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Canada Standard
12-05-2025
- Politics
- Canada Standard
Heres why no Western conservative can replicate Donald Trump
The current US president is a unique product of Americas political disfunction, and attempts to mimic him are foolish Australia's Labor government was returned to office at last Saturday's federal election in a landslide win. Labor now holds 90 seats in the House of Representatives to the opposition's 40, inflicting a devastating defeat on the conservatives. The opposition leader, Peter Dutton, a keen admirer of Donald Trump, lost his seat. The conservative opposition in Australia has now been reduced to political irrelevancy in its present form, and - consumed by bitter infighting and recriminations - is destined to disappear as a major political force in the next few years. Earlier last week the centrist Liberal party in Canada won a federal election, defeating the Conservative party, which had been 25 points ahead in the polls earlier in the year. The Canadian Conservative party leader, Pierre Poilievre - once touted as "Canada's Donald Trump" - also lost his seat. Last Thursday, in UK local council elections, the British Conservative party suffered a catastrophic defeat at the hands of Nigel Farage's populist Reform party - losing control of a raft of local councils and mayoralties. Kemi Badenoch, the Conservative leader, is an enthusiastic fan of Donald Trump. She once praised him for being "a force for good in the world" and demanded that the Labour Prime Minister and Foreign Secretary apologise to Trump for daring to have criticised him. Badenoch is certain to face a leadership challenge in the near future and will be deposed as the conservative leader. The UK Conservative party, just like the conservative coalition in Australia, is destined for political oblivion. So dire is the party's predicament that Robert Jenrick, Badenoch's likely replacement as leader, recently called for it to form a coalition with the Reform party. These three election results make clear that conservative parties in the West that seek to imitate Trump derive no benefit from doing so - and that mimicking Trump only hastens their imminent political demise. It is true that Canada is a special case. Trump's absurd threat to make Canada America's "51st state" - a ham-fisted attack on Canadian sovereignty - together with his recent imposition of crippling tariffs made a Liberal election victory virtually inevitable. Canadians have always been particularly sensitive to threats of domination from America. It is also true that Trump's misguided tariff policy - that threatened the globalist economic order, until the global financial system swiftly compelled him to reverse it - caused his popularity within almost all Western nations, such as it was, to decline overnight. Why then have conservative leaders in the West nevertheless continued to flirt with Trumpism despite the negative electoral consequences for them? Conservative leaders clearly believe that by imitating Trump they can duplicate his political "success." That belief, however, is delusional in the extreme - because the circumstances that created a creature like Trump are qualitatively different from the situation in which conservative leaders in the West are constrained to function. No mainstream politician in the West could behave as Trump does and seriously expect to be elected prime minister. Nor could a prime minister who refused to accept the result of an election, fomented a violent attack on a sitting parliament, flagrantly disregarded the rule of law, or jailed judges that handed down decisions adverse to him hope to remain in office. Trump is not a politician at all - despite twice being elected president. Trump is a grotesque populist disrupter, a bizarre product of America's unique political system and its debauched popular celebrity culture. Conservative leaders ignore the fact that Trump is a president - not a prime minister. Trump does not sit in Congress, and he is not accountable to parliament in the same way that a prime minister or leader of the opposition is. Furthermore, as president, Trump has executive powers far beyond those exercised by any prime minister. Since being elected last year, Trump has governed by means of executive orders - a quasi-dictatorial political device that has no counterpart in most Western democracies. Conservative leaders also fail to appreciate the fact that Trump has taken over the Republican party and purged it of ideological divisions. The Republican party - like all traditional conservative parties - had, prior to Trump's capture of it, always been made up of ideologically opposed factions. When Trump took over the party in 2016 he drove out all the old Reagan and Bush conservatives and brutally imposed ideological unity on the party - hence the sad fate of Liz Cheney and other remnants of the older Republican elites. Trump