So your beer league teammate is Evgeny Kuznetsov. Yes, that Evgeny Kuznetsov.
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27 minutes ago
- Yahoo
2025-26 NFL betting, odds: 3 betting trends to know for every AFC team
The best team against the spread last season. The most bettor-friendly starting quarterback in the NFL. And the team that has recorded just one season-opening victory in the last 14 years. They all reside in the AFC. So, too, does the franchise that has captured nine consecutive division titles — and another that is mired in the longest postseason dry spell in pro sports. These are among the 48 NFL betting trend nuggets — three for each AFC team — Yahoo Sports unearthed to help put you on the path to profitability for the 2025 season. Shout out to the Sports Odds History database for helping with research on many of them. Team win-total trends, playoff history details, Week 1 point-spread and over/under streaks — all of it (and more) is covered in the following comprehensive report. Happy wagering! AFC East Buffalo Bills • Buffalo is the Super Bowl favorite or co-favorite at multiple North American sportsbooks, with consensus odds ranging from +600 to +700. It's the second time since 2022 — but just the third time since 1992 — the Bills will begin a season atop the Super Bowl futures board. • The Bills enter the 2025 campaign with the NFL's highest projected win total of 12.5 at several sportsbooks. Buffalo has topped its win total in seven of the last eight years, including the last three in a row. However, going back to 1989, the Bills have never exceeded their preseason victory projection in four consecutive seasons. Last time the franchise won 12 or more games in back-to-back years: 1990-91. • Buffalo has won a franchise-record five consecutive AFC East titles and is a massive favorite (-325 at BetMGM) to make it six straight in 2025. Good news for Bills fans: The preseason favorite has won 20 of the last 21 AFC East titles, including 16 in a row. Miami Dolphins • Miami's consensus win total is 7.5. The Dolphins have cleared seven victories each of the last five seasons. • Going back to Week 4 of the 2023 campaign, the Dolphins are 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS as an underdog. Miami is a consensus 1.5-point underdog in Week 1 at Indianapolis. • Since 2007, Miami has opened the season on the road 11 times. The under cashed in 10 in those contests. Consensus total in Week 1 at Indy: 46.5. New England Patriots • New England has failed to beat its win total each of the last three years. Dating back to 1989, the Patriots have never stayed under their win total in four consecutive seasons. Consensus over/under for New England in 2025: 8.5 wins. • The Patriots open the 2025 campaign as a consensus 3-point home favorite against the Raiders. New England has lost four straight games as chalk (all in 2023) and hasn't won a game as a favorite of a field goal or more since Week 11 of the 2022 season. • New England is 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in its last nine games against the Dolphins. The Pats travel to South Florida in Week 2, then host Miami in the regular-season finale. New York Jets • The Jets begin the season with the longest playoff drought in North American professional sports, having not made the postseason since 2010. The chance that streak ends in 2025? Not great. New York's odds to make the playoffs range from +425 to +520. • New York has exceeded its win-total projection just once in the last seven years. What's more, Gang Green has hurdled its 2025 consensus win total of 5.5 just four times since 2014 (11 seasons). • Dating to the start of the 2016 season, the Jets are 11-25 SU and 14-21-1 ATS against AFC East opponents — including 4-14 SU and 5-12-1 ATS against Miami and New England. AFC North Baltimore Ravens • Baltimore's preseason Super Bowl price, which ranges from +600 to +700, is the second shortest in franchise history. (The 2020 squad entered the season as the +500 second choice to win it all.) • The Ravens are coming off back-to-back AFC North titles and are odds-on favorites to win a third straight division crown for the first time since the team was founded in 1996. • Lamar Jackson's regular-season record as Baltimore's starting quarterback: 70-24 SU and 52-40-2 ATS. Jackson's postseason record: 3-5 SU and ATS. On the bright side, the two-time MVP has covered the spread in 12 of 15 games as an underdog in his career. Cincinnati Bengals • Cincinnati, which is projected for 9.5 victories this season, has failed to top its win total in six of the last eight seasons. • Among active quarterbacks who have started at least 20 games, none has a better point-spread winning percentage than the Bengals' Joe Burrow. He's 46-29-1 ATS (61.3%). • Cincinnati is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games against the Browns. However, one of the outliers was a 24-3 defeat at Cleveland as a 1-point favorite in the 2023 opener — one of three consecutive Week 1 losses the Bengals have suffered, all as a favorite. Cincinnati kicks off the 2025 campaign as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Browns. Cleveland Browns • Cleveland tied the New York Giants for the NFL's second-worst point-spread record in 2024 at 4-13. That dismal mark was punctuated by a season-ending six-game SU and ATS losing streak. • The Browns finished 2-6 SU and ATS at home last year after going 11-2 SU and ATS at home from mid-2022 through 2023. • Cleveland, which has a consensus win total of 5.5 in 2025, has fallen short of expectations 13 times in the last 17 years. However, prior to last season's 3-14 debacle, the