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Globe and Mail
6 days ago
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Soybean Oil Technical Analysis
Soybean Oil Analysis The chart is key to this analysis. (ZLZ25) There are two methods we use at ONE44 to find support and resistance in the markets. The first are major Gann squares, these are the yellow horizontal lines on the chart. The second is Fibonacci retracements. December Soybean Oil has held key Fibonacci retracements on every setback since this rally started on 8/16/24. There were two setbacks that held 78.6% retracements on 12/18/24 and 3/13/25, when following the ONE44 78.6% rule we know this is where a lot of bull markets start. The next two setbacks held 38.2% retracements on 4/9/25 and 6/3/25, holding this level shows the market has a trend. The setback on 6/26/25 held 23.6% a very strong sign and was stopped on the high by the 56.93 major Gann square. The current low is on a 23.6% retracement again at 52.90. In the update below we have the swing point and what to look for above and below based on the two methods of analysis. December The setback this week is just short of 23.6% back to the 8/16/24 low at 52.90 and this will be the key level for next week. Use 52.90 as the swing point for the week. Above it, the short term target is 78.6% back to the 7/30/25 high at 56.40. The long term target is 61.8% on the continuation chart at 63.60. Before then there are two major Gann squares to look for resistance and the use as the swing point when closed above at 59.75 and 62.50. Below it, the short term target area is the 50.49 major Gann square and 38.2% back to the contract low at 50.20. The longer term target is 61.8% of the same move at 45.75. ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares. If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member. You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. Sign up for our Free newsletter here. FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Forbes
08-04-2025
- Business
- Forbes
What Is A Bear Market? And Why It Matters To You
By Dominique A. Harroch and Richard D. Harroch Financial markets are inherently cyclical, marked by periods of growth and contraction. While investors often focus on the highs of Bull Markets, it's just as important to understand the other side of the cycle: the Bear Market. These periods of sustained market decline can be challenging, but they also offer critical insights into the broader economy and investor behavior. A Bear Market typically refers to a prolonged drop in stock prices—defined as a decline of 20% or more from recent highs in major indices such as the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average. These downturns are often accompanied by economic slowdowns, increased investor pessimism, and heightened market volatility. Though unsettling, Bear Markets are a natural part of the financial landscape and can present opportunities for disciplined, long-term investors. Bear Markets are more than just headlines—they affect people and businesses. Understanding Bear Markets can help you prepare, adapt, and protect your financial well-being whether you're an individual investor, a business owner, or someone just planning for the future. For individuals: For businesses: In short, Bear Markets influence job security, access to capital, investment decisions, and financial confidence. Being informed and proactive can make a significant difference in how well you weather the downturn and position yourself for the recovery that follows. Several factors contribute to the onset and duration of a Bear Market. Understanding these indicators can help investors anticipate market shifts and prepare accordingly. Although Bear Markets are often emotionally and financially difficult, investors can take several steps to manage risk and maintain a long-term investment strategy. History has seen several Bear Markets, each shaped by different causes and circumstances. Some of the most notable include: Here's a quick breakdown on the length of Bear Markets. It's worth noting that recoveries (Bull Markets) tend to last much longer—averaging 3 to 5 years or more—which is why long-term investors often ride out Bear Markets rather than try to time them. Bear Markets extend beyond portfolio losses—they can influence behavior, economic policy, and long-term financial plans. While Bear Markets often signal economic challenges, they also present opportunities for thoughtful, long-term investors. By understanding the causes, characteristics, and strategies for managing downturns, investors can make informed decisions and avoid reacting based on fear or uncertainty. Staying diversified, remaining patient, and focusing on long-term goals are key to weathering these periods. In time, markets recover—often setting the stage for the next cycle of growth. With the right preparation, individuals and businesses alike can navigate Bear Markets with resilience and renewed opportunity for their financial future. About the Authors Dominique Harroch is the Chief of Staff at She has acted as a Chief of Staff or Operations Leader for multiple companies where she leveraged her extensive experience in operations management, strategic planning, and team leadership to drive organizational success. With a background that spans over two decades in operations leadership, event planning at her own start-up and marketing at various financial and retail companies, Dominique is known for her ability to optimize processes, manage complex projects and lead high-performing teams. She holds a BA in English and Psychology from U.C. Berkeley and an MBA from the University of San Francisco. She can be reached via LinkedIn. Richard D. Harroch is a Senior Advisor to CEOs, management teams, and Boards of Directors. He is an expert on M&A, venture capital, startups, and business contracts. He was the Managing Director and Global Head of M&A at VantagePoint Capital Partners, a venture capital fund in the San Francisco area. Richard is the author of several books on startups and entrepreneurship as well as the co-author of Poker for Dummies and a Wall Street Journal-bestselling book on small business. He is the co-author of a 1,500-page book published by Bloomberg on mergers and acquisitions of privately held companies. He was also a corporate and M&A partner at the international law firm of Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe. He has been involved in over 200 M&A transactions and 250 startup financings. He can be reached through LinkedIn. Copyright (c) by Richard D. Harroch. All Rights Reserved.
