logo
Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter study

Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter study

Sharjah 245 days ago
Study findings
A rapid study conducted by over a dozen researchers from five European institutions concluded that the heatwaves likely resulted in far more heat-related deaths than would have occurred without global warming. The heatwave, which occurred between late June and early July, saw temperatures soaring well above 40°C (104°F) in several countries, breaking records and triggering health warnings.
Historical comparisons
To assess the impact of climate change, scientists compared the intensity of the heatwave to a world unaffected by fossil fuel emissions. They found that the heatwave "would have been 2-4°C cooler" in all but one of the 12 cities studied, which collectively house over 30 million people, including major capitals like Paris, London, and Madrid.
Increased risks
Researcher Ben Clarke from Imperial College London highlighted that the added heat brings certain populations into more dangerous conditions. While some may find the temperatures comfortable, many others face significant health risks.
Estimated death toll
For the first time, the study aimed to estimate the death toll from this heatwave. Based on established research methods, it concluded that approximately 2,300 deaths occurred between June 23 and July 2 across the 12 cities. Alarmingly, about 1,500 of these deaths—roughly two-thirds—would not have happened without climate change.
Vulnerable populations
Heatwaves pose particular dangers to the elderly, sick individuals, young children, outdoor workers, and anyone exposed to high temperatures for extended periods. Urban areas exacerbate these risks, as paved surfaces and buildings absorb heat, making cities significantly hotter.
The silent killer
During the heatwave, large parts of southern Europe experienced "tropical nights," where overnight temperatures remained too high for adequate recovery. Garyfallos Konstantinoudis from Imperial College London noted that even a 2-4°C increase in heatwave temperatures can significantly impact survival rates.
Authorities warn that it could take weeks to finalize the death toll from this recent heatwave, though similar events in the past have claimed tens of thousands of lives in Europe.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

'Quietly devastating': How rising temperatures are testing our limits
'Quietly devastating': How rising temperatures are testing our limits

