Two or three typhoons possible in Guam and CNMI for the rest of 2025
NOAA's western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone (TC) Outlook for the remainder of 2025.
Photo:
NOAA
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting two or three typhoons for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan for the rest of this year.
Below-normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is forecast for the Federated States of Micronesia and the Marshall Islands; and near-normal activity for Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Yap State and Palau.
The NOAA,
in its report
, stated the outlook is a general guide to the predicted, overall cyclone activity across the US-affiliated Pacific islands, and does not indicate how many of these systems will actually make landfall.
However, it does provide a general idea of how many tropical storms and/or typhoons could affect a specific island or a group of islands across Micronesia, with peripheral effects such as strong damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and/or storm surge/inundation.
"Although TC activity peaks around September-November for many regional locations, TCs can occur throughout the year across the western North Pacific," the report said.
Photo:
NOAA
A typhoon is defined as a storm with maximum sustained winds of 74mph (119km/h).
The areas with the likelihood of the most typhoons for the rest of 2025 - two or three - are Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan; and the Northern CNMI with one to three predicted.
Pacific Daily News
reported Marcus Aydlett, warning coordination meteorologist at NWS Guam, saying the late 2024 and early 2025 La Nina weather pattern has ended, shifting into El Niño-Southern Oscillation-neutral (ENSO-neutral) pattern.
With the shift, storm formation is expected to move slightly to the east as compared with 2024.
"Basin-wide TC activity typically shifts eastward in El Niño years, and westward during La Niña years," the NOAA report said.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
1News
5 days ago
- 1News
Stunning aurora may dazzle southern skies again tonight
An aurora that lit up the South Island and reached as far north as Auckland last night could make another appearance on Monday night, though it's not expected to be visible as far north this time. Aurora over Houghton Bay, Wellington on June 1, 2025. (Source: Allan Scadden) South Islanders witnessed the light show earlier on Sunday night, while some North Islanders were also said to be experiencing the spectacle. Aurora over Auckland Muriwai Beach. (Source: Michael Schollum) Yesterday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Centre predicted the phenomenon was expected to be seen overnight and continuing into Monday. ADVERTISEMENT Photo taken in Dunedin. (Source: Amy Rankin) Predicting the exact timing and intensity was difficult, NOAA said, but it had the potential to become a "significant geomagnetic storm", though not on par with the May 2024 event. Aurora from Methven, Canterbury (Source: Taylor Harmer) The sun is currently at the peak of its 11-year activity cycle when there are more solar storms, aurorae and sunspots. Photo taken in Kaikōura Peninsula. (Source: Sai Shankar) Astronomer Rob Davison told 1News in May last year that there were a few key things to remember for anyone hoping to catch a glimpse of an aurora. "Increased solar activity improves the chances of a good auroral display, but it does not guarantee it," he said. ADVERTISEMENT (Source: Sam Sword.) "Aurorae can also peak and then disappear in a relatively short amount of time. "Getting as far south and as far away from light pollution as possible will improve your chances. Photo taken in Dunedin. (Source: Rich Watt) "People should also remember to wrap up warm, as they may need to be outside for some time while their eyes adjust to the dark and while they wait for the peak of any display to appear." Photo taken from Kuri Bush, Dunedin. (Source: Cheryl Moeke) (Source: Aleisha Smith) Photo taken in Invercargill. (Source: Melissa Shuttleworth)
1News
6 days ago
- 1News
Photos: Aurora lights up night sky across New Zealand
An aurora dazzled South Islanders and was later visible across parts of New Zealand as far north as Auckland last night. Aurora over Houghton Bay, Wellington on June 1, 2025. (Source: Allan Scadden) South Islanders reportedly witnessed the light show earlier on Sunday night, while some North Islanders were also said to be experiencing the spectacle. Aurora over Auckland Muriwai Beach. (Source: Michael Schollum) Yesterday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Centre predicted the phenomenon was expected to be seen overnight. ADVERTISEMENT Photo taken in Dunedin. (Source: Amy Rankin) Predicting the exact timing and intensity was difficult, NOAA said, but it had the potential to become a "significant geomagnetic storm", though not on par with the May 2024 event. Aurora from Methven, Canterbury (Source: Taylor Harmer) The sun is currently at the peak of its 11-year activity cycle when there are more solar storms, aurorae and sunspots. Photo taken in Kaikōura Peninsula. (Source: Sai Shankar) Astronomer Rob Davison told 1News in May last year that there were a few key things to remember for anyone hoping to catch a glimpse of an aurora. "Increased solar activity improves the chances of a good auroral display, but it does not guarantee it," he said. ADVERTISEMENT (Source: Sam Sword.) "Aurorae can also peak and then disappear in a relatively short amount of time. "Getting as far south and as far away from light pollution as possible will improve your chances. Photo taken in Dunedin. (Source: Rich Watt) "People should also remember to wrap up warm, as they may need to be outside for some time while their eyes adjust to the dark and while they wait for the peak of any display to appear." Photo taken from Kuri Bush, Dunedin. (Source: Cheryl Moeke) (Source: Aleisha Smith) Photo taken in Invercargill. (Source: Melissa Shuttleworth)
1News
7 days ago
- 1News
Daniel Corbett's winter outlook: Get ready for a wild ride
This winter could bring a bit of everything on to our table. It will be like grabbing the extra big plate at the smorgasbord to get a sample of everything from the buffet. The season's weather will feature lots of variety - from the risk of heavy extreme rainfall to Antarctic cold and some fine settled days in between. This variety will be the key feature because there's no set driving force to the weather over the next few months. Instead, we will have lots of factors jostling for space on our weather maps each week. Watch Daniel Corbett's winter outlook on TVNZ+ The main driver that can influence our weather is ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation – which has now tilted back to the middle of the scale. That puts us midway between the La Nina of last year and El Nino at neutral. ADVERTISEMENT In a meteorological sense that means the Pacific Ocean, instead of being too warm or too cold, is just in the middle. Iin other words, rather than a predominant El Nino which pushes westerly winds across New Zealand, or more easterlies with a La Nina, we could have both - if not other wind directions too. The big pink elephant in the room leading into winter is the warmer than normal seas around New Zealand, and many of the areas surrounding us, that help produce our weather systems. They are currently running 1-4C above normal. Sea temperatures are generally above average currently. Courtesy NOAA. (Source: Supplied) Our warming planet has been making this quite commonplace these days. Think of warmer seas like that hotter tub of bath water with rising steam coming off it. It has more rising air because of the warmer water, which can lead to more vertical motion to help create clouds and weather systems. Warm seas ADVERTISEMENT The extreme rainfall events in Nelson and at Taree in New South Wales are very recent memories but they're also a good reminder of the stacked deck of cards that the weather now throws our way during heavy rain events. The warm seas, a more significant feed of juicy air from the tropics, and the right conditions for low pressure development combined often play a part in these rainfall events. As a result, more extreme rainfall events may not be out of the realm of possibilities again over winter. With this mix of different types of weather during the season, the extra thick merino as well as the sunglasses and thinner layers will all come in handy. Of course, the raincoats will also be a big go-to at times. Overall, the winter will be warmer than normal thanks to the surrounding seas but that won't completely keep outbreaks of cold air from making a visit at times too. This will especially be the case when a lobe of the all too familiar Polar Vortex rotates into the Southern Ocean. Brrr! The skiers might find some decent snowfall on occasion too with the right moisture feed coinciding with these cold surges. So, get ready for winter - it looks like it could be a wild ride. ADVERTISEMENT Watch Daniel Corbett's winter outlook on TVNZ+
