
Q1 2025 ZKH Group Ltd Earnings Call
Jin Li; Head of Investor Relations; ZKH Group Ltd
Eric Long Chen; Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; ZKH Group Ltd
Chun Lai; Chief Financial Officer; ZKH Group Ltd
Leo Chiang; Analyst; Deutsche Bank
Xiaodan Zhang; Analyst; CICC
Ella Ji; Analyst; China Renaissance Securities
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to ZKH Group Limited's first-quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Jin Li, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Jin Li
Thank you, operator. Thank you, everyone, and welcome to our call today. Joining us today are Mr. Eric Chen, our Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer; and Ms. Max Lai, our Chief Financial Officer. Before turning the call over to Eric, I'd like to briefly review our safe harbor provisions. Please note that the comments made during today's call represent management's views as of today and may include forward-looking statements. Please refer to our latest safe harbor statement in the earnings release on our IR website. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures for comparison purposes only. Please refer to the earnings release for definitions of these measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results. With that, I will now turn the call over to Eric. Eric, please go ahead.
Eric Long Chen
(spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining our first quarter 2025 earnings conference call for ZKH. In the first quarter, our platforms continue to gain momentum, with the total number of customers exceeding 60,000, representing a 30.3% year-over-year increase. Sales to industry key accounts and regional SME customers both achieved double-digit growth. However, sales to state-owned enterprises or SOEs and central SOE customers declined significantly year-over-year in the first quarter, mainly due to the high comparison base last year and a result of our business optimization initiatives since the second half of 2024. Consequently, our first quarter revenue reached RMB1.94 billion, representing a 4% increase year-over-year. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Regarding margins, our operating loss was approximately RMB80 million, and our net loss was around RMB66 million, representing meaningful improvements of 37.7% and 26.6% year-over-year, respectively. Despite the negative impact -- seasonal impact from the Chinese New Year in January and February, we were able to achieve single-month profitability in March. We would like to emphasize that this achievement was reached despite investments in our US operations and in the absence of government subsidies in the first quarter of this year, unlike the same period last year. This demonstrates that the profitability of our domestic business continues to strengthen at the operational level. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Additionally, our cash flow remains resilient and shows continued improvement. Net cash outflow from operating activities was RMB97 million in the first quarter compared to an outflow of RMB220 million in the same period last year. This continued improvement underscores our strong financial resilience. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Now let's shift our focus to our domestic and global business performance in the first quarter, along with our platform developments and advancements in the use of AI technologies. In the first quarter, we delivered solid, high-quality growth, both domestically and globally. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Starting with our domestic business. Our dual platform strategy aims to meet diverse customer demands. The ZKH platform serves mid- to large-sized enterprise customers, while the GBB platform caters to micro and small businesses through an e-commerce model. ZKH platform experienced strong growth in both sales and customer numbers from our industry key accounts. GMV from these key accounts increased by 19.7% year-over-year with over 20% growth in sectors such as new energy vehicles, electricals, telecommunications and electronics and pharmaceuticals. This success is the result of our targeted efforts to curate and manage industry-specific and customer-specific product pools, leveraging AI to gain deeper insights into customer needs and provide tailored product selection and recommendations, which also helped to increase our wallet share. As enterprise procurement continues to shift online and as we expand our coverage to more ZKH customers, subfactories and enhance our cross-selling capabilities across production lines, we remain confident that our sales to industry key accounts will maintain strong growth momentum. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) For regional SME customers, our region-based service and grid-based staffing strategies yielded positive outcomes. In the first quarter, both sales and customer numbers from regional SME customers on the ZKH platform recorded double-digit growth. Notably, sales in several regions, including Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Fujian provinces, as well as Beijing, each posted more than 20% year-over-year growth. This strong performance was attributable to our enhanced local services for regional customers as well as accelerated factory coverage, market reach, and customer acquisition. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) For SOE and central SOE customers, our sales declined significantly year-over-year in the first quarter, mainly due to the high comparison base in the same period last year and the result of our business optimization initiatives since the second half of last year. As we mentioned during our last earnings call, we have completed these business adjustments, and the impact has gradually tapered off. Our SOE and central SOE business have entered a stabilization phase in the first quarter. We remain confident that, building on our supply chain advantages and proven value we deliver to customers, our SOE and central SOE business will regain growth momentum in the second half of this year. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Regarding gross margin, driven by our optimized procurement costs and rapid GMV growth from our high-margin private label products, both the gross margin of our product sales model, or 1P, and the take rate of our marketplace model, or 3P, on the ZKH platform improved significantly. This marked the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvement in both gross margin and take rate, highlighting our team's strong execution in cost reduction and efficiency enhancement. In the first quarter, the GMV of our private label products exceeded RMB190 million and an increase of approximately 40% year-over-year. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Now let's turn to the GBB platform. Our strategic partnership with Tmall has been fruitful. Since our partnership began in the fourth quarter of last year, GBB has operated eight stores on Tmall as of the end of March. We expect that the total number of stores will reach 24 by the end of this year. In the first quarter, this business segment on Tmall achieved a quarter-over-quarter sales growth of over 260%. Customer growth on GBB platform also accelerated with over 24,000 customers, up 73% year-over-year, benefiting from our strengthened Tmall partnership. As we expanded our store footprint on Tmall to reach more SME and micro businesses, and focused on high-margin MRO categories, our gross margins for GBB platform improved significantly in the first quarter. With more stores lined up to launch and start operations on Tmall this year, we expect to maintain strong growth momentum in our Tmall business across sales, customer base, and gross margin, thereby driving the overall growth of the GBB platform. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Overall, the Chinese MRO market is vast and highly fragmented, with online penetration still at a relatively modest level. We believe China's MRO market offers extensive potential to propel both scale and profitability growth. As for our global expansion, the United States has been our first destination. Our US subsidiary, North Sky, and our US stand-alone website officially launched in December last year. We have implemented a localization strategy in the US market, leveraging our supply chain strengths, offering selected high-value-for-money products, and utilizing innovative technologies to establish a strong presence. By the end of March, the North Sky platform had launched over 500 SKUs across categories such as personal protective equipment, or PPE, hand tools, power tools, packaging, and HVAC systems. Notably, our power tools, hand tools, and PPE categories have steadily risen in Google Search rankings. In the first quarter, both revenue and customer numbers doubled month-over-month. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) In the second half of the year, we plan to launch a mobile app version of our US stand-alone website, while scaling our SKU portfolio beyond 1,500 items to further enhance product coverage and customer experience. Our goal is to provide the world's best MRO offerings across global markets. We have actively initiated global supplier recruitment efforts and, thus far, have secured an array of high-quality suppliers in Southeast Asia, allowing us to flexibly choose sourcing locations based on business needs. As we continue to expand our SKU portfolio, strengthen supply chain capabilities, enhance user experience and foster user mind share. We believe we are well positioned to accelerate our US business growth in the second half of the year. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Moving on to AI technology development and applications. We possess a specialized database of industrial supplies covering 17 million SKUs and over 1 billion industrial product parameters, leveraging our deep industry expertise and our self-developed large language model for industrial supplies. Our goal is to build an end-to-end matrix of AI tools tailored to the industrial supplies vertical with integrated capabilities for delivering tangible outcomes. Over the past two years, we have successfully developed and deployed more than 10 AI-powered applications to improve our internal operational efficiency and enhance customer service capabilities. To illustrate advancements in our operational efficiency, take the order processing scenario as an example. Previously, customer service teams manually entered each order into our system. To optimize this, we have developed the AI Smart Workbench, which seamlessly combines natural language processing with our ERP platform. This innovation enables order creation via simple conversational commands, greatly boosting both efficiency and accuracy. With the implementation of this AI smart workbench, our customer service team has achieved a 60.4% quarter-over-quarter increase in the average number of orders processed per team member in the first quarter. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) On the customer service capabilities front, one notable example is the material standardization and management scenario. Using AI technologies, our AI material management agent can rapidly structure and standardize complex and diverse material descriptions from customers and suppliers. It then generates standardized catalog parameters, enabling one-to-one item coding. What previously required several days of work by multiple team members can now be completed in just a few hours, drastically reducing material sorting and management costs while also improving accuracy. Another example of our enhanced customer service capabilities is the product selection and recommendation scenario. Our AI product recommendation agent deeply analyzes MRO use cases to glean precise insights into customer procurement needs and enables automated management of customer-specific product pools. This has significantly improved the efficiency and accuracy of product selection and recommendation. Since its launch in September 2024, our AI product recommendation agent has analyzed procurement needs and managed product pools for over 200 customers, driving over RMB34 million in revenue growth. This year, we plan to scale up our AI product recommendation agent to cover 14,000 customers, targeting even greater business growth. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Looking ahead, despite external challenges and uncertainties, we believe ZKH has entered a new phase of long-term sustainable growth, underpinned by two years of organizational strengthening and core competency solidification. We are now well-positioned to drive forward with a dual focus on both domestic and international markets, powered by AI and product innovation and anchored in our industry-leading expertise in the MRO sector. Now I will turn the call over to our CFO, Max Lai, to present our financial results. Thank you, everyone.