The National

time2 days ago

  • The National

'Quietly devastating': How rising temperatures are testing our limits

Yellow and amber health alerts have been issued across parts of the UK this weekend as the country, like many parts of Europe, experiences an extreme heatwave. The warnings are in place until July 14 and weather forecasters at the UK's Met Office have warned that the heatwave is more widespread than in previous summers. On Saturday, 'temperatures are likely to locally approach 30°C over Northern Ireland and 31°C or even 32°C over parts of Scotland, away from eastern coasts', said chief meteorologist Steve Willington. June this year was the hottest on record for England, and July is on track to follow suit. Heatwave deaths triple in Europe Climate change tripled the number of heat-related deaths across European cities, according to a study from the World Weather Attribution group of researchers. The researchers said heatwaves, which were up to 4°C hotter across cities compared to a world without climate change, were 'quietly devastating'. The study, led by scientists at Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, focused on 10 days of heat from June 23 to July 2. It calculated that 1,500 of the 2,300 estimated heat deaths were the result of climate change – equating to a tripling of the number of deaths in the heatwave due to global warming. How much heat can your body endure? 2024 was officially the hottest year on record, following what United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres called a decade of deadly heat. In cities such as Dubai and Abu Dhabi, where summer highs routinely exceed 45°C, the body's natural defences are pushed to the brink. 'Humans are most comfortable and expend the least energy at temperatures between 18°C and 24°C,' said Dr Aseel Takshe, acting dean at the Canadian University Dubai's School of Health Sciences and Psychology. 'The body's ability to cool itself becomes compromised at high temperatures, particularly above 40°C. 'The critical survival limit is a 'wet-bulb' temperature of 35°C at 100 per cent humidity, where sweat no longer evaporates and core temperature rises dangerously. Even healthy adults cannot survive more than a few hours at this threshold.' Dust storms add to danger Data released on Saturday by Europe's weather watchdog, Copernicus, showed repeated long-range episodes of Saharan dust crossing into Europe and the Caribbean, significantly degrading air quality. 'So far in 2025, we have monitored repeated long-range transport of Saharan dust and high PM10 concentrations reaching Europe and the Caribbean,' said Mark Parrington, senior scientist at the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service. PM10 refers to particulate matter with a diameter of 10 micrometres or less. 'These episodes can have a negative impact on air quality on both sides of the Atlantic, and subsequently represent potential risks to human health,' Mr Parrington added. Lessons from the UAE: Planning for heat In built-up environments, the situation is compounded by the urban heat island effect. 'This effect is intensified by the scarcity of green spaces and the prevalence of heat-absorbing materials like concrete and asphalt,' Dr Takshe told The National. Studies in the UAE show that urban areas can be 1.3°C to 4.5°C warmer than surrounding rural areas. Dust storms coupled with urban heat build-up can be serious health risk, warned Dr Takshe. 'Dust and pollution can trap heat and further worsen respiratory health, especially among vulnerable groups. The need for air conditioning and cooling increases sharply during heatwaves, leading to high energy consumption and potential stress on power infrastructure.' Tips to stay safe during hot weather Stay hydrated: Drink plenty of fluids, especially water. Avoid alcohol and caffeine, which can increase dehydration. Seek cool environments: Use air conditioning, fans, or visit community spaces with climate control. Limit outdoor activities: Avoid strenuous activity during peak heat. If outside, seek shade and wear a wide-brimmed hat. Dress appropriately: Wear lightweight, loose and light-coloured clothing to facilitate heat loss. Check on vulnerable people: Regularly check in on elderly neighbours, young children and those with health conditions. Home adaptations: Use blinds or curtains to block sunlight, avoid using ovens or stoves, and ventilate living spaces during cooler hours. Recognise heat illness: Learn the signs of heat exhaustion and heat stroke (dizziness, confusion, rapid pulse, nausea), and seek medical attention if symptoms occur. Children, the elderly, and outdoor workers are particularly vulnerable. 'Urban environments can exacerbate exposure for these groups, especially if access to cooling, health care, or shaded areas is limited,' added Dr Takshe. The UAE implements a midday break for outdoor workers during the summer months, from June 15 to September 15. The break, introduced in 2004, prohibits work under direct sunlight and in open-air spaces between 12.30pm and 3pm. The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) Frontiers 2025 Report, published on Thursday, highlights that people aged 65 and above form an increasingly dominant part of the world population, particularly in urban areas of low- and middle-income countries. The report states that annual levels of heat-related deaths among older people have risen by an estimated 85 per cent since the 1990s. Additional risks arise from deteriorating air quality and floods in low-lying coastal cities. 'Heatwaves are among the most frequent and deadly impacts of climate change, along with floods and shrinking ice cover,' said Inger Andersen, executive director of UNEP. 'We must be prepared for the risks these impacts pose, especially for society's most vulnerable, including older persons.' How to stay safe during extreme heat Staying safe in such environments requires personal and systemic action. At the individual level, hydration, staying indoors during peak heat and recognising signs of heat illness – such as dizziness, confusion, and rapid pulse – are essential. Lightweight, loose-fitting clothing and access to shaded or air-conditioned spaces can make a life-saving difference. But cooling a city is not a task individuals can bear alone. Urban designs, infrastructure and public policy must align to address extreme heat. That means planting more trees, redesigning streets to allow natural air flow, and expanding green spaces that naturally lower surface temperatures. Some of Dubai's urban canyons – tall buildings that cast long shadows- reduce daytime heat exposure in parts of the city. But this is often offset by residual night-time heat. 'Adapting urban design – such as increasing vegetation, implementing cool roofs, and improving airflow – can help mitigate these effects but requires co-ordinated planning and investment,' Dr Takshe told The National. 'Public awareness campaigns, establishment of community cooling centres and education on heat risks are essential for immediate relief and long-term resilience.' According to the World Health Organisation, the recommended ambient temperature indoors is about 18°C. Dr Takshe adds that humans are most comfortable and expend the least energy at between 18°C and 24°C. But for millions living in climate-vulnerable regions, maintaining such conditions without cooling infrastructure can be a challenge.

Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: study
Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: study

Al Etihad

time5 days ago

  • Al Etihad

Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: study

9 July 2025 17:45 PARIS (AFP)Human-caused climate change made the recent European heatwave up to 4C hotter in many cities, scientists said on Wednesday, pushing temperatures into deadly territory for thousands of vulnerable likely led to far more heat-related deaths than would have occurred without the influence of global warming, concluded a rapid study by over a dozen researchers from five European analysis looked at 12 cities in Europe between June 23 and July 2 as an early summer heatwave drove temperatures well above 40C in some parts, triggering health EU's climate monitor Copernicus on Wednesday said it was the hottest June on record in western Europe, where some schools and tourist sites were shuttered as the mercury assess what role climate change played, scientists compared how intense a similar heatwave would have been in a world that had not warmed due to burning masses of fossil historical weather data, they concluded the heatwave 'would have been 2-4C cooler' without human-induced climate change in all but one of the 12 cities extra heat greatly elevated the health risk in these cities, which have a combined population of more than 30 million and include major capitals Paris, London, Rome and Madrid.'What that does is it brings certain groups of people into more dangerous territory,' said lead author Ben Clarke from Imperial College London, who led the study with the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine."For some people it's still warm, fine weather. But for now a huge sector of the population, it's more dangerous," he told the first time, scientists also sought to estimate the number of heat deaths using established attribution methods and epidemiological study, which has not been peer reviewed, estimated that about 2,300 died in the extreme conditions across the 12 cities during the 10 days in about 1,500, or roughly two thirds, of these deaths would not have occurred had climate change not pushed temperatures to such dangerous highs, researchers authors -- from research institutions in the UK, Netherlands, Denmark and Switzerland -- stressed this estimate was just a snapshot of the wider heatwave, as no official count was yet are particularly dangerous for the elderly, the sick, young children, outdoor workers, and anyone exposed to high temperatures for prolonged periods without effect on health is compounded in cities, where heat is absorbed by paved surfaces and buildings, making urban areas much hotter than their surroundings. Authorities say it could take weeks to tally a more definitive death toll from the recent heatwave, but similar episodes have claimed tens of thousands of lives in Europe during previous summers.

Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: Study
Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: Study

Khaleej Times

time5 days ago

  • Khaleej Times

Climate change made European heatwave up to 4C hotter: Study

Human-caused climate change made recent European heatwaves up to 4C hotter in many cities, scientists said on Wednesday, pushing temperatures into deadly territory for thousands of vulnerable people. This likely led to far more heat-related deaths than would have occurred without the influence of global warming, concluded a rapid study of the episode by over a dozen researchers from five European institutions. Temperatures between late June and early July soared well above 40 degrees Celsius (104F) in many European countries as the first heatwave of the summer broke records and triggered health warnings. The EU's climate monitor Copernicus on Wednesday said it was the hottest June on record in western Europe, where some schools and tourist sites were shuttered as the mercury soared. To assess what role climate change played, scientists compared how intense a heatwave would have been in a world that had not warmed due to burning masses of fossil fuels. Using historical weather data, they concluded the heatwave "would have been 2-4C cooler" without human-induced climate change in all but one of the 12 cities studied. The added degrees greatly elevated the risk in these cities, which have a combined population of more than 30 million and include major capitals Paris, London and Madrid. "What that does is it brings certain groups of people into more dangerous territory," said researcher Ben Clarke from Imperial College London, which co-led the study with the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. "For some people it's still warm, fine weather. But for now a huge sector of the population, it's more dangerous," he told reporters. - Life and death - The study, for the first time, also sought to estimate the death toll from the heatwave in the 12 cities studied, and how many could be attributed to climate change. Based on peer-reviewed scientific methods and established research on heat and mortality, the study concluded the heatwave likely caused about 2,300 deaths between June 23 and July 2 across the 12 cities studied. But about 1,500, or roughly two thirds, of all these deaths would not have occurred had climate change not pushed temperatures to such dangerous highs, researchers said. The authors -- from research institutions in the UK, Netherlands, Denmark and Switzerland -- stressed this estimate was just a snapshot of the wider heatwave, as no official count was yet available. Heatwaves are particularly dangerous for the elderly, the sick, young children, outdoor workers, and anyone exposed to high temperatures for prolonged periods without relief. The effect on health is compounded in cities, where heat is absorbed by paved surfaces and buildings, making urban areas much hotter than their surroundings. Copernicus said large parts of southern Europe experienced so-called "tropical nights" during the heatwave, when overnight temperatures don't fall low enough to let the body recover. "An increase in heatwave temperature of just two or four degrees can mean the difference between life and death for thousands of people," said Garyfallos Konstantinoudis, a lecturer at Imperial College London. "This is why heatwaves are known as silent killers. Most heat-related deaths occur in homes and hospitals out of public view and are rarely reported," he told reporters. Authorities say it could take weeks to tally a more definitive death toll from the recent heatwave, but similar episodes have claimed tens of thousands of lives in Europe during previous summers.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store