay Later ('BNPL') business is gaining strong traction, with first-quarter volume rising more than 20% and monthly active accounts up 18% year over year. BNPL users spend 33% more and make 17% more transactions, on average, highlighting its effectiveness in driving consumer engagement. To build on this momentum, PayPal is rolling out targeted awareness campaigns across key markets, including the U.K., Germany, Australia, France, Italy and Spain, aiming to drive broader adoption and reinforce its position in the BNPL space. This augurs well for long-term growth. PayPal's growing network of strategic partners, including Coinbase Global COIN, Fiserv, Adyen, Amazon, Global Payments and Shopify, is bolstering its growth outlook. Earlier this year, PayPal deepened its collaboration with Coinbase to accelerate the adoption, distribution and usage of its PayPal USD ('PYUSD') stablecoin, giving Coinbase users direct access to PYUSD. However, while necessary, investments in product modernization (branded platform, AI), Venmo expansion and geographic rollout (NFC in Germany, UK omnichannel) are likely to keep weighing on margin improvement in the near term. Moreover, despite a strong first quarter, PayPal held steady on its full-year outlook, pointing to macroeconomic uncertainties such as geopolitical tensions and tariff-related risks as reasons for caution. PayPal Shares Trading Cheap PayPal shares are trading cheap, as suggested by the Value Score of B. In terms of forward 12-month P/E, PYPL stock is trading at 13.74X compared with the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry's 22.48X. The stock is cheaper than competitors, including Visa and Mastercard. Shares of Visa and Mastercard are currently trading at P/E of 28.11X and 31.82X, respectively. PYPL's Estimate Revisions Exhibit Positive Trend PayPal's estimate revisions reflect a positive trend for the second quarter, as well as for the full years 2025 and 2026, though the same for the third quarter is not that impressive and is going south. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is pegged at $5.08 per share, suggesting 9.25% growth over 2024. The consensus mark for second-quarter 2025 earnings is pegged at $1.30 per share, calling for 9.2% growth over the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. Final Take on PYPL Stock PayPal's strategic transformation is underway, supported by a broad user base, a trusted brand and a revitalized leadership team. Execution across core initiatives, from branded checkout and Venmo to BNPL and international omnichannel, demonstrates early success. However, stiff competition, a challenging macroeconomic environment and margin trade-offs temper the near-term outlook. The stock is currently trading at a discount compared to its peers, but it may be wise to hold off on any decisions until there is more clarity on macroeconomic conditions and policy changes, as well as their potential effects on PayPal. So, it seems prudent for investors to wait for a more favorable point to start accumulating the stock. For existing shareholders, staying invested could be a reasonable choice, given the company's robust portfolio, expanding partner base and growth opportunities in the evolving fintech space. PayPal currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor Stock It's only 1/9,000th the size of NVIDIA which skyrocketed more than +800% since we recommended it. NVIDIA is still strong, but our new top chip stock has much more room to boom. With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $803 billion by 2028. See This Stock Now for Free >> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL): Free Stock Analysis Report Mastercard Incorporated (MA): Free Stock Analysis Report Visa Inc. (V): Free Stock Analysis Report Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN): Free Stock Analysis Report