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National Hurricane Center watching stormy area in Atlantic, Florida under heat advisory
National Hurricane Center watching stormy area in Atlantic, Florida under heat advisory

Yahoo

time2 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center watching stormy area in Atlantic, Florida under heat advisory

The odds of an area of disorganized weather developing in the Atlantic increased slightly moving into July 21, but forecasters say environmental conditions will slow any further development by midweek. Floridians should probably worry more about the heat dome threatening to break heat records across the South. "Environmental conditions are marginally conducive, and any development should be slow to occur while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph." the National Hurricane Center said in their Tropical Weather Outlook, which currently gives the area a 20% chance of development over the next week. The NHC is also tracking two tropical waves in the Caribbean. ➤Florida flips from watching tropics to trying to stay cool. Heat advisory issued ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter. Historically, the fourth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season arrives Aug. 15. The last two named storms of the season — Barry and Chantal — developed earlier than normal. Heat index alert: Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida Meanwhile the blazing heat continues in the Sunshine State, with an expanding heat dome spreading across the Deep South to the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, National Weather Service forecasters said. As of July 21, the entire state is under a heat advisory and roughly two-thirds of Florida from the Panhandle down into Central and Southwest regions may be facing major heat risks. There's a heat advisory for North Florida and the Panhandle (and parts of southeast Alabama and southern Georgia) running from 11 a.m. ET through 7 p.m. with heat index values up to 112 expected. Advisories for Central, Southwest and South Florida are scheduled for noon through 6 p.m., with heat index values up to 112 possible. Be careful going outside If you have to, and stay hydrated. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m. July 21: NOAA Hurricane Center tracks tropical disturbance in Atlantic A tropical wave is located about 900 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles have increased some during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are generally favorable for some additional development over the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the middle of this week, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. Formation chance through 48 hours: Low, 20 percent Formation chance through 7 days: Low, 20 percent What do the colored, hatched areas on the NOAA map mean? The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. Florida weather radar for July 21, 2025 National Weather Service Florida forecast for July 21 : A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. Sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 p.m. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 110. Northwest wind around 5 mph. : Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3 p.m. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 107. West wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. : Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p m. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 108. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. : A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2 p.m. and 4 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 100. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. : A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4 p.m and 5 p.m. Sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 108. Light and variable wind becoming west northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. ➤ How to set up emergency cellphone notifications for flash flood warnings and safety tips ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast What else is happening in the tropics? The National Hurricane Center is tracking two tropical waves. Tropical wave 1: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W from 05N to 18N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 120 nm w of the wave axis from 10N to 12N and within 150 nm east of the wave axis from 12N to 14N. Tropical wave 2: A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W from 03N to 17N, part of the area of disturbance mentioned above. Environmental conditions are generally favorable for some additional development of this system over the next day or so while it moves west- northwestward, however, by the middle of this week, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. AccuWeather said there's also a potential for tropical development off the central coast of the U.S. July 22-25. 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Next up, Dexter: Average state date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 24) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm? Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Hurricane Center increases chances storm development

Flash flooding peaks every summer, but with a record 3,000-plus warnings, 2025 is starkly different. Here's why.
Flash flooding peaks every summer, but with a record 3,000-plus warnings, 2025 is starkly different. Here's why.

Boston Globe

time5 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Boston Globe

Flash flooding peaks every summer, but with a record 3,000-plus warnings, 2025 is starkly different. Here's why.

