Latest news with #CashAI
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Dave Stock Skyrockets 416% in a Year: Should You Play or Let Go?
Dave Inc. DAVE stock has shown remarkable growth over the past year. The stock has skyrocketed 416%, outperforming the industry's 77.2% rally and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 17.7% growth. DAVE's performance is significantly higher than that of its close competitors, Upstart Holdings' UPST 75.7% growth and OppFi's OPFI 141.9% surge. 1-Year Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Dave's recent performance paints a different picture. Its shares have declined 13.7% in the past month compared with industry's 10.4% growth and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 3.3% growth. DAVE's recent decline signals that it is going through a correction phase. Meanwhile, OppFi and Upstart Holdings have lost 15.4% and 9.8%, respectively. 1-Month Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Investors may find DAVE's past year's share performance appealing. However, recent results may cause them to reconsider. Let us explore further to conclude what investors should do now. DAVE's Growing Membership Base Dave's rising membership base has served as a key driver of its financial performance in the second quarter of 2025. Monthly Transacting Members were 2.6 million, up 16% from the year-ago quarter. This growth corresponds to the addition of 722,000 new members, at an average customer acquisition cost of $19. A 51% rally in ExtraCash originations in the quarter and 27% growth in Dave Debit Card are a testament to high customer engagement. This sustained member growth, coupled with an enhanced monetization strategy, led to a 64% year-over-year jump in revenues and a 236% upsurge in adjusted EBITDA, reinforcing confidence in the company's outlook and continued expansion. Dave Inc. Revenue (Quarterly) Dave Inc. revenue-quarterly | Dave Inc. Quote Inherently High Credit Risks Weigh on DAVE DAVE's core business model relies on providing small, interest-free cash advances to the underbanked population, who are often neglected by traditional banks. The ExtraCash advances are not subject to a conventional credit check, indicating a higher risk level. Although Dave claims to have lowered credit risk by incorporating CashAI, its proprietary underwriting system, the company remains highly susceptible to macroeconomic headwinds. The recent international tariff shakeup has impacted consumer costs, with prices moving 2.7% up in July from a year ago. This rising inflation results in lower disposable income for those who are living paycheck to paycheck. Such a situation increases the likelihood of consumer advances, leading to higher delinquency rates. In the second quarter of 2025, DAVE reported a 28-day delinquency rate of 2.4%, higher than the year-ago quarter's 2%. The fact that this metric has increased, even though slightly, is alarming. The U.S. unemployment rate has moved up marginally to 4.2% in July from 4.1% in June. About 73,000 non-farm payroll jobs were added in July, significantly lower than the market expectation of 109,000. The U.S. job market slowdown signals higher default risks. With the rising probability of interest rate cuts in the coming months, one may be bullish about the U.S. economy. However, the counteracting risks of higher inflation may trap DAVE users and the company in a loop of increased borrowing and higher default risks. DAVE Faces Fierce Competition Not only do neobanks but traditional ones also threaten Dave. The company caters to the same customer base, consisting of millennials and Gen Zs, who are tech-savvy and live paycheck to paycheck. Fintechs such as OppFi and Upstart Holdings offer similar services to DAVE's. Therefore, in an expanding neobank market, Dave may find itself capturing a fair share of the market pie. Competition moves up a notch when traditional banks come into play. While Dave's primary motive is to target customers who want to avoid traditional bank fees, these banks are introducing offerings such as small-dollar loans and overdraft protection services that compete with fintechs. To stay ahead of the pack, swift investment is the need of the hour. Considering DAVE does the needful, we can expect the company to find it difficult juggling between growth and profitability. No Dividends: Dave's Red Flag Income-seeking investors find stocks with no scope for dividends unappealing. DAVE, operating since 2016, has never paid out dividends and does not plan to do so. Although reluctance to pay dividends is a vital feature of a growth-oriented company, investors seeking regular income may not find this enticing since return in the form of stock appreciation is not guaranteed. Verdict for DAVE: Exit Your Position Dave is successful at attracting more customers using its top-notch offerings. We expect sustained growth and expansion; however, the lingering credit risks threaten DAVE's prospects. Unfavorable macroeconomic factors raise the probability of customer default. That being said, competition is fierce as neobanks and traditional banks find a way out to capture market share, offering services similar to Dave's. Finally, lack of dividends does not necessarily appeal to income-seeking investors. We recommend investors who have gained from the stock's long-term appreciation to book their profits, since the recent correction phase could slash returns. Potential buyers are urged to refrain from considering this stock for now. DAVE currently sports a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dave Inc. (DAVE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) : Free Stock Analysis Report OppFi Inc. (OPFI) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research 擷取數據時發生錯誤 登入存取你的投資組合 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤 擷取數據時發生錯誤
Yahoo
16-07-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
DAVE Rallies 133% YTD: Is Acquiring the Stock Now Justified?
