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CNBC
3 days ago
- Business
- CNBC
'Big beautiful bill': These are the sectors investors are betting on and avoiding in a new fiscal era
The "One Big Beautiful Bill" has drawn mixed reactions on Wall Street, but for some investors, it represents a blueprint for a new phase of U.S. economic policy. The bill , which is characterized by extensive tax reforms and selective incentives, is forecast to add to the federal deficit and has drawn criticism and triggered warnings from credit agencies. Strategists CNBC spoke to say they believe the bill is more than just another round of stimulus, and investors are making clear sectoral bets. 'A pivot point' Peter Andersen, founder of Andersen Capital Management, calls the bill "a pivot point," arguing that the U.S. is "moving from monetary stimulus to fiscal muscle." The government is shifting away from relying on the Federal Reserve's near-zero interest rates and bond-buying programs to boost the economy, and turning instead to targeted government spending. He said infrastructure is "the most exciting aspect" of the bill's national security emphasis. That, he added, involves not just "bridges and bombs," but also firewalls and data security. The OBBB is allocating roughly $150 billion in defense aimed at bolstering industry capacity, including funding for drones, military infrastructure and artificial intelligence. "Cybersecurity will be the new front line of national power," he said. His portfolio of 14 high-conviction stocks include s four cybersecurity names, including Palo Alto and CyberArk , and an equipment rental company with clients in the manufacturing industry, United Rentals . Industrials and technology plays Similarly for Tat Wai Toh, head of portfolio strategy at RBC Wealth Management Asia, the bill signals "the next fiscal supercycle" — one built on structural industrial policy rather than short-term stimulus. "This is more than infrastructure repainting. It's a restructuring of industrial policy, with AI, defense, logistics, and electrification at its core," he said. RBC is overweight on sectors that "dig, build, ship, power, and protect," including heavy electricals, infrastructure, oilfield services, defense, and banks which Toh believes are poised to benefit from rising loan demand. Likewise, Robert Teeter, managing director and chief investment strategist of Silvercrest Asset Management Group, said industrials and energy infrastructure are immediate beneficiaries of the bill. "It's certainly a new fiscal cycle and a new fiscal stimulative cycle," he said. The bill is boosting tax provisions designed to spur capital investment in U.S. manufacturing , such as full expensing for research and development and factory structures. He also highlighted that the tech sector stands to gain from incentives for R & D and productivity improvements, with benefits spreading from AI hardware providers to companies deploying the technology. His firm stayed overweight on equities through recent tariff-related volatility in anticipation of the bill's passage, favoring technology, industrials, and small caps. Too optimistic? However, not all investors believe that the bill heralds that much of a positive change. Cody Willard, general manager of CL Willard Capital Partners, is less convinced that the OBBB is a transformational catalyst on its own. "I think that's too optimistic," said the hedge fund manager. "It's more of a continuation of constant fiscal spending and infrastructure improvement promises from the U.S. Government." The administration appears intent on "running it hot" with large deficits and lower rates, pushing the U.S. into "a state of fiscal dominance whereby monetary policy must remain servile to the Treasury's funding needs," said Sprott Asset Management market strategist Paul Wong. The likely outcome, Wong argues, is negative real yields, structural dollar weakness, and a shift toward real assets. "The long term winner is real assets, as the USD is heading lower. Long bonds are most at risk," he said. Real assets include gold, oil and real estate. Sprott's portfolios are "well positioned" in precious metals — both gold and silver — which the firm believes will continue to perform well in the current market environment. They also hold uranium, copper, and rare earths to capture geopolitical and energy policy shifts. Underweight sectors In fact, some sectors face clear downsides from the OBBB. One area investors are underweight on is clean technology. "Any investors that are looking at solar power, wind power, I think that probably will not be great positions to be in," said Andersen. In a similar vein, Teeter said the sector "loses a lot of benefits in the legislation" and may lag in the near term. For one thing, the bill accelerates the phasing out of solar and wind projects via the clean energy production tax credit and investment tax credit, imposing much tighter deadlines for eligibility. On top of that, it introduces stringent "foreign entity of concern" restrictions, limiting eligibility for clean energy projects, if they are owned or materially assisted by entities from countries such as China, Iran and Russia. RBC's Toh also said he believes that hospitals and managed care sectors face reimbursement pressures.


