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IBM aims for quantum computer in 2029, lays out road map for larger systems

IBM aims for quantum computer in 2029, lays out road map for larger systems

Al Etihad2 days ago

10 June 2025 14:21
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) International Business Machines on Tuesday said it plans to have a practical quantum computer by 2029, and it laid out the detailed steps the company will take to get there.Quantum computers tap into quantum mechanics to solve problems that would take classical computers thousands of years or more. But existing quantum computers must dedicate so much of their computing power to fixing errors that they are not, on net, faster than classical computers.IBM, which also said it aims to have a much larger system by 2033, plans to build the "Starling" quantum computer at a data center under construction in Poughkeepsie, New York, and said it will have about 200 logical qubits. Qubits are the fundamental unit of quantum computing, and 200 qubits would be enough to start showing advantages over classical computers.IBM is chasing quantum computing alongside other tech giants such as Microsoft, Alphabet's Google and Amazon.com, as well as a range of startups that have raised hundreds of millions of dollars in capital.All of them are tackling the same basic problem: Qubits are fast but produce a lot of errors. Scientists can use some of a machine's qubits to correct those errors, but need to have enough left over for doing useful work.IBM changed its approach to that problem in 2019 and says it believes it has landed on a new algorithm that will drastically reduce the number of qubits needed in error correction.In an interview, Jay Gambetta, the vice president in charge of IBM's quantum initiative, said the company's researchers took a different tack than they had historically, when they would work out the scientific theory of an error-correction method and then try to build a chip to match that theory.Instead, IBM's quantum team looked at which chips were practical to build and then came up with an error-correction approach based on those chips. That has given IBM confidence to build a series of systems in between this year and 2027 that will eventually result in larger systems.
"We've answered those science questions. You don't need a miracle now," Gambetta said. "Now you need a grand challenge in engineering. There's no reinvention of tools or anything like that."

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The Path to Large-Scale Fault Tolerance The success of executing an efficient fault-tolerant architecture is dependent on the choice of its error-correcting code, and how the system is designed and built to enable this code to scale. Alternative and previous gold-standard, error-correcting codes present fundamental engineering challenges. To scale, they would require an unfeasible number of physical qubits to create enough logical qubits to perform complex operations – necessitating impractical amounts of infrastructure and control electronics. This renders them unlikely to be able to be implemented beyond small-scale experiments and devices. A practical, large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer requires an architecture that is: Fault-tolerant to suppress enough errors for useful algorithms to succeed. to suppress enough errors for useful algorithms to succeed. Able to prepare and measure logical qubits through computation. through computation. Capable of applying universal instructions to these logical qubits. to these logical qubits. Able to decode measurements from logical qubits in real-time and can alter subsequent instructions. and can alter subsequent instructions. Modular to scale to hundreds or thousands of logical qubits to run more complex algorithms. to scale to hundreds or thousands of logical qubits to run more complex algorithms. Efficient enough to execute meaningful algorithms with realistic physical resources, such as energy and infrastructure. Today, IBM is introducing two new technical papers that detail how it will solve the above criteria to build a large-scale, fault-tolerant architecture. The first paper unveils how such a system will process instructions and run operations effectively with qLDPC codes. This work builds on a groundbreaking approach to error correction featured on the cover of Nature that introduced quantum low-density parity check (qLDPC) codes. This code drastically reduces the number of physical qubits needed for error correction and cuts required overhead by approximately 90 percent, compared to other leading codes. Additionally, it lays out the resources required to reliably run large-scale quantum programs to prove the efficiency of such an architecture over others. The second paper describes how to efficiently decode the information from the physical qubits and charts a path to identify and correct errors in real-time with conventional computing resources. From Roadmap to Reality The new IBM Quantum Roadmap outlines the key technology milestones that will demonstrate and execute the criteria for fault tolerance. Each new processor in the roadmap addresses specific challenges to build quantum systems that are modular, scalable, and error-corrected: IBM Quantum Loon , expected in 2025 , is designed to test architecture components for the qLDPC code, including 'C-couplers' that connect qubits over longer distances within the same chip. , expected in , is designed to test architecture components for the qLDPC code, including 'C-couplers' that connect qubits over longer distances within the same chip. IBM Quantum Kookaburra , expected in 2026 , will be IBM's first modular processor designed to store and process encoded information. It will combine quantum memory with logic operations — the basic building block for scaling fault-tolerant systems beyond a single chip. , expected in , will be IBM's first modular processor designed to store and process encoded information. It will combine quantum memory with logic operations — the basic building block for scaling fault-tolerant systems beyond a single chip. IBM Quantum Cockatoo, expected in 2027, will entangle two Kookaburra modules using 'L-couplers.' This architecture will link quantum chips together like nodes in a larger system, avoiding the need to build impractically large chips. Together, these advancements are being designed to culminate in Starling in 2029.

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