Chun Lai
Thank you, Eric, and thanks, everyone, for making time to join our earnings call today. I'm pleased to share our financial performance for the last quarter, which reflects a solid start to the year, characterized by resilient revenue growth, improving profitability, and significant enhancement in our operating cash flow. In the past quarter, our total GMV reached RMB2.17 billion. While this marks a modest decline, it is largely due to a high comparison base from last year, which included SOE and central SOE customers' low-margin business with extended credit terms that we have since optimized. When excluding these factors, our underlying GMV maintained robust double-digit year-over-year growth. Notably, we are seeing strong growth in sectors such as new energy vehicles, electronics, telecommunications, and pharmaceuticals. Total net revenues rose 4% year-over-year to RMB1.9 billion, primarily driven by a high single-digit year-over-year increase in product sales revenue. As anticipated, marketplace revenue declined due to the prior year's high comparison base, as mentioned above. This solid top-line performance underscores the enduring strength of our product offering, enhanced supply chain capabilities, and growing customer engagement. Looking ahead, we expect the impact of last year's phase to continue to diminish in the next quarters, positioning us for sustained topline growth. Simultaneously, we are committed to improving operational efficiency, driving elevated business quality and profitability through targeted strategic initiatives, including organizational refinement and AI-driven product innovation. Regarding margins, our gross profit margin slightly decreased to 17.2% from 18% in the prior year period, primarily due to lower revenue contributions from our marketplace model. However, on a GMV basis, our gross profit margin continues to trend upward. Gross profit margin from our product sales model improved with increases of 58 basis points to 16.6% on ZKH platform and 67.5 basis points to 6.2% on GBB platform. And marketplace take rate increased by 235.9 basis points year-over-year to 14%. These gains reflect the effectiveness of strategic business optimization, improved procurement efficiency, and a greater contribution from high-margin private label products. Turning to cost efficiency. Our operating expenses decreased by 10.9% year-over-year to RMB412.9 million, reflecting a reduction across all major expense categories. Notably, this improvement was achieved despite incurring approximately RMB10 million in US-related expenses, which were absent in the last year. This demonstrates our continued commitment to cost discipline and operational efficiency for our domestic operations, driven by streamlined organizational structure and enhanced workforce productivity. As a percentage of total revenue, operating expenses decreased to 21.3%, down from 24.9% year-over-year. Excluding share-based compensation, this ratio improved to 20.5% from 22.4% in the prior year period. Breaking it down further, fulfillment expenses were RMB93.3 million, a 4.2% year-over-year decrease, primarily due to reduced employee benefits and warehouse rental costs. Sales and marketing expenses declined by 16.6% to RMB136.8 million, primarily attributable to lower employee benefits and travel-related spending. R&D expenses remained stable at RMB39.6 million, down slightly by 0.6% year-over-year as savings in employee benefits were offset by increased spending on technology and information services. General and administrative expenses were RMB143.2 million, down 11.8% year-over-year, mainly reflecting lower share-based compensation, partially offset by higher employee benefits. It is worth noting that our G&A expenses also include employee benefits for product line personnel as well as other product line-related costs, which support the development and enhancement of our product competitiveness. As a result, our profitability metrics showed significant improvement. Loss from operation narrowed to RMB80.8 million from RMB129.6 million, with margin improving to 4.2% from 7%. This reflects a substantial enhancement in our operating level profitability. We also delivered meaningful improvement in operating cash flow, with outflow reduced to RMB97.1 million compared to RMB224.3 million in the prior year period. This reduction is a testament to our narrowed losses and effective working capital management, bolstered by improved capital utilization and operational execution. In summary, the above-mentioned results validate the strength of our strategy and effectiveness of our execution. We are progressing towards our 2025 goals with discipline and strategic focus, supported by enhancements in business quality and steady margin improvement. We believe that as we expand our product portfolio, deepen supply chain integration, and implement AI technologies across our operations, we are well-positioned to enhance our market penetration and accelerate global expansion, delivering long-term value for our customers, merchants, partners, and shareholders. Thank you for your attention. I look forward to your questions.
