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Burberry tops list of UK M&A targets in new Bloomberg survey
Burberry tops list of UK M&A targets in new Bloomberg survey

Fashion Network

time01-08-2025

  • Business
  • Fashion Network

Burberry tops list of UK M&A targets in new Bloomberg survey

British companies, including Burberry Group Plc, dominate the ranks of European-listed firms seen as potential takeover targets, with discounted UK equity valuations making them increasingly attractive to buyers. London-listed stocks account for about 60% of companies mentioned in an informal survey conducted by Bloomberg News in July. The poll included 44 risk-arbitrage desks, traders, and analysts. Burberry, the iconic trench coat maker, was the most frequently cited company, selected seven times. UK stocks have remained favored M&A targets over the past year, partly due to their relative undervaluation compared to international peers. This has led to a series of delistings that have further reduced the size of the local stock market. London's FTSE 100 Index trades about 13% below the Euro Stoxx 50 Index and 41% below the S&P 500, based on valuation relative to earnings forecasts. In Burberry's case, there are signs that the brand is beginning to deliver on its turnaround plan under Chief Executive Officer Joshua Schulman. After back-to-back annual declines of 30%, the stock has risen 32% in 2025. According to Emmanuel Valavanis, an equity sales specialist at Forte Securities in London, Burberry's brand equity could be attractive to a larger luxury group 'not afraid to pay up for bolt-on growth and an iconic label.' However, the transformation is not yet complete. 'Burberry's renewal effort still needs more work,' said Graham Simpson of Canaccord Genuity Quest, adding that a potential suitor would likely focus on extracting synergies. BP Plc and Anglo American Plc also featured among the leading UK takeover candidates, consistent with their inclusion in a similar January survey. Rightmove Plc, the online property portal, received four mentions after drawing multiple bids last year from Rupert Murdoch's REA Group. UK dealmaking 'roared back' in the second quarter, said Patrick Sarch, head of UK public M&A at law firm White & Case LLP, in July. 'We anticipate more bids for UK companies from US and corporate bidders, and that the financial services, infrastructure, natural resources, and tech sectors will continue to be active,' Sarch added. Outside the UK, the recent trade agreement between the European Union and the United States is expected to 'encourage corporates to go ahead with planned transactions,' according to Eric Meyer, head of RBC Capital Markets in Paris. Among continental names, Carrefour SA was a frequently mentioned target, cited four times by respondents. The supermarket chain is currently reviewing its portfolio to improve its valuation and recently divested its struggling Italian business. European banking M&A also remains active, continuing a trend from 2024. Commerzbank AG was again a popular name in the latest survey. UniCredit SpA, which has expressed interest in acquiring Commerzbank, increased its stake to about 20% this month. The move makes UniCredit the bank's largest shareholder, overtaking the German government, which remains opposed to a takeover. 'Bank deals are becoming more complicated,' said Nicolas Marmurek, co-head of special situations at Square Global Markets. 'Successful bidders will need strategy, timing, and just the right dose of political finesse.'

Burberry in Focus as UK Dominates European M&A Targets in Survey
Burberry in Focus as UK Dominates European M&A Targets in Survey

Bloomberg

time01-08-2025

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

Burberry in Focus as UK Dominates European M&A Targets in Survey

British companies including Burberry Group Plc dominate the ranks of European listed firms tipped as potential takeover targets, with discounted UK equity valuations making them increasingly enticing to buyers. London stocks account for about 60% of companies mentioned in an informal survey of 44 risk-arbitrage desks, traders and analysts conducted by Bloomberg News in July. The trenchcoat maker was the most popular, picked seven times.

Luxury's Gulf Between Winners and Losers Is Widening
Luxury's Gulf Between Winners and Losers Is Widening

