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India Grapples With Chinese Puzzle: 'Top Trade Partner' Also 'Primary Adversary'
India Grapples With Chinese Puzzle: 'Top Trade Partner' Also 'Primary Adversary'

News18

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • News18

India Grapples With Chinese Puzzle: 'Top Trade Partner' Also 'Primary Adversary'

Last Updated: Due to ongoing border tensions, surveillance concerns, and geopolitical tussles, the Modi government has tightened FDI rules, banned Chinese apps, and promoted 'Atmanirbhar Bharat' The United States' 2025 Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) threat assessment identifies China as India's 'primary adversary", relegating Pakistan to a secondary security concern. However, this also reflects a strange juxtaposition of strategic rivalry and economic interdependence. On the surface, the two Asian giants remain deeply intertwined through bilateral trade relations, and they are almost economically inseparable, despite a dwindling level of diplomatic trust. The report states that India imports more from China than from any other country, with Chinese goods feeding everything from India's infrastructure to its consumer tech sector. 'Bilateral trade between India and China in FY24 stood at US$ 118.40 billion against US$ 113.83 billion in FY23 with a growth of 4%. According to the latest data from the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), In FY24, China has once again become India's top trading partner, surpassing the United States after a two-year gap. In FY24, China had a 15.06% share in India's total imports. India imported goods worth US$ 675.42 billion from the world, including goods worth US$ 101.74 billion from China," stated a recent trade report of India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF). 'China occupies the 22nd position in FDI equity inflows into India with a cumulative FDI amount of US$ 2.50 billion from April 2000-September 2024." According to the report, India exported 4,186 commodities to China in FY24 while importing 7,521 commodities in the same period. 'India's export to China stood at US$ 16.65 billion in FY24 and US$ 15.30 billion in FY23," stated the report, while India's import from China stood at US$ 101.74 billion in FY24 and US$ 98.50 billion in FY23. A senior government official said, 'This isn't merely a matter of macroeconomics. The trade relationship is not just resilient; it's systemic." However, with simmering tensions over border issues, surveillance concerns, and competition for geopolitical influence, the Narendra Modi government has been managing this strategic issue. The government, now wary of Chinese investments in critical sectors, has tightened FDI rules, banned Chinese apps, and emphasised 'Atmanirbhar Bharat" (self-reliant India). 'We are in a position where our so-called adversary is also our supplier," said another official familiar with the current situation. 'Reducing economic dependency on China requires systemic capability-building across manufacturing, research, and our own supply chains. And that is a long road." Watch India Pakistan Breaking News on CNN-News18. Get breaking news, in-depth analysis, and expert perspectives on everything from geopolitics to diplomacy and global trends. Stay informed with the latest world news only on News18. Download the News18 App to stay updated! First Published: May 29, 2025, 07:26 IST

China Projected To Have 1,000 Nukes, Viewed As 'Primary Adversary' By India: US Report
China Projected To Have 1,000 Nukes, Viewed As 'Primary Adversary' By India: US Report

News18

time7 days ago

  • Business
  • News18

China Projected To Have 1,000 Nukes, Viewed As 'Primary Adversary' By India: US Report

Last Updated: According to the Defence Intelligence Agency, India views China as a "primary adversary" and its defence priorities focus on countering China and enhancing its own power. China is rapidly advancing its military modernisation and developing capabilities across all warfare domains that could enable it to seize Taiwan by force, and is expected to reach at least 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030, according to a report by the US Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA). As per the report, China maintains its strategic objectives to be the pre-eminent power in East Asia, challenge the United States for global leadership, unify Taiwan with mainland China, advance the development and resiliency of China's economy, and become technologically self-sufficient by mid-century. India views China as its 'primary adversary" and Prime Minister Narendra Modi's defence priorities are focusing on global leadership, countering China, and enhancing New Delhi's military power. According to the report, China is likely to continue multidomain pressure campaigns against Taiwan, the Philippines and others who resist Beijing's territorial claims and will keep an eye on the United States and prepare measures to deter, defeat and retaliate against any US moves that it perceives as intending to disrupt China's diplomatic, economic and security objectives. India-China Relations The US DIA report says India views China as its 'primary adversary" and is giving priority to advancing its bilateral defence partnerships in the Indian Ocean region through exercises, training, arms sales, and information sharing to counter Chinese influence and boost its global leadership role. India and China reached an agreement last year to disengage along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in eastern Ladakh. 'The disengagement did not resolve the longstanding dispute about border demarcation but reduced some tension still lingering from a 2020 incident when troops on both sides were killed in a clash along the Line of Actual Control," it said. While India has reduced procurement of Russian-origin military equipment, it still relies on Russian spare parts to maintain and sustain its large inventory of Russian-origin tanks and fighter aircraft that help its military to counter threats from China and Pakistan. China's Nuclear Programmes China announced a nominal 5.2% annual military budget increase to $247 billion in 2025. However, China's actual defence spending is significantly higher, following the 2024 defence spending of an estimated $304-$377 billion. China's nuclear warhead stockpile probably has surpassed 600 operational nuclear warheads. The DIA estimated that China will have more than 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030, and the country will continue growing its force until at least 2035. 'This supports the PLA's objective to achieve a more diverse nuclear force, comprising systems including low-yield precision strike missiles and ICBMs with multi-megaton yields, to provide a broader range of nuclear response options," it said. China's approach to using nuclear force is based on the Army's 'deterrence" of an enemy first strike and 'counterstrike" against an adversary's military capability, population, and economy when deterrence fails. Its rapid modernisation suggest that it seeks the ability to inflict far greater levels of overwhelming damage. China's Growing Pressure On Taiwan China is likely to continue its campaign of diplomatic, information, military, and economic pressure on Taiwan to advance its long-term objective of unification with Taiwan, deter any move by Taiwan toward independence, and test the United States' commitment to Taiwan's defence, according to the US agency. The Chinese military has increased military pressure on Taiwan since last year, following the election of President Lai Ching-te. It possesses a variety of military options to coerce Taiwan, including increase the frequency and scope of China's military presence operations, air and maritime blockades. China insists democratic Taiwan is part of its territory and has threatened to use force to bring the island under its control. Beijing has increased the deployment of fighter jets and naval vessels around Taiwan in recent years to press its claim of sovereignty, which Taipei rejects. Watch India Pakistan Breaking News on CNN-News18. Get breaking news, in-depth analysis, and expert perspectives on everything from geopolitics to diplomacy and global trends. Stay informed with the latest world news only on News18. Download the News18 App to stay updated! First Published:

