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Markets snap two-day losing streak, shrug off Israel-Iran conflict
Snapping their two-day losing streak, benchmark indices rose on Monday, driven by gains in banking and technology heavyweights, shrugging off the Iran-Israel conflict. Continued buying by domestic institutional investors (DIIs) also helped underpin gains.
Most global markets also ended positive, stoking concerns that traders may be undermining the implications of West Asia tensions.
The BSE Sensex closed the session at 81,796, up 678 points or 0.8 per cent, while the NSE Nifty rose to 24,947, gaining 228 points or 0.9 per cent. The total market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms increased by ₹3.3 trillion, reaching ₹451 trillion.
DIIs were net buyers of equities worth ₹5,781 crore, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth ₹2,539 crore. DIIs have been net buyers for 20 consecutive sessions, purchasing shares worth ₹94,500 crore. This marks the longest buying spree since the 29-day period of continuous buying that ended on March 19.
HDFC Bank, which rose 0.9 per cent, was the biggest contributor to the Sensex, followed by Infosys, which gained 1.4 per cent. HDFC Bank's stocks rose after Jefferies named the private lender its top pick in a report, citing benefits from easing regulations, lower interest rates, and improved credit growth. The gains were partly attributed to a "buying the dip" strategy, as the stock had declined over 3 per cent the previous week.
Despite ongoing attacks between Iran and Israel, crude oil prices stabilised as oil production facilities remained unaffected. The conflict has not yet led to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which handles approximately one-fifth of the world's daily crude shipments. Brent crude was trading below $74, down 1.9 per cent. Gold prices declined by 0.5 per cent, trading at $3,413 per ounce. Analysts expect investors to continue their "buying the dip" approach as long as the conflict does not escalate further and other countries remain uninvolved.
"Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, the market moved higher, supported by gains in largecap stocks. Investors maintained their focus on long-term fundamentals amid volatile conditions. Geopolitical developments in West Asia are likely to influence near-term market sentiment, with any signs of de-escalation being closely monitored. Smallcap stocks are expected to underperform in the short term, given their elevated valuations and lack of short-term catalysts," said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services.
The market breadth was weak, with 2,151 stocks declining and 1,944 advancing. All but three Sensex stocks gained. Reliance Industries rose 0.76 per cent, and Bharti Airtel gained 1.04 per cent, contributing significantly to Sensex's gains.
Tata Motors fell 3.8 per cent — most among Sensex and Nifty components -- after projecting financial year 2026 operating margins of 5 per cent-7 per cent for its luxury unit JLR, below its earlier target of 10 per cent.
"The market's resilience amid lingering geopolitical tensions is encouraging. However, participants should remain cautious and not get carried away by a single-day rebound, especially as the index approaches the upper band of its current consolidation range, i.e., the 25,000–25,200 zone. We recommend maintaining a stock-specific trading approach, given the mixed trends across sectors, with a preference for relatively less volatile counters," said Ajit Mishra, SVP of Research at Religare Broking.
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Time of India
30 minutes ago
- Time of India
India Consulting World Oil Map for Alternative Sources
Indian refiners are considering West African nations and other alternative energy sources to secure additional fuel supplies, should Iran attempt to block the Strait of Hormuz — a critical choke point for global oil and gas transit —as its conflict with Israel intensifies, said oil industry executives. Since the outbreak of the Iran-Israel hostilities on Friday, top oil ministry officials and industry executives are analysing various scenarios and evaluating all possible responses to potential supply disruptions and price spikes. About 40% of India's total crude imports, and 54% of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies, would be at risk if the conflict leads to a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow sea passage between Iran and Oman that carries nearly 30% of global oil trade and 20% of LNG shipments. Executives at Indian refiners and gas companies, however, believe Iran won't enforce a blockade, citing history. A potential closure would likely send prices soaring, drawing the US into a direct confrontation with Iran, while alienating Gulf nations and other oil import-dependent countries, executives said. Blocking the strait would not only disrupt Gulf oil and gas exports, including Iran itself, but also hinder imports of essential items. This, an executive said, would serve as a strong deterrent to Tehran. Indian refiners are not resorting to 'panic buying' for now, a second executive said. However, the are prepared for any eventuality, the executive said, adding that 'closure of the strait would shrink the global pool of available oil and gas. No matter how carefully you prepare, every economy would feel the impact of a supply crunch and price spike.' 'If India turns to West Africa for additional supplies, other importers are likely to follow,' another executive said, underscoring the complexity of the situation. India imports about 90% of its crude oil needs, with local refiners relying on the Gulf for a major portion of their supplies. Of India's total crude imports, around 35% comes from Russia, a little over 40% from the Gulf, and the rest from Africa, the US and other sources. Africa's share of imports dropped to 5% in May from 12% in April. In 2024, India sourced 54% of its LNG requirements from the Gulf, with Qatar supplying 80% and UAE the remainder. Qatar, among the world's top three LNG exporters, plays a key role in global gas supply, and any disruption to its exports could send spot LNG prices soaring. Even long-term LNG prices could rise, as 60% of India's long-term contracts are linked to crude rates. The global LNG market is not as evolved as the oil market, with very limited sources of alternative supplies. During the 2022 global energy crisis, a former Gazprom unit reneged on its LNG supply contract with India's GAIL, forcing the latter to cut supplies to domestic users. India does not have strategic gas storage, though it does maintain strategic crude reserves. However, New Delhi does not disclose data on national oil and gas inventories. According to the oil ministry, India has total crude and petroleum product storage 'capacity' equivalent to 74 days of national consumption. This includes strategic reserves that can cover 9.5 days of demand. Total capacity includes inventory at refineries, pipelines, ships enroute, product depots, and empty tanks that can hold crude or refined products, executives said.