Dave Inc.'s DAVE shares have demonstrated remarkable growth in the year-to-date period. The stock has soared 132.9%, surpassing the industry's 9.8% growth and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 6% rise. The stock has outpaced its industry peers, CoreCard CCRD and Qifu Technology QFIN. CoreCard and Qifu Technology have gained 24.1% and 10.5%, respectively, over the same period. YTD Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research DAVE has outperformed its industry peers in the past three months as well. Dave has skyrocketed 140.3%, exceeding CoreCard's and Qifu Technology's 38.9% and 47.6% growth, respectively. The stock's performance over the past three months and the year-to-date period is noteworthy, spiking investors' interest, prompting them to buy the shares for the long run. Let us assess DAVE's performance to conclude whether it deserves a place in investors' portfolios. Dave's ExtraCash: Guiding Through the Neobank Market The underbanked demography is often neglected by traditional banks, forcing them to find shade under neobanks. Hence, the rising needs of these non-prime/sub-prime consumers become a driving force in the neobank market, such that currently it is anticipated to expand, seeing a CAGR of 40.3% from 2025 to 2034. DAVE, one of the leading names in the neobank market, meets the rising demand of the underbanked through ExtraCash. This service addresses the challenges faced by the underbanked by offering interest-free cash advances up to $500. What appeals to consumers is that there are no traditional credit checks. Dave assesses bank account history and spending patterns to determine customers' creditworthiness, enabling the company to extend credit to sub-prime or non-prime consumers with limited credit history. The company simplified its optional fee model, wherein consumers will pay a 5% fee with a $5 minimum and a $15 cap. This brand-new fee structure enhances transparency around ExtraCash advances, strengthening the company's position among the underbanked. Since consumers can avail of ExtraCash via DAVE's mobile-first platform, we expect the rising popularity of mobile banking to provide an impetus to the company's gains. The risk profile of a consumer who uses ExtraCash may concern investors. To reduce the risks, DAVE has implemented CashAI, its proprietary underwriting engine. This technology has improved customer engagement, with ExtraCash originations increasing 46% year over year to $1.5 billion during the recent March quarter. A tell-tale sign of CashAI's success is the increase in the company's 28-day delinquency rate by 33 basis points year over year in the first quarter of 2025. DAVE: Discounted With Solid Financials Dave shares appear cheap, raising a green flag for investors. The stock is currently priced at 19.74X forward 12-month earnings per share, lower than the industry's average of 23.35X. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The return on equity (ROE) and return on invested capital (ROIC) capture DAVE's impressive profitability position. Currently, the company's trailing 12-month ROE stands at 59.2% way above the industry average of 6.6%. In terms of ROIC, Dave's 26.7% looks promising when compared with the industry's -8.5%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Dave's striking liquidity position should reassure investors of the company's solid financial position. In the recent March quarter, the company's current ratio of 8.59 exceeded the industry average of 1.84, increasing 15% from the year-ago quarter on the back of higher ExtraCash receivables. A current ratio exceeding 1 suggests that the company can cover short-term obligations effectively. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Dave's Top & Bottom-Line Outlook Appears Promising The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's 2025 revenues is $475.8 million, suggesting a 36.7% rise from the prior-year reported level. For 2026, revenues are estimated to increase 23.8% year over year. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share is $8.76, hinting at a 67.2% surge from the year-ago reported level. The same is anticipated to rise 35.1% year over year in 2026. Verdict: Buy DAVE Now Dave appears to be a compelling investment opportunity for now. ExtraCash, which is the company's main product, is successful at catering to the growing needs of the underbanked in an expanding neobank market. The company has simplified its fee structure, strengthening its position. Dave's CashAI has shown promising results in reducing credit risk, steering away from the talks serving risky profiles. The company's optimistic top and bottom-line outlook reflects its strong fundamentals. With that, the stock possesses a discounted valuation, which captures investors' attention. A strong profitability and liquidity position should reassure investors about the company's robust financials. Taking all these factors into consideration, we recommend that investors buy the stock right now and expect a significant return in the long run. DAVE sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dave Inc. (DAVE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Qifu Technology, Inc. (QFIN) : Free Stock Analysis Report CoreCard Corporation (CCRD) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research
Yahoo
12-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Dave Skyrockets 540% in a Year: Should You Buy the Stock Now?
