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MLB Probable Starters Plus Underdog Winners, 6/17

MLB Probable Starters Plus Underdog Winners, 6/17 originally appeared on Athlon Sports. "Give me six hours to chop down a tree, I'll spend the first four sharpening the axe." Part of the struggle betting baseball on a daily basis comes down to handling the massive amount of subsequent data. Before you start opening 1,000 different Chrome tabs chasing data, get all your ducks in a row first. Advertisement Make sure to bookmark our Athlon Sports Betting tab to help solidify that foundation bright and early every day. Monday, June 17th, 2025 6:10pm EST — O/U 8.5 PHI Jesus Luzardo: -204; 67.1% Implied Probability MIA Cal Quantrill: +171; 36.9% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6:40pm EST — O/U 8.5 PIT Bailey Falter: +171; 36.9% Implied Probability DET Casey Mize: -204; 67.1% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6:45pm EST — O/U 9.5 COL Antonio Senzatela: +168; 37.3% Implied Probability WSH Mike Soroka: -200; 66.7% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advertisement -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7:05pm EST — O/U 9.5 LAA Kyle Hendricks: +212; 32.1% Implied Probability NYY Will Warren: -256; 71.9% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7:07pm EST — O/U 8.5 ARI Brandon Pfaadt: +106; 48.5% Implied Probability TOR Chris Bassitt: -125; 55.6% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advertisement 7:10pm EST — O/U 8.5 MIN David Festa: +106; 48.5% Implied Probability CIN Andrew Abbott: -125; 55.6% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7:15pm EST — O/U 8.5 NYM David Peterson: +113; 46.9% Implied Probability ATL Spencer Schwellenbach: -133; 57.1% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7:35pm EST — O/U 9.5 BAL Dean Kremer: +104; 49.0% Implied Probability TB Zack Littell: -122; 55.0% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advertisement -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7:40pm EST — O/U 8.5 STL Matthew Liberatore: -152; 60.3% Implied Probability CHW Shane Smith: +129; 43.7% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8:05pm EST — O/U 8.5 MIL Chad Patrick: +129; 43.7% Implied Probability CHC Ben Brown: -159; 61.4% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advertisement 8:05pm EST — O/U 8.5 KC Seth Lugo: +114; 46.7% Implied Probability TEX Jack Leiter: -133; 57.1% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9:40pm EST — O/U 7.5 BOS Walker Buehler: +151; 39.8% Implied Probability SEA Bryan Woo: -179; 64.2% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9:45pm EST — O/U 7.5 CLE Slade Cecconi: +140; 41.7% Implied Probability SF Robbie Ray: -167; 62.5% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advertisement -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10:05pm EST — O/U 10.5 HOU Jason Alexander: -143; 58.8% Implied Probability ATH JP Sears: +121; 45.2% Implied Probability -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10:10pm EST — O/U 9.5 SD Randy Vasquez: +182; 35.5% Implied Probability LAD Matt Sauer: -217; 68.5% Implied Probability LAGHEZZA'S LEANS: My first read usually comes down to one thing: underdogs at plus odds with a 50/50 chance to win outright — Today's are NYM, BAL, CHW, MIL, and KC. Remember, baseball's inherently variant and backing dogs greatly lowers the necessary win/loss record to profit long-term. Advertisement Thanks so much for reading — it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come find out what all the hubbub's about regarding my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page. This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 17, 2025, where it first appeared.