Latest news with #DanaIncorporated

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN)

Yahoo

01-06-2025

Business
Yahoo

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN)

Dana's estimated fair value is US$18.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$16.63 share price, Dana appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value Analyst price target for DAN is US$19.29, which is 6.9% above our fair value estimate In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. This will be done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. Models like these may appear beyond the comprehension of a lay person, but they're fairly easy to follow. Companies can be valued in a lot of ways, so we would point out that a DCF is not perfect for every situation. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. In the first stage we need to estimate the cash flows to the business over the next ten years. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value: 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$237.9m US$287.0m US$318.6m US$255.6m US$221.8m US$203.2m US$193.1m US$188.1m US$186.3m US$186.7m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x3 Analyst x2 Analyst x2 Analyst x1 Est @ -13.22% Est @ -8.37% Est @ -4.98% Est @ -2.60% Est @ -0.94% Est @ 0.22% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 9.6% US$217 US$239 US$242 US$177 US$140 US$117 US$102 US$90.2 US$81.5 US$74.6 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$1.5b The second stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the business's cash flow after the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.9%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 9.6%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2034 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$187m× (1 + 2.9%) ÷ (9.6%– 2.9%) = US$2.9b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$2.9b÷ ( 1 + 9.6%)10= US$1.1b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$2.6b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$16.6, the company appears about fair value at a 7.8% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. Part of investing is coming up with your own evaluation of a company's future performance, so try the calculation yourself and check your own assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Dana as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 9.6%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.542. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Check out our latest analysis for Dana Strength No major strengths identified for DAN. Weakness Interest payments on debt are not well covered. Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Auto Components market. Opportunity Expected to breakeven next year. Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows. Good value based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value. Threat Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Paying a dividend but company is unprofitable. Revenue is forecast to decrease over the next 2 years. Although the valuation of a company is important, it shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. DCF models are not the be-all and end-all of investment valuation. Rather it should be seen as a guide to "what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?" For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result. For Dana, there are three pertinent elements you should look at: Risks: Take risks, for example - Dana has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Future Earnings: How does DAN's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

RBC Upgrades Dana (DAN) Stock to Outperform, Lifts PT

Yahoo

24-05-2025

Automotive
Yahoo

RBC Upgrades Dana (DAN) Stock to Outperform, Lifts PT

On May 22, RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan upped Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN)'s stock from 'Sector Perform' to 'Outperform', while raising the price objective to $20.00 from $14.00. This upgrade comes on the heels of expectations that Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) will announce its Off-Highway (OH) deal in June. This will result in positive outcomes and potentially higher capital returns. Furthermore, the analyst believes that even without the deal, the company's core business fundamentals remain strong, and it seems that the market is not fully appreciating this. A modern commercial vehicle on the road, its engine powered by the company's drive system. The sale of Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN)'s Off-Highway business remains underway with a competitive process. It continues to execute its cost-savings initiative and has adopted steps focused on accelerating the realization of its $300 million plan. The overall market sentiment related to tariffs continues to become more favorable, and Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) remains well-placed in this area due to lower exposure in comparison to its automotive peers, says Narayan. This gives the company a relative advantage in the broader market, which remains sensitive to international trade issues. Furthermore, the potential deal can provide the company an opportunity to return additional capital to its shareholders. Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) offers power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machinery. While we acknowledge the potential of DAN to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DAN and that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock. READ NEXT: and 11 Unstoppable Growth Stocks to Invest in Now Disclosure: None.