Dave Inc. DAVE stock has shown outstanding growth over the past year. The stock has skyrocketed 540.5%, outperforming the industry's 51.6% rally and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 12.3% growth. DAVE's performance is significantly higher than that of its industry peers, Katapult Holdings KPLT and MediaAlpha MAX. KPLT and MAX have declined 43.8% and 33.5% over the past year, respectively. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Dave has also outperformed Katapult Holdings, MediaAlpha, and the industry as a whole in the past six months. DAVE shares have soared 152.6%, outperforming the industry's 3.1% rise. Katapult Holdings and MediaAlpha have gained 38.5% and 3.2% in the past six months, respectively. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Dave shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year and the past six months. Investors must be flattered by this performance and are planning to initiate a buy. We have analyzed the stock and answered whether buying is the option or if investors should stay away from it. DAVE's CashAI is its proprietary underwriting engine, which has been proven to boost the company's financial performance, as evidenced by the first-quarter 2025 results. During this quarter, non-GAAP variable profit surged 67% year over year, with variable margin growing 950 basis points (bps). The credit goes to CashAI and its ability to improve Dave's cost management strategy, improving its profit margin. CashAI improved customer engagement, with ExtraCash originations increasing 46% year over year to $1.5 billion. Dave managed to approve higher ExtraCash amounts due to CashAI's ability to underwrite profitably despite it being a seasonally soft quarter. Furthermore, it enhanced the company's credit performance, evidenced by a 33-basis-point year-over-year improvement in the 28-day delinquency rate. CashAI leveraged insights and performance data to reduce the percentage of provisions for credit losses to origination from the 0.94% reported in the year-ago quarter down to 0.69%. With an expansion in the training data set, we expect CashAI to identify good risk and maximize approval rates, retaining its competitive edge. The underwriting engine's ability to precisely manage delinquency and loss rates while improving profitability puts Dave further than the existing fintech players that use traditional methods that are slower and less agile. Return on equity (ROE), a measure of profitability, reflects how effectively a company uses its shareholders' investments to generate earnings. Dave's trailing 12-month ROE is 59.2% compared with the industry's average of 6.6%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research DAVE's current ratio in the first quarter of 2025 was 8.59, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.84. The metric has improved from the previous quarter and the year-ago quarter by 6.7% and 15%, respectively. The current ratio exceeds 1, which signals a positive outlook for investors by indicating the company's capacity to pay off short-term obligations efficiently. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's 2025 revenues is pegged at $474.4 billion, suggesting a 36.7% increase from the year-ago reported level. For 2026, the top line is anticipated to rise 24.2% year over year. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $8.74 per share, implying 66.8% growth from the year-ago reported level. For 2026, the bottom line is anticipated to rise 32.3% year over year. Over the past 60 days, two EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward with no downward adjustments. In the same period, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has gained 31.4% and that for 2026 has soared 42.4%. These upward revisions highlight analysts' growing confidence in Dave's ability to improve its financial performance, fueled by its strong business model and robust growth potential. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research We understand Dave's CashAI, an AI-based underwriting engine, is improving its credit quality. In doing so, the company has enhanced its financial performance and finds itself competing with fintech giants. Banking on this technology, the company can easily dominate in a space where fintech players rely on traditional methods that are slower and less agile. Apart from this, DAVE's robust capital return and strong liquidity position raise the green flag for investors. In addition to that, the company is fundamentally strong and has upward EPS revisions, exuding growing confidence among analysts. Factors like these compel us to recommend a 'Buy' on DAVE stocks. Investors who are looking to dip their hands in the fintech space must add Dave to their portfolio now. DAVE sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dave Inc. (DAVE) : Free Stock Analysis Report MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) : Free Stock Analysis Report Katapult Holdings, Inc. (KPLT) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research
Yahoo
