Tariffs ate 61% of fresh loans in China in April
China's new loans slumped sharply and credit expanded at a slower pace than expected in April, as escalating trade tensions with the US harmed sentiment.
Financial institutions offered ¥285 billion ($40 billion) of new loans in the month, a drop of 61% from a year earlier to the lowest level since July, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data released by the
People's Bank of China
on Wednesday.
The median forecast of economists surveyed was Yuan 700 billion .
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Aggregate financing, a broad measure of credit, increased Yuan 1.2 trillion in April, also worse than the Yuan 1.4 trillion estimated by economists. The US hiked tariffs on China drastically throughout April before the two countries negotiated a truce this week that led to the temporary lifting of triple-digit levies.
The willingness of companies in China to expand investment deteriorated sharply, with corporate mid- and long-term loans plunging almost 40% to Yuan 250 billion (approximately $35 billion ) in April from a year ago.
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"Both household and corporate loans were pretty weak," said Michelle Lam, Greater China economist at Societe Generale SA. "It is quite possible that
US tariffs
have weighed on private-sector sentiment."
Since banks usually aren't in a rush to meet their loan targets at the beginning of each quarter, yuan financing tends to be slow in April. Credit figures in recent months have also been buoyed by the government's push to sell bonds earlier in the year than before, as policymakers sought to stabilise growth with more infrastructure investment.
The stockpile of household mid and long-term loans, a proxy for mortgages, returned to contraction in April, indicating more loans were repaid than taken out. That's an ominous sign for the property market, which is struggling to bottom out after years of decline.
With the economy pressured by US tariffs, the PBOC has acted to ease monetary policy. At a recent briefing, central bank Governor
Pan Gongsheng
announced across-the-board rate cuts alongside other steps that could pump Yuan 2.1 trillion into the economy, including a reduction to the reserve requirement ratio.
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