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The Staggering Price Of US Hurricanes Since 2016: Over $800 Billion
The Staggering Price Of US Hurricanes Since 2016: Over $800 Billion

Yahoo

time6 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

The Staggering Price Of US Hurricanes Since 2016: Over $800 Billion

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is beginning, following the costliest nine-year siege of hurricanes and tropical storms in the U.S. that claimed over 4,000 lives. - Beginning with Hurricane Matthew in 2016 and ending with Hurricane Milton in 2024, a siege of 29 tropical storms and hurricanes over nine years caused at least $1 billion in damage in the U.S., according to statistics compiled by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information. - The total damage in the U.S. from these 29 storms was estimated at $820 billion, the costliest nine-year stretch for tropical cyclones in the U.S. dating to 1980. That's more than the 2023 gross domestic product of Poland. - These 29 storms claimed 4,026 lives in the U.S. from elements directly related to each storm's flooding and winds. The large majority of those deaths were in Puerto Rico from 2017's Hurricane Maria (2,981), though two recent hurricanes - Helene (219 killed) and Ian (152 killed) - also claimed over 100 lives each. (MORE: Helene, Milton Among Most Recent Hurricane Names Retired) - In that same nine-year stretch, six of the 10 costliest U.S. hurricanes have occurred. - Three of those - Ida ($85 billion), Ian ($120 billion) and Helene ($79 billion) - have occurred in the past four years. The other three - Harvey ($160 billion), Irma ($64 billion) and Maria ($115 billion) each occurred in 2017. - NOAA's database lists 67 U.S. billion-dollar-plus tropical storms and hurricanes since 1980. - But these events don't happen every year. Before 2016, the U.S. went three straight years without a billion-dollar tropical storm or hurricane following Superstorm Sandy. There were also two-year stretches without these particularly costly storms after the 2008 and historic 2005 hurricane seasons. (MORE: When Was The Last 'Quiet' Hurricane Season?) - Outlooks from Colorado State University, The Weather Company/Atmospheric G2 and NOAA are each calling for a more active than average 2025 hurricane season, but not as active as 2024. - "Since 1950, 23% of all North Atlantic hurricanes have made landfall in the U.S.," wrote Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2 in an earlier outlook. NOAA's Hurricane Research Division calculated an average of about one hurricane made landfall in the U.S. each year, based on data from 1851 through 2022. - Crawford's team noted long-range computer models suggest the pattern of winds aloft that guide hurricanes could steer them more toward the U.S. again in 2025. - It's too soon to tell whether that pattern will be in place while a hurricane is out there this season. For now, the AG2/TWC team is forecasting three hurricanes to make a U.S. landfall in 2025, two less than did so during the destructive 2024 hurricane season. Now – not in the days before a hurricane strikes – is a good time to refresh or develop a plan. That includes knowing if you live in an evacuation zone, assembling a disaster kit at home, making your home as resilient as possible, checking on your insurance policy and making an inventory of your belongings. Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.

Weather Experts Are Sharing Their Predictions For This Year's Hurricane Season—Here's What To Expect
Weather Experts Are Sharing Their Predictions For This Year's Hurricane Season—Here's What To Expect

Yahoo

time10-05-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

Weather Experts Are Sharing Their Predictions For This Year's Hurricane Season—Here's What To Expect

As if this summer's scorching weather prediction from the Old Farmer's Almanac wasn't enough to set us all—ahem—ablaze, hurricane season 2025 is also poised to set some records. While hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean typically runs from June 1 through November 30, some forecasting models indicate storms will be arriving early, and the forecast team at Atmospheric G2 and The Weather Company predict there is an "above average" U.S. landfall threat this year. "We expect 19 storms to form in 2025, nine of which will become hurricanes and four of which will reach Category 3 status or stronger," the release stated. The figures are consistent with a report released by hurricane researchers at Colorado State University earlier this year. But take heart—reports also indicate that the Atlantic hurricane season may not be as active as 2024, which saw 11 hurricanes, five of which were Category 3+, and 18 named storms in total. "Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic are generally warmer than normal, but not as warm as they were last year at this time," a release from Colorado State reads. "We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity." Based on data from 1851 to 2022, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division calculated an average of about one hurricane made landfall in the U.S. each year. Related: What Do Hurricane Categories Really Mean? Read the original article on Southern Living

