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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Astrana Health's Q1 Earnings Call
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Astrana Health's Q1 Earnings Call

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Astrana Health's Q1 Earnings Call

Astrana Health's first quarter results for 2025 were met with a negative market reaction, with revenue growth driven by its Care Partners segment and progress in full-risk contracts. However, management acknowledged that the quarter's performance was tempered by lower-than-expected revenue and compressed operating margins. CEO Brandon Sim pointed to the flu season and higher emergency room and lab utilization in Medicaid as factors impacting costs, while also highlighting ongoing investments in technology and integration. Sim stated, 'Margins were moderated by planned ongoing investments in growth integration technology, as well as by revenue growth in areas with lower near-term margin profiles.' Is now the time to buy ASTH? Find out in our full research report (it's free). Revenue: $620.4 million vs analyst estimates of $636.2 million (53.4% year-on-year growth, 2.5% miss) Adjusted EPS: $0.34 vs analyst estimates of $0.33 (in line) Adjusted EBITDA: $36.39 million vs analyst estimates of $35.7 million (5.9% margin, 1.9% beat) The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $2.6 billion at the midpoint EBITDA guidance for the full year is $180 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $181.2 million Operating Margin: 3.3%, down from 7.5% in the same quarter last year Market Capitalization: $1.23 billion While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention. Ryan Daniels (William Blair) asked about remaining milestones for CHS integration. CEO Brandon Sim explained integration is complete, but further implementation of the care model should drive margin improvements over time. Michael Ha (Baird) pressed on the seasonality and drivers behind the lighter revenue outlook for next quarter. Sim attributed this to Medicaid volatility and full-risk conversions being weighted toward the second half of the year. Jack Slevin (Jefferies) questioned Astrana's confidence in leveraging favorable Medicare Advantage rates. Sim responded that while the rate update was anticipated, its exact financial impact will become clearer as more details emerge. Jailendra Singh (Truist Securities) asked about profitability in the ACO REACH program and the impact of recent risk adjustment changes. Sim shared that the company absorbed a modest drag from retroactive adjustments, offset by other risk-management strategies. Brooks O'Neil (Lake Street Capital Markets) probed on organizational stress from rapid growth and integration. Sim acknowledged the challenges of scaling rapidly, emphasizing ongoing focus on integration and cultural cohesion. In the upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and effectiveness of integrating Prospect Health and realizing promised synergies, (2) the continued conversion of members to full-risk contracts and resulting margin trends, and (3) the outcome of Medicaid contract renewals and regulatory developments in key states. Progress in leadership-driven data and technology initiatives will also be a key signpost for sustainable growth. Astrana Health currently trades at $24.73, down from $33.40 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it's free). The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump's presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025. While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we're homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver's seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025). Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Healthcare Technology for Providers Stocks Q1 Teardown: Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) Vs The Rest
Healthcare Technology for Providers Stocks Q1 Teardown: Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) Vs The Rest

Yahoo

time09-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Healthcare Technology for Providers Stocks Q1 Teardown: Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) Vs The Rest

