Visualizing Ukraine's military aid after the U.S. freeze
As the United States and Ukraine kick off talks Tuesday in Saudi Arabia, U.S. military aid to Ukraine remains on hold — along with intelligence sharing and satellite imagery services.
The pause began after President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance publicly clashed with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office; Trump accused Zelensky of 'gambling with World War Three' and not showing enough gratitude for U.S. support.
As Ukrainian and American leaders navigate this rift in relations, here's a closer look at the aid Ukraine is hoping to get back.
Since 2022, the United States has allocated more than $100 billion in aid to Ukraine — far more than any other country. Meanwhile, European nations have collectively allocated more than $140 billion.
Of the total U.S. aid, about $67 billion has been designated for military support since Russia's invasion on Feb. 24, 2022, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy and the State Department. European countries have allocated $65 billion in military aid in the same time frame.
The effect of the White House's actions, intended to pressure Zelensky into peace negotiations with Russia, can already be felt on the ground. Ukraine has about six months before it runs out of weapons and the Russians gain more territory, said Mark Cancian, a senior adviser in the defense and security department of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
'Even with the stockpiles of weapons Ukraine has, they will have to reduce their level of operations in a couple of weeks,' Cancian said. 'And without strategic and tactical intelligence, we are looking at the Ukrainians having close to two months left before Ukrainian lines begin to buckle at one of the many fronts they are fighting,' he said.
U.S. military aid to Ukraine comes from two sources: weapons drawn from Pentagon stockpiles, known as the Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA), or funds that allow Ukraine to purchase arms directly from U.S. manufacturers, known as the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI). Weapons purchased through the USAI can take years to be manufactured, according to the Pentagon. The pause in military aid will cause more delays.
Only about 20 percent of the military equipment Ukraine uses to fight comes from the U.S., according to the Royal United Services Institute, a British defense think tank; it includes long-range rockets for the multiple rocket launching system known as HIMARS and Patriot missiles, which are among the most effective air defense weapons in the world.
While Europe and Ukraine can ramp up manufacturing artillery, missiles and other arms that the U.S. is putting on hold, they are not able to replicate these weapons systems.
'They have done an excellent job marshaling their limited resources, but without U.S. intelligence and aid, it is an impossible task,' said Melinda Haring, a fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center and a senior adviser at Razom for Ukraine.
Data from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, CSIS and the Department of Defense. Kiel estimates the total amount of U.S. aid allocated to Ukraine at more than $120 billion. A congressional report from January reported the number to be over $174 billion. The Kiel Institute told The Washington Post that it tracks only aid that is directly allocated to Ukraine, which means they do not include funding for Ukrainian refugees residing in other countries or the money spent on training Ukrainian soldiers, among other factors. Committed and allocated aid values are approximate because of varying calculation methods and currency conversions for bilateral and military aid to Ukraine. Kiel's monthly allocated military aid values, expressed in U.S. dollars, were calculated using the average exchange rate between euros and dollars for each month.
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