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Top three stocks to buy today—recommended by Ankush Bajaj for 14 July
Top three stocks to buy today—recommended by Ankush Bajaj for 14 July

Mint

time14-07-2025

  • Business
  • Mint

Top three stocks to buy today—recommended by Ankush Bajaj for 14 July

The Indian stock market declined on Friday as selling pressure intensified across key sectors, dragging benchmark indices lower. Despite a few resilient stocks, the overall tone remained decisively negative, reflecting investor caution and broad-based profit booking after recent highs. The Nifty 50 managed to hold slightly above the 25,000 mark but still ended lower, settling at 25,149.85, down 205.40 points or 0.81%. The BSE Sensex saw a steep fall, losing 689.81 points or 0.83% to close at 82,500.47, as heavyweight stocks failed to offer any meaningful support. Top 3 Stocks Recommended by Ankush Bajaj for 14 July Buy: Bosch Ltd — Current Price: ₹36,525.00 The stock has shown resilience amid broader market weakness and is consistently holding above key moving averages on both daily and lower timeframes, which reinforces the strength of the current rally. Given the strong technical setup and the alignment of major momentum indicators, Bosch Ltd remains a strong candidate for short-term swing trades. Buy: Dabur India Ltd — Current Price: ₹530.85 Dabur has held up well despite broader market choppiness and continues to trade above short-term moving averages, confirming solid trend alignment. The stock recently broke out of a short-term consolidation phase and is now set up for a potential extension towards higher levels in the coming sessions. Buy: Laurus Labs Ltd — Current Price: ₹790.00 Price action remains robust, with the stock consistently holding above its key short-term moving averages, further confirming the strength of the current trend. The recent breakout from consolidation zones indicates that buyers are firmly in control, setting the stage for a potential continuation towards higher levels in the coming sessions. Market Wrap On Friday, July 11, 2025, the Indian stock market faced a sharp decline, as selling pressure intensified across key sectors, dragging benchmark indices lower. Despite a few resilient stocks, the overall tone remained decisively negative, reflecting investor caution and broad-based profit booking after recent highs. The Nifty 50 managed to hold slightly above the 25,000 mark but still ended lower, settling at 25,149.85, down 205.40 points or 0.81%. The BSE Sensex saw a steep fall, losing 689.81 points or 0.83% to close at 82,500.47, as heavyweight stocks failed to offer any meaningful support. The Bank Nifty, too, slipped 201.30 points or 0.35%, finishing at 56,754.70, signaling weakness in financials and limited participation from key banking names. Sectoral performance painted a grim picture. Auto fell by 0.80%, Oil & Gas dropped 0.67%, and Realty lost 0.63%, all contributing to the downward drag. Although defensives made a mild attempt to stabilize sentiment — with Pharma gaining 0.72%, FMCG up 0.42%, and Healthcare barely positive at 0.08% — their contribution wasn't enough to offset the broader market weakness. In stock-specific action, a few names managed to defy the downtrend. Hindustan Unilever jumped 4.62%, while SBI Life Insurance and Axis Bank rose 1.38% and 0.82%, respectively, supported by selective institutional buying. However, the dominant mood remained bearish, with heavyweights like TCS plunging 3.83%, M&M declining 2.82%, and Bajaj Auto falling 2.63%, all pointing toward heightened selling pressure Nifty Technical Analysis Daily & Hourly The Nifty ended Friday's session (11 July) on a distinctly weak note, closing at 25,149.85, down by 205.40 points or about 0.81%. The index opened with a gap-down and immediately slipped below its recent consolidation range of 25,300–25,600, confirming a breakdown that shifts the near-term bias firmly to the downside. With this move, the Nifty has breached its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which stands at 25,265, and is now trading between the 20-DMA and the 40-day exponential moving average (EMA) placed at 25,009. This breakdown signals that any bounce back toward the 20-DMA is likely to be sold into, with traders now eyeing downside levels near 25,000 and 24,800 as potential targets. On the hourly chart, the weakness appears more pronounced. The index continues to trade below both its short-term 20-hour SMA at 25,348 and the 40-hour EMA at 25,363, indicating that intraday rallies are facing resistance and sellers are dominating short-term trades. The technical structure suggests that the recent consolidation has given way to a fresh leg lower, which could accelerate if support at the psychological 25,000 mark fails to hold. Momentum indicators paint a mixed but cautious picture. On the daily timeframe, the momentum indicator shows a positive crossover, which implies that medium-term strength is not fully broken yet. However, this signal is overshadowed by the sharp breakdown below the 20-DMA. On the hourly chart, momentum has clearly deteriorated — the indicator here shows a negative crossover, aligning with the price structure that favors bears in the very short term. Options data further reinforces the bearish bias. The total Call Open Interest (OI) is at 15.45 crore, significantly outweighing the Put OI of 8.50 crore, creating a net OI difference of about –6.95 crore. This indicates heavy call writing, which is a sign of strong resistance building overhead. Moreover, intraday changes show that Call OI jumped by 7.66 crore contracts while Put OI rose by only 3.06 crore contracts, widening the net bearish difference to –4.60 crore for the session. The maximum Call OI is concentrated at the 25,500 strike, with the largest addition at 25,300, which now acts as a firm resistance zone. On the downside, the 25,000 strike carries the highest Put OI and saw the most Put additions, highlighting it as a crucial support level in the near term. Volatility remains contained, but the market breadth tells a clear story of weakness. The advance-decline ratio on the NSE was sharply negative on Friday, with 1,040 stocks advancing against 1,901 declines, showing that sellers dominated across the broader market too. Although India VIX data wasn't updated here, no sharp volatility spike has yet appeared, suggesting the selling is orderly for now — but the breakdown in price action could trigger more volatility if key support zones give way. In summary, unless the Nifty quickly recovers and sustains above the 25,300–25,350 area, the near-term trend remains negative with a high probability of further downside toward 25,000 and potentially 24,800. Any rebound back toward the 20-DMA may offer traders an opportunity to sell, with strict stop-loss discipline. For now, the breakdown below the tight consolidation range and the clear bearish bias in the derivatives segment both point to short-term weakness dominating early next week's trade. Ankush Bajaj is a Sebi-registered research analyst. His registration number is INH000010441. Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Registration granted by Sebi and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Disclaimer: The views and recommendations given in this article are those of individual analysts. These do not represent the views of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