Time of India
39 minutes ago
- Time of India
(AI)gorithm turns recruiter
Vidya, a software engineer for over 14 years and in her late thirties, was looking to switch her job earlier this year. When she applied to India's second-largest software services company, Infosys , one of her four rounds of interview was with an AI-chatbot. 'A male voice command asked me about myself and 8–10 techno-functional and managerial questions, along with subtitles. The interview was through an online link and lasted around 15 minutes. It was interesting to see a computer-based questioning. I felt more confident,' said Vidya, whose resume was also shortlisted through AI. ETtech When she finally landed the coveted job, Vidya was among the thousands of engineers and developers being interviewed by AI as part of the latest next-gen recruitment process at India's top software service providers. ETtech As per numbers, IT firms are hiring tens of thousands annually, relying on AI for 70–80% of initial screenings. Just at the two top IT service providers—HCLTech and Wipro, AI is assisting to shortlist and interview around 55,000 candidates for entry and mid-level positions. Not just HCLTech and Wipro but all companies are using AI prolifically and the numbers are only increasing. ETtech Discover the stories of your interest Blockchain 5 Stories Cyber-safety 7 Stories Fintech 9 Stories E-comm 9 Stories ML 8 Stories Edtech 6 Stories Infosys chief human resource officer Shaji Mathew said the company is using AI in its HR processes, covering the entire hire-to-retire cycle. 'AI enables us to dynamically map candidates to panelists, trigger interviews on the fly, and even leverage facial recognition algorithms in our interview tool,' Mathew said without sharing specific numbers. Infosys uses an AI-based facial recognition process that compares images from interviews and induction to prevent impersonation on Day 1. HCLTech is using AI to reimagine how the company attracts, assesses, and hires talent through its proprietary AI-backed platform, said its chief people officer Ramachandran Sundararajan. The firm uses the platform across all levels in their projects and programs. 'A group of AI agents augment our internal and external staffing teams to enhance job descriptions, determine the skill and competency evaluation expectations for candidate assessment, screen CVs to help shortlist, assist our technical panels in interviews and provide a second opinion of the candidate for the job,' Sundararajan said. To date, AI has helped in screening and processing over 45,000 open positions at HCLTech. Neeti Sharma, CEO of Teamlease Digital said, AI is helping save recruiters approximately 23 hours weekly. 'While exact numbers of AI-driven hires are hard to pin down, IT firms hiring tens of thousands annually rely on AI for 70–80% of initial screenings, with AI-led processes boosting interview success rates by 53%.' Meanwhile, conversational AI is still in an exploratory stage and is being used for 15–20% of their total hiring, Sharma adds. Sanjeev Jain, COO of Wipro says it has initiated AI pilots from April at key stages—from initial resume screening and first-level interviews to communication assessments, background checks, onboarding, and even simulations for client interviews. This, according to him, not only helps optimise time and costs but also subconscious bias at early stages. 'Most importantly, it allows us to onboard and deploy talent on client projects faster, ensuring we stay agile and responsive to business needs. As we continue to evolve our talent strategy, AI will remain a critical enabler,' Jain added. ETtech Outsourcing majors, including TCS, Tech Mahindra and others are also using AI for their recruitment process. Companies are using AI to filter and rank the top profiles, for intelligent screening and skill-based assessments, significantly reducing manual screening time and doing video interviews powered by behavioural and sentiment analysis. They are also using predictive analytics to assess how well a candidate aligns with past successful hires in similar roles thereby improving the quality and consistency of hiring decisions. However, Vidya felt that she was lucky to have got through. 'One concern was the English, and even the database test was difficult to understand initially. I also was not sure if they could absorb or recognise my accent or language, because the follow-up questions at times were not linked.' Richard Lobo, chief people officer at Mahindra Group subsidiary Tech Mahindra, India's fifth largest IT firm said, 'We believe that AI is not here to replace human judgment but to refine and elevate it—especially in recruitment, where precision and speed are critical…We are continuously investing in rebuilding our training infrastructure.'


