MYT mechanism: Nepra lowers average tariff to Rs34 for Discos
The Regulator has determined separate tariffs for the Discos based on their approved revenue requirements, which also includes Power Purchase Price (PPP). However, it is unclear if the Discos or GoP will approach the Regulator for review of determinations.
NEPRA approves K-Electric's MYT for supply segment
The determined average tariffs of different Discos are as follows: (i) Islamabad Electric Supply Company (IESCO)- average tariff Rs 29.28/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 340.523 billion, PPP tariff, Rs 23.9851/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 300.896 billion;(ii) Gujranwala Electric Power Company (GEPCO), average tariff Rs 33.82/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 380.412 billion, PPP tariff Rs 29.9231/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 319.942 billion;(iii) Faisalabad Electric Supply Company (FESCO), average tariff Rs 32.69/kWh, revenue requirement Rs 471. 717 billion, PPP tariff 26.0226/ kWh, total PPP amount Rs 408.406 billion; (iv) Lahore Electric Supply Company (LESCO) average tariff Rs 31.18/kWh, revenue requirement Rs 737.216 billion, PPP tariff Rs 25.1463/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 650.996 billion; (v) Multan Electric Power Company (MEPCO), average Rs 34.68/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 595.696 billion, PPP tariff Rs 26.5094/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 513.580 billion; (vi) Peshawar Electric Supply Company (PESCO), average tariff Rs 37.20/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 342.268 billion, PPP tariff Rs 26.1682/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 298.213 billion; (vii) Quetta Electric Supply Company (QESCO), average tariff Rs 41.54/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 201.644 billion, PPP tariff Rs 29.8509/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 168.115 billion: (viii) Sukkur Electric Supply Company (SEPCO), average tariff Rs 35.63/kWh, total revenue requirement, Rs 120.739 billion, PPP tariff Rs 27.213/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 110.213 billion; (ix) Hyderabad Electric Supply Company (HESCO), average tariff Rs 44.36/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 173.408 billion, PPP tariff Rs 32.6312/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 173.408 billion; (x) Tribal Areas Electric Supply Company (TESCO), average tariff, Rs 44.93/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 61.391 billion, PPP tariff Rs 39.3703/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 59.045 billion ; and (xi) Hazara Electric Supply Company (HAZECO) average tariff, Rs 33.49/kWh, revenue requirement, Rs 74.532 billion, PPP tariff Rs 24.0776/kWh, total PPP amount Rs 63.340 billion.
NEPRA has projected a modest 2.8% growth in electricity demand for the fiscal year 2025-26, significantly lower than the 5% forecast made by the Central Power Purchasing Agency-Guaranteed (CPPA-G). This projection is based on recent trends of stagnant or declining demand, as actual generation data for the last two fiscal years showed either negative or flat growth.
In its latest determination, NEPRA approved a projected average Power Purchase Price (PPP) of Rs 25.06 per unit for FY 2025-26. This estimate is based on several macroeconomic assumptions, including an exchange rate of Rs 290/USD, low hydrology, US inflation at 2%, KIBOR at 11%, and Pakistan's inflation at 8.65%.
Nepra acknowledged that although CPPA-G initially based its forecast on an exchange rate of Rs 280/USD, the Federal Government's budgetary estimates and prevailing market conditions justify the use of Rs 290/USD. As the majority of power generation costs are dollar-indexed, exchange rate fluctuations have a direct impact on electricity prices.
The Authority, in its determination observed that during hearing various stakeholders highlighted that exchange rate of Rs.280/USB may not be realistic and may result in positive periodic adjustments as the prevailing exchange rate is already higher. It was also highlighted by one of the commentators that Federal Government in budgetary estimates has considered exchange rate of Rs.290/USD. The Authority also noted that 3 month KIBOR as of June 2025 has remained lower as compared to the projections of CPPA-G and may reduce further going forward. In view thereof, the Authority directed CPPA-G to also submit a PPP forecast scenario, by taking into account exchange rate of Rs.290/USD and KIBOR @ 11%, with following other assumptions;
CPPA-G in its Report has projected growth under two scenarios, ie, normal 2.8% and high 5%, however, actual demand during last two years either decreased or remained stagnant. For FY 2023-24, the overall generation is reduced by around 1.79% as compared to FY 2022-23 and for FY 2024-25 (May & June 2025 projected), total generation is expected to remain almost at the same level as of FY 2023-24. To analyse the projections made by CPPA-G, the actual generation data from July 2024 to April 2025 has been considered.
The actual generation from the Grid remained at 100,660 GWhs, from July 2024 to April 2025, lower by 5.40% from the reference generation assumed in PPP projections for the FY 2024-25. This reduction of 5.40%, when applied to the projected generation for May and June 2025, results in total generation of around 125,930 GWHs from the Grid.
After accounting for the increased supply to KE from national Grid in FY 2025-26, and by applying the growth rate of 2.8%, as proposed by CPPA-G in one of its growth scenarios, the projected generation works out as 132,247 GWh, which when adjusted with Transmission losses, results in demand of 128,544 GWhs at 132 KV.
CPPA-G in its Report has also projected similar demand at 132 kV, however, reliance was placed on the anticipated shift of captive consumers to National grid and improved economic situation. The improved economic situation, although may lead to additional electricity consumption, however, keeping in view increasing penetration by DGs and past trends, the Authority considered demand growth of 5%, assumed by CPPA-G as ambitious, and unlikely to happen.