Browns had cleared 5.5 victories six years in a row. Pittsburgh Steelers • Pittsburgh has gone 21 consecutive seasons without posting a losing record. During this stretch, the six-time Super Bowl champs have cleared their win-total projection 15 times, including each of the last five years. • Since 2006, the Steelers are 27-10 SU and 26-11 ATS against division-rival Cincinnati, including 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS at home. • The under is 8-1 in the last nine Steelers-Ravens meetings (5-0 in Pittsburgh). AFC South Houston Texans • Since 2006, the Texans are 13-5-1 to the over on their preseason win total. • Houston is coming off back-to-back 10-win seasons, the third time in history the franchise has recorded double-digit victories in consecutive campaigns. The Texans have never won 10 or more games in three successive seasons. This year's win-total projection: 9.5. • The Texans are 12-5-1 SU and 12-6 ATS against AFC South rivals since the start of the 2021 season. Indianapolis Colts • Indianapolis is a short home favorite against Miami in Week 1. Noteworthy, because since 2010, the Colts are 1-13-1 SU and 2-12-1 ATS in season openers — including 1-5 SU and ATS at home, and 1-4-1 SU and 0-6 ATS as a favorite. Last time Indy posted a Week 1 victory: 2013. • The Colts have failed to make the playoffs eight times in the last 10 years, including each of the last four. They haven't had a postseason drought of at least five seasons since 1988-94. Indy's odds to reach the playoffs in 2025: +170 to +210. • Indianapolis won the AFC South nine times in 12 seasons from 2003-14, but has since gone a full decade without capturing a division crown. This year, the Colts are the third choice on the AFC South futures board, with odds ranging from +300 to +375. Jacksonville Jaguars • Jacksonville cleared its win-total projection in each of the franchise's first five seasons (1995-99). In 25 years since, the Jaguars have fallen short of their win total 19 times, including 14 of the past 17 seasons. • The Jags have made the playoffs just twice since 2008 (15 seasons). Their odds to qualify for the 2025 postseason range from +165 to +180. • Since the start of 2015, Jacksonville is 16-3-1 ATS against division rival Indianapolis (9-1 ATS at home). This year, the Jaguars and Colts square off in Week 14 (at Jacksonville) and Week 17 (at Indianapolis). Tennessee Titans • No team burned bettors more last season than the Tennessee Titans, who were an NFL-worst 2-15 ATS (0-8 ATS at home). Going back to Week 12 of the 2022 season, Tennessee is 10-28-1 ATS (5-14-1 ATS at home). • The Titans have stayed under their win total for three straight seasons, the first time that's happened since the franchise relocated from Houston to Tennessee in 1997. In its first 25 seasons (1997-2021), Tennessee went 15-8-2 to the over. • The under has cashed in all five of the Titans' Week 1 games this decade. In four of those contests, Tennessee and its opponent combined for 41 points or fewer. Consensus total in the 2025 season opener at Denver: 41.5. AFC West Denver Broncos • Denver went 10-7 last year, easily clearing its preseason win total of 5.5 to halt a 7-0-1 under streak. Prior to that, the Broncos had been on a 10-3 over roll in regard to their win totals (2003-15). This year, Denver is projected for 9.5 wins. • In posting their first winning record in eight years, the 2024 Broncos also returned to the postseason for the first time since winning Super Bowl 50 in 2015. They begin 2025 as a slight favorite (-118 to -140) to make back-to-back playoff appearances. • Denver's season-opening game at Seattle last year barely went over the total, snapping a 5-0 Week 1 under streak. Kansas City Chiefs • Kansas City has won nine consecutive division titles, which is two shy of the NFL record New England established from 2009-19. It's no surprise the Chiefs are odds-on favorites to claim the AFC West again in 2025, with a price ranging from -105 to -120. • The Chiefs have recorded double-digit victories in 10 consecutive years. They also have cleared their win total 10 times in the last 12 seasons. • Since taking over as Kansas City's starting quarterback, Patrick Mahomes is 34-5 against AFC West opponents — but just 17-20-2 ATS. Conversely, Mahomes has delivered for bettors on the rare occasion when he's been an underdog, going 11-2-1 ATS in his career (7-2-1 regular season; 4-0 in playoffs). Las Vegas Raiders • Las Vegas enters 2025 with a win-total projection of 6.5. Despite last year's dreadful 4-13 finish, the franchise has actually registered at least seven victories in six of the last 10 seasons. • In 22 years since losing Super Bowl XXXVII in January 2003, the Raiders have made the playoffs just twice (2016 and 2021). So of course they're a long shot to make a rare postseason appearance this year, with odds ranging from +300 to +330. • In three full seasons running Seattle's offense, new Raiders quarterback Geno Smith went 27-22 SU but just 19-28-2 ATS (5-14-2 ATS as a favorite). Los Angeles Chargers • The Chargers had stayed under their win total in five straight seasons before last year's 11-6 turnaround under first-year coach Jim Harbaugh. Also, their 12-4-1 ATS mark was tops in the NFL in 2024. • Los Angeles has won five of its last six season openers, going 4-1-1 ATS. The Bolts kick off the 2025 campaign as a consensus 2.5-point underdog against Kansas City in Brazil. • The Chargers are 3-19 against the Chiefs dating back to the start of the 2014 season, including an ongoing seven-game losing skid. Four of those seven defeats were by three points or fewer, while another was in overtime.