2025 Hurricane Season Outlook: Not Quite 2024, But Above-Average US Landfall Threat
2025 Hurricane Season Outlook: Not Quite 2024, But Above-Average US Landfall Threat

Yahoo

time17-04-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

2025 Hurricane Season Outlook: Not Quite 2024, But Above-Average US Landfall Threat

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season may not be as active as last year, but the threat of U.S. landfalls remains higher than average, according to a just-released outlook issued by The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2. The forecast figures: We expect 19 storms to form in 2025, nine of which will become hurricanes and four of which will reach Category 3 status or stronger, according to the outlook released Thursday. That's above the 30-year average tally for both hurricanes and storms. It's just a couple of hurricanes shy of 2024's total of 11 hurricanes. It's consistent with an outlook issued earlier this month by Colorado State University's tropical forecast team. (MORE: 2025 Hurricane Season Names Includes One Newcomer) Still a greater U.S. threat: More important than the number of storms in the entire basin is where they go, or how many may threaten land. "Since 1950, 23% of all North Atlantic hurricanes have made landfall in the U.S.," wrote Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. NOAA's Hurricane Research Division calculated an average of about one hurricane made landfall in the U.S. each year, based on data from 1851 through 2022. But Crawford's team found hints that the threat could be larger this season. That's because long-range computer models suggest the pattern of winds aloft that guide hurricanes could steer more toward the coast again in 2025. Of course, it's too soon to tell whether that pattern will be in place while a hurricane is out there this season. For now, the AG2/TWC team is forecasting three hurricanes to make a U.S. landfall in 2025, two less than did so during the destructive 2024 hurricane season. (MORE: Changes Ahead For 2025 Hurricane Season) Water still warm, but not like 2024: The Gulf and Caribbean are warmer than average but are cooler than they were this time last year. These regions, combined with the subtropical Atlantic, are where we look for early-season activity. More significantly, water temperatures in the eastern Atlantic, including parts of the region known as the Main Development Region (MDR), are closer to average, if not slightly cooler, and substantially cooler than the record warmth we saw last year. The MDR is the primary host location for hurricanes that threaten the U.S. and Caribbean during the peak of hurricane season. Should this lukewarm to cooler water stick around several months from now, it would be a major speed bump for tropical development in that region. (MORE: For even more granular weather data tracking in your area, view your 15-minute details forecast in our Premium Pro experience.) La Niña is gone, but what's next: The phase of El Niño vs. La Niña is one of the strongest influences on hurricane season activity. In general, La Niña Atlantic hurricane seasons have less wind shear that can otherwise rip storms apart, and more rising, unstable air that is more conducive for thunderstorms, the building blocks of tropical storms and hurricanes. Stronger El Niño hurricane seasons produce more wind shear and sinking air over the Caribbean Sea and adjacent parts of the Atlantic Ocean, making the environment more hostile for tropical development. We don't expect a strong hurricane-suppressing El Niño this hurricane season. NOAA's latest forecast indicates neither La Niña nor El Niño may be a player. Instead, neutral conditions are the most probable outcome during the heart of hurricane season (August through October). This is another reason for the slightly elevated hurricane season activity. (MORE: What Is La Niña?) Prepare every season: Regardless of what seasonal outlooks say, you should be prepared for every hurricane season. Even quieter hurricane seasons can include one destructive hurricane landfall, or for that matter, an inland remnant with flooding rain and high winds. For those affected, that would not be a "quiet" season. If you're along the East or Gulf coasts, the time to develop your hurricane safety plan is now, not when a storm is just days away. Information about hurricane preparedness can be found here. Jonathan Belles has been a graphics meteorologist and writer for for 8 years and also assists in the production of videos for The Weather Channel en español. His favorite weather is tropical weather, but also enjoys covering high-impact weather and news stories and winter storms. He's a two-time graduate of Florida State University and a proud graduate of St. Petersburg College.

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