And New England wasn't spared. Our region experienced bouts of flooding rain this month, with just south of Boston flooding to the point where Advertisement 'We are in the heart of flash flood season,' said Alex Lamers, forecast operations branch chief for NOAA. 'The peak tends to be from mid-June through July.' During 'flash flood season,' a third of flash flood alerts for a year typically occur over 55 days, from June 10 to Aug. 3, based on records from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. However, this year's stretch from July 1 through 18 has been particularly eyebrow-raising, with around 900 flash flood warnings issued nationwide. With the US monthly average of around 800, we're on pace to double that amount and set a new record for July. The broader picture is worse. Since January 2025, over 3,100 flash flood warnings have been issued nationwide — the highest year-to-date total since tracking began for alerts in 1986, spanning nearly 40 years. Advertisement 'The overall pattern has favored more flash flooding than usual,' said Lamers. 'And if intense rain happens in a very vulnerable area, the impacts from flash flooding can be magnified.' Take a look at where the most flash floods have occurred since the beginning of July and how they stack up against the norm: Why is it flooding so much? July is the most active month of the year when it comes to flash flood warnings, typically because we're reaching the height of summer and there is a tremendous amount of water vapor in the atmosphere. As climate change continues to warm the atmosphere, triggering more extreme weather, flash flooding is occurring much more frequently. The warmer atmosphere can hold more water, and so far this summer, the average temperature across the country is nearly 3 degrees above the average and headed toward a top 3 finish for hottest summers on record. This moisture can spread far and wide with the jet stream at its weakest and northernmost point, meaning there aren't usually prominent dry systems around to provide relief from the excessive humidity as it spreads north. Remember, the jet stream acts as a fence, typically holding cooler, drier air to the north side. The jet stream drifts to the north during the summer, allowing for moisture to build across most of the Lower 48. University of Oregon With a weak jet stream comes weaker winds, meaning the overall weather pattern slows. You've heard me mention stalled or slow fronts over the past few weeks, increasing rain chances across the region in the daily forecasts. So let's take a look at a simple weather equation: More moisture plus weak wind equals slow-moving storms. This means heavy rain can persist over an area for a longer period, naturally saturating soil and overwhelming drainage systems as well as river and creek banks. The remnants of Advertisement Where Chantal's core moved across in North Carolina, it was a dump of rain. Isolated areas saw shy of a foot of rain. However, you didn't have to go all that far away to see rainfall totals drastically drop off. — NWS Eastern Region (@NWSEastern) The same scenario unfolded over Texas, but with Scattered to widespread rain with pockets of heavier rain continues across the I-35 corridor and portions of the Coastal Plains. Flash flood emergencies and flash flood warnings remain in effect, and dangerous floodwaters continue to flow downstream from today's rains, — NWS Austin/San Antonio (@NWSSanAntonio) The heavy rain event just south of Boston earlier this month saw backbuilding storms in which copious amounts of moisture interacting with a stalled front allowed for 'training' storms to continue regenerating over and over across Southeastern Massachusetts. Some areas saw over 6 inches of rain. Independence Avenue in Quincy experienced flash flooding on July 10, 2025. David L Ryan/ Globe Staff — Ken Mahan (@WeathermanMahan) Other areas, like New Mexico, saw heavy rain persist from a broad southerly flow of moisture over a sensitive terrain of burn scars, peaks, and valleys, which led to flash flooding that cost lives. Flash flood emergency versus flash flood warning A flash flood emergency is reserved for extreme weather situations that pose a severe threat to human life and the potential for catastrophic damage. They are rarely used and warrant that immediate action must be taken or loss is inevitable. Flash flood warnings are issued when flooding is just about to occur and action is needed, either by heading to higher ground or following emergency protocols. So far this month, 15 flash flood emergencies have been issued in the US. Most have centered around the extreme flooding I mentioned above, which is set to be a record for the month, and we still have a couple of weeks to go. Advertisement The record number of flash flood emergencies issued for a year was 92, set just a year ago in 2024. We're on track to tie that unfortunate record this year. Hopefully, things slow down, but as history suggests, it most likely won't. The uneasy part is that we still have the peak of summer humidity in front of us, spanning from July 15 through mid-August. We just might be looking back at a record summer of flooding rain and billion-dollar weather disasters. Worker Keith O'Sullivan moves equipment as he pumps out flood water from CCS and Sons construction on the ground-level floor on Quincy Avenue in Braintree on July 10. John Tlumacki/Globe Staff A chair sits on the edge of a collapsed river bank in Plainfield, Vt., which was badly hit by a flash flood the night before, July 11, 2024. Dmitry Belyakov/Associated Press for our that will arrive straight into your inbox bright and early each weekday morning. Ken Mahan can be reached at