Yahoo

22-05-2025

Automotive
Yahoo

RBC Upgrades Dana (DAN) Stock to Outperform, Lifts PT

Why Dana Incorporated (DAN) Is Surging in 2025

Yahoo

06-05-2025

Automotive
Yahoo

Why Dana Incorporated (DAN) Is Surging in 2025

We recently published an article titled Why These 15 Vehicles & Parts Stocks Are Surging In 2025. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) stands against the other vehicles and parts stocks. Certain automotive companies have held up surprisingly well in the current environment, and that's especially true with companies that supply automotive parts. The high interest rate regime was supposed to crush automotive companies across the board, and early tariffs specifically targeted countries that produced the most automotive parts for the U.S. Even then. These stocks have done well since high interest rates have made it difficult for low-income consumers to buy new cars. Instead, they have opted for repairing their existing vehicles, which has been a tailwind for automotive parts companies for the past two years. The average age of vehicles was already at a record 12.6 years in 2024, so this tailwind isn't going away anytime soon. Customers who have higher incomes have kept on buying new vehicles. It is mostly because of them that consumer spending has held up across the board. Here are the biggest winners from this trend. Even during bear markets, there are pockets of the market that perform exceptionally well. For example, I identified 15 Financial Services Stocks that are up the Most in 2025 in another article. Methodology For this article, I screened the best-performing vehicles & parts stocks year-to-date. I will also mention the number of hedge fund investors in these stocks. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter's strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here). Is Dana Incorporated (DAN) The Top Auto Parts Stock That Could Surge On Trump's Auto Tariff Relaxation? A modern commercial vehicle on the road, its engine powered by the company's drive system. Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) Number of Hedge Fund Holders In Q4 2024: 27 Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) is an American supplier providing axles, driveshafts, and various systems for conventional, hybrid, and electric vehicles globally. The company's stock saw a notable increase recently, jumping 12% after reporting its first-quarter 2025 financial results. Dana announced these results on April 30, 2025, showing sales of $2.4 billion and net income of $25 million, which the company described as in line with expectations.

Dana Incorporated Reports 2025 First-quarter Financial Results in Line with Expectations; Maintained Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Ranges

Associated Press

30-04-2025

Business
Associated Press

Dana Incorporated Reports 2025 First-quarter Financial Results in Line with Expectations; Maintained Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Ranges