31-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Dave Inc. (DAVE): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Dave Inc. (DAVE) on Substack by Next 100 Baggers. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on DAVE. Dave Inc. (DAVE)'s share was trading at $193.70 as of 21st May. DAVE's trailing and forward P/E were 54.41 and 22.73 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. A close-up of a financial advisor giving advice to a customer, demonstrating the importance of consumer and wealth management. Dave Inc. (DAVE), a neobank fintech, is carving out a significant niche by addressing the financial needs of over 100 million underserved Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck. Through its mobile app, Dave offers instant 'ExtraCash' advances up to $500, spending accounts, and side gig discovery tools. With 2.5 million monthly transacting members and over 10 million users historically, Dave operates in a large and underpenetrated market. The company's pivot to a revised fee model in late 2024 has improved monetization without hurting user retention, and revenue per user is climbing. Backed by strong unit economics, Dave's Q1 2025 saw 47% revenue growth YoY, a 77% variable profit margin, and improved operating leverage. CEO Jason Wilk and insiders, holding 21% of shares, remain aligned with shareholder interests and have demonstrated confidence through share repurchases. The company is now free cash flow positive with $90M in cash and manageable debt, supporting a $50M buyback program. While competition is fierce from banks and other neobanks, Dave's AI-driven underwriting (CashAI) has kept delinquency rates low, giving it an edge. Regulatory risks remain, particularly a DOJ lawsuit over past fee practices, but the company has made compliance-driven changes. Trading at 23x forward earnings and 5.8% FCF yield, Dave's valuation remains attractive given its 30%+ growth and rising profitability. With a favorable risk/reward skew, continued ARPU expansion, and new growth avenues such as larger loans or partnerships, the stock could see significant upside. Even if growth moderates, current execution suggests strong durability and long-term shareholder value creation. Dave Inc. (DAVE) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 27 hedge fund portfolios held DAVE at the end of the fourth quarter which was 17 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of DAVE as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DAVE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
29-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Dave Inc. (DAVE): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Dave Inc. (DAVE) on Substack by Next 100 Baggers. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on DAVE. Dave Inc. (DAVE)'s share was trading at $193.70 as of 21st May. DAVE's trailing and forward P/E were 54.41 and 22.73 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. A close-up of a financial advisor giving advice to a customer, demonstrating the importance of consumer and wealth management. Dave Inc. (DAVE), a neobank fintech, is carving out a significant niche by addressing the financial needs of over 100 million underserved Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck. Through its mobile app, Dave offers instant 'ExtraCash' advances up to $500, spending accounts, and side gig discovery tools. With 2.5 million monthly transacting members and over 10 million users historically, Dave operates in a large and underpenetrated market. The company's pivot to a revised fee model in late 2024 has improved monetization without hurting user retention, and revenue per user is climbing. Backed by strong unit economics, Dave's Q1 2025 saw 47% revenue growth YoY, a 77% variable profit margin, and improved operating leverage. CEO Jason Wilk and insiders, holding 21% of shares, remain aligned with shareholder interests and have demonstrated confidence through share repurchases. The company is now free cash flow positive with $90M in cash and manageable debt, supporting a $50M buyback program. While competition is fierce from banks and other neobanks, Dave's AI-driven underwriting (CashAI) has kept delinquency rates low, giving it an edge. Regulatory risks remain, particularly a DOJ lawsuit over past fee practices, but the company has made compliance-driven changes. Trading at 23x forward earnings and 5.8% FCF yield, Dave's valuation remains attractive given its 30%+ growth and rising profitability. With a favorable risk/reward skew, continued ARPU expansion, and new growth avenues such as larger loans or partnerships, the stock could see significant upside. Even if growth moderates, current execution suggests strong durability and long-term shareholder value creation. Dave Inc. (DAVE) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 27 hedge fund portfolios held DAVE at the end of the fourth quarter which was 17 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of DAVE as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DAVE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