National Hurricane Center Tracks New Disturbance in Atlantic: What to Know
National Hurricane Center Tracks New Disturbance in Atlantic: What to Know

Newsweek

time19 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Newsweek

National Hurricane Center Tracks New Disturbance in Atlantic: What to Know

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. A new disturbance has formed in the central tropical Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami reported on Sunday. The system, known as a tropical wave, is located about 1,000 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles in the Caribbean Sea. It's already producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves west-northwestward at approximately 10 to 15 miles per hour. As of the NHC's latest forecast, environmental conditions appeared only marginally favorable for further development in the short term, with prospects falling to unlikely by midweek. Newsweek has reached out to the NHC for further comment via email Sunday during non-working hours. Why It Matters While the current disturbance is expected to dissipate before posing a direct threat to land, tracking these systems gives meteorologists and emergency managers time to plan should conditions shift unexpectedly. They are also valuable to residents and governments as they ready their emergency preparedness resources and emergency notification systems. Storm preparedness and recovery has been of national concern following the floods in Texas that killed over 100 people and subsequent flash flooding across the U.S. amid funding cuts to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). What To Know According to the NHC, the disturbance is identifiable as a tropical wave carrying clusters of disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the open Atlantic. A tropical wave is defined by the NHC as "an inverted trough (an elongated area of relatively low pressure) or cyclonic curvature maximum moving east to west across the tropics." These systems "can lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone. Also known as an easterly wave," the NHC cautions. The system is being steered west-northwest by prevailing atmospheric conditions. However, due to increasing wind shear and the potential intrusion of Saharan dust, the likelihood of the system organizing into a tropical depression or storm is currently considered low. The forecast in the NHC's 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook, shows the wave track continuing over open water, with no watches or warnings currently in effect for any land areas. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which started June 1, has already seen three named storms: Andrea, Barry and Chantal. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlook on July 20. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlook on July 20. National Hurricane Center What People Are Saying Richard Pasch, senior hurricane specialist for the NHC, said in a statement Sunday: "Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the middle of the week, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development." NHC Deputy Director Jamie Rhome told The Daytona Beach News Journal: "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare." What Happens Next? The NHC and partnering meteorological agencies will continue to monitor the progress of this tropical wave. Updates and outlooks are issued several times daily on the NHC's official website.

National Hurricane Center tracking Invest 93L, 3 tropical waves. What's next for Florida?
National Hurricane Center tracking Invest 93L, 3 tropical waves. What's next for Florida?

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center tracking Invest 93L, 3 tropical waves. What's next for Florida?

