Latest news with #tropicalCyclone
RNZ News
25-05-2025
- Climate
- RNZ News
Two or three typhoons possible in Guam and CNMI for the rest of 2025
NOAA's western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone (TC) Outlook for the remainder of 2025. Photo: NOAA The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting two or three typhoons for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan for the rest of this year. Below-normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is forecast for the Federated States of Micronesia and the Marshall Islands; and near-normal activity for Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Yap State and Palau. The NOAA, in its report , stated the outlook is a general guide to the predicted, overall cyclone activity across the US-affiliated Pacific islands, and does not indicate how many of these systems will actually make landfall. However, it does provide a general idea of how many tropical storms and/or typhoons could affect a specific island or a group of islands across Micronesia, with peripheral effects such as strong damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and/or storm surge/inundation. "Although TC activity peaks around September-November for many regional locations, TCs can occur throughout the year across the western North Pacific," the report said. Photo: NOAA A typhoon is defined as a storm with maximum sustained winds of 74mph (119km/h). The areas with the likelihood of the most typhoons for the rest of 2025 - two or three - are Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan; and the Northern CNMI with one to three predicted. Pacific Daily News reported Marcus Aydlett, warning coordination meteorologist at NWS Guam, saying the late 2024 and early 2025 La Nina weather pattern has ended, shifting into El Niño-Southern Oscillation-neutral (ENSO-neutral) pattern. With the shift, storm formation is expected to move slightly to the east as compared with 2024. "Basin-wide TC activity typically shifts eastward in El Niño years, and westward during La Niña years," the NOAA report said.
RNZ News
25-05-2025
- Climate
- RNZ News
Two or three typhoons possible in Guam and north CNMI for the rest of 2025
NOAA's western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone (TC) Outlook for the remainder of 2025. Photo: NOAA The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting two or three typhoons for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan for the rest of this year. Below-normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is forecast for the Federated States of Micronesia and the Marshall Islands; and near-normal activity for Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Yap State and Palau. The NOAA, in its report , stated the outlook is a general guide to the predicted, overall cyclone activity across the US-affiliated Pacific islands, and does not indicate how many of these systems will actually make landfall. However, it does provide a general idea of how many tropical storms and/or typhoons could affect a specific island or a group of islands across Micronesia, with peripheral effects such as strong damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and/or storm surge/inundation. "Although TC activity peaks around September-November for many regional locations, TCs can occur throughout the year across the western North Pacific," the report said. Photo: NOAA A typhoon is defined as a storm with maximum sustained winds of 74mph (119km/h). The areas with the likelihood of the most typhoons for the rest of 2025 - two or three - are Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan; and the Northern CNMI with one to three predicted. Pacific Daily News reported Marcus Aydlett, warning coordination meteorologist at NWS Guam, saying the late 2024 and early 2025 La Nina weather pattern has ended, shifting into El Niño-Southern Oscillation-neutral (ENSO-neutral) pattern. With the shift, storm formation is expected to move slightly to the east as compared with 2024. "Basin-wide TC activity typically shifts eastward in El Niño years, and westward during La Niña years," the NOAA report said.
Yahoo
19-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
'Unusual' Pattern Noticed Ahead of Hurricane Season
A rare calm has settled over the Northern Hemisphere just weeks before the official start of hurricane season, and forecasters are watching closely. As of May 16, not a single tropical cyclone has formed anywhere north of the equator. Something that's only happened five other times since 1950. According to meteorologist Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University, on average 3.5 storms would have already formed by this point in the year. The drought includes all tropical systems—hurricanes, typhoons, and cyclones—in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. While the Atlantic and eastern Pacific are often quiet in early May, the lack of activity in the western Pacific is what makes this year stand out. That region typically kickstarts the tropical storm season, but unusual wind patterns near the Philippines have created anti-cyclonic flow, a condition that suppresses storm last time the season started this slowly was 2024. That year eventually produced 58 named storms, which is slightly below the long-term average of 62. Other years with this rare pattern (1973, 1983, 1984, and 1998) also ended with below-normal totals. So, is this a good sign? Not necessarily. In 1973, the first storm didn't form until June 2—still the record for the latest first storm in the Northern Hemisphere. And quiet beginnings don't always mean mild endings. 'It's too early to tell,' Klotzbach told USA Today. Meanwhile, the Southern Hemisphere has seen a busier-than-average season, with 31 named storms compared to the typical 25. That contrast underscores how variable global storm patterns can be. Forecasters say that while the Atlantic and Gulf regions remain quiet for now, the calm may not last. Some recent hurricane outlooks suggest the quiet won't last — and that conditions could turn dangerous soon.