Operator
(Operator instructions) Leo Chiang, Deutsche Bank.
Leo Chiang
(spoken in Chinese) I will translate myself. So I have two questions. My first question is that could management share what are the impacts from tariffs on your domestic and the US business, respectively, and the measures taken by the company? My second question is that, is there a timeline for entering new markets beyond the US, such as Europe? Thank you.
Eric Long Chen
(spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) Thank you very much for that question. I think the US tariffs, when it comes to our overseas business, is not really a negative piece of news. In some sense, it's actually a tailwind for us to expand our US business. We believe all of the changes in the market and in the prices offer new opportunities for us. Specifically, there's two things. Firstly, the US does not produce MROs themselves. They primarily need to import from geographies like China and Southeast Asia. And in order to tackle potential changes, we had already prepared a lot of suppliers or built up this reserve of suppliers way back when from ex-China markets, especially Southeast Asia. And now, because of that preparation, we are able to source accordingly based on business needs. So that's very important for us. And this also goes to show that in the MRO business as an intermediary or as a channel or marketplace, when there's uncertainties in the market, we can actually act to become more proactive and take more initiative and have more flexibility. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) So the US is our first step in our overseas -- in our foray into overseas markets, and we currently have 500 SKUs available there. More will be coming soon. And with these SKUs being available, we can use this as a base to sell into other geographies like Europe and Canada. Starting the second half of this year, we will start our business in Europe, and we are already in the preparatory phase for that. And when it comes to the European market, there's two aspects. One is online, the other is offline. So, for online, we will be able to cover the entire Europe by selling via e-commerce. And with offline, we will be focusing on two countries, Germany and Hungary. So basically, some Chinese companies already have a presence in those countries, and we will first serve those Chinese customers of ours there in those countries. And Germany already has a very advanced MRO business. And in terms of other geographies, Southeast Asia, we started our business in Southeast Asia. Our company in Thailand has finished registration and started operations. And as we said before in other earnings calls, Southeast Asia, in the short term, we will be serving Chinese companies that have set up a footprint there first. (spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) So that was actually my answer to your question. Thank you.
Operator
Mr. Chiang, is there a follow-up to your question?
Leo Chiang
No, that was the answer to the question, said Mr. Chen.
Operator
Xiaodan Zhang, CICC.
Xiaodan Zhang
(spoken in Chinese) So thanks for taking my questions. And could you please share some updates on this year's product strategy, including the key product categories to be developed as well as your private label brands? Thank you.
Eric Long Chen
(spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) We currently have 32 product lines spanning across five categories, and they are spare parts, chemicals, processing, manufacturing, general consumables, and administrative materials. 2025, we'll be focusing on existing lines while adding more categories and SKUs. As an MRO company, we will be focusing on industrial-grade MRO products, including spare parts, chemicals, processing, and manufacturing pieces. And we will also particularly strengthen the development of our private labels this year. When it comes to private labels for us, it's not just about product selection. In a lot of cases, we will be proactively engaged in the R&D and design side of things to enhance our absolute competitiveness in China. And also, at the same time, these private labels will serve as a strong support for our overseas business development. And also, this year, particularly, we'll be focusing on chemicals and the processing and manufacturing. Chemicals are traditionally our forte, and we will further enhance its development.
Operator
Xiaodan, is there a follow-up to your question? Have answered the question?
Xiaodan Zhang
No further questions. Thank you.