Invest 93L was moving inland over southeastern Louisiana, according to the 2 p.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Little development is expected while the center remains near the coast this afternoon and tonight, and the systemis expected to weaken as it moves farther inland on Friday. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Torrential downpours that could trigger dangerous flooding is the main threat for the north-central Gulf Coast as Invest 93L targets Louisiana, according to AccuWeather, which is calling the system of low pressure a "tropical rainstorm." The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter. Historically, the fourth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season arrives Aug. 15. The last two named storms of the season — Barry and Chantal — developed earlier than normal. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 2 p.m. July 17: Invest 93L moving inland over southeastern Louisiana. See path, impacts Satellite, surface, and radar data indicate that the broad low pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Louisiana, and that the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located mainly to the west and southwest of the center. Little development is expected while the center remains near the coast this afternoon and tonight, and the systemis expected to weaken as it moves farther inland on of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through Friday. Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10 percent. Spaghetti models for Invest 93L Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. Where will Invest 93L go next? Tornadoes, up to 16 inches of rain possible "Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through Friday," the National Hurricane Center said. "Weak steering breezes will guide the rainstorm westward over southern Louisiana on Thursday (July 17), according to AccuWeather. "At that point, steering breezes may drop off, which could allow the rainstorm to stall and produce downpours over the same area. "It is also possible that more of a northward or westward drift may continue. The former would allow some heavy rain to spread into more of the Mississippi Delta and lower valley region. The latter could allow downpours to spread westward and possibly reach close to Houston. "It is possible that a couple of tornadoes and waterspouts develop near the central Gulf coast as the storm moves inland on Thursday," said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. "A sizable zone where 4-8 inches of rain is forecast to fall extends across much of the southern half of Louisiana and part of southern Mississippi. Within this zone, pockets where 8-12 inches of rain can fall are anticipated with an AccuWeather Local StormMax rainfall of 16 inches." What is an invest? Short for investigation, the National Hurricane Center uses the term invest for areas of low pressure it is monitoring for potential development into a tropical depression or storm. Invests are not tropical depressions or tropical storms. They're usually clusters of showers and thunderstorms, and just because they've been designated as an invest does not guarantee they'll strengthen into a tropical storm or hurricane. Invests run from 90 to 99, followed by a letter: L for the Atlantic basin and E for those in the eastern Pacific. After 99, it starts over again and the next invest would be 90. Once something has been designated as an invest, specialized data sets and computer models can begin, including scheduling Hurricane Hunter aircraft missions and running spaghetti models. Florida weather radar for July 17, 2025 National Weather Service Florida forecast for July 17. Impacts from Invest 93L Pensacola, western Panhandle: Expect some impacts from Invest 93L across the area in the form of heavy rainfall and high surf. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Localized pockets of heavy rain are possible in the area today. Rip currents are a significant threat along the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend beaches today. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Warming trend expected into the weekend, with highs in the upper 90s to near 100 inland. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Scattered to numerous showers and storms, with highest chances across the interior as warm and humid conditions continue. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: One more afternoon of scattered to numerous storms across South Florida. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Expect a final day of elevated heavy rainfall potential across mainly coastal counties today, with potential flooding in low lying and poor drainage areas this afternoon and evening. ➤ How to set up emergency cellphone notifications for flash flood warnings and safety tips ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast What else is happening in the tropics? The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves. Tropical wave 1: A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, from 09N to 22N, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 2: An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W-67W, south of 20N, moving westward at 23 mph. Tropical wave 3: A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W-80W, south of 20N, moving westward at 23 mph. AccuWeather said there's also a potential for tropical development off the central coast of the U.S. July 22-25. 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Next up, Dexter: Average state date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 24) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm? Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This story has been updated to include new information. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Hurricane Center tracking Invest 93L. Florida impacts

More tropical activity may brew over Gulf next week
More tropical activity may brew over Gulf next week

Yahoo

time3 days ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

More tropical activity may brew over Gulf next week

As a belt of high pressure builds over much of the southern United States next week, waters over the northern Gulf to areas along the central Gulf coast will be the zone to watch for tropical development, AccuWeather meteorologists advise. "Basically, a swirl in the shower and thunderstorm pattern, partially associated with the tropical rainstorm that doused Louisiana from Wednesday to Thursday, may be recycled days later," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. This particular batch of thunderstorms may barely be recognizable as it blends in with existing showers and thunderstorms and travels toward the Ohio Valley this weekend, then off the southern Atlantic coast early next week. From there, winds will guide this swirl, likely containing downpours and thunderstorms westalong the northern Gulf of Mexico. "The area we are watching will be in a zone of higher wind shear (disruptive breezes) when compared to prior areas we have been watching in the northeast Gulf and along the southern Atlantic coast," DaSilva said. "The southern Atlantic area gave birth to Chantal earlier in July." Moderate to high wind shear will limit the development of any tropical rainstorm that organizes over the northern Gulf. At this time, AccuWeather has assigned a low risk of tropical development for next week. "The wind shear will also act as swift steering breezes, quickly taking any such fledgling feature westward across the Gulf with limited time for strengthening," DaSilva said. "Still, a center that tries to form over the open waters of the Gulf instead of bouncing along the upper Gulf coast would have better odds at developing."Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ The steering breezes could carry any moisture west toward Texas and bring at least some uptick in thunderstorm activity along the Texas coast for the middle and latter part of next week. Farther north, under the core of the building heat dome, little to no thunderstorm activity is anticipated in areas such as northern Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kansas. Should a tropical storm develop, the next name on the list for 2025 is Dexter. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer. Solve the daily Crossword

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