Business of Fashion

time24-07-2025

  • Business
  • Business of Fashion

Luxury's Gulf Between Winners and Losers Is Widening

For Europe's luxury stocks, this earnings season will hammer home the widening gulf between the winners and the losers. The industry got off to a promising start with robust earnings from British trenchcoat maker Burberry Group Plc that sent its stock up as much as 9 percent and better-than-expected sales at Cartier owner Richemont. But upcoming reports from LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, Kering SA and Salvatore Ferragamo SpA look less promising. If sales at these companies undershoot already weak forecasts, the shares may extend this year's drop that has wiped out market value of as much as €175 billion ($205 billion). While the outlook for luxury shares is crucial for Europe's stalled equity market rally given the weight of these companies, investors have to be more selective about the stocks they pick. This gap has been widening as a web of ailing China demand, varying brand perception, a weaker dollar and high valuations impacts these companies differently. The season will be critical to determining the outperformers and laggards, with analysts expecting very wide revenue growth outcomes. 'It's not going to be one-tide-lifts-all-boats for the sector,' said Stefan-Guenter Bauknecht, a senior portfolio manager at DWS. 'It really depends on the category and how the brand is perceived in the category. And the VIP certainly helps.' One striking example of the sector's divide is LVMH versus French peer Hermès International SCA. Sales at LVMH's key Fashion & Leather Goods division are expected to have dropped 7.8 percent in the second quarter, according to analyst estimates. The company reports after the bell on Thursday. Hermes, which has been an example of how companies can thrive on selling the highest-end items, is expected to report revenue growth of 12 percent at its leather goods division. Its results are due on July 30. In the case of the Louis Vuitton and Tiffany & Co. owner, the stock has lost roughly half of its value over the past two years, losing its crown of Europe's biggest stock, with investors increasingly worried about an unprecedented demand slump in China. Hermes shares, on the other hand, are weathering the broader industry pullback. After a 160 percent jump since the end of 2020, the stock is little changed this year versus a 7 percent drop in Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s basket of luxury shares. In the current economic context, pricing power is critical, said Helen Jewell, Europe, Middle East and Africa chief investment officer at BlackRock Fundamental Equities. 'The challenge for investors has been some of the names that we thought had greater brand strength, and it turned out they actually didn't,' she said, adding that there could be some buying opportunities after the selloff in the sector 'but you do need to be selective.' For the sector as a whole, the difference is stark between now and the 2021 to 2023 boom times, when investors were rushing to snap up any European luxury shares as they reaped the profits from shoppers on a post-pandemic spending spree. But with China's sluggish economy putting a dent into demand for pricey handbags and watches, investors are buying shares in the brands that can captivate consumers and selling the ones that can't. Among this year's winners, shares in Burberry have surged more than 30 percent. The UK fashion brand is gaining traction with its turnaround plan and winning new customers through its outwear push. To some investors, luxury valuations are still too high overall even after this year's plunge in a number of stocks. The industry has an average forward price-earnings ratio of 27, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a near 85 percent premium to the broader market and above the long-term premium from the past 10 years. 'This is a sector that is fully exposed to tariffs and fully exposed to the weaker dollar,' said Roland Kaloyan, head of European equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. 'It's going to be quite difficult, so I stick to my underweight.' By Sagarika Jaisinghani, Michael Msika, Julien Ponthus Learn more: Opinion: When Will Luxury's Perfect Storm Pass? The luxury sector is probably closer to the end of the storm than the beginning, but many valuations are pricing in the worst, writes Andrea Felsted.

Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider
Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider

Fashion Network

time23-07-2025

  • Business
  • Fashion Network

Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider

For Europe's luxury stocks, this earnings season will hammer home the widening gulf between the winners and the losers. The industry got off to a promising start with robust earnings from British trench coat maker Burberry Group Plc that sent its stock up as much as 9% and better-than-expected sales at Cartier owner Richemont. But upcoming reports from LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, Kering SA and Salvatore Ferragamo SpA look less promising. If sales at these companies undershoot already weak forecasts, the shares may extend this year's drop that has wiped out market value of as much as 175 billion euros (205 billion dollars). While the outlook for luxury shares is crucial for Europe's stalled equity market rally given the weight of these companies, investors have to be more selective about the stocks they pick. 'It's not going to be one-tide-lifts-all-boats for the sector,' said Stefan-Guenter Bauknecht, a senior portfolio manager at DWS. 'It really depends on the category and how the brand is perceived in the category. And the VIP certainly helps.' One striking example of the sector's divide is LVMH versus French peer Hermes International SCA. Sales at LVMH's key Fashion & Leather Goods division are expected to have dropped 7.8% in the second quarter, according to analyst estimates. The company reports after the bell on Thursday. Hermes, which has been an example of how companies can thrive on selling the highest-end items, is expected to report revenue growth of 12% at its leather goods division. Its results are due on July 30. In the case of the Louis Vuitton and Tiffany & Co. owner, the stock has lost roughly half of its value over the past two years, losing its crown of Europe's biggest stock, with investors increasingly worried about an unprecedented demand slump in China. Hermes shares, on the other hand, are weathering the broader industry pullback. After a 160% jump since the end of 2020, the stock is little changed this year versus a 7% drop in Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s basket of luxury shares. In the current economic context, pricing power is critical, said Helen Jewell, Europe, Middle East and Africa chief investment officer at BlackRock Fundamental Equities. 'The challenge for investors has been some of the names that we thought had greater brand strength, and it turned out they actually didn't,' she said, adding that there could be some buying opportunities after the selloff in the sector 'but you do need to be selective.' For the sector as a whole, the difference is stark between now and the 2021 to 2023 boom times, when investors were rushing to snap up any European luxury shares as they reaped the profits from shoppers on a post-pandemic spending spree. But with China's sluggish economy putting a dent into demand for pricey handbags and watches, investors are buying shares in the brands that can captivate consumers and selling the ones that can't. Among this year's winners, shares in Burberry have surged more than 30%. The UK fashion brand is gaining traction with its turnaround plan and winning new customers through its outwear push. To some investors, luxury valuations are still too high overall even after this year's plunge in a number of stocks. The industry has an average forward price-earnings ratio of 27, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a near 85% premium to the broader market and above the long-term premium from the past 10 years. 'This is a sector that is fully exposed to tariffs and fully exposed to the weaker dollar,' said Roland Kaloyan, head of European equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. 'It's going to be quite difficult, so I stick to my underweight.'

Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider
Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider

Fashion Network

time23-07-2025

  • Business
  • Fashion Network

Luxury's split between winners and losers is only getting wider

For Europe's luxury stocks, this earnings season will hammer home the widening gulf between the winners and the losers. The industry got off to a promising start with robust earnings from British trench coat maker Burberry Group Plc that sent its stock up as much as 9% and better-than-expected sales at Cartier owner Richemont. But upcoming reports from LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, Kering SA and Salvatore Ferragamo SpA look less promising. If sales at these companies undershoot already weak forecasts, the shares may extend this year's drop that has wiped out market value of as much as 175 billion euros (205 billion dollars). While the outlook for luxury shares is crucial for Europe's stalled equity market rally given the weight of these companies, investors have to be more selective about the stocks they pick. 'It's not going to be one-tide-lifts-all-boats for the sector,' said Stefan-Guenter Bauknecht, a senior portfolio manager at DWS. 'It really depends on the category and how the brand is perceived in the category. And the VIP certainly helps.' One striking example of the sector's divide is LVMH versus French peer Hermes International SCA. Sales at LVMH's key Fashion & Leather Goods division are expected to have dropped 7.8% in the second quarter, according to analyst estimates. The company reports after the bell on Thursday. Hermes, which has been an example of how companies can thrive on selling the highest-end items, is expected to report revenue growth of 12% at its leather goods division. Its results are due on July 30. In the case of the Louis Vuitton and Tiffany & Co. owner, the stock has lost roughly half of its value over the past two years, losing its crown of Europe's biggest stock, with investors increasingly worried about an unprecedented demand slump in China. Hermes shares, on the other hand, are weathering the broader industry pullback. After a 160% jump since the end of 2020, the stock is little changed this year versus a 7% drop in Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s basket of luxury shares. In the current economic context, pricing power is critical, said Helen Jewell, Europe, Middle East and Africa chief investment officer at BlackRock Fundamental Equities. 'The challenge for investors has been some of the names that we thought had greater brand strength, and it turned out they actually didn't,' she said, adding that there could be some buying opportunities after the selloff in the sector 'but you do need to be selective.' For the sector as a whole, the difference is stark between now and the 2021 to 2023 boom times, when investors were rushing to snap up any European luxury shares as they reaped the profits from shoppers on a post-pandemic spending spree. But with China's sluggish economy putting a dent into demand for pricey handbags and watches, investors are buying shares in the brands that can captivate consumers and selling the ones that can't. Among this year's winners, shares in Burberry have surged more than 30%. The UK fashion brand is gaining traction with its turnaround plan and winning new customers through its outwear push. To some investors, luxury valuations are still too high overall even after this year's plunge in a number of stocks. The industry has an average forward price-earnings ratio of 27, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a near 85% premium to the broader market and above the long-term premium from the past 10 years. 'This is a sector that is fully exposed to tariffs and fully exposed to the weaker dollar,' said Roland Kaloyan, head of European equity strategy at Societe Generale SA. 'It's going to be quite difficult, so I stick to my underweight.'

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