Operator
Ella Ji, China Renaissance.
Ella Ji
(spoken in Chinese) So my question is if management can share with us some updates regarding the company's business and the financial outlook for the upcoming quarters. Thank you.
Eric Long Chen
(spoken in Chinese) (interpreted) So For Q1, we achieved our planned targets. We actually slightly outperformed our targets. And like was mentioned earlier, our adjustment and optimization when it comes to the business with SOEs and central SOEs is pretty much finished. So, we foresee for the next three quarters, things will start to gradually accelerate. And for Q2 through Q4, especially for Q3 and Q4, we hope to achieve double-digit growth for GMV. Profitability-wise, we believe Q2 will see single-quarter breakeven. Q3 and Q4 will see positive profitability. And for the entire year '25, GMV will be positive year-over-year. And the domestic business will see positive profitability. And as for the entire group, so domestic plus overseas business, things will break even for the entire year 2025. That was my answer. Thank you.
Operator
And that concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for any additional or closing comments.
Jin Li
Thank you once again for joining us today. You can find the webcast of today's call on ir.zkh.com. If you have any further questions, please feel free to contact us. Our contact information can be found in today's press release. Thank you and have a great day.
Operator
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Portions of this transcript that are marked (interpreted) were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call. The interpreter was provided by the company sponsoring this event.
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'We want the rare earths, the magnets that are crucial for cell phones and everything else to flow just as they did before the beginning of April, and we don't want any technical details slowing that down,' Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council at the White House, said Sunday on CBS's Face the Nation. 'And that's clear to them.' US-China tensions rose this year after Trump raised tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering retaliation from Beijing. The Geneva deal was meant to ease tariff tensions, but talks stalled as both sides blamed each other. The US criticized a drop in Chinese exports of rare earth magnets and China pushed back on US curbs targeting AI chips and student visas. In London, US officials, which include Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will meet with Vice Premier He Lifeng. According to a report in Bloomberg on Monday, Lutnick's presence suggests the US may review some tech restrictions. The recent Trump-Xi call brought hope if lower tariffs, but investor confidence remains cautious. As of today, the US has only secured one new trade deal — with the UK. A startup that assembles one of its smartphones entirely in the US says it's possible for a company like Apple to do the same and not incur prohibitive costs, but it's not easy and would take several years of focused effort, Fortune reports: At least one expert in the UK believes Prime Minister Keir Starmer may have unrealistic expectations about a trade deal with President Donald Trump and the US, Bloomberg reports: Read more here President Donald Trump has come up short on striking trade deals with most nations with just one month left before his self-imposed tariff deadline, even as he took his first steps in weeks toward engaging with China. Trump secured a much-desired call with Chinese President Xi Jinping, paving the way for a new round of talks on Monday in London — yet the diplomacy was overshadowed by a blowout public fight between Trump and his billionaire onetime ally, Elon Musk. Trump's aides insisted Friday that the president was moving on and focused on his economic agenda. Still, question marks remain over the US's most consequential trade relationships, with few tangible signs of progress toward interim agreements. Read more here Bloomberg reports: Read more here. President Trump said a new round of trade talks between the US and China would start Monday, a day after he spoke with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Trump said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer would lead talks for the US. "The meeting should go very well," Trump predicted. Bessent led the last round of talks in Geneva, which led to a tariff truce that sent markets soaring. That truce has come under strain in recent weeks over various trade and other thorny issues, including China's curbs on rare earth mineral exports and US chip curbs. Bet you were wondering how long we could go before mentioning Elon Musk's feud with President Trump in this blog (lots more on that here, here, and here). Yes, the remarkable back and forth included Trump threatening Musk's government contracts — and Musk seeming to agree with a call to impeach Trump, while also throwing in an "Epstein files" mention. But as Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul details, Musk is now going to war with many of the biggest pillars of Trump's agenda. There was a tariff mention as part of that. Specifically, Musk not only criticized the tariffs — he's now on record saying he thinks they will cause a recession this year. As Ben writes: Read more here. Trade talks between the US and India were set to wrap up this Friday, but now they are being extended into next week as officials on both sides aim to work out an interim deal before a July 9 deadline. Indian government sources said the discussions, which have focused on tariff cuts in the farming and auto sectors, will continue next Monday and