has transformed the Republican party into his own personal fiefdom - and this allows him to behave in the disruptive and crude manner in which he has during both of his crisis-ridden presidencies. No other traditional conservative party in the West is as ideologically unified as Trump's Republican party. In fact, they are all bitterly and deeply ideologically divided. That is why no conservative leader can adopt a fully-fledged Trump agenda - because it would alienate a significant portion of their own parties. Conservative leaders also fail to appreciate that Trump's Republican party is no longer a conservative party at all - it is a populist party committed to a populist agenda. Conservative leaders, for all of the above reasons, are in a very different position from Trump. Nevertheless, they seek to emulate Trump because they are desperate to differentiate themselves from their social democratic political opponents with which - as many voters well know - they are actually in basic ideological and policy agreement. They also hope that flirting with Trump will help them to ward off the increasingly potent threat from emerging populist parties to their right and shore up their waning electoral support. This misguided gambit, however, has recently become a losing game for conservative leaders because disaffected voters in the West understandably now seek a genuine ideological alternative to both major parties. These voters - they make up 30% of the electorate and their numbers are increasing - don't want Trump lite, they want the real thing. Peter Dutton, like Badenoch and Poilievre, has foolishly flirted with Trumpism since becoming the conservative opposition leader three years ago - and his demise neatly illustrates the futility of a conservative leader attempting to turn himself into a Trump clone. Dutton - urged on by right-wing commentators employed by the Murdoch press, Sky News and the Spectator, as well as his close friend and outspoken Trump enthusiast billionaire Gina Rinehart - eagerly welcomed Trump's election as president last year. So deranged are Rinehart and segments of the Murdoch media that - even after Saturday's catastrophic election loss - they are still urging what is left of the conservative coalition to become more Trump-like. Earlier this year, Dutton acquiesced to calls by Trump's lickspittle supporters in his own party and the Murdoch media to recall Australia's ambassador to the US, former Labor Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, because he had the audacity to criticise Trump during his first presidency. Dutton enthusiastically mimicked Trump's "toughness" towards China and his support for the Netanyahu regime's atrocities in Gaza. When Trump announced his ludicrous and inhumane plan to turn Gaza into a Middle Eastern version of the Riviera, Dutton sycophantically hailed him as "a big thinker" and "shrewd." Then, just as the election campaign began, Trump imposed his draconian tariffs, thereby endangering the entire globalist economic order, and the Australian stock market crashed. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese rightly protested and criticised Trump for this - but all Dutton did was to suggest that Albanese's attempt to protect Australia's economic interests and was not "tough" enough. Interestingly, the populist Nigel Farage, who is a close personal friend of Trump and who has campaigned for him, was far more critical of Trump on the tariff issue than Dutton was. Farage even compared Trump to Liz Truss - surely the ultimate political insult. Farage, unlike Dutton, knows that the only way to deal effectively with Trump is to stand up to him. The newly elected Canadian prime minister, Mark Carney, did precisely this at his meeting with Trump this week. Trump has never been popular with mainstream voters in Australia, and his popularity plummeted after the tariff debacle. Dutton, however, persisted with his ill-advised Trump flirtation, foolishly following the advice of conservative commentators who urged him to become even more Trump-like. One commentator penned an article early last week stating that Trump had not caused the Conservative party to lose the Canadian election. Perhaps Dutton believed such nonsense. Dutton staunchly defended one of his shadow cabinet - to whom he had allocated the DOGE-like task of weeding out public service inefficiency - when she was photographed wearing a MAGA cap during the final stages of the election campaign. And early last week Dutton urged voters to pay no attention to the ABC and The Guardian - which he described, in Trumpian terms, as "the hate media." Then - just two days before election day - it was revealed that Trump's campaign co-manager, Chris LaCivita, had made a secret trip to Australia two weeks previously to give Dutton election advice. This suggests that Dutton's infatuation with Trump may have been much more intense than previously thought - and the fact