Yahoo
27 minutes ago
- Yahoo
KOC's NBA schedule takeaways & NFL fantasy sleepers with Danny Heifetz
Subscribe to The Kevin O'Connor Show Apple Podcasts | Spotify | YouTube Kevin O'Connor reacts to the 2025-25 NBA schedule and shares the games he's most excited for this season! Can a revamped Nuggets team challenge the defending champs in OKC? And is the NBA pushing the Chet Holmgren vs. Victor Wembanyama rivalry with home-and-home games at Christmastime? Plus, elite rookie matchups on March 3rd and the biggest 'return' games of the season as KD returns to Oklahoma City and Myles Turner faces Indiana. Next, Kevin is joined by NFL Fantasy Football expert Danny Heifetz to talk 2025 fantasy draft strategy, quarterback sleepers, and rookie wide receivers to target—and avoid. Danny dives into the undervalued impact of running QBs like Justin Fields, and offers a bold sleeper pick for the Arizona Cardinals' Kyler Murray (0:23) 2025 NBA schedule released (11:37) NFL Fantasy Football preview with Danny Heifetz (43:18) Could Knicks win the title THIS season? (54:06) Why don't other teams mimic OKC's process? 🖥️
Yahoo
27 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Nationals designate Nathaniel Lowe for assignment a day after he hit his first-career grand slam
Washington Nationals first baseman Nathaniel Lowe had one of the best games of his seven-year career Wednesday against the Kansas City Royals. Lowe hit his first-career grand slam and reached base two other times in a tight 8-7 win. One day later, Lowe finds himself out of a job. The 30-year-old was designated for assignment Thursday to make room for outfielder Dylan Crews, who returned from an oblique injury. It was a harsh transaction considering Lowe's performance in Wednesday's game. In his first at-bat, Lowe blasted a first-inning grand slam to give the Nationals an early lead. The Royals eventually battled back, making it a back-and-forth game in the late innings. With the Nationals barely clinging to a lead, Lowe produced two walks — one in the seventh and one in the ninth — to keep the team in the game. Lowe's first-inning hit was his first-ever grand slam in the majors. Because of that, and his late-inning walks, Wednesday's game rated as the fifth-best game of Lowe's entire career by win probability added, a stat that measures how much a player's contributions affected a single game. Unfortunately for Lowe, the rest of his season hasn't been as fruitful. Including Wednesday's numbers, Lowe has a .216/.292/.373 slash line in 2025. Given his struggles and his age, he was a logical choice to be shipped out in favor of the 23-year-old Crews. With the Nationals in the midst of yet another tough season, the team needs to focus on finding future solutions. Crews, one of the team's top prospects, was thought to be one of the team's answers, but struggled this season before his injury. Despite Crews' struggles, it makes more sense for the team to allow the 23-year-old to figure things out over the final two months over keeping a 30-year-old veteran who hasn't hit up to his usual standard. One of those guys might help them next season and beyond. Still, that has to sting for Lowe. There's an opportunity for this whole thing to have a happy ending. Lowe could get claimed by a contender and wind up playing meaningful baseball down the stretch. Despite his struggles, Lowe does have an above average 104 wRC+ against righties this season. He could be a useful platoon bat for a team in need of power in the middle of a playoff race.