Tuesday. President Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi are looking to double trade by 2030 and cement a trade pact by fall 2025. Reuters reports: Read more here. US and Chinese officials exchanged jabs at an event held by the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) in Shanghai on Friday, as the chamber appealed for more clarity for American businesses operating in China. Reuters reports: Read more here. India's Tata Steel has warned that it might be excluded from tariff-free access to the US under the UK's trade agreement with the Trump administration. This exclusion risks putting more than $180M worth of annual exports at risk. The FT reports: Read more here. Two of the largest economies in the euro zone saw industrial production decline in the first month of President Trump's sweeping tariffs, indicating a economic slowdown after a stronger-than-expected year, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal on Friday. Wall Street Journal: Read more here. The EU said on Friday that it is open to reducing tariffs on US fertiliser imports as a trade bargaining tool in talks with the Trump administration. However, the EU said it would not weaken its food safety standards in pursuit of a deal. EU agriculture commissioner Christophe Hansen told Reuters: "That is definitely an option," Hansen said, of reducing US fertiliser tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. If car buyers think they will be able to beat President Trump's tariffs, they should think again. The trade war has already led to an increase in US auto prices and some of these hikes are invisible to consumers. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. According to a survey conducted by the American Chamber of Commerce in China, most US firms with operations in china are not budging. The survey revealed that some US don't want to leave the country and in fact would ramp up production in China, despite the the challenges posed by tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. We know what President Trump wants in trade discussions with China. But what does China's Xi Jinping want? Bloomberg News reports Read more here. Both the US and China are using their control over key materials in a deepening trade war standoff. On Friday, Bloomberg reported that Washington is restricting ethane shipments, a gas China heavily relies on for plastics production. This follows Washingtons block on chip exports to China. 'Ethane is no longer just a byproduct of shale — it's now a geopolitical weapon,' said Julian Renton, lead analyst covering natural gas liquids at East Daley Analytics. 'China bet billions building infrastructure around US ethane, and Washington is now questioning whether that bet should continue to pay off.' But the US is not the only one weaponising their grip on vital materials. China has tightened control on rare earths, a crucial element used for technology products. However, on Thursday President Trump got a commitment from China to restore flow of rare earth magnets. These moves by the US and China marks a shift toward using strategic resources as leverage. The US is keen to strike a firm deal with China on rare earths exports as both sides resume talks in London today. Reuters reports: Read more here. Global auto companies are hoping that trade talks between the US and China on Monday could help fast track rare earth exports from China, which are desperately needed. Reuters reports: Read more here. Outbound shipments of rare earths in May from China rose 23% on the month to their highest in a year, despite Beijing's export curbs on some of the critical minerals prevented some overseas sales, with shortages impacting global manufacturing. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Chinese exports rose less than expected last month, held back by the biggest drop in shipments to the US in over five years, despite strong demand from other markets. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. The US and China will restart trade talks in London on Monday after President Trump and Xi spoke last week. The two sides have accused each other of breaking a May deal in Geneva to pause tariff hikes above 100%. Trump, after agreeing with Xi to resume critical mineral flows, said he expects the talks to go "very well." 'We want the rare earths, the magnets that are crucial for cell phones and everything else to flow just as they did before the beginning of April, and we don't want any technical details slowing that down,' Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council at the White House, said Sunday on CBS's Face the Nation. 'And that's clear to them.' US-China tensions rose this year after Trump raised tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering retaliation from Beijing. The Geneva deal was meant to ease tariff tensions, but talks stalled as both sides blamed each other. The US criticized a drop in Chinese exports of rare earth magnets and China pushed back on US curbs targeting AI chips and student visas. In London, US officials, which include Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will meet with Vice Premier He Lifeng. According to a report in Bloomberg on Monday, Lutnick's presence suggests the US may review some tech restrictions. The recent Trump-Xi call brought hope if lower tariffs, but investor confidence remains cautious. As of today, the US has only secured one new trade deal — with the UK. A startup that assembles one of its smartphones entirely in the US says it's possible for a company like Apple to do the same and not incur prohibitive costs, but it's not easy and would take several years of focused effort, Fortune reports: At least one expert in the UK believes Prime