Looking back on healthcare technology for providers stocks' Q1 earnings, we examine this quarter's best and worst performers, including Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) and its peers. The healthcare technology industry focuses on delivering software, data analytics, and workflow solutions to hospitals, clinics, and other care facilities. These companies enable providers to streamline operations, optimize patient outcomes, and transition to value-based care models. They boast subscription-based revenues or long-term contracts, providing financial stability and growth potential. However, they face challenges such as lengthy sales cycles, significant upfront investment in technology development, and reliance on providers' adoption of new tools, which can be hindered by budget constraints or resistance to change. Over the next few years, the sector is poised for growth as providers increasingly prioritize digital transformation and efficiency in response to rising healthcare costs and patient demand for seamless care. Tailwinds include the growing adoption of AI-driven tools for patient engagement and operational improvements, government incentives for digitization, and the expansion of telehealth and remote patient monitoring. However, headwinds such as tightening hospital budgets, cybersecurity threats, and the fragmented nature of healthcare systems could slow adoption. The 6 healthcare technology for providers stocks we track reported a mixed Q1. As a group, revenues beat analysts' consensus estimates by 3.4% while next quarter's revenue guidance was 0.7% below. While some healthcare technology for providers stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 4.4% since the latest earnings results. Formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings until early 2024, Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) operates a technology-powered healthcare platform that enables physicians to deliver coordinated care while successfully participating in value-based payment models. Astrana Health reported revenues of $620.4 million, up 53.4% year on year. This print fell short of analysts' expectations by 2.5%. Overall, it was a slower quarter with full-year EBITDA guidance slightly missing analysts' expectations. "Astrana's strong start to the year reflects the continued momentum behind our mission to build the nation's leading patient-centered healthcare platform. Our differentiated clinical capabilities and technology-enabled delegated model continue to drive strong, profitable growth while delivering better outcomes for both patients and providers. Even in a complex regulatory and economic environment, we continue to prove that value-based care can deliver meaningful impact at scale with long-term sustainability," said Brandon Sim, President and CEO of Astrana Health. Astrana Health achieved the fastest revenue growth but had the weakest performance against analyst estimates and weakest performance against analyst estimates of the whole group. Still, the market seems discontent with the results. The stock is down 11.7% since reporting and currently trades at $25.20. Is now the time to buy Astrana Health? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it's free. Operating one of the largest healthcare group purchasing organizations in the United States with over 4,350 hospital members, Premier (NASDAQ:PINC) is a technology-driven healthcare improvement company that helps hospitals, health systems, and other providers reduce costs and improve clinical outcomes. Premier reported revenues of $261.4 million, down 8.9% year on year, outperforming analysts' expectations by 7.4%. The business had a very strong quarter with an impressive beat of analysts' EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts' full-year EPS guidance estimates. Premier delivered the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 11.7% since reporting. It currently trades at $22.94. Is now the time to buy Premier? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it's free. Driven by the vision of an "Autonomous Pharmacy" with zero medication errors, Omnicell (NASDAQ:OMCL) provides medication management automation and adherence tools that help healthcare systems and pharmacies reduce errors and improve efficiency. Omnicell reported revenues of $269.7 million, up 9.6% year on year, exceeding analysts' expectations by 3.7%. Still, it was a slower quarter as it posted full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts' expectations. Interestingly, the stock is up 2.6% since the results and currently trades at $31.29. Read our full analysis of Omnicell's results here. Founded in 2011 to transform how healthcare is delivered to patients with complex needs, Evolent Health (NYSE:EVH) provides specialty care management services and technology solutions that help health plans and providers deliver better care for patients with complex conditions. Evolent Health reported revenues of $483.6 million, down 24.4% year on year. This number surpassed analysts' expectations by 4.9%. Zooming out, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced full-year revenue guidance slightly topping analysts' expectations but a significant miss of analysts' EPS estimates. Evolent Health pulled off the highest full-year guidance raise but had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is down 22.7% since reporting and currently trades at $8.33. Read our full, actionable report on Evolent Health here, it's free. Operating in 13 states and the District of Columbia with over 4,300 providers serving more than 4.8 million patients, Privia Health (NASDAQ:PRVA) is a technology-driven company that helps physicians optimize their practices, improve patient experiences, and transition to value-based care models. Privia Health reported revenues of $480.1 million, up 15.6% year on year. This result beat analysts' expectations by 6.5%. It was a strong quarter as it also produced an impressive beat of analysts' EPS estimates and sales volume in line with analysts' estimates. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $23.19. Read our full, actionable report on Privia Health here, it's free. Thanks to the Fed's rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been on a steady path downward, easing back toward that 2% sweet spot. Fortunately (miraculously to some), all this tightening didn't send the economy tumbling into a recession, so here we are, cautiously celebrating a soft landing. The cherry on top? Recent rate cuts (half a point in September 2024, a quarter in November) have propped up markets, especially after Trump's November win lit a fire under major indices and sent them to all-time highs. However, there's still plenty to ponder — tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and what 2025 might hold for the economy. Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Quality Compounder Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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