Pak modernising nuclear arsenal; depends heavily on China's support: US Intel report
Pak modernising nuclear arsenal; depends heavily on China's support: US Intel report

India Today

time25-05-2025

  • Business
  • India Today

Pak modernising nuclear arsenal; depends heavily on China's support: US Intel report

Pakistan is modernising its nuclear arsenal with military and economic support from China, and continues to view India as an existential threat, according to the latest World Threat Assessment report released by the US Defence Intelligence Agency on report specified that the Pakistani military's top priorities for the coming year are likely to include cross-border skirmishes with regional neighbours and the continued modernisation of its nuclear arsenal, among other is modernising its nuclear arsenal and maintaining the security of its nuclear materials and nuclear command and control. Pakistan almost certainly procures WMDapplicable goods from foreign suppliers and intermediaries," the report stated. The report also highlights that Pakistan is obtaining materials and technology for developing weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) from China, with some of these transfers being routed through countries like Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey and the United Arab to the report, while China remains Pakistan's main supplier of military equipment, the relationship has been strained by a series of terrorist attacks targeting Chinese nationals working in Pakistan, emerging as a growing source of tension between the two allies."Pakistan regards India as an existential threat and will continue to pursue its military modernisation effort, including the development of battlefield nuclear weapons, to offset India's conventional military advantage," it US Intel report say about India?advertisementThe report mentions New Delhi's response to a late April terrorist attack in Jammu and Kashmir, when India launched missile strikes targeting terrorism-linked infrastructure in Pakistan.'The missile strike provoked multiple rounds of missile, drone, and loitering munition attacks, and heavy artillery fire, by both militaries from 7 to 10 May. As of 10 May, both militaries had agreed to a full ceasefire,' it to a recent intelligence report, India is prioritising the strengthening of bilateral defense partnerships across the Indian Ocean region in a strategic effort to counter Chinese report also notes progress in India-China border tensions. While both countries have agreed to disengage forces from two remaining friction points along the disputed Line of Actual Control (LAC) in eastern Ladakh, the underlying border demarcation dispute remains the report added that India is expected to continue advancing its "Made in India" initiative to bolster its domestic defense industry, reduce supply chain vulnerabilities and modernise its Defence Intelligence Agency also highlighted recent developments such as the testing of the Agni-I Prime medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM), the Agni-V with multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) and the commissioning of a second nuclear-powered the report stated that India will likely maintain its strategic relationship with Russia through 2025 as even though New Delhi has decreased procurement of new Russian defense systems, it remains dependent on Russian spare parts.

Seventy Nations Briefed on Operation Sindoor: Here's How India Made Pakistan Bite the Dust
Seventy Nations Briefed on Operation Sindoor: Here's How India Made Pakistan Bite the Dust

India.com

time14-05-2025

  • Politics
  • India.com

Seventy Nations Briefed on Operation Sindoor: Here's How India Made Pakistan Bite the Dust