Copyright Business Recorder, 2025
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Business Recorder
7 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Bank Makramah Limited sells Cullinan Tower in Karachi
Bank Makramah Limited (BML) announced on Friday that it had received the down payment for Cullinan Tower, formerly Summit Tower. The BML issued a notice to the Pakistan Stock Exchange today in this regard. 'We hereby convey that subsequent to the approval of the Bank Makramah Limited's Board of Directors, in their previous meeting held on July 3, 2025, for the sale of Cullinan Tower (formerly Summit Tower) situated at Plot No. G-2, Block-2, Scheme-5, Clifton, Karachi, the Sale Purchase Agreement (SPA) has been executed today and down payment received thereagainst,' the notice read. Recently, the BML had also announced significant capital injections alongside a major strategic asset sale. On July 5, BML's Board of Directors approved the sale of Cullinan Tower in Clifton, Karachi, for a confirmed offer of Rs 12 billion.
Business Recorder
15 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Business community leader assails ‘unpredictable' tax policies'
KARACHI: The Chairman of the National Business Group Pakistan, the President of the Pakistan Businessmen and Intellectuals Forum, the President of the All Karachi Industrial Alliance, the Chairman of the FPCCI Advisory Board, Mian Zahid Hussain has said that the business community is currently upset by unpredictable and inconsistent tax policies, which are discouraging both domestic and foreign investment. If the government truly wants meaningful economic recovery, it must urgently take steps to expand the economic base and tax net, reduce production costs, and ensure that the tax burden is shared fairly among all citizens. Otherwise, the ongoing crisis will only get worse. He stated that the pace of tax reforms is still disappointing. He explained that resistance to the digital economy is adding to the growing tax burden on the poor, making their lives harder. He pointed out that current economic policies are worsening unemployment and poverty nationwide. Mian Zahid Hussain said that strict fiscal and monetary policies have heavily impacted industrial activity, job opportunities, and consumers' purchasing power. According to the World Bank, Pakistan's poverty rate has hit 40.5 percent, with unemployment at around 22 percent, revealing the real challenges behind ongoing reforms. He highlighted that 75 to 80 percent of the Federal Board of Revenue's (FBR) revenue comes from withholding taxes, which are technically indirect taxes. These taxes place a disproportionate burden on salaried and middle-income groups already struggling with inflation, high electricity costs, and rising interest rates. He added that the business and industrial communities harbour strong concerns over the powers granted to FBR officers under the Finance Bill 2025. Mian Zahid Hussain warned that, in pursuit of the Rs 14,300 billion tax target, the government must not jeopardize the country's Rs 123,000 billion economy. Instead, efforts should focus on expanding the overall economic base, which would naturally increase tax revenues. He stressed that genuine tax reform is not about further burdening current taxpayers but about expanding the tax base. Without including the country's large informal economy in the tax system, achieving the 13% tax-to-GDP ratio sustainably is unlikely. For long-term progress, Mian Zahid Hussain stressed the crucial need for transparency, fairness, and accountability to be incorporated into the tax system. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025
Business Recorder
15 hours ago
- Business Recorder
430 UAF students awarded Scotland Pakistan Scholarship so far
FAISALABAD: As many as 430 female students from the University of Agriculture Faisalabad have benefited from the Scotland Pakistan Scholarship worth Rs 48 million so far, whereas 57 students were awarded scholarship certificates during a ceremony held on Wednesday. Inclusive Education Lead (International Development), at the Scottish Government, James McNulty, Education and Skills, British Council, Hamza Salim, Project Coordinator, Scotland Scholarship Scheme, British Council, Irum Amin visited the University of Agriculture Faisalabad and called on UAF Vice Chancellor Prof Dr Zulfiqar Ali and disbursed the scholarship certificates. The meeting also discussed the students' training programmes, training of trainers opportunities, supply chain, food certification, and other areas of collaboration for food security and agricultural growth. James McNulty said that they had long ties in the education sector with Pakistan and provided ample opportunities for scholarships to excel in their respective field. He said that the Scotland Pakistan Scholarships for young women and girls fund graduate studies for Pakistani women in any HEC-recognized university. Funded by the Scottish Government, these grants aim to make higher education more accessible to women, supporting them in achieving their potential and ambition. He said that women's scholarship is a step towards removing obstacles to quality education and paving the way for economic development. Prof Dr Zulfiqar Ali said that girls are shining in every sphere of life. He said that the scholarships were opening ample opportunities for the female students to excel in life. He said that the agriculture sector was facing numerous challenges. We need to develop the strategy and train the manpower for food security and agrarian development that will pave the way for a bright future. He pointed out that a good portion of the UAF intake UAF from the rural areas. Being the custodian of agricultural development and the oldest agricultural university in the subcontinent, all possible measures were being taken to address the agricultural issues on a scientific basis. Hamza Salim from the British Council said that they were providing opportunities through supporting young people to achieve the education, qualifications, and skills needed to reach their potential in their future careers. Director Financial Assistance and University Advancement (DFA&UA), Dr Nazia Ehsan, said many of the students hail from low-income classes, and it is difficult for them to pay the fees. Therefore, the university, with the financial support of the federal and provincial governments, International donors, and philanthropists, is taking all possible measures to provide scholarships for the deserving students so that they can quench their thirst for knowledge. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025