Rural India shops brands, urban goes beyond labels
Rural India shops brands, urban goes beyond labels

Time of India

time12-07-2025

  • Business
  • Time of India

Rural India shops brands, urban goes beyond labels

Representative image MUMBAI: The grocery bag of urban and rural shoppers is undergoing a divide. Urban Indians are gravitating towards unbranded products in select categories and are also experimenting with new-age brands, while rural consumers are taking to legacy FMCG brands. While there is a big market for unbranded goods in rural, it is losing out to the distribution strength of companies like Nestle, Dabur, and HUL, which are rapidly expanding their rural coverage. For digital-first brands, it will take years, if not decades, to reach this scale. Volume Growth Gap Call it the impact of high inflation seen in the past few quarters or a growing knack for experimentation within urban consumers partly fuelled by online boom, unbranded products are growing faster in cities. A report released by Kantar last month showed that unbranded products recorded an 8.4% volume growth in urban India in FY25 compared to rural's 2.3% growth rate. On the contrary, the volume growth recorded by the 22 listed FMCG companies (only those which contribute to volume growth of the industry meaningfully have been captured) stood at 2.1% in urban regions; in rural areas, the number touched 5.1%. "Currently, about 26% of the FMCG volumes come from the unbranded segment in urban India... Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Así es como esta IA está cambiando la manera en que muchos generan dinero extra. gane con ia Ver más Undo by Taboola by Taboola they are strong in categories like atta, rice, spices, edible oils, and floor cleaners. Price plays a big role in picking up unbranded products in segments like floor cleaners, and inflation likely nudged more metro shoppers to shift to unbranded goods. However, unbranded doesn't always mean it is cheap. In categories such as coffee, while unbranded is relatively a smaller portion, people go for unbranded for its taste and aroma," Manoj Menon, director, commercial at Kantar Worldpanel, South Asia, told TOI. Rural India has been growing faster than its urban counterpart for five consecutive quarters, data released by NielsenIQ for the March quarter showed, as high inflation nudged urban shoppers to cut back on discretionary spending, move to smaller packs, and at times look for cheaper alternatives. A good monsoon last year and govt policies supported rural incomes. There have been some initial signs of recovery, though, with urban volume growth picking up in the June quarter, companies said. Online Vs Mainstream For traditional FMCG players, the challenge is on two fronts - getting people to move from unbranded to branded consumption and keeping up pace with an influx of new-age or digital-first brands, many of which are tapping into spaces and trends big players failed to capture. Take Slurrp Farm, for instance, which started building millet-based products much before they became part of mainstream conversations. The brand, which sells both online and offline, gets more reach and revenues from digital, with quick commerce now contributing 35-40% of total sales, said co-founders Meghana Narayan and Shauravi Malik. The rise of online shopping in urban India has given a space to new-age brands in the game. "More prominently in urban India, consumers are trading up across categories. They are growing out of FMCG brands of the past. Product discovery is happening online, and many of the new-age brands are not yet available in general trade," said Mayank Rastogi, markets leader, strategy and transactions practice at EY India. Big companies have built brands to solve for customers across strata; their businesses are not configured to solve for quick innovation. "D2C new-age brands with their succeed or fail-fast DNA are quick to change product formulations, packaging," said Rastogi. The availability of brands (on digital) and the proliferation of advertising into mobile phones are shifting perceptions on branding among urban shoppers who are becoming more "brand agnostic," Kantar said. Distribution Power Companies are building different strategies to win in urban and rural India. Britannia is making digital-first launches in big urban metros to cater to premium and convenience-seeking consumers. In rural areas, the firm is expanding distribution, said Vipin Kataria, chief commercial officer, sales & replenishment at the company. A lot of ITC's new products in urban areas today are quick commerce first, said Sandeep Sule, divisional chief executive, trade marketing & distribution, FMCG at ITC. For rural areas, the strategy is to innovate across product formats and price points. Dabur is expanding its rural basket by way of affordable and rural-specific packs. "The rural consumers across all income segments are exhibiting a marked propensity towards spending on premium, high-quality products which are backed by strong brand values, even at a high price," said CEO Mohit Malhotra. "While quick commerce is an emerging channel (in urban areas), it currently addresses more impulse and top-up needs," said Angshu Mallick, MD & CEO at AWL Agri Business. Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now