First Quarter Highlights MAUMEE, Ohio, April 30, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Dana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) today announced financial results for the first quarter of 2025. 'Our efforts to transform the company into a stronger, more focused business are gaining momentum. The sale of our Off-Highway business is underway with a competitive process. We also continue to execute our cost-savings initiative and have taken further steps to accelerate the realization of our $300 million plan,' said R. Bruce McDonald, chairman and chief executive officer. 'While the situation remains fluid, we believe the impact of tariffs are manageable based on completed mitigation actions and expected substantial recoveries from customers.' Sales for the first quarter of 2025 totaled $2.35 billion, compared with $2.74 billion in the same period of 2024. Net income attributable to Dana was $25 million, or $0.17 per share, compared with $3 million, or $0.02 per share, in the first quarter of 2024. As a percentage of sales, the first quarter of 2025 was 1 percent compared to 0.1 percent last year. During the first quarter of 2024, Dana entered into a definitive agreement to sell its non-core European Off-Highway hydraulics business. This business was classified as held for sale, and a $29 million loss was recognized to adjust the carrying value of net assets to fair value less estimated costs to sell. This sale agreement was terminated and the transaction did not close. Adjusted net income attributable to Dana was $19 million, or $0.13 per share, for the first quarter of 2025, compared with adjusted net income of $37 million, or $0.26 per share, in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2025 was $188 million or 8 percent of sales, compared with $223 million or 8.2 percent of sales for the same period in 2024. The company's cost-savings program has mitigated the margin impact of lower volumes, tariffs, and cost inflation. Operating cash flow in the first quarter of 2025 was a use of $37 million, compared with a use of $102 million in the same period of 2024. Adjusted free cash flow was a use of $101 million, compared with a use of $168 million in the first quarter of 2024. 'Our focus on managing working capital continues to show results as we have once again improved adjusted free cash flow in the first quarter. Our cost-savings actions and efficiency improvements are helping to offset the impact of tariffs until we can affect full recovery,' said Timothy Kraus, Dana senior vice president and chief financial officer. 'We are maintaining our guidance ranges for most of our measures including adjusted EBITDA and we expect that sales will increase slightly due to tariff recoveries and currency translation offsetting weaker end-market demand.' Revised 2025 Financial Targets Dana to Host Conference Call at 9 a.m. Wednesday, April 30 Dana will discuss its first-quarter results in a conference call at 9 a.m. EDT on Wednesday, April 30. The conference call can be accessed by telephone from both domestic and international locations using the information provided below: Conference ID: 9943139 Participant Toll-Free Dial-In Number: 1 (888) 440-5873 Participant Toll Dial-In Number: 1 (646) 960-0319 Audio streaming and slides will be available online via a link provided on the Dana investor website: Phone registration will be available beginning at 8:30 a.m. EDT. A webcast replay can be accessed via Dana's investor website following the call. Non-GAAP Financial Information Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure which we have defined as net income (loss) before interest, income taxes, depreciation, amortization, equity grant expense, restructuring expense, non-service cost components of pension and other postretirement benefit costs and other adjustments not related to our core operations (gain/loss on debt extinguishment, pension settlements, divestitures, impairment, etc.). Adjusted EBITDA is a measure of our ability to maintain and continue to invest in our operations and provide shareholder returns. We use adjusted EBITDA in assessing the effectiveness of our business strategies, evaluating and pricing potential acquisitions and as a factor in making incentive compensation decisions. In addition to its use by management, we also believe adjusted EBITDA is a measure widely used by securities analysts, investors and others to evaluate financial performance of our company relative to other Tier 1 automotive suppliers. Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered a substitute for earnings (loss) before income taxes, net income (loss) or other results reported in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to the parent company is a non-GAAP financial measure which we have defined as net income (loss) attributable to the parent company, excluding any discrete income tax items, restructuring charges, amortization expense and other adjustments not related to our core operations (as used in adjusted EBITDA), net of any associated income tax effects. This measure is considered useful for purposes of providing investors, analysts and other interested parties with an indicator of ongoing financial performance that provides enhanced comparability to net income attributable to the parent company reported by other companies. Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to the parent company is neither intended to represent nor be an alternative measure to net income (loss) attributable to the parent company reported in accordance with GAAP. Diluted adjusted EPS is a non-GAAP financial measure which we have defined as adjusted net income (loss) attributable to the parent company divided by adjusted diluted shares. We define adjusted diluted shares as diluted shares as determined in accordance with GAAP based on adjusted net income (loss) attributable to the parent company. This measure is considered useful for purposes of providing investors, analysts and other interested parties with an indicator of ongoing financial performance that provides enhanced comparability to EPS reported by other companies. Diluted adjusted EPS is neither intended to represent nor be an alternative measure to diluted EPS reported in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure which we have defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities less purchases of property, plant and equipment plus proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment. We believe adjusted free cash flow is useful to investors in evaluating the operational cash flow of the company inclusive of the spending required to maintain the operations. Adjusted free cash flow is not intended to represent nor be an alternative to the measure of net cash provided by (used in) operating activities reported in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted free cash flow may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. The accompanying financial information provides reconciliations of adjusted EBITDA, diluted adjusted EPS and adjusted free cash flow to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. We have not provided a reconciliation of our adjusted EBITDA and diluted adjusted EPS outlook to the most comparable GAAP measures of net income (loss) and diluted EPS. Providing net income (loss) and diluted EPS guidance is potentially misleading and not practical given the difficulty of projecting event driven transactional and other non-core operating items that are included in net income (loss) and diluted EPS, including restructuring actions, asset impairments and certain income tax adjustments. The accompanying reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures with the most comparable GAAP measures for the historical periods presented are indicative of the reconciliations that will be prepared upon completion of the periods covered by the non-GAAP guidance. Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements and projections contained in this news release are, by their nature, forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations, estimates, and projections about our industry and business, management's beliefs, and certain assumptions made by us, all of which are subject to change. Forward-looking statements can often be identified by words such as 'anticipates,' 'expects,' 'intends,' 'plans,' 'predicts,' 'believes,' 'seeks,' 'estimates,' 'may,' 'will,' 'should,' 'would,' 'could,' 'potential,' 'continue,' 'ongoing,' and similar expressions, and variations or negatives of these words. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause our actual results to differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Dana's Annual Report on Form 10-K, subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, recent Current Reports on Form 8-K, and other Securities and Exchange Commission filings discuss important risk factors that could affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. The forward-looking statements in this news release speak only as of this date. Dana does not undertake any obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statement for any reason. About Dana Incorporated Dana is a leader in the design and manufacture of highly efficient propulsion and energy-management solutions that power vehicles and machines in all mobility markets across the globe. The company is shaping sustainable progress through its conventional and clean-energy solutions that support nearly every vehicle manufacturer with drive and motion systems; electrodynamic technologies, including software and controls; and thermal, sealing, and digital solutions. Based in Maumee, Ohio, USA, the company reported sales of $10.3 billion in 2024 with 39,000 people in 30 countries across six continents. With a history dating to 1904, Dana was named among the 'World's Most Ethical Companies' for 2025 by Ethisphere and as one of 'America's Most Responsible Companies 2025" by Newsweek. The company is driven by a high-performance culture that focuses on valuing others, inspiring innovation, growing responsibly, and winning together, earning it global recognition as a top employer. Learn more at View original content to download multimedia: SOURCE Dana Incorporated

Latest news with #DanaIncorporated

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN)

RBC Upgrades Dana (DAN) Stock to Outperform, Lifts PT

RBC Upgrades Dana (DAN) Stock to Outperform, Lifts PT

Why Dana Incorporated (DAN) Is Surging in 2025

Dana Incorporated Reports 2025 First-quarter Financial Results in Line with Expectations; Maintained Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Ranges

Get Started Now: Download the App