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US stock futures higher ahead of Fed interest rate announcement

US stock futures higher ahead of Fed interest rate announcement

Since Israel attacked Iran, oil prices have jumped to a near five-month high. Much of the world's oil comes from the Middle East, and if oil prices continue to climb or stay elevated for a while, that could ignite inflation.
Along with the Fed's policy announcement, central bankers will release their economic forecasts. Economists expect the Fed to raises its inflation outlook, lower its economic growth forecast and keep the unemployment rate fairly low. Investors will also be looking to see how many rate cuts the Fed expects to implement this year and next.
At 6:10 a.m. ET, futures linked to the blue-chip Dow rose 0.21%, while broad S&P 500 futures gained 0.27% and tech-laden Nasdaq futures added 0.35%.
Cryptocurrency
The Senate passed to regulate stablecoins, or a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a stable price, often by being pegged to a more stable asset like the U.S. dollar.
The Senate's legislation requires dollar-pegged stablecoins to hold dollar-for-dollar reserves in short-term government debt or similar products overseen by state or federal regulators.
The bill now goes to the House, which must decide whether it will take up the bill or negotiate a compromise.
Medora Lee is a money, markets, and personal finance reporter at USA TODAY. You can reach her at mjlee@usatoday.com and subscribe to our free Daily Money newsletter for personal finance tips and business news every Monday through Friday.

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Turkish central bank holds all rates steady, maintains tight policy
Turkish central bank holds all rates steady, maintains tight policy

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Turkish central bank holds all rates steady, maintains tight policy

ISTANBUL, June 19 (Reuters) - Turkey's central bank held its key interest rate steady, opens new tab at 46% on Thursday, as expected and also kept the upper band of its rate corridor at 49% despite predictions it would be lowered. The central bank's somewhat hawkish rates move effectively prolongs a policy pause ahead of an expected resumption of rate cuts that could come this summer. The bank said inflation should continue to decline and growth should slow. "The tight monetary stance will be maintained until price stability is achieved via a sustained decline in inflation," the bank's policy committee said, repeating its past position. "The underlying trend of inflation declined in May. Leading indicators suggest that this decline continues in June," it added. "Data for the second quarter point to a slowdown in domestic demand." In April, the central bank raised its policy rate to 46% from 42.5%, reversing an easing cycle that had begun in December following market volatility over the arrest of Istanbul's mayor in March. The overnight funding rate has been increased by 700 basis points since the mayor's arrest, but in the last week it has dipped to near the policy rate in what analysts said was a signal the bank was preparing the ground for eventual rate cuts. "The bank has shifted its tone to prepare markets for the beginning of a rate-cutting cycle," said Andrew Birch, Economics Associate Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. "If the central bank intends to meet its 24% end-year inflation target, it will need to be cautious in lowering interest rates, due to ongoing market uncertainty." In a Reuters poll, economists had expected the central bank to keep the one-week repo policy rate steady but cut the overnight lending rate - the upper band - by 150 basis points to 47.5%. Instead, it was held at 49%. A rate cut is seen as a possibility at the next meeting, on July 24. Reuters polls show that the easing cycle, once restarted, will continue until at least mid-2026. In May, the central bank held its year-end inflation forecast steady at 24% and vowed to tighten policy if inflation worsens. Annual inflation declined to 35.4% last month. The central bank said it will adjust policy rate prudently and on a meeting-by-meeting basis and will use all monetary policy tools effectively in case of deterioration in the inflation path.

Global shares decline as tensions simmer in the Middle East
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Global shares decline as tensions simmer in the Middle East

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Global shares decline as tensions simmer in the Middle East
Global shares decline as tensions simmer in the Middle East

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Global shares decline as tensions simmer in the Middle East

On the seventh day of a conflict that began with a surprise wave of Israeli airstrikes targeting military sites, senior officers and nuclear scientists, Iranian state media reported that Iran's foreign minister planned to meet his European counterparts in Geneva. Meanwhile, Israel carried out strikes on Iran's Arak heavy water reactor, in its latest attack on Iran's sprawling nuclear programme. The escalating warfare has shaken financial markets. A dealer watches his computer monitors showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (Lee Jin-man/AP) France's CAC 40 slipped 0.8% in early trading to 7,593.06. In Germany, the DAX fell 0.9% to 23,141.82. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 0.5% to 8,797.24. The futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were 0.4% lower. The Federal Reserve opted on Wednesday to keep its key interest rate unchanged, while its policymakers signalled that they still expect to cut rates twice this year. They project that US president Donald Trump's higher import duties will fuel inflation. They also expect growth to slow and unemployment to edge higher. The Bank of England likewise kept its key interest rate unchanged at 4.25% at its meeting on Thursday, after cutting it twice this year. Switzerland's central bank cut its target interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to zero on Thursday, saying that inflationary pressures have eased. It is among many central banks opting to go ahead and ease the cost of borrowing as uncertainty over Mr Trump's tariffs and geopolitical crises threaten global growth. US financial markets were closed on Thursday for the Juneteenth holiday (Yuki Iwamura/AP) In Asian trading, Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 shed 1.0% to finish at 38,488.34. Shares in Japan's Nippon Steel Corp jumped 2.3% after it announced that its acquisition of US Steel, which met US government opposition for more than a year, was finally completed. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 2.0% to 23,237.74 on heavy selling of tech-related shares, while the Shanghai Composite lost 0.8% to 3,362.11. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was little changed at 8,523.70 and in South Korea, the Kospi rose 0.2% to 2,977.74. US financial markets were closed on Thursday for the Juneteenth holiday, an annual federal holiday in the US. So far, US inflation has remained relatively tame, and it is near the Fed's target of 2%. But economists have been warning it may take months to feel the effects of tariffs. And inflation has been feeling upwards pressure recently from a spurt in oil prices because of Israel's fighting with Iran. Fed officials are waiting to see how big Mr Trump's tariffs will ultimately be, what they will affect and whether they will drive a one-time increase to inflation or something more dangerous. There is also still deep uncertainty about how much tariffs will grind down on the economy's growth. 'Because the economy is still solid, we can take the time to actually see what's going to happen,' Fed chair Jerome Powell said. 'We'll make smarter and better decisions if we just wait a couple months or however long it takes to get a sense of really what is going to be the passthrough of inflation and what are going to be the effects on spending and hiring and all those things,' he said. In other dealings early on Thursday, benchmark US crude rose 13 cents to 73.63 US dollars. Brent crude, the international standard, advanced 7 cents to 76.77 dollars a barrel. Oil prices have been yo-yoing as fears rise and ebb that the conflict between Israel and Iran could disrupt the global flow of crude. Iran is a major producer of oil and also sits on the narrow Strait of Hormuz, through which much of the world's crude passes. In currency trading, the US dollar rose to 145.46 Japanese yen from 145.13 yen. The euro cost 1.1476 dollars, down from 1.1484 dollars.

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