Dabur India eyes double-digit CAGR by FY27-28 with wellness focus
Dabur India eyes double-digit CAGR by FY27-28 with wellness focus

Business Standard

time09-07-2025

  • Business
  • Business Standard

Dabur India eyes double-digit CAGR by FY27-28 with wellness focus

Homegrown fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) company Dabur India is hopeful of achieving a sustainable double-digit growth rate by FY27–28 as it adopts a refreshed strategic vision, the company stated in its annual report released on Wednesday. The company added that improving macroeconomic factors and the forecast of a normal monsoon are among the drivers expected to improve the consumption landscape. In a letter to shareholders, Chairman Mohit Burman said he remains optimistic about a sequential recovery in consumption trends in the new financial year. 'Going forward, we remain optimistic about a sequential recovery in consumption trends in 2025–26, supported by forecasts of a normal monsoon, improving macroeconomic indicators, sustained government investment in infrastructure, and easing inflation,' Burman stated. To spur demand and support growth in the new financial year, the company has identified seven strategic pillars, which it believes will position Dabur to achieve a sustainable double-digit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in both top line and bottom line by FY27–28. 'These will ensure Dabur remains resilient amid disruption, relevant to new generations, and responsible in its growth approach — setting the foundation for our next leap forward,' Burman added. As part of this strategy, the maker of Real fruit juices and Hajmola candy will deepen investments in its core power brands — Dabur Red, Real, Dabur Chyawanprash, Dabur Honey, Hajmola, Dabur Amla, Odonil, and Vatika — the bedrock of its portfolio, which together account for over 70 per cent of the company's sales. The company is also doubling down on its health and wellness category. It plans to expand the Hajmola and Pudin Hara franchises beyond digestives, scale up health juice offerings to capture market share in functional beverages, and accelerate newer launches like Shilajit, 'which tap into the rising demand for vitality, immunity, and endurance,' the report stated. Dabur is also reinventing its go-to-market strategy by expanding into rural and under-penetrated urban markets through targeted coverage and greater focus on improving distributor return on investment and ensuring faster turnaround times. Additionally, the maker of Amla hair oil will focus on premiumisation and contemporisation across categories, rationalise its portfolio, reinvent its operating model, monitor digital-first and founder-led brands with strong consumer traction, and tap into adjacencies in healthcare and value-added foods for inorganic growth. The company is also working on reducing sugar content by an additional 20 per cent in the Real core beverage range. 'Additionally, we are developing low-sugar and zero-sugar variants to cater to consumers who are conscious of their sugar intake. We already have a wide range of healthy juices under Real Activ with zero added sugar and coconut water, which is a low-calorie beverage with less than 20 kcal,' the report added. In FY25, the company's net profit dropped 4 per cent to ₹1,767.6 crore, while net sales rose 1.2 per cent to ₹12,536 crore.