that Dutton kept the visit secret speaks for itself. Dutton could mimic Trump all he liked, but the one thing that he could not do, as a conservative party leader, was adopt a fully-fledged Trumpian agenda that distinguished him from the Labor government. Thus he alienated mainstream voters - while at the same time being unable to attract the votes of those disaffected voters who were seeking a genuine populist alternative to both major parties. These voters reacted by overwhelmingly voting for the safe and unthreatening Albanese government - that had never cravenly ceded Australia's autonomy to Trump as had Dutton - in unprecedented and unexpected numbers. And, on Monday, to add insult to injury, in an interview Donald Trump said "I am very friendly with Albanese. I have no idea who the other fellow who ran against him is." In similar fashion, Trump treated Mark Carney with respect when he met with him this week at the White House. Trump may use sycophants, but he only respects winners. Dutton did not lose last week's election just because of his imprudent mimicking of Donald Trump - but his aping of Trump was indicative of a fundamental lack of political judgment that led to his calamitous electoral defeat. Donald Trump has exerted a toxic influence on conservative politicians in the West for almost a decade, and will no doubt continue to do so - because conservatism's pathetic and increasingly desperate embrace of Trump is a symptom of its political irrelevance and its ideological bankruptcy. (
Canberra Times
03-05-2025
- Politics
- Canberra Times
Dutton concedes election as Labor eyes larger majority
"One fact I think we can all acknowledge and recognise is the Donald Trump factor. It was devastating in Canada for the Conservatives where the Canadian Conservative leader lost 20 points over the course of a few months," he told ABC, referring to the country's recent election.
Canberra Times
03-05-2025
- Politics
- Canberra Times
Labor to form government as coalition vote plummets
"One fact I think we can all acknowledge and recognise is the Donald Trump factor. It was devastating in Canada for the Conservatives where the Canadian Conservative leader lost 20 points over the course of a few months," he told ABC, referring to the country's recent election.
Canberra Times
03-05-2025
- Politics
- Canberra Times
Early surge in support for Labor as votes are counted
"One fact I think we can all acknowledge and recognise is the Donald Trump factor. It was devastating in Canada for the Conservatives where the Canadian Conservative leader lost 20 points over the course of a few months," he told ABC, referring to the country's recent election.
CBC
30-04-2025
- Politics
- CBC
Poilievre is making calls to shore up support as Conservatives take stock of election results
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been on the phone with caucus members and party supporters in the hours since the election, trying to shore up his position after he delivered uneven results, Conservative sources told CBC News. Poilievre, who has made it clear he intends to stay on as leader, is trying to chart a path forward now that he finds himself outside the House of Commons for the first time in more than 20 years after losing his own Ottawa-area seat, according to sources who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak freely about internal party discussions. MPs could try to oust Poilievre, like they did with his predecessor, Erin O'Toole, through provisions of the Reform Act that empower parliamentarians to hold a leadership review. The party's caucus would have to first vote to adopt the act's leadership review powers and then collect enough signatures to prompt that process. But at this early juncture, there is not a strong desire to replace Poilievre, caucus sources said. One caucus source, who worked closely with Poilievre in the last Parliament, told CBC News the leader isn't facing any sort of well-organized internal opposition — at least not yet. Another caucus source said there is some grumbling and disappointment that Poilievre blew what looked like a huge lead earlier this year — and then let 12 Conservative incumbents lose re-election in Monday's vote — but conceded there's no serious movement afoot to get rid of him. WATCH | Why no model could predict this election: Canada's Election: Why no model could predict the outcome 4 hours ago Duration 25:35 A different caucus source said Poilievre is on "very solid ground" after making what this person called "major gains in both seat count and vote share" with important additions in the Greater Toronto Area in particular. But there are some tensions in the Canadian Conservative family. Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston, a Progressive Conservative, said Wednesday he doesn't have any sort of relationship with Poilievre and acknowledged there was a dispute between the two leaders' camps during the last provincial election. Houston said the federal Conservatives will need to do some "soul-searching" after the party came up short yet again against the Liberals. The party lost two MPs in the province. Progressive Conservative Ontario Premier Doug Ford has also had a fractious relationship with his federal counterpart. Conservative MP Jamil Jivani, who tore into Ford in a CBC News interview on election night, posted an anti-Ford meme on social media Wednesday suggesting the premier is a Liberal. Speaking to reporters, Ford said Poilievre and his team never supported the Ontario PCs in the recent provincial election. Ford's party won a massive majority government while voters went in a different direction federally, the premier said. "The people spoke, and they spoke loud and clear on the provincial election and loud and clear on the federal election. That's democracy. That's who they want," Ford said. But, for the federal Conservatives, there is considerable "leadership fatigue" among some members given there have already been four leaders in the last 10 years. A race to replace Poilievre would consume valuable time and resources. Plus, Poilievre has a lot of support among the party's base, as evidenced by the strong turnout at election rallies even in the closing days of the campaign when polls suggested the Conservatives were going to lose again. There were also brisk merchandise sales of Poilievre-branded gear at those events, a sign the leader enjoys affection among the most loyal. WATCH | Without a seat, Poilievre's post-election future is unclear: Without a seat, Poilievre's post-election future is unclear 19 hours ago Duration 2:41 Pierre Poilievre says he wants to remain Conservative leader despite losing his seat in Monday's election, but it's unclear he can. Poilievre has broad support, but a restless caucus and federal-provincial tensions could complicate things. And while some previously held seats slipped away to the Liberals, the party's results were quite strong in some areas. The Toronto-area breakthrough, especially among South Asian and Chinese Canadian voters in some key ridings, was crucial to holding the Liberals to a minority, party sources said. They attribute that to suburban frustrations about crime, in particular, but also cost-of-living issues like housing affordability — two issues Poilievre put front and centre in his campaign messaging. Conservatives making inroads among working-class voters is also a development to celebrate, sources said. Like Ford, Poilievre courted private-sector union endorsements and dropped past Conservative support for laws widely seen as anti-labour, giving him a boost in areas like Hamilton and Windsor, Ont. There have been early conversations about who could serve as the party's interim leader of the Official Opposition, a position that, under law, must be held by a sitting MP. Some names that have been floated by Conservative sources are deputy leader Melissa Lantsman, House leader Andrew Scheer and the party's ethics critic, Michael Barrett. Those three have been trusted Poilievre lieutenants throughout his tenure. They have been given leeway to speak for the party publicly, including during the election — a work assignment given to few other MPs or candidates. Lantsman, Scheer and Barrett all endorsed Poilievre's continued leadership in social media posts in the hours after the election loss. Poilievre will likely ask one of his re-elected MPs to step aside so he can run in a byelection to get back into Parliament — but that could still be months away. At least one re-elected Conservative MP, Chris D'Entremont, said Tuesday that Poilievre's seat loss is a problem. "Quite honestly it's going to be difficult to question or hold the government to account," he said in an interview with CBC Radio's As It Happens. But he questioned whether turfing a Tory MP to help get Poilievre back to the House is the right way to go. "I don't think that's fair for the person who just ran for a year trying to get elected in their area, but that's a discussion we need to have as a caucus," he said. Poilievre and his allies' talk about coming back to finish the fight against the Liberals soon is overly optimistic, said one Poilievre staffer. The Liberals have one of the strongest minority governments in Canadian history — Mark Carney's team is three seats short of a majority — and the NDP is in a very weakened state with few resources, no leader and a miniscule caucus of seven after an electoral drubbing. The NDP will take time to pick a new leader and it's unlikely that Jagmeet Singh's successor will want to go to an election right away, which means another vote is likely 18 months to two years away, at a minimum, said a Conservative staffer who is looking at the long game. While Poilievre has been speaking to party bigwigs, some of the staffers who helped deliver Monday's results haven't heard much of anything about what the future holds for them.
