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Yahoo
7 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Morning Bid: Split Bank of England set to cut rates
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland There's little doubt in the market's mind that the Bank of England will cut interest rates later today by another quarter point, making it five cuts in the past year. But a tricky balance between a slowing jobs market and nagging inflation worries could see the board split three ways, with two of the nine members potentially pushing for no change, while two others may lobby for a half-point reduction. The board's language will also be key, with a focus on whether the message of "gradual and careful" policy easing remains in place. Any signs of an extended pause would be a blow for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves and Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who have promised to speed up Britain's slow economic growth. Away from the UK, the market's broad focus falls squarely on another central bank with some similar problems. The U.S. Federal Reserve has seen the macroeconomic data take a distinct downward turn over the past week - particularly the labour market - just days after the board opted to forgo a rate cut. But with worries about simmering inflationary forces as a result of President Donald Trump's bellicose tariff campaign also showing up in the data, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's wait-and-see stance also finds some support. Hanging over the Fed's debate - which saw two Trump-chosen Fed governors dissent in last week's decision - are the president's persistent and aggressive calls to cut rates, often framed with name-calling and threats to fire Powell before his chairmanship expires in May. The market's eyes are on Trump's short list of four possible replacements, and more immediately, his pick to fill a governor role abruptly vacated by Adriana Kugler. Meanwhile, Trump's barrage of tariff threats continues unabated, with a 100% duty on semiconductor imports and additional levies on India for importing Russian oil among the latest. Trump plans to talk to Russian President Vladimir Putin next week about ending the war in Ukraine, which is buoying the euro while injecting uncertainty into the outlook for crude oil. Overall though, the market has become more inured to the constant tariff sabre-rattling and Japan's Topix index marched to a record peak while tech-heavy Taiwan shares leapt more than 2% to the highest in over a year. Pan-European STOXX 50 futures are pointing 0.2% higher, with Wall Street futures also up by about the same amount. A strong U.S. earnings season is one reason for that. Coming up are Eli Lilly, ConocoPhillips and Warner Bros Discovery, among many others. Europe has a busy day of earnings reports as well, with Allianz, Siemens and Merck among them. On the data front, Germany has trade figures and industrial production numbers, while Britain gets a reading on house prices. Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday: -BoE policy decision -UK Halifax house prices (July) -German exports, imports, industrial production (all June) Trying to keep up with the latest tariff news? Our new daily news digest offers a rundown of the top market-moving headlines impacting global trade. Sign up for Tariff Watch here. 擷取數據時發生錯誤 登入存取你的投資組合 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤


Business Insider
15 minutes ago
- Business Insider
‘Hurdle Cleared for Now,' Says Analyst After AMD's Mixed Q2 Earnings
TD Cowen analyst Joshua Buchalter reiterated his 'Buy' rating on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock and raised the price target to $195 (from $165), implying 11.9% upside potential from current levels. AMD stock is trending down 6.2% in pre-market trading at the time of writing, as the chipmaker reported mixed second-quarter results yesterday. Buchalter is encouraged by AMD's beat-and-raise results and believes the hurdle is cleared for now, with attention turning to continued execution going forward. Elevate Your Investing Strategy: Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence. AMD's revenue rose 32% year-over-year to $7.69 billion, beating consensus estimates, while adjusted earnings of $0.48 per share were in line with expectations. Importantly, AMD raised its Q3 revenue guidance to roughly $8.7 billion (+/-$300 million), well above the consensus expectation of about $8.3 billion. Also, the adjusted gross margin is expected to be approximately 54%, assuming no contribution from MI308 shipments to China. Why Is TD Cowen Bullish About AMD? Buchalter highlighted the strength in AMD's CPU (central processing unit) and Gaming segments, despite zero contribution from MI308. He noted that the largest contributor to AMD's Q3 growth is the Instinct franchise, as the company seeks to ramp up production of the MI355 chips in the second half of 2025. AMD's Q3 performance will also prove its competitiveness ahead of the MI400/Helios launch in 2026. Regarding the resumption of MI308 sales to China, AMD mentioned that the U.S. government is reviewing its export applications and, therefore, has not included any China sales in its Q3 guidance. Buchalter believes AMD's management will prioritize MI355 chips over MI308 in the near term. The analyst expects AMD to maintain growth in server CPUs driven by solid demand for artificial intelligence (AI) applications. Moreover, the cloud and enterprise segments are projected to show consistent growth, while the Client segment is expected to experience modest growth. Meanwhile, Buchalter expects higher operating expenses due to research and development and AI initiatives, which may weigh on AMD's near-term earnings potential. Is AMD a Good Stock to Buy Now? Analysts remain divided on AMD's long-term outlook. On TipRanks, AMD stock has a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 24 Buys, 10 Holds, and one Sell rating. The average AMD price target of $158.57 implies 9% downside potential from current levels. Year-to-date, AMD stock has gained 44.3%. Please note that most of these ratings were given before AMD's Q2 earnings report and may change once analysts review their recommendations.


Business Insider
35 minutes ago
- Business Insider
This Is Why Wall Street Is Worried about Rivian Stock (RIVN)
Rivian's stock has been under pressure since its second-quarter earnings report, which showed a larger-than-expected loss and a lowered EBITDA forecast for Fiscal Year 2025. Although analysts are generally positive about the EV company's long-term potential, many are worried that the end of federal EV tax credits could hurt demand for Rivian's upcoming R2 SUV, which may force the company to lower prices and make its already negative profit margins worse. Elevate Your Investing Strategy: Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence. Indeed, UBS' Joseph Spak said that while Rivian is still aiming to break even on EBITDA by 2027, the loss of tax credits is a setback, and the market will likely wait for evidence that management can offset it. Separately, 4.5-star Cantor analyst Andres Sheppard kept a Neutral rating after pointing to weaker delivery expectations, economic uncertainty, tariffs, and Rivian's unclear position when it comes to self-driving and charging technology. Although he mentioned positives, such as the Amazon (AMZN) partnership and Volkswagen (VWAGY) joint venture, he also criticized the disappointing delivery guidance and much lower-than-expected gross margin. However, other analysts remain confident. In fact, Wedbush's 4.5-star-rated Dan Ives called Rivian a 'work in progress' after noting that the company kept its 2025 delivery forecast while adjusting its EBITDA target in order to deal with economic challenges. As a result, he kept an Outperform rating with a $16 price target. Needham's Chris Pierce also reiterated a Buy due to Rivian's strong cash position, vertically integrated structure, and expected improvements in cost efficiency when the R2 platform launches in early 2026. Is RIVN Stock a Buy or Sell? Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Hold consensus rating on RIVN stock based on seven Buys, 15 Holds, and three Sells assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average RIVN price target of $14.92 per share implies 28.2% upside potential.