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PSG vs Inter Champions League final: Historical betting trends that just might pay off
PSG vs Inter Champions League final: Historical betting trends that just might pay off

New York Times

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • New York Times

PSG vs Inter Champions League final: Historical betting trends that just might pay off

For more stories like this, click here to follow The Athletic's sports betting section and have them added to your feed. The 2025 Champions League final looms, and with it, the chance to lay carefully considered bets on club football's biggest game. We've taken a look back through the last 10 finals in search of information we can use to our advantage. From the time of first goal trends to foul counts and the mystical forces that influence our sport (just kidding…ish), let us arm you with the facts you need to succeed. Advertisement In 2016, Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid could not be separated after a gruelling 120-minute final. A penalty shootout ensued, and Los Colchoneros' legendary full-back, Juanfran, missed the deciding kick, prompting him to tearfully approach the fans and beg for forgiveness. It was brutal. Fortunately, no one has had to endure such heartbreak since, as each of the next eight finals have been decided inside 90 minutes, as was the 2015 bout. When betting on finals, there's a key distinction between selecting a team to win (in 90 minutes) and to lift the trophy. Naturally, the odds are shorter for the latter bet, as it gives you more time to win the bet — but recent history suggests that a buffer isn't needed. You'll see odds of 5/1 for either team to win in extra-time or 9/2 for either to win on penalties, but just one of the last 10 finals has gone the distance, suggesting the ultimate value lies in simply picking a team to win in normal time. Five of the last 10 finals have seen the first goal scored in the second half, while the other five have seen an early breakthrough. At surface level, that's an even split. But it's important to note that four of those five second-half breakthroughs have come in the last five years. Bayern Munich (2020), Real Madrid (2022), Manchester City (2023) and Madrid again (2024) have all had to wait till at least the 59th minute to take the lead. Particularly interesting is the 2024 final, where Madrid were heavy favourites against Borussia Dortmund but still needed 74 minutes to score — and it was right-back Dani Carvajal with a header from a corner! This backs up the notion that these finals are, by nature, cagey. If that trend continues, no first half goals at 15/8 is a great bet. There's also a more cautious version of that selection in the form of half time draw at 11/10, which builds in the safety of a goal for each but still wins if it's 0-0. Advertisement Unsurprisingly, finalists get a bit antsy when they're losing. After all, it's a literal ticking-clock situation. That impatience often manifests in the form of fouls. Six of the nine teams that lost in normal time (so 2016 excluded) committed the most fouls — and some of those counts were really high. For example, Inter committed 17 fouls in their 1-0 loss to Man City in 2023; Liverpool racked up 13 and 18 against Madrid in 2022 and 2019, respectively; and Juventus committed 23 in their 4-1 defeat to Madrid in 2017. You can use this to good effect in both pre-match or in-play betting. You can select the team you think will lose to commit the most fouls in both halves (PSG 7/2, Inter 13/5), or you can wait for the first goal to go in, then bet on the losing team's foul count to soar. Jurgen Klopp looks back to Sergio Ramos' 'brutal' foul on Mo Salah during Liverpool's Champions League final vs. Real Madrid in 2018 👀 — ESPN UK (@ESPNUK) October 31, 2024 It'll be interesting to see if that 2023 final is indicative of anything. Inter went behind to a possession-dominant side in Man City and racked up 17 fouls. This year, they'll face a possession-dominant side in PSG, who are favoured to win. Inter to commit 16-plus fouls, repeating history, is as long as 6/1. You can even drop that figure to 12-plus fouls and get even odds. For the record, there's no such thing as an away team in a Champions League final, but one team is always categorised as one. It means absolutely nothing, and yet, seven of the last nine winners in normal time were technically the away side. Is that a good omen for Inter? That's all the encouragement some bettors need for a fun flutter. Betting/odds links in this article are provided by partners of The Athletic. Restrictions may apply. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Partners have no control over or input into the reporting or editing process and do not review stories before publication. (Photo of Rodri: David Ramos / Getty Images)

Official: Real Madrid new signing in Spain squad for UEFA Nations League
Official: Real Madrid new signing in Spain squad for UEFA Nations League

Yahoo

time5 days ago

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Official: Real Madrid new signing in Spain squad for UEFA Nations League

Official: Real Madrid new signing in Spain squad for UEFA Nations League Real Madrid new signing Dean Huijsen has been included in the Spain squad for their upcoming UEFA Nations League fixtures next month. Los Blancos signed Huijsen from AFC Bournemouth by activating his £50 million release clause earlier this month. Advertisement The 20-year-old centre-back is set to join the club next month, but prior to that he will link up with the Spanish national team. La Roja take on France in the semi-finals of the UEFA Nations League, vying for a place in the final where they will meet one of Germany or Portugal. A defeat against Les Blues would see Luis de La Fuente's men play the third-place playoff match. And, Huijsen is the only Real Madrid player to have been named in the Spain squad. Dani Carvajal is not included as he is still in the final stage of his recovery from an ACL injury while the likes of Dani Ceballos, Lucas Vazquez, and Fran Garcia are not in consideration. Advertisement Raul Asencio did feature in the Spain squad during the previous international break in March, but with all the frontline defenders fully fit and available, De La Fuente has opted not to call up the La Fabrica graduate.

