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ABC News
09-05-2025
- Politics
- ABC News
The Muslim Vote-endorsed candidates who scored numbers at the polls say they're just getting started
Labor may have retained the Western Sydney seats of Blaxland and Watson with comfortable margins, but a closer look at the results reveals the party has lost some support. While the federal election was fought on many fronts including the housing crisis, cost of living and migration, the issue of Gaza loomed large in the two seats, where the highest concentration of Australian Muslims live. Independents endorsed by The Muslim Vote campaign secured enough of the primary vote to edge out the Liberal candidates and come second in the two-party preferred vote behind Labor frontbenchers Tony Burke and Jason Clare. The Muslim Vote formed less than two years ago with a mission to unify Australian Muslims as a voting bloc to back independent candidates sympathetic to the Palestinian cause. The Muslim Vote has consistently accused the Labor government of complicity in the destruction of Gaza and attacks on its people. In Blaxland, independent Ahmed Ouf averaged 20 per cent of the primary vote across the electorate. ABC analysis of booth data reveals Mr Ouf dominated in suburbs like Guildford and South Granville with almost 46 per cent of first preferences. In Auburn Central he got as high as 46.6 per cent of the primary vote. Mr Ouf managed to bite into Education Minister Jason Clare's margin which went from 55 per cent at the 2022 election to about 46.5 per cent last Saturday. He seems to have also siphoned a similar percentage of primary votes from the Liberal Party, which had just over 27 per cent in 2022 but around 19 per cent this year. Independent Ziad Basyouny in Watson also chipped away at Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke's primary vote, which was down from 51.9 per cent in 2022 to about 48.5 per cent. Political scientist and the Centre for Western Sydney executive director Andy Marks said there was "no question" that Gaza and geopolitics played an outsized role in Western Sydney and the vote overall. "This is the kind of surge you would expect to see over four or five election cycles, typically," Professor Marks said. "For them to poll so strongly early on, I think says something about the broad base of their appeal." The Labor Party, Mr Burke and Mr Clare declined to comment. The Greens also experienced a significant upswing in their Senate votes in those seats. Voting data shows the Greens more than doubled their Senate vote in Blaxland from 6 per cent in 2022 to about 13.6 per cent this year. In Watson they rose from 9 per cent to about 14.5 per cent. NSW senator and Greens deputy leader Mehreen Faruqi credited the improved vote share to Muslim communities backing the party's stance on Gaza. The International Court of Justice last January ruled Israel must do everything in its power to prevent its troops from committing genocide in Gaza. Israel rejected the genocide allegations levelled against it, brought to the court by South Africa. The Palestinian health ministry in Gaza said in March that since October 7, 2023, Israel has killed more than 50,000 Palestinians. The Israeli government said 1,200 Israelis were killed in an attack by Hamas. Professor Marks believes the Greens' Senate result is an indicator of how voters in the electorates engage with federal politics. "I think the fact that the voters were able to discern a role for the Greens, if you like a guardian role for them in the Senate, says that the electorate is pretty sophisticated — they consider those checks and balances very carefully." The Muslim Vote convener Sheikh Wesam Charkawi said the results send a clear message to Labor. "These are not passive voters. They're active voters who voted to basically reject their stance on Gaza, Palestine, their weak stance," he said. Sheikh Wesam said the results in the 2025 election were only the beginning and vowed the community "will no longer accept broken promises". Professor Marks said the vote share in these electorates signalled there was strong support for both independents should they contest the next election. "It's a conundrum for Labor and for the Liberals but if you're in office, if you're Labor, you're thinking do I need to co-opt this group? Do I need to align and accept they'll be there much like the Greens are a continual force in that space in the electorate."
AU Financial Review
22-04-2025
- Business
- AU Financial Review
How the housing crisis is putting even the safest seats at risk
Labor and the Coalition face electoral upheaval in traditionally safe seats where housing affordability has deteriorated rapidly, making Millennial and Generation Z voters more likely to turn away from the major parties. Exclusive analysis by The Australian Financial Review of nearly 25,000 data points compiled by research firm Cotality, formerly CoreLogic, shows safe Labor seats such as Watson, Blaxland, McMahon and Kingsford Smith have recorded among the worst deterioration in housing affordability since the 2022 federal election.