The Advertiser
09-06-2025
- Business
- The Advertiser
Wall Street opens mixed as US-China trade talks begin
Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows. Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows. Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows. Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows.


West Australian
09-06-2025
- Business
- West Australian
Wall Street opens mixed as US-China trade talks begin
Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows.


Perth Now
09-06-2025
- Business
- Perth Now
Wall Street opens mixed as US-China trade talks begin
Wall Street's main indexes are mixed as investors watch a fresh round of US-China negotiations aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have kicked off discussions at London's Lancaster House, looking to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meeting, which could run into Tuesday, comes four days after US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved. "The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made. However, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the US trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. Hopes of more trade deals between the US and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped US equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little more than 2.0 per cent below all-time highs touched in February while the Nasdaq is about 3.0 per cent below its record peaks reached in December. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. In early trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 129.75 points, or 0.30 per cent, to 42,633.12, the S&P 500 lost 0.32 points, or 0.01 per cent, to 6,000.04 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 44.81 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 19,574.76. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with healthcare stocks, down 0.6 per cent, declining the most. On the flip side, information technology stocks advanced 0.6 per cent. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed. Tesla shares edged 0.5 per cent lower after brokerage Baird downgraded the stock to "neutral". Nvidia gained 1.3 per cent. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 9.5 per cent, the most on the S&P 500, after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Robinhood Markets fell 7.4 per cent after S&P Dow Jones Indices left S&P 500 constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, following recent speculation that the online brokerage would be added to the benchmark index. Merck rose 1.1 per cent after the drug maker's oral cholesterol pill succeeded in two late-stage studies. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.65-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and one new low while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 63 new highs and 27 new lows.


Business Recorder
09-06-2025
- Business
- Business Recorder
Wall Street set to open higher as US-China trade talks begin
Wall Street's main indexes were set to open higher on Monday as investors watched a fresh round of negotiations between the United States and China aimed at mending a trade rift that has rattled financial markets for much of the year. Top officials from both countries have begun discussions at London's Lancaster House, a U.S. source said, as they look to address disagreements around a preliminary trade agreement struck last month that had briefly cooled tensions between the world's largest economies. The meetings come four days after U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke by phone, their first direct interaction since Trump's January 20 inauguration. The leaders had, however, left key issues unresolved for future talks. 'The talks will have to go on for some time before we decide whether or not there's actual progress being made, however, most investors remain hopeful that there will be some positive results,' said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC in an interview on Monday the U.S. trade negotiators are seeking a handshake in London to seal an agreement struck by Trump and Xi to allow the export of China's rare earth minerals and magnets to the United States. The benchmark S&P 500 closed above 6,000 on Friday for the first time since Feb. 21, following a better-than-expected jobs report and a rebound in Tesla's shares. Wall Street rises on jobs data optimism; Tesla rebounds Hopes of more trade deals between the U.S. and its major trading partners, along with upbeat earnings and tame inflation data, helped U.S. equities rally in May, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq notching their best monthly gains since November 2023. The S&P 500 remains a little over 2% below all-time highs touched in February, while the Nasdaq is about 3% below its record peaks reached in December. Citigroup joined major brokerages in raising its year-end target for the S&P 500, citing renewed optimism in corporate earnings resilience and the accelerating momentum of artificial intelligence-driven growth. It sees the benchmark ending the year at 6,300, compared with 5,800 forecast previously, according to a note late on Friday. Major data releases this week include readings on May consumer prices and initial jobless claims. While investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged next week, focus will be on any signs of pick-up in inflation as Trump's tariffs risk raising price pressures. Traders currently expect 46 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2025 and are pricing in a 55% chance of a 25 bps cut in September, according to data compiled by LSEG. At 08:34 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 46 points, or 0.11%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 9.5 points, or 0.16%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 19.25 points, or 0.09%. Most megacap and growth stocks were mixed in premarket trading. Tesla shares fell 1.7% after a report said Baird downgraded the stock to 'neutral' from 'outperform'. Robinhood Markets fell 3.3% after the S&P 500 kept index constituents unchanged in its latest rebalancing, contrary to some analysts who had expected the online brokerage to join the benchmark index. Warner Bros Discovery shares jumped 8.6% after the company said it would separate its studios and streaming business from its fading cable television networks. Shares of Sunnova Energy slumped 28.4% after the company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.