The Irish Times view on Ireland's budget policy: betting on a tax boom
The latest report from
the Irish Fiscal Advisory council (Ifac)
neatly sums up the difficulty of forecasting what happens next in the Irish economy. Facing significant uncertainties, most notably from the policies of US president Donald Trump, the economy could take a hit, or could hold on to most of the gains of recent years.
One thing is for sure, however. Ireland is relying ever more heavily on corporation tax. And the report from the budget watchdog suggests how the Government should respond. These recommendations are, by now, familiar, but that does not mean they should be dismissed.
The Government has, wisely, started to put cash aside in case of a downturn. And this should certainly help if any reversal was temporary. However, Ifac points to structural issues too – longer-term trends which need to be addressed. One, a common theme of these reports, is Ireland's reliance on just a few major US companies for a significant amount of corporate tax revenue. When the part of corporate tax revenues relating to tax planning is factored out, Ifac estimates that the underlying budget position is in deficit.
There are also problems on the spending side of the budget, which have received little attention to date. Ifac criticises the Government for its budgeting for this year, saying that it failed to take into account overruns for 2024 which had increased the spending base. As a result, spending for this year could be €3 billion above budget, it estimates.
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Significant overruns have become common, but have been offset by tax also coming in ahead of target. Relying on this continuing is unwise. To combat this, Ifac calls for better spending control and a clear target – or anchor – for the level of spending increases which is then adhered to.
As the report points out, corporation tax could grow further, helping to underpin the public finances. But the risks, too, are obvious. Either way, the lack of control on day-to-day public spending is notable and does not suggest proper management, or a focus on value for money.
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Irish Times
an hour ago
- Irish Times
How to buy a home by yourself
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The average value of a first-time-buyer mortgage approved in April this year hit a record €330,123, up by more than 8 per cent in a year, according to Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI) figures. [ Move now or wait: First-time buyer and fixed mortgage rates Opens in new window ] First-time buyer lending limits of four times salary mean a single buyer would need earnings of €82,500, to borrow this amount. You will need a 10 per cent deposit too. That's about €33,000 if you are drawing down the average amount approved for first-time buyers nationally. Buying in Dublin is a different story and is 'extremely challenging' for solo buyers, says Ross Harrison of Dublin city-based mortgage broker Finplan. The median house price there is about €475,000. The majority of solo first-time buyers he sees work in tech or professional services and have higher-than-average salaries of €65,000 to €100,000. 'Those borrowing on a single income of between €60,000 and €80,000 are moving to Kildare,' says Harrison. Out in the commuter belt, Shane Tobin of Portlaoise-based Low Quotes mortgages agrees that it's not easy for solo first timers. 'They are typically borrowing in the region of €260,000 to €320,000, purchasing properties in the mid €300,000s and they are using the Help to Buy scheme. They couldn't buy without the Help to Buy,' says Harrison. The solo buyers he sees succeeding have significant savings, many get family support, and they will have to be open to relocating to more affordable regions, says Tobin. Ramp up If you're thinking of buying a first home, prepare for a lengthy on-ramp. Talk to a mortgage adviser at least 12 months out from purchasing and they will set you straight on wooing a lender. Bank statements that show a 'buy now pay later' habit, credit card debt, missed direct debits or someone routinely sliding into pay day on fumes really won't fly. 'We are seeing an awful lot of people using those [Klarna] facilities without realising the knock-on implications,' says Ross Harrison of Finplan. 'A bank will factor in that debt when assessing your ability to repay.' How to manage your pension in these volatile times Listen | 37:00 Use the 12 months before your mortgage application wisely, says Shane Tobin. 'A lender will look back at six to 12 months' bank statements, so you need to behave appropriately to be a serious contender to draw down a loan of €200,000 or €300,000.' Get forensic One of the most disheartening things for a buyer is being outbid. Where couples, who can borrow four times their combined income, or investors are competing for the same property, the solo buyer just doesn't have the same muscle. You can try to short-circuit some of this frustration by getting forensic about the type of first home you can most likely get over the line. If you're thinking of buying a first home, prepare for a lengthy on-ramp. Photograph: iStock With your 'four times income' borrowing number in mind, and your likely savings, use the Central Statistics Office's property prices by eircode app and the residential property price register to guide your search. Properties in Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown, for example, had the highest median price paid for a dwelling at €665,000, according to the CSO's residential property price index in March. By contrast, median prices in Dublin 10 were €311,000, or €440,000 in Dublin 15. The commuter belt widens options too. Median property prices range from €275,000 in Portlaoise to €280,000 in Arklow. In Drogheda the median price is €360,000, in Enfield it's €385,000, Naas is at €421,000 and Newbridge is €425,000, according to CSO figures. 'For people who are not open-minded about location, it's very difficult,' says Tobin. Solo buyers are opting for one- and two-bed apartments over houses too. 'A three-bed house used to be the first house 10 years ago, but that's an absolute luxury for the first-time buyer now.' [ Typical price paid for home by first-time buyer up €88,000 on five years ago Opens in new window ] Government schemes Many solo first-time buyers are availing of Government schemes to get them over the line. The Help to Buy scheme gives a refund of up to €30,000 of income tax and deposit interest tax you paid in Ireland over the four years before the year you apply. This can be used to bump up your house deposit, but it applies only to new-build homes valued at up to €500,000. Another option for first-time buyers is the shared equity, or First Home Scheme. This can be used in conjunction with the Help to Buy scheme. Under this scheme, the Government and participating banks pay up to 30 per cent of the cost of your new home (or 20 per cent if you're also getting Help to Buy), in return for a stake in the home. 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Timing Government grants are driving solo buyers to new builds, but with that can come some timing issues. If you reserve a new home, go sale agreed and request your loan offer, the offer is valid with most banks for between four and six months. If the build is delayed, the loan offer may expire, meaning you have to reapply with updated salary certs, bank statements and a full assessment of affordability 'We see this with many buying new builds where there is a delay on completion and buyers have to update their mortgage application and reapply,' says Harrison. Keep your bank statements clean until you get the keys. Extra costs Solo buyers must budget for extra costs by themselves too. Stamp duty is 1 per cent of the purchase price, slightly less for a new build. Budget about €3,000 for a €300,000 home. You should be budgeting €3,000 to €3,500 to cover legal fees and outlays, says Harrison. 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Irish Examiner
an hour ago
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Irish Post
an hour ago
- Irish Post
New plan revealed to modernise construction sector in Ireland
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