Morgan Wallen Could Beat The Weeknd's Record With His New Album
Morgan Wallen's I'm the Problem is projected to debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 with up to ... More 500,000 units, potentially breaking 2025's biggest album launch record. Morgan Wallen performs the song "'98 Braves" at the 2023 Billboard Music Awards at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. The show airs on November 19, 2023 on BBMAs.watch. (Photo by Christopher Polk/Penske Media via Getty Images)
In just a few days, Morgan Wallen will debut his new album I'm the Problem at No. 1 across a variety of Billboard rankings. The full-length is expected to open atop the Billboard 200 with ease, as well as several other tallies. It looks like the country superstar is headed not just for another chart-topper, but one of the biggest starts of 2025 — and he may even be able to break the current record.
I'm the Problem is barrelling straight for the top spot on a number of lists, with upwards of half a million equivalent units shifted. That number comes from HitsDailyDouble, a music industry publication known for accurately predicting not just which titles will hit No. 1 in the U.S., but also how well they will perform. The outlet claims that the country set is likely to start with between 450,000 and 500,000 units, with that total spread across pure purchases and streaming activity.
Currently, the record for the largest album debut of 2025 in America belongs to Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd. The R&B and pop superstar's latest full-length launched atop the Billboard 200 in mid-February with 490,500 equivalent units. Wallen will approach that figure, and there's a chance he could reach or perhaps even beat it — or come close and land just behind the actor and singer.
Sales will likely make up a huge portion of I'm the Problem's first frame, but streaming activity will also definitely play a significant role. Wallen's full-length features 37 tracks, and plays of all of those dozens of cuts will contribute to its cumulative first-week total.
With that many songs and incredible interest in the latest from the genre powerhouse, Wallen could be headed for one of the largest streaming weeks ever by a country album in American history.
Wallen is all but guaranteed to land at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, but he's also likely to conquer a number of other lists. He's guaranteed to lead the Top Country Albums ranking and will likely also dominate the Top Streaming Albums, Top Album Sales, and Vinyl Albums tallies. The question isn't whether Wallen will hit No. 1 — it's how long he'll remain there.
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