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AllAfrica
4 hours ago
- AllAfrica
Trump's Putin, Zelensky talks chiefly served Russian aims
The current phase of the war in Ukraine continues unabated into its fourth year, with grinding offences and strikes against civilian infrastructure increasingly the norm. It is, for Ukraine, arguably the most vulnerable that it has been since 2022. These developments have prompted calls among world leaders to end the conflict. On the surface, United States President Donald Trump's meetings with both the Ukrainian and Russian leaders suggest a balanced approach. In reality, however, Trump's actions primarily benefit Russia. After the recent meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, Trump declared that their summit had been 'very useful.' When asked how he would rate the meeting on a scale of one to 10, the president declared the meeting 'was a 10 in the sense we got along great.' While Trump and Putin may have hit it off, the issue with such an assessment is that it failed to address the underlying reason for the meeting: Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In this regard, the meeting was far more useful for Putin and Russia than Ukraine and its allies. Putin managed to stoke tensions, and potentially divisions, among Ukraine's principal supporters by not including Ukraine in the summit. No other countries participated in the summit. This format caused considerable consternation in Ukraine, where it was feared that Trump would make an agreement without Ukrainian consent, as well as in Europe, where Russian aggression and revisionism is a more direct threat. Prior to Trump assuming power for a second time in 2025, Ukraine benefited from a largely united front among NATO and the European Union. This unity has declined over the last several months, and the Alaska summit reinforced this decline to Russia's benefit. Putin and his negotiators managed to obtain a major concession from Trump at the summit as Trump renounced his own recent calls for a ceasefire. For Ukraine and its allies, achieving a ceasefire was a fundamental requirement for any peace negotiations in 2025. This precondition has become more significant as Russia ramps up its attacks on Ukrainian cities and civilians. Lastly, the very nature of the Alaska meeting itself helped legitimize Russia in international opinion. Since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russia has courted international opinion. It's been more successful than most people in Europe and North America realize, as significant portions of Asia, Africa and Latin America remain ambivalent or even support Russia in its war against Ukraine. Nonetheless, Russia was always restrained by the condemnation it received from multiple international organizations, most notably the United Nations and the International Criminal Court. Trump welcoming Putin on American soil, when the Russian leader is under what amounts to a de facto travel ban by the International Criminal Court, undermines these institutions' condemnations. The benefits that Putin obtained from Trump in Alaska demanded an immediate response by Ukraine. President Volodymyr Zelensky promptly arranged a White House meeting with Trump in the aftermath of the Alaskan summit. And he didn't arrive alone: European leaders accompanied him to show solidarity with Ukraine. Secretary of State Marco Rubio insisted the European leaders weren't on hand to prevent Trump from bullying Zelensky, as occurred during their last Oval Office meeting. That's probably only partly true. Several European leaders — ranging from the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, to French President Emmanuel Macron — almost assuredly accompanied Zelensky to prevent Trump from forcing the Ukrainian leader into concessions that are detrimental to their interests as well. Trump's pre-meeting social media post undoubtedly heightened their concerns. In the post, he placed the burden of peace on Zelensky and argued that Ukraine must accept the loss of Crimea and never accede to NATO. Ukrainian officials sought to carefully orchestrate Zelensky's one-on-one Oval Office meeting with Trump. Zelensky wore a suit and delivered a letter from the Ukrainian first lady to Melania Trump. These and other efforts aimed to stroke Trump's ego, and the president's response — in particular, agreeing with a reporter that Zelensky 'look(ed) fabulous' in a suit — suggests it was a success. The same American reporter criticized Zelensky for failing to don a suit during his ill-fated February White House visit. Notably, Trump did not rule out a role for American soldiers in helping to maintain peace in Ukraine during the meeting. Outside observers believe an American presence in Ukraine to maintain any eventual peace is a fundamental requirement for its success. Unfortunately, while Trump did not immediately oppose the idea, he did not make any firm commitment either. Trump's propensity to reverse course on statements that he makes at the moment, furthermore, undermines any firm takeaways from the meeting. Any direct American involvement in Ukraine would also undermine his support among his political base. One of Trump's key campaign promises was not to involve the US in 'endless foreign wars.' A move by Trump to deploy American soldiers to Ukraine would be politically tenuous, as fractures are already emerging among his political base over his handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files. Trump's cordial meetings with Zelensky and European leaders may fuel hope among Ukraine's supporters in the coming days. But any optimism should be tempered by the damage done by Trump's meeting with Putin. Trump reportedly interrupted the meetings in Washington to call Putin. Trump's unwillingness to make firm commitments at the meetings with Zelensky and European leaders means that Russia, on balance, has succeeded in advancing its interests to the detriment of Ukraine and the prospects for a long-term, sustainable peace. James Horncastle is assistant professor and Edward and Emily McWhinney professor in international relations, Simon Fraser University This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
South China Morning Post
4 hours ago
- South China Morning Post
How Netanyahu risks making ‘Greater Israel' the new Iran: ‘a rogue, destabilising state'
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu 's open endorsement of a maximalist 'Greater Israel' vision has unsettled the Arab world, with analysts warning it could mark a turning point in the region's balance of power. Long seen by Washington and the West as a counterweight to Iran , observers say Israel now risks eclipsing its arch-rival as the Middle East's most destabilising force. The idea of a Greater Israel has circulated for decades on the Israeli far-right. Its imagined boundaries are debated, but all versions involve annexing the Palestinian territories and seizing some land from neighbouring states: Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria. More extreme interpretations extend the map even further, encompassing parts of Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. In an interview broadcast last Tuesday, Netanyahu declared he was on a 'historic and spiritual mission' and felt 'very much' connected to this expansionist vision of Israel. He also accepted a symbolic amulet from interviewer Sharon Gal, a former right‑wing member of the Israeli Knesset, reportedly engraved with one of the more expansive maps of Greater Israel. A social media post by Saudi Arabia's Foreign Ministry reacting to Netanyahu's 'Greater Israel' comments. Photo: X/KSAmofaEN
South China Morning Post
8 hours ago
- South China Morning Post
Zelensky says Ukraine security guarantees to be ‘unpacked' in 10 days
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday after his meeting with US President Donald Trump and European leaders that security guarantees for Kyiv is likely to be worked out within 10 days. Advertisement 'Security guarantees will probably be 'unpacked' by our partners, and more and more details will emerge. All of this will somehow be formalised on paper within the next week to 10 days,' Zelensky said at a broadcast press briefing after his meetings. Trump told Zelensky on Monday that the United States would help guarantee Ukraine's security in any deal to end Russia's war there, though the extent of any help was not immediately clear. 'It is important that the United States is sending a clear signal that it will be among the countries helping to coordinate and will also be a participant in the security guarantees for Ukraine,' Zelensky said. 'I believe this is a major step forward.' Although a peace deal appeared far from imminent after the meetings in Washington, Zelensky said his Monday meeting with Trump was his 'best' so far. Advertisement He also said Ukraine was ready to meet Russia in 'any format' and that territorial issues would be discussed on a bilateral level with Russian President Vladimir Putin, but no dates for a possible meeting with Moscow have been scheduled yet.
