logo
Signs of Stabilization Emerge in Egypt's Non-Oil Private Sector

Signs of Stabilization Emerge in Egypt's Non-Oil Private Sector

Egypt Today2 days ago

Egypt's non-oil private sector edged closer to stability in May, as the pace of contraction in business activity and new orders eased, according to the latest S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report released on Tuesday.
The seasonally adjusted PMI rose to 49.5 in May, up from 48.5 in April, signaling a softer economic downturn. Although the index remains just below the critical 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction, the upward movement indicates a deceleration in the sector's decline.
Both output and new business remained in contraction, but the drops were less severe than in the previous month. A smaller number of companies reported weakened customer demand, hinting at a potential turning point in consumer sentiment.
Despite these improvements, firms cut back on purchasing activity at the fastest rate in seven months and continued to reduce staffing levels for the fourth month in a row, highlighting lingering caution in operations and hiring.
The output index climbed to 49.5 from 47.4 in April, while the new orders index rose to 49.1, also up from 47.4. These gains suggest a gradually improving business environment, even if growth has yet to fully materialize.
Cost pressures, however, remained a challenge. Input prices continued to climb, driven largely by rising supplier costs and ongoing currency fluctuations. In turn, many businesses raised their selling prices to protect profit margins.
David Owen, economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented that although May's data still points to contraction, the slowdown in the rate of decline is encouraging, with the figures presenting a gentler drop than both April's results and the long-term average.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Gold Fluctuates Between Dollar Strength and Interest Rate Cut Expectations
Gold Fluctuates Between Dollar Strength and Interest Rate Cut Expectations

See - Sada Elbalad

time2 days ago

  • See - Sada Elbalad

Gold Fluctuates Between Dollar Strength and Interest Rate Cut Expectations

Waleed Farouk Gold prices saw a slight decline in local markets on Tuesday, mirroring a drop in global spot prices due to a mild rebound in the U.S. dollar and equities, which reduced demand for the safe-haven metal. In local markets, gold prices dropped by EGP 25 compared to Monday's closing levels, with 21-karat gold recording EGP 4,685 per gram. Meanwhile, the global ounce price declined by approximately $28, reaching $3,352. 24-karat gold registered EGP 5,354 per gram, while 18-karat gold reached EGP 4,016 per gram. The 14-karat variety stood at EGP 3,124 per gram, and the gold pound (8 grams of 21k gold) recorded EGP 37,480. This pullback comes after Monday's surge, during which local gold prices climbed by EGP 110, with 21-karat gold starting the day at EGP 4,600 and ending at EGP 4,710. Globally, the ounce price jumped $90—from an opening level of $3,290 to $3,380. The local drop reflects a broader global move as the ounce price, after hitting a four-week high, came under selling pressure for profit-taking amid a dollar rebound and improved risk appetite in financial markets. The U.S. Dollar Index rose by 0.2% to 104.35, regaining part of its recent losses. U.S. equities also posted strong gains, which positively impacted Asian markets and led some investors to temporarily reduce their gold holdings. persistent geopolitical tensions and growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2025 remain supportive of gold prices, cushioning it from deeper losses despite market headwinds. Forecasts now indicate the possibility of two interest rate cuts by the Fed next year, supported by recent statements from several Fed officials. This strengthens gold's appeal as a hedge against interest rate volatility and inflation. Markets are closely watching a wave of upcoming U.S. economic data this week, including the JOLTS job openings report, the closely watched Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday, as well as the European Central Bank meeting and weekly jobless claims. On Monday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a decline in the manufacturing PMI to 48.5 in May, down from 48.7 in April and below expectations of 49.3. This reflects continued pressure on the U.S. industrial sector. The report also showed stable pricing pressures, with the prices index holding at 69.4. Although gold did not react sharply to the data, the weak manufacturing figures contributed to investor concerns about economic slowdown, providing additional short-term support for the yellow metal. Overall, gold continues to trade in a relatively stable range, caught between opposing forces—on one side, pressure from a stronger dollar and rising equities, and on the other, support from geopolitical risks and expectations of monetary easing. Investor sentiment remains closely tied to upcoming U.S. data, with global markets on high alert. read more CBE: Deposits in Local Currency Hit EGP 5.25 Trillion Morocco Plans to Spend $1 Billion to Mitigate Drought Effect Gov't Approves Final Version of State Ownership Policy Document Egypt's Economy Expected to Grow 5% by the end of 2022/23- Minister Qatar Agrees to Supply Germany with LNG for 15 Years Business Oil Prices Descend amid Anticipation of Additional US Strategic Petroleum Reserves Business Suez Canal Records $704 Million, Historically Highest Monthly Revenue Business Egypt's Stock Exchange Earns EGP 4.9 Billion on Tuesday Business Wheat delivery season commences on April 15 News Australia Fines Telegram $600,000 Over Terrorism, Child Abuse Content News China Launches Largest Ever Aircraft Carrier Sports Former Al Zamalek Player Ibrahim Shika Passes away after Long Battle with Cancer Sports Neymar Announced for Brazil's Preliminary List for 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers News Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly Inaugurates Two Indian Companies Arts & Culture New Archaeological Discovery from 26th Dynasty Uncovered in Karnak Temple Business Fear & Greed Index Plummets to Lowest Level Ever Recorded amid Global Trade War Arts & Culture Zahi Hawass: Claims of Columns Beneath the Pyramid of Khafre Are Lies News Flights suspended at Port Sudan Airport after Drone Attacks News Shell Unveils Cost-Cutting, LNG Growth Plan

Signs of Stabilization Emerge in Egypt's Non-Oil Private Sector
Signs of Stabilization Emerge in Egypt's Non-Oil Private Sector

Egypt Today

time2 days ago

  • Egypt Today

Signs of Stabilization Emerge in Egypt's Non-Oil Private Sector

Egypt's non-oil private sector edged closer to stability in May, as the pace of contraction in business activity and new orders eased, according to the latest S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report released on Tuesday. The seasonally adjusted PMI rose to 49.5 in May, up from 48.5 in April, signaling a softer economic downturn. Although the index remains just below the critical 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction, the upward movement indicates a deceleration in the sector's decline. Both output and new business remained in contraction, but the drops were less severe than in the previous month. A smaller number of companies reported weakened customer demand, hinting at a potential turning point in consumer sentiment. Despite these improvements, firms cut back on purchasing activity at the fastest rate in seven months and continued to reduce staffing levels for the fourth month in a row, highlighting lingering caution in operations and hiring. The output index climbed to 49.5 from 47.4 in April, while the new orders index rose to 49.1, also up from 47.4. These gains suggest a gradually improving business environment, even if growth has yet to fully materialize. Cost pressures, however, remained a challenge. Input prices continued to climb, driven largely by rising supplier costs and ongoing currency fluctuations. In turn, many businesses raised their selling prices to protect profit margins. David Owen, economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented that although May's data still points to contraction, the slowdown in the rate of decline is encouraging, with the figures presenting a gentler drop than both April's results and the long-term average.

COT Report: Speculators sold crude ahead of OPEC hike
COT Report: Speculators sold crude ahead of OPEC hike

Mid East Info

time3 days ago

  • Mid East Info

COT Report: Speculators sold crude ahead of OPEC hike

Geopolitical and tariff tensions spark strong weekly start for commodities The commodities sector has started the week with strong gains, led by energy and metals—both precious and industrial—in response to heightened geopolitical and tariff tensions. These developments follow a weekend that saw Ukraine launch a spectacular assault on several of Russia's strategic airfields, damaging over 40 aircraft. In addition, tensions between the US and China—the world's largest economies—are rising again, following a weekend during which both countries accused each other of violating a trade deal that was only concluded last month. Prior to these renewed hostilities we have seen a sharp increase in container freight rates, as exporters in China and importers in the US took advantage of the 90-day pause in tariff hikes to frontload shipments ahead of the mid-year peak cargo season. The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which fell 0.6% last month, trades up 1.7% in early Monday trading, with broad gains led by copper, crude oil, and gold. HG copper futures in New York are trading sharply higher after Trump doubled import tariffs on steel and aluminium to 50%, raising speculation that a larger-than-expected tariff could soon be applied to copper. The New York premium over London has risen back above 12%, with supply issues at the world's second-largest mine in Congo also providing additional support—offsetting short-term, trade tension-related demand concerns. A range-bound crude oil market saw prices recover all of last week's losses, surging higher despite a group of eight OPEC+ producers announcing a third consecutive production hike of 0.41 million b/d. This move was made primarily to regain market share from high-cost producers and to penalise persistent cheaters—led by Iraq and, not least, Kazakhstan, which last week stated it was not technically possible to reduce production in order to comply. Instead, the focus has now shifted back to geopolitically related supply concerns, particularly involving Russia, Iran, and Libya, the latter, after its eastern government said it could take precautionary measures, including a force majeure on oil fields, after a rival militia stormed the National Oil Corp headquarters. Gold, which suffered a small 0.6% setback last month, trades up around 2% on the day after receiving fresh safe-haven demand due to the aforementioned tensions. Together with a weaker USD, the yellow metal now trades above USD 3,330 and the downward-trending line from the April record high. In order to attract fresh momentum buying—not least from hedge funds, who recently cut their net long in the COMEX gold future to a 14-month low—a higher high above USD 3,365 is likely needed. Forex The latest reporting week to 27 May offered little in terms of fresh market direction, during a week that saw the S&P 500 suffer a small loss, while the bond yields traded softer by a couple of basis points. However, these relatively calm market conditions did not prevent fresh US dollar selling, which saw the broad-focused Bloomberg Dollar Index touch a 17-month low, while the narrow-focused Dollar Index held within an established range and above the April low. Flows across the eight IMM currency futures tracked in this were relatively muted, with buying of EUR and GBP being partly offset by small selling of the remainder, led by CHF and JPY, overall lifting the gross US dollar short by USD 1 billion to USD 13.3 billion. Key findings from the latest COT reporting week The latest COT report covered a Memorial Day holiday shortened week to 27 May, and it potentially played its part in keeping changes across our universe of 27 major commodities futures to a minimum. Overall, a week that despite a softer dollar saw the Bloomberg Commodities Index trades near unchanged with losses in energy and agriculture being offset by gains across precious and industrial metals. On an individual level, losses were led by crude oil ahead of another bumper OPEC8+ production hike, the third in a row, wheat amid an improved US growing outlook, and not least the softs sector where cocoa, coffee and cotton all suffered steep losses. Gains on the other hand were concentrated in platinum, copper and soybeans. Hedge funds responded to these developments by selling of crude oil ahead of the OPEC8+ production hike, overall lowering the WTI and Brent net long to 226k, which is still within an established range. In metals, the platinum long jumped to 18.7k, a three-month high, while limited action was seen across the others, including gold. The grains sector saw the first week of net buying in six, led by soybeans, while all the softs saw net selling, led by sugar and coffee.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store