Real Madrid suffer huge blow as midfield mainstay dealing with fresh back problem
Real Madrid suffer huge blow as midfield mainstay dealing with fresh back problem

Yahoo

time6 days ago

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Real Madrid suffer huge blow as midfield mainstay dealing with fresh back problem

Real Madrid have officially confirmed that Federico Valverde is suffering from lumbosciatica, a lower back issue that can cause pain and discomfort along the spine and down the leg. According to the club's medical update, the Uruguayan midfielder will likely miss training for about a week. However, the final outcome of his condition remains open as he continues to be monitored. Advertisement 'Following tests carried out today on Fede Valverde by the Real Madrid Medical Services, he has been diagnosed with discomfort due to a knock in his lower back. His recovery will be monitored,' read the statement from the club. The timing of this injury comes just as the club wraps up a difficult La Liga campaign. Despite ending the season in poor form, Real Madrid now shift focus to the upcoming Club World Cup. Xabi Alonso faces a tough start with injury-hit squad With the Club World Cup set to begin on 14 June, new manager Xabi Alonso has limited time to prepare his squad. Federico Valverde could be out for a week. (Photo by) Real Madrid will face Al-Hilal of Saudi Arabia on 18 June, but the squad's current injury list is cause for concern. Advertisement Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao are both recovering from serious knee injuries involving ligament and tendon damage. Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Ferland Mendy, and Rodrygo are also out but are expected to resume training shortly. Meanwhile, Brahim Diaz pulled out of training recently and the severity of his issue is still unknown. Now, Valverde joins the list. He has arguably been the most used player in the squad this season, appearing in 59 of the club's 62 matches. Towards the end of the campaign, he was seen struggling through games with muscle issues, often playing while not fully fit due to the team's injury crisis under Ancelotti. Fortunately for Real Madrid, Valverde's condition does not seem long-term. Barring any setbacks, the midfielder is expected to recover in time to feature in the Club World Cup under Xabi Alonso's leadership.

Five players with most titles won in Real Madrid history
Five players with most titles won in Real Madrid history

Yahoo

time6 days ago

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Five players with most titles won in Real Madrid history

Luka Modric played his last game at the Santiago Bernabeu on an emotional night, marking the end of an incredible chapter in his career. The 2024/25 season may not have gone exactly how he hoped, but the Croatian legend still managed to lift two more trophies – the UEFA Super Cup and the Intercontinental Cup. After 13 years at Real Madrid, Modric walks away as one of the most decorated players in the club's long and successful history. From his arrival in 2012 to his final match in 2025, Modric gave everything for the badge and won every title possible at club level. So where does Modric stand among Real Madrid's all-time most successful players? Let's take a look at the top five players with the most titles in the club's history. Modric leaves behind a record that speaks for itself. The midfield maestro made 590 appearances and scored 43 goals for Real Madrid. He won a total of 28 titles in his time with Los Blancos. That includes: 6 Champions League trophies, 4 La Liga titles, 2 Copa del Rey (Spanish Cup) victories, 5 Club World Cups, 1 Intercontinental Cup, 5 UEFA Super Cups, 5 Spanish Super Cups. But Modric's influence goes far beyond numbers. In 2018, he became the first player to break the Messi-Ronaldo dominance in the Ballon d'Or race, winning the award after a brilliant year with club and country. Another club icon, Dani Carvajal, is not far behind Modric. The right-back has played a crucial role in Real Madrid's success, especially in big European games. After a season in Germany with Bayer Leverkusen, Carvajal returned to Madrid and has since collected 6 Champions Leagues, 4 La Liga titles, 2 Spanish Cups, 5 Club World Cups, 1 Intercontinental Cup, 5 UEFA Super Cups, 4 Spanish Super Cups. Nacho's journey is one of loyalty and quiet consistency. A product of the youth academy, he served the club for over two decades. He played in all defensive roles and always delivered when called upon. He left the club with: 6 Champions Leagues, 4 La Liga titles, 2 Spanish Cups, 5 Club World Cups, 4 UEFA Super Cups, 5 Spanish Super Cups Marcelo, who joined Real Madrid in 2006, became one of the best left-backs in football history. Known for his flair and creativity, he collected 25 trophies, including 5 Champions League titles and 6 La Liga crowns. Benzema also ended his time at the club with the same number of titles and was one of the most important strikers in Madrid's modern era. He won 5 UEFA Champions League, 4 La Liga titles, 5 Club World Cup, 4 UEFA Super Cups, 3 Copa del Rey and 4 Spanish Super Cup. Before this modern era, Paco Gento held the record for most trophies at the club. Playing from the 1950s to 1970, Gento was a left-winger who terrorised defences for nearly two decades. His honours include: 6 European Cups, 12 La Liga titles, 2 Spanish Cups, 1 Intercontinental Cup and 2 Latin American Cups

Real Madrid's Endrick could miss Club World Cup with hamstring injury
Real Madrid's Endrick could miss Club World Cup with hamstring injury

CNA

time21-05-2025

  • Sport
  • CNA

Real Madrid's Endrick could miss Club World Cup with hamstring injury

Real Madrid forward Endrick suffered a hamstring injury during their 2-0 victory over Sevilla, the LaLiga club said on Wednesday, in the latest injury blow to the team. Real did not provide a timeline for the player's return, but Spanish media reported the Brazil international could be sidelined for at least two months, forcing him out of the Club World Cup in the United States. "Following tests carried out today on our player Endrick by Real Madrid's medical services, he has been diagnosed with an injury to the hamstring tendon in his right leg. He will be monitored closely," Real said in a statement. The 18-year-old will also miss Brazil's upcoming World Cup qualifiers against Ecuador and Paraguay. Endrick adds to Real's growing injury list, which already includes Vinicius Junior, Lucas Vazquez, Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Eduardo Camavinga, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy and David Alaba.

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