New Delhi: India on Tuesday briefed defence and diplomatic representatives from 70 countries on 'Operation Sindoor', detailing how it marks a strategic shift in India's approach towards cross-border terrorism. Led by Lt Gen DS Rana, director general of the Defence Intelligence Agency, the briefing presented a comprehensive account of India's evolving response to threats, especially those finding safe haven in Pakistan. Held at the Indian Army's Manekshaw Centre, the briefing laid out the contours of a 'new normal' in India's response to terrorist threats, backed by intelligence, precision and indigenous capabilities. The government emphasised that briefing 70 nations was a gesture of openness and accountability. It invited the international community to view India's actions in the light of facts, not propaganda. The briefing was also contextualised with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's recent national address, which signaled that India's responses to terrorism will now be strong, swift and unequivocal. The main points conveyed during the briefing are as follows: 1. India's New Security Posture: India conveyed that it has adopted a firm and proactive approach to terrorism, making it clear that future attacks will draw calibrated and decisive responses. This marks a 'new normal' in India's national security doctrine. 2. Overview of Operation Sindoor: The diplomats were informed that 'Operation Sindoor' was a precise, intelligence-driven response to the April 22 Pahalgam terror attack. It demonstrated India's readiness to act across domains and borders when national security is compromised. 3. Target Selection and Intelligence Coordination: From a pool of 21 possible sites, nine confirmed terror-linked targets were selected for the operation. These were chosen after cross-verification using multi-agency intelligence inputs to ensure credibility and avoid civilian harm. 4. Execution and Jointness: The operation showcased high levels of coordination between the Indian Army, the Air Force and intelligence agencies. The armed forces executed the mission with speed and precision, reflecting enhanced jointness and inter-service cooperation. 5. Use of Indigenous Capabilities: India highlighted the use of indigenous weapons and systems during the operation, underlining the effectiveness of locally developed kinetic force multipliers. 6. Technological Superiority in Non-Kinetic Domains: Diplomats were briefed on India's growing edge in space-based surveillance, cyber operations and electronic warfare. These technologies played a crucial role in the operation and demonstrated India's advanced capabilities in modern warfare. 7. Counter-Misinformation Strategy: The briefing included a segment on how India effectively countered Pakistan's misinformation campaign. India provided evidence of deliberate false narratives and detailed the swift measures taken to neutralise their impact diplomatically and digitally. 8. Regional Security and Stability: India emphasised that its actions are guided by the principle of self-defence and regional peace. It pointed out that terrorist networks operating with state support in the neighbourhood remain a threat not just to India but to regional stability as a whole.

India Pakistan LIVE: New Delhi expels Pak mission staff over espionage link, Islamabad reacts
India Pakistan LIVE: New Delhi expels Pak mission staff over espionage link, Islamabad reacts

First Post

time14-05-2025

  • Politics
  • First Post

India Pakistan LIVE: New Delhi expels Pak mission staff over espionage link, Islamabad reacts

India Pakistan Tension LIVE Updates: Pakistan declared an Indian High Commission staff member persona non grata, accusing him of incompatible activities. India expelled a Pakistani official for similar reasons read more On Tuesday, a top officer of the Indian armed forces briefed a group of foreign defence attaches on the "successful conduct" of Operation Sindoor, which it said had established "new normals in India-Pakistan relations," highlighting the country's strength and national resolve through military superiority in "new-age warfare." According to officials, during the nearly 30-minute closed-door briefing held in the afternoon at the Manekshaw Centre in Delhi Cantonment by Director General, Defence Intelligence Agency, Lt Gen D S Rana, the "relentless anti-India misinformation campaign conducted by the adversary and its ramifications on regional peace and stability" was also highlighted. According to reports, the briefing was attended by defence attaches from numerous large nations that are members of various international organisations, as well as some Islamic countries. Defence attaches from Russia, Sweden, Nepal, the Philippines, and Egypt, among others, who are stationed at their respective embassies in India, also participated. Foreign Minister S Jaishankar's security has been increased in light of India-Pakistani tensions. According to reports, a bulletproof car was added to his Z category detail, which is managed by the CRPF. Pakistan on Tuesday declared a staff member of the Indian High Commission in Islamabad persona non grata, accusing the official of engaging in activities 'incompatible' with his diplomatic status. In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the individual had been instructed to leave Pakistan within 24 hours. 'The Government of Pakistan has declared a staff member of the Indian High Commission, Islamabad, persona non grata for engaging in activities incompatible with his privileged status,' the statement read. The Indian Charge d'Affaires was summoned to the Foreign Office and issued a formal démarche conveying this decision. Earlier the same day, India expelled an official from the Pakistan High Commission in New Delhi, also for allegedly engaging in espionage. The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) said the Pakistani official was involved in activities not in keeping with his diplomatic role, and had likewise been given 24 hours to depart. On Tuesday, Lieutenant General D.S. Rana, Director General of the Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA), briefed foreign defence attachés from 70 countries on the successful completion of Operation Sindoor—a recent military mission that has notably shifted the India–Pakistan security dynamic. General Rana outlined the operation's strategic planning and the selection of targets linked to terrorism. He praised the Indian Armed Forces for their precise, coordinated, and timely multi-domain response. The operation demonstrated the impact of indigenous kinetic force multipliers and highlighted India's technological advantage in non-kinetic areas such as space, cyber, and electronic warfare. The briefing also touched on ongoing anti-India disinformation campaigns from hostile actors. General Rana stressed India's swift, unified, Whole-of-Nation approach to countering such narratives and protecting regional stability.

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