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Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results
Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results

Yahoo

time16-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results

Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE) shares climbed about 20% in pre-market trading on Friday after the space tourism company topped Q1 forecasts and stuck to its flight schedule. The company reported a net loss of $84.5 million, or $2.38 per share, for the quarter, an improvement from the $5.10 per-share loss a year ago. Revenue slid to $0.5 million from $2.0 million in Q1 2024, reflecting the ongoing pause in commercial flights as development continues on its Delta-class spacecraft. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with SPCE. Operating expenses fell 21% year over year to $89 million, helping narrow the quarterly deficit. Adjusted EBITDA improved to a negative $72 million, versus $87 million last year. Free cash flow remained roughly flat at $122 million, with $567 million in liquidity on hand. Management reiterated plans to fly its first research payloads in summer 2026 and begin private astronaut missions in fall 2026, but offered no acceleration to that timeline. With cash burn persisting and no change to its roadmap, investors may remain cautious despite the better-than-expected results. Based on the one year price targets offered by 7 analysts, the average target price for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is $8.82 with a high estimate of $36.00 and a low estimate of $1.00. The average target implies a upside of +163.33% from the current price of $3.35. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results
Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results

Yahoo

time16-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Virgin Galactic Stock Soars 20% on Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results

Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE) shares climbed about 20% in pre-market trading on Friday after the space tourism company topped Q1 forecasts and stuck to its flight schedule. The company reported a net loss of $84.5 million, or $2.38 per share, for the quarter, an improvement from the $5.10 per-share loss a year ago. Revenue slid to $0.5 million from $2.0 million in Q1 2024, reflecting the ongoing pause in commercial flights as development continues on its Delta-class spacecraft. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with SPCE. Operating expenses fell 21% year over year to $89 million, helping narrow the quarterly deficit. Adjusted EBITDA improved to a negative $72 million, versus $87 million last year. Free cash flow remained roughly flat at $122 million, with $567 million in liquidity on hand. Management reiterated plans to fly its first research