Mint
an hour ago
- Mint
Top three stocks to buy today, 17 June, as recommended by Ankush Bajaj
On Monday, 16 June, the Nifty 50 ended the session 227.90 points higher, up 0.92%, to close at 24,946.50, marking a strong rebound and reflecting confidence in India's economic stability. The BSE Sensex also registered gains, rising 677.55 points or 0.84%, to end at 81,796.15. Despite initial weakness, the Nifty Bank managed to close higher by 417.55 points or 0.75%, at 55,944.90. Top three stocks recommended for today by Ankush Bajaj Muthoot Finance Ltd (MUTHOOTFIN)-current price: ₹2,633.30 Why it's recommended: Muthoot Finance has delivered a clear breakout, pushing to a new lifetime high on strong momentum. On the 45-minute chart, the stock has completed a symmetrical triangle breakout, projecting an upside target around ₹2,700+. This pattern typically indicates consolidation followed by trend continuation, which aligns with the broader bullish structure. Price action remains firm with strong candles on both intraday and daily charts. RSI is near 70, reflecting strong momentum, and MACD is in a bullish crossover. The stock is trading well above its key moving averages, confirming trend strength across timeframes. Key metrics: Resistance level: ₹2,694 (short-term target) | Support level: ₹2,590 (pattern invalidation level) Pattern: Symmetrical triangle breakout on 45-minute chart; all-time high breakout on daily chart RSI: ~70, rising, indicating solid bullish momentum Technical analysis: Triangle breakout adds to the bullish continuation outlook. Price trading above all key moving averages with bullish MACD and no negative divergence. Volume on breakout candles supports upward follow-through. Risk factors: The RSI is near overbought territory, so short-term consolidation or a dip is possible. If the price falls below ₹2,590, it would invalidate the breakout pattern and may lead to profit booking. Watch for sustained volume and follow through above breakout levels to confirm the move. Buy at: ₹2,633.30 Target price: ₹2,694 Stop loss: ₹2,590 Also Read: Five undervalued power stocks worth adding to your watchlist Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL)-current price: ₹403.85 Why it's recommended: BEL has made a new lifetime high backed by strong volume, signalling sustained bullish interest. On lower time frames, the stock has completed a rectangle breakout, with a projected target of ₹425+. This consolidation breakout within an uptrend suggests a continuation move. With momentum on its side and a clearly defined risk level, taking a long trade with a small stop loss offers a favourable risk-reward setup. The RSI is strong but not overbought, and the MACD is in buy mode, confirming bullish momentum. Key metrics: Resistance level: ₹419– ₹422 (short-term target range) | Support level: ₹397 (pattern invalidation level) Pattern: Rectangle breakout on lower time frame; new lifetime high on daily chart RSI: ~67, rising, showing healthy momentum Technical analysis: The stock is trading well above its key moving averages, showing strong trend alignment. Breakout with volume on both daily and intraday charts reinforces the move. MACD remains positive, and the breakout level has been successfully retested on shorter time frames. Risk factors: A drop below ₹397 could invalidate the breakout and trigger short-term profit booking. As the stock is at all-time highs, any market-wide volatility may lead to sudden pullbacks. Trade should be monitored closely for sustained momentum. Buy at: ₹403.85 Target price: ₹419– ₹422 Stop loss: ₹397 Also Read: Tata Communications delays key targets by a year. Should you be worried? Max Healthcare Institute Ltd (MAXHEALTH)-current price: ₹1,246.90 Why it's recommended: The stock continues to maintain a strong uptrend with a well-formed structure of higher highs and higher lows. Technical indicators are supportive: RSI is at 67, indicating strong yet sustainable momentum, and the MACD is firmly positive, showing continued buying strength. On the weekly chart, RSI has broken out from an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern — a rare and bullish signal, suggesting a deeper underlying momentum shift. This convergence of signals across multiple time frames indicates the potential for a sustained move upward in the short term. Key metrics: Resistance level: ₹1,304 (short-term target), Support level: ₹1,218 (pattern invalidation level) Pattern: Uptrend continuation with breakout from consolidation; inverted Head & Shoulders on weekly RSI RSI: 67, rising, with strength across daily and weekly time frames Technical analysis: Price action is well supported by momentum indicators. The stock is trading well above its key moving averages, and MACD continues to rise. Breakout is confirmed on both daily and weekly timeframes, offering a strong multi-frame setup. Risk factors: A dip below ₹1,218 could weaken the current bullish structure and lead to a short-term retracement. Given the recent breakout and higher levels, some profit booking could emerge if momentum slows. Close monitoring is advised to confirm follow-through. Buy at: ₹1,246.90 Target price: ₹1,304 Stop loss: ₹1,218 Market wrap Sectors defied the global backdrop and posted impressive gains. The realty sector led the way, rising 1.32%, driven by continued demand and long-term outlook. The oil and gas index advanced 1.11%, benefiting from firm energy pricing, while the