Minister Keir Starmer may have unrealistic expectations about a trade deal with President Donald Trump and the US, Bloomberg reports: Read more here President Donald Trump has come up short on striking trade deals with most nations with just one month left before his self-imposed tariff deadline, even as he took his first steps in weeks toward engaging with China. Trump secured a much-desired call with Chinese President Xi Jinping, paving the way for a new round of talks on Monday in London — yet the diplomacy was overshadowed by a blowout public fight between Trump and his billionaire onetime ally, Elon Musk. Trump's aides insisted Friday that the president was moving on and focused on his economic agenda. Still, question marks remain over the US's most consequential trade relationships, with few tangible signs of progress toward interim agreements. Read more here Bloomberg reports: Read more here. President Trump said a new round of trade talks between the US and China would start Monday, a day after he spoke with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Trump said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer would lead talks for the US. "The meeting should go very well," Trump predicted. Bessent led the last round of talks in Geneva, which led to a tariff truce that sent markets soaring. That truce has come under strain in recent weeks over various trade and other thorny issues, including China's curbs on rare earth mineral exports and US chip curbs. Bet you were wondering how long we could go before mentioning Elon Musk's feud with President Trump in this blog (lots more on that here, here, and here). Yes, the remarkable back and forth included Trump threatening Musk's government contracts — and Musk seeming to agree with a call to impeach Trump, while also throwing in an "Epstein files" mention. But as Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul details, Musk is now going to war with many of the biggest pillars of Trump's agenda. There was a tariff mention as part of that. Specifically, Musk not only criticized the tariffs — he's now on record saying he thinks they will cause a recession this year. As Ben writes: Read more here. Trade talks between the US and India were set to wrap up this Friday, but now they are being extended into next week as officials on both sides aim to work out an interim deal before a July 9 deadline. Indian government sources said the discussions, which have focused on tariff cuts in the farming and auto sectors, will continue next Monday and Tuesday. President Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi are looking to double trade by 2030 and cement a trade pact by fall 2025. Reuters reports: Read more here. US and Chinese officials exchanged jabs at an event held by the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) in Shanghai on Friday, as the chamber appealed for more clarity for American businesses operating in China. Reuters reports: Read more here. India's Tata Steel has warned that it might be excluded from tariff-free access to the US under the UK's trade agreement with the Trump administration. This exclusion risks putting more than $180M worth of annual exports at risk. The FT reports: Read more here. Two of the largest economies in the euro zone saw industrial production decline in the first month of President Trump's sweeping tariffs, indicating a economic slowdown after a stronger-than-expected year, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal on Friday. Wall Street Journal: Read more here. The EU said on Friday that it is open to reducing tariffs on US fertiliser imports as a trade bargaining tool in talks with the Trump administration. However, the EU said it would not weaken its food safety standards in pursuit of a deal. EU agriculture commissioner Christophe Hansen told Reuters: "That is definitely an option," Hansen said, of reducing US fertiliser tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. If car buyers think they will be able to beat President Trump's tariffs, they should think again. The trade war has already led to an increase in US auto prices and some of these hikes are invisible to consumers. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. According to a survey conducted by the American Chamber of Commerce in China, most US firms with operations in china are not budging. The survey revealed that some US don't want to leave the country and in fact would ramp up production in China, despite the the challenges posed by tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. We know what President Trump wants in trade discussions with China. But what does China's Xi Jinping want? Bloomberg News reports Read more here. Both the US and China are using their control over key materials in a deepening trade war standoff. On Friday, Bloomberg reported that Washington is restricting ethane shipments, a gas China heavily relies on for plastics production. This follows Washingtons block on chip exports to China. 'Ethane is no longer just a byproduct of shale — it's now a geopolitical weapon,' said Julian Renton, lead analyst covering natural gas liquids at East Daley Analytics. 'China bet billions building infrastructure around US ethane, and Washington is now questioning whether that bet should continue to pay off.' But the US is not the only one weaponising their grip on vital materials. China has tightened control on rare earths, a crucial element used for technology products. However, on Thursday President Trump got a commitment from China to restore flow of rare earth magnets. These moves by the US and China marks a shift toward using strategic resources as leverage. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data