18 dead in India stampede to catch trains to Hindu mega-festival
The Kumbh Mela attracts tens of millions of Hindu faithful every 12 years to the northern city of Prayagraj, and has a history of crowd-related disasters -- including one last month, when at least 30 people died in another stampede at the holy confluence of the Ganges, Yamuna and the mythical Saraswati rivers.
The rush at the train station in New Delhi appeared to break out Saturday as crowds struggled to board trains for the ongoing event, which will end on February 26.
"I can confirm 15 deaths at the hospital. They don't have any open injury. Most (likely died from) hypoxia or maybe some blunt injury but that would only be confirmed after an autopsy," Dr Ritu Saxena, deputy medical superintendent of Lok Nayak Hospital in New Delhi told AFP.
"There are also 11 others who are injured. Most of them are stable and have orthopaedic injuries," she said.
Broadcaster NDTV reported three more dead from the stampede quoting an official of another hospital in the city.
Those dead were mostly women and children.
"I have been working as a coolie since 1981, but I never saw a crowd like this before," the Times of India newspaper quoted a porter at the railway station as saying.
"People started colliding and fell on the escalator and stairs" when platform for a special train departing for Prayagraj was suddenly shifted, the porter said.
Railways minister Ashwini Vaishnaw said a "high-level inquiry" had been ordered into the causes of the accident.
- 'Doing our best' -
Vaishnaw said additional special trains were being run from New Delhi to clear the rush of devotees.
Undeterred by the accident crowds of devotees continued to throng the railway station on Sunday with more police and railway protection forces deployed to control the flow of passengers.
"We are operating an unprecedented and record number of special trains for the ease of passengers," railways official Himanshu Shekhar Upadhyay told reporters. "We are doing our best."
Opposition parties, however, criticised travel arrangements for the mega-festival and blamed the government for attempting a coverup, after they denied for hours that a stampede had occurred.
"They are worried about their image at the cost of the faith of crores of people who are visiting Maha Kumbh... There is no arrangement," opposition Congress party leader Pawan Khera told ANI news agency.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi said he was "distressed" by the stampede.
"My thoughts are with all those who have lost their loved ones. I pray that the injured have a speedy recovery," Modi wrote on X.
The governor of the capital territory Delhi, Vinai Kumar Saxena said disaster management personnel had been told to deploy and "all hospitals are in readiness to address related exigencies."
The six-week Kumbh Mela is the single biggest milestone on the Hindu religious calendar, and officials said around 500 million devotees have already visited the festival since it began last month.
More than 400 people died after they were trampled or drowned on a single day of the festival in 1954, one of the largest tolls in a crowd-related disaster globally.
Another 36 people were crushed to death in 2013, the last time the full festival was staged in Prayagraj.
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05-08-2025
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What happens when we lose global health data?
is a fellow for Future Perfect. He reports on global health, science, and biomedicine, focusing on how policies and systems shape progress. A census enumerator, right, talks with a Maasai woman during the population and housing census, the first time being conducted digitally, at a village in Engikaret on August 23, 2022. AFP via Getty Images When President Donald Trump and Elon Musk fed the US Agency for International Development into the wood chipper earlier this year, one of the lesser-known casualties was the shutdown of an obscure but crucial program that tracked public health information on about half of the world's nations. For nearly 40 years, the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program has served as the world's health report card. In that time, it has carried out over 400 nationally representative surveys in more than 90 countries, capturing a wide range of vital signs such as maternal and child health, nutrition, education levels, access to water and sanitation, and the prevalence of diseases like HIV and malaria. Taken together, it offered perhaps the clearest picture ever compiled of global health. And that clarity came from how rigorous these surveys were. Each one started with a globally vetted blueprint of questions, used by hundreds of trained local surveyors who went door-to-door, conducting face-to-face interviews in people's homes. The final, anonymized data was then processed by a single contractor ICF International, a private consulting firm based in Reston, Virginia, which made the results standardized and comparable across countries and over time. Its data powered global estimates from institutions like the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which in turn shaped public health policy, research, and funding decisions around the world. 