infrastructure sector added 1.08%, suggesting steady capital flow into core segments. Importantly, no sector closed in the red, highlighting the broad-based buying and domestic confidence despite global turmoil. On the stock front, Bharat Electronics Ltd topped the charts with a 2.45% gain, supported by strong institutional interest. SBI Life Insurance followed with a 2.43% rise, while Ultratech Cement added 2.41%, showing strength in industrial and consumption-related counters. Among the few laggards, Tata Motors declined 3.57%, likely reacting to overseas market pressures. Dr. Reddy's dropped 1.15%, and Adani Ports edged lower by 0.31%, as profit-booking kicked in after recent gains. Nifty technical analysis daily and hourly The Nifty 50 closed strong at 24,946.50, gaining 227.90 points or 0.92%, after recovering sharply from a gap-down open. The intraday rebound reflected solid underlying strength, with the index ending near the day's high, suggesting sustained buying interest despite early weakness. Technically, the Nifty remains comfortably above its key moving averages. On the daily chart, the 20-day simple moving average is at 24,832, and the 40-day exponential moving average is at 24,532. On intraday timeframes, the 20-hour SMA stands at 24,847, while the 40-hour EMA is at 24,910. These levels continue to act as strong dynamic support zones and help the index maintain its bullish structure throughout the session. Momentum indicators are supportive of the uptrend, though not yet overheated. The daily RSI stands at 55, indicating moderate strength and room for further upside, while the hourly RSI has improved to 54, reflecting a pickup in near-term momentum. The daily MACD remains in positive territory at +153, signalling sustained bullish momentum, though the hourly MACD remains slightly negative at -16, suggesting that some short-term consolidation could still occur before a clearer directional move. Also Read: Israel vs Iran could be worse for markets than Russia vs Ukraine. Here's why. Despite today's gains, no fresh breakout patterns were observed. The market remains within a range of 24,550 to 25,100, with 25,100 serving as the next resistance level to watch. A sustained move above this could open the door for a further rally, while 24,550 remains key short-term support. The derivatives setup paints a positive picture. The Put-Call Ratio stands at 1.11, indicating a moderate bullish bias. Total Put open interest is at 137 million versus Call OI of 123.3 million, yielding a PE–CE differential of 13.7 million in favour of puts. More importantly, fresh additions were strong on the put side, with 51.8 million new contracts added versus 3.6 million on the call side, resulting in a bullish PE–CE OI change differential of 48.2 million. The highest call OI is concentrated at the 26,000 strike, while notable additions were seen at the 25,300 level. On the put side, the largest additions were at the 24,800 strike, suggesting strong support just below current levels. India VIX cooled off further, declining by 1.61% to 14.83, indicating lower volatility expectations and growing trader confidence. Globally, market cues were mixed but leaned supportive. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persisted after Israeli strikes in Iran, but oil prices, which had surged last week, have since moderated. Brent crude is hovering around $73.50 per barrel, while WTI is near $72.25. This easing of oil prices helped reduce inflation fears and kept risk appetite steady. Global equity markets were positive, with Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's Kospi gaining over 1% each. European markets like the DAX and FTSE also edged higher, while US index futures were modestly in the green. Central banks remain in focus. The US Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at its upcoming meeting, while the European Central Bank has signalled a pause in rate adjustments, despite inflation still undershooting its target. These developments have kept global liquidity relatively stable. On the currency front, the rupee weakened slightly past ₹86 against the dollar, impacted by import-related dollar demand and cautious foreign flows amid oil-related pressure. Domestically, there were no major economic data releases today such as CPI, WPI, or trade balance. However, the Reserve Bank of India is reportedly preparing to absorb excess liquidity through variable rate reverse repo (VRRR) operations, following its recent policy shift and rate cut on June 6. The central bank's stance remains neutral, with inflation projections stable and growth outlook intact for FY26. In summary, today's strong price action—marked by a recovery from early lows, a close above key averages, firm RSI readings, and a bullish derivatives setup—suggests that the market bias remains positive. While the absence of a major breakout warrants some caution near resistance at 25,100, dips are likely to be bought unless global shocks or domestic liquidity changes abruptly shift sentiment. Ankush Bajaj is a Sebi-registered research analyst. His registration number is INH000010441. Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Registration granted by Sebi and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Disclaimer: The views and recommendations given in this article are those of individual analysts. These do not represent the views of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.