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World facing 'most complex' situation in decades: WEF
World facing 'most complex' situation in decades: WEF

IOL News

time15 hours ago

  • Business
  • IOL News

World facing 'most complex' situation in decades: WEF

President and CEO of the World Economic Forum (WEF) Borge Brende speaks during an interview with AFP ahead of the opening of the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting of the New Champions 2025 (AMNC25) in Tianjin on June 24, 2025. Image: Jade GAO / AFP The world is facing the "most complex" geopolitical situation seen in decades, the head of the World Economic Forum (WEF) told AFP Tuesday, warning that turmoil was "impacting global growth". "It is the most complex geopolitical and geo-economic backdrop we've seen in decades," WEF President and CEO Borge Brende said ahead of a meeting of the multilateral forum in the northern Chinese city of Tianjin. "If we are not able to revive growth again, we can unfortunately see a decade of lower growth," he warned. Officials including Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong will attend this week's WEF meeting in the port city of Tianjin - known colloquially as the "Summer Davos". The meeting comes hard on the heels of the US' involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict and follows months in which the global economy has been battered by a tariff war launched by US President Donald Trump. This month, the World Bank cut its forecast for global growth this year from 2.7% to 2.3%, following a similar reduction by the International Monetary Fund. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Next Stay Close ✕ Brende said it was still too soon to predict the impact of Trump's swingeing tariffs. It is "too early to say what these tariffs will end with because the negotiations are still ongoing", he said. "I think the jury is still out, but the traditional globalisation we saw is now changed into a different system," he said. "That is a new chapter... especially since trade was the engine of growth." Brende also warned mounting conflict could have a "very negative impact" on global growth. 'China matters' The WEF gathering in Tianjin comes at an uncertain juncture for the Chinese economy, which has struggled under a years-long property sector crisis and sluggish domestic spending. "China really does matter," Brende said, adding he expects the country to account for almost 30 percent of global growth this year. "China is pivoting its economy more towards digital trade, towards services and also now opening up for increasing domestic consumption -- something that is important," Brende said. Officials in Beijing have since late last year unveiled a string of aggressive measures including key rate cuts and cancellations of home purchasing restrictions. But many economists remain sceptical that the Chinese economy can achieve the government's official growth target for this year of around five percent. With the tumultuous trade war threatening shipments from the manufacturing powerhouse, Beijing is looking to emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence as potential sources of future growth. "In the past, trade was the driver of growth, but you cannot exclude that new technologies including AI can... maybe replace the important role that trade had", Brende said.

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