'If DHS didn't exist, comparing anemia across countries would be a PhD thesis,' said Doug Johnson, a senior statistician at the nonprofit IDinsight. Crucially, DHS also tracked things few other systems touched, like gender-based violence, women's autonomy, and attitudes toward domestic abuse. Doctor's offices aren't representative and only capture folks who can access a formal health care system. Also, since DHS data is anonymized, unlike a police report, responders don't have to fear intervention if they don't want it. 'You can't get answers from other sources to sensitive questions like the ones DHS posed,' said Haoyi Chen from the UN Statistics Division, pointing to one example: Is a husband justified in beating his wife if she burns the food? Then, earlier this year, DHS was shut down. The decision came as part of the Rescissions Act of 2025, a bill passed in June that clawed back $9.4 billion from foreign aid and other programs. Eliminating DHS saved the government some $47 million a year — only about 0.1 percent of the total US aid budget, or half the cost of a single F-35 fighter jet. Future Perfect Explore the big, complicated problems the world faces and the most efficient ways to solve them. Sent twice a week. Email (required) Sign Up By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Notice . This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. That tiny budget cut has had immediate consequences. The move halted around 24 in-progress country surveys – 10 of which were just short of final publication, and three in Ethiopia, Guinea, and Uganda that were stopped mid-fieldwork. The program's public-facing website remains up, but the machinery behind it is gone. 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Advocates used that as evidence to successfully push local governments to strengthen their laws against the practice. There will also be long-term damage. When governments or aid organizations can no longer see exactly where children are malnourished, where malaria outbreaks are quietly spreading, or where mothers are dying in childbirth, they can't effectively target life-saving interventions, leaving the most vulnerable populations to pay the price. For 24 countries, including the Democratic Republic of Congo and Mali, the DHS was the sole data source for the UN's official maternal mortality estimates. Going forward, 'it would just be basically estimates that are based on other countries' data,' says Saloni Dattani, a editor on science and global health at Works in Progress magazine and 2022 Future Perfect 50 honoree. 'We just wouldn't know.' Without the data DHS provided, foreign aid becomes less effective, and less accountable 'We have no way of externally or objectively estimating the positive impact that those [aid] programs are having, or negative,' said Livia Montana, the former deputy director of the DHS Program, who is now a survey director for the Understanding America Study at the University of Southern California. Naturally, the global health community has been scrambling to plug the enormous gap. The Gates Foundation recently committed $25 million in emergency funding to rescue some ongoing surveys, and Bloomberg Philanthropies has also stepped in with a separate commitment to support the effort. This funding is a crucial lifeline, but only a stopgap. The search for a long-term fix has forced a reckoning with the old programs' flaws. Everyone agrees that DHS delivered high-quality, trusted data — but it wasn't perfect. Many experts have criticized it as fundamentally 'donor-driven,' with priorities that didn't always align with the national interests of the countries it surveyed. For instance, the program's historic focus on reproductive health was a direct reflection of the priorities of its primary funder, USAID, and some country officials privately felt the data served the accountability needs of international organizations better than their own immediate planning needs. This has created a central dilemma for the global development community: is it possible to build a new system that is both genuinely country-led and also globally comparable? A lifeline and a reckoning Faced with this data vacuum, an obvious question arises: Why can't other global organizations like the World Health Organization or the United Nations simply step in and take over? It's not out of the question, but it would be really, really difficult. Think of it this way: The DHS Program was like a single, powerful architecture firm that perfected a blueprint and built houses in 90 neighborhoods for 40 years. Because it was a single program managed by private contractor, ICF International, and backed by one major funder, USAID, it could enforce a standardized methodology everywhere it worked. As a for-profit firm, ICF's interest was also financial, it managed the global contract and profited from the work. The UN and WHO, by contrast, act as the global city planners: Their mandate isn't to design and build the houses themselves, but to set the building codes and safety standards for everyone. According to WHO, its role is not to 'directly fund population-based surveys,' but to provide leadership and bring the right stakeholders together. While that mandate may prevent the UN from simply inheriting the old program's work, it makes it an ideal coordinator for the path forward, says Caren Grown, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution's Center for Sustainable Development. Grown argues that the UN is the only body that can handle the 'heavy lift' of coordinating all the different countries, donors, and organizations. And now that the DHS has been dissolved, both Grown and Chen are now part of a UN task force attempting to establish new internationally agreed-upon standards for how health data should be collected and governed. At the same time, other efforts are more focused on the practical work of implementation rather than on global governance. Montana is leading a coalition to 'rebuild elements of DHS' by creating a global consortium of research institutions that can provide technical support to countries. These efforts were catalyzed by initial conversations hosted by organizations like the Population Reference Bureau, which brought together donors, government agencies, and global data users to grapple with the shutdown's immediate aftermath. Critics argue that for every India, there are a dozen other nations where the program's sudden collapse is proof that a deep, sustainable capacity was never built. Between this mishmash, the most practical development has been a lifeline from the Gates Foundation, which announced a $25 million investment in 'bridge funding.' Separately, in a statement to Vox, Bloomberg Philanthropies confirmed its commitment to fund the completion of an additional 12-country surveys over the next eight months. A source from the Gates Foundation clarified that Bloomberg's commitment is on top of theirs, confirming the two are distinct but coordinated rescue efforts. The Gates Foundation framed its effort as a temporary, stabilizing measure designed to give the global health community a much-needed respite. 'We believe data is — and must remain — a global public good,' said Janet Zhou, a director focused on data and gender equality at the Gates Foundation. 'Our interim support is helping to stabilize 14 ongoing country surveys. … This investment is designed to give global partners and national governments the time and space needed to build a more sustainable, country-led model for health data.' That support is aimed at the most urgent work: finishing surveys that were nearly complete, like in Ethiopia, and reopening the four-decade-old data archive. But rather than giving each respective country the money to complete their ongoing surveys, the Gates funding will be administered by ICF International, the same for-profit firm that ran the original DHS. The decision to work with the existing contractor, ICF International, was a pragmatic one. Continuing with the same implementer was the 'quickest, most affordable way' to prevent waste, and 'multiple host countries have shared a preference' to complete their work with the firm, said a source at the Gates Foundation. A Sudanese mother sits with her children at a shelter in the al-Qanaa village in Sudan's southern White Nile state on September 14, 2021. Ashraf Shazly/AFP via Getty Images It's a powerful argument for triage in an emergency, but it also papers over deeper flaws. Take a look at Nigeria, for example: Fieldwork for its 2023–'24 DHS finished in May 2024, and the questionnaires gathered new estimates of maternal and child deaths. Nigeria also ran a separate study to probe exactly why mothers and children are dying. In principle, the two datasets should dovetail but beyond a headline-numbers report, the full DHS micro-dataset is still in ICF's processing queue — likely frozen after DHS's shuttering. That bottleneck illustrates what critics mean by 'donor-driven.' With barely 3 percent of household surveys in low-income countries fully-financed by the local government, the WHO notes, most nations must rely on 'externally led surveys…limiting continuity and national ownership.' When the donor funding stops, so does the data pipeline. An ICF spokesperson pushed back saying survey priorities were 'primarily shaped by the participating countries.' Yet, of the $25 million that arrived from Gates, a large portion of it will go toward completing large-scale surveys in Nigeria and Kenya, two countries that also happen to be key 'geographies of interest' for the Gates Foundation's own strategic priorities, underscoring how funders still steer the spotlight. Insiders I spoke with described ICF's system as a 'black box,' with key parts of its methodology controlled by the contractor, leaving countries without the capacity to stand on their own. That matters because without home-grown statisticians and know-how, ministries can't rerun surveys or update indicators without outside help. In response, ICF stated that the program has a 'proven track record of building a long-term capacity,' noting that countries like India no longer require its assistance. But critics argue that for every India, there are a dozen other nations where the program's sudden collapse is proof that a deep, sustainable capacity was never built. This dependency creates a fragile system that can, as just happened, collapse overnight, leaving countries unable to continue that work on their own. This unresolved tension brings the debate back to a central question from the UN's Chen. 'DHS has been there for four decades,' she asks, 'and why are we still having this program doing the survey for countries?' Chen's question gets to the heart of the debate. But grappling with the flaws of the past can't get in the way of surviving the present. Existing global health data is already several years out of date due to the pandemic, while crises in maternal mortality and child nutrition continue to unfold. The need is for reliable data now, because the fundamental reality remains: You can't help people you can't see.