Dabur India confident of FY26 recovery, driven by monsoon, macro factors
Dabur India confident of FY26 recovery, driven by monsoon, macro factors

Mint

time09-07-2025

  • Business
  • Mint

Dabur India confident of FY26 recovery, driven by monsoon, macro factors

New Delhi: Fast-moving consumer goods companyDabur India Ltdexpects a turnaround in consumption trends by FY2025–26, backed by favourable macroeconomic indicators, a normal monsoon, continued government investment in infrastructure, and easing inflation. The firm is also betting big on premiumisation, deeper rural penetration, and digital consumer engagement to drive growth. "We have set an ambitious target to expand our rural footprint while sharpening our focus on urban markets by enhancing our portfolio of premium offerings and exploring adjacent categories to meet evolving consumer aspirations,' Mohit Burman, chairman, Dabur India Ltd, said in the company's annual report released Wednesday. Dabur ended FY2024-25 with a 3.6% jump in consolidated revenues to ₹ 12,563 crore, up from ₹ 12,404 crore a year ago; profit for the full year was down 4.1% to ₹ 1,768 crore. During the year, the company's advertising and publicity expenditure grew 2.2% to ₹ 864.6 crore. The company sells Dabur Red toothpaste, Vatika shampoo, Hajmola and Real drinks. "Our portfolio today includes three ₹ 1,000 crore brands—Dabur Amla, Dabur Red Toothpaste, and Real—alongside three ₹ 500 crore brands and 16 brands in the ₹ 100–500 crore 2024-25, we intensified our consumer engagement through interactive campaigns, community outreach, and digital initiatives that reinforced our commitment to health and well-being. These efforts enabled us to expand our market share across more than 90% of our portfolio, even during a consumption slowdown," he said. Last week, in its quarterly update, the company said its consolidated revenue in the June quarter is expected to grow in the low single digits due to a decline in beverages; consolidated operating profit growth is expected to marginally lag revenue growth. Dabur has yet to announce its Q1 (April-June) earnings. In the March quarter, the company's revenue from operations grew marginally. Last fiscal, the company expanded its retail footprint significantly, entering new villages and broadening its product range. 'Our retail reach is now among the widest in the Indian FMCG industry. A major milestone this year was the signing of a facilitation MoU with the Government of Tamil Nadu to establish our first manufacturing facility in South India. With an initial investment of ₹ 135 crore, scaling up to ₹ 400 crore over five years, this facility will generate direct employment for 250 individuals and create thousands of indirect job opportunities,' Burman said. During the year, the company also rationalised inventory in general trade channels, citing a shift in consumer behaviour with more shoppers buying goods online. This resulted in a temporary dip in Q2 (July-September) sales but strengthened the long-term health of its business and improved the RoI (return on investment) of its distributor partners. Dabur reported strong sales in rural India during the year, with demand outpacing urban India. The company draws a significant share of its business from rural markets. Meanwhile, earlier this year, the company announced a strategic vision to drive double-digit annual growth in both revenue and profit by FY28. The strategy is backed by a seven-pronged approach that includes investing heavily in core brands, expanding in premium categories, updating and modernising its product categories, shedding underperforming products, and aggressively pursuing acquisitions to build a 'future-fit' portfolio. 'Today, seven of our brands—Dabur Red, Real, Dabur Chyawanprash, Dabur Honey, Hajmola, Dabur Amla, Odonil, and Vatika—each contribute significantly to our revenues and together account for over 70% of our total portfolio. We are committed to scaling these brands exponentially,' said Burman. The company also announced plans to exit categories where scalability and profitability remain constrained, such as Vedic Tea, adult and baby diapers, and Dabur Vita; this will help unlock growth capital and sharpen focus. 'We will also be streamlining SKUs (stock keep units) across overlapping segments to reduce complexity in the supply chain and enhance distributor profitability,' he added. 'Our go-to-market transformation, strategic M&A focus, and operating model reinvention are designed to unlock new engines of value creation,' he added. During the year, the company expanded its share of the food business, with the category now contributing 6% of the revenue from its India FMCG business, up from 2% last year. It operates in the packaged ghee, spices, cooking pastes, and culinary products categories. Dabur competes with giants like Marico and Hindustan Unilever in the FMCG market. Notably, HUL has also expressed optimism about demand recovery, citing similar macro tailwinds like low inflation, a normal monsoon, and increased consumer spending.

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