31-01-2025
Akzo Nobel NV (AKZOF) (Q4 2024) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Growth Amidst Market Challenges
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA: EUR321 million, a 3% increase.
Q4 Organic Sales Growth: 1% increase driven by price/mix.
Full-Year Organic Sales Growth: 2% increase with a 1% volume rise.
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA: EUR1.5 billion, with a margin of 14.1%.
Net Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio: 3 times, with an adjusted ratio of 2.6 times.
Adjusted Gross Margin Expansion: 130 basis points increase.
Q4 Revenue Growth: 4% increase, supported by favorable foreign exchange rates.
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 12.3%.
Operating Working Capital: 15.7% of revenue, higher due to lower accounts payables.
Q4 Free Cash Flow: EUR284 million.
Return on Investment: Improved to 13.3% in 2024.
Proposed Final Dividend: EUR1.54.
2025 Adjusted EBITDA Target: More than EUR1.55 billion.
SG&A Efficiency Targets: Over EUR150 million in annualized gross savings.
Industrial Transformation Benefits: EUR300 million expected by 2027.
Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with AKZOF.
Release Date: January 29, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Akzo Nobel NV (AKZOF) increased adjusted EBITDA by 3% in Q4 2024, reaching EUR 321 million, aligning with consensus expectations.
The company achieved full-year organic sales growth of 2%, supported by a 1% increase in volumes, and expanded its adjusted gross margin by 130 basis points.
Efficiency measures are on track, with an expected total benefit of EUR 300 million by 2027, including EUR 200 million in cost savings and EUR 100 million in efficiency gains.
Marine and Protective Coatings delivered double-digit volume growth, driven by technical newbuilds in marine, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in 2025.
The company is making strategic investments to enhance and modernize its anchor sites globally, contributing to operational efficiency and debottlenecking critical assets.
Net debt-to-EBITDA ratio increased to 3 times, higher than the target, due to lower payables and accelerated restructuring activities.
Q4 organic volume growth was flat, impacted by declines in Deco China, with expectations for continued softness in some segments in Q1 2025.
The automotive and specialty volumes were slightly lower in Q4, with weak demand in automotive and vehicle refinishes.
The company does not anticipate a significant market rebound in 2025, with flat to low single-digit growth expected.
Restructuring costs will remain elevated through 2025, impacting cash flow and leverage ratios in the first half of the year.
Q: Can you provide insights into your pricing strategy and cost inflation expectations for 2025? A: Maarten de Vries, CFO, explained that they anticipate a low single-digit inflation in raw materials and freight. They plan to offset this with price increases during Q1 and Q2. The net benefit from cost savings is expected to be EUR70 million, considering EUR170 million in gross savings and EUR100 million in inflation costs.
Q: Could you update us on the strategic review of your Southeast Asian operations, particularly in India? A: Greg Poux-Guillaume, CEO, stated that they are exploring options to strengthen their business in India, which could range from a joint venture to a full disposal. The powder business is being carved out to facilitate discussions, as it is a key asset with differentiated technology.
Q: What is your outlook on cash generation and deleveraging, given the Q4 cash flow performance? A: Maarten de Vries noted that 2025 will see significant cash outflows due to restructuring costs, impacting leverage. They aim to reduce working capital to around 14.5% and expect to improve cash flow generation as restructuring progresses.
Q: How are you addressing the challenges in the Chinese Deco market, and what is your long-term commitment to China? A: Greg Poux-Guillaume highlighted that they have adapted costs effectively in China and see signs of market stabilization. They remain committed to China, viewing it as a strategic market, especially as it becomes more consolidated.
Q: Can you elaborate on the performance and future prospects of the Marine and Protective Coatings business? A: Greg Poux-Guillaume mentioned that the Marine and Protective Coatings business has improved profitability significantly, aiming to reach high single-digit to low teens in 2025. They continue to focus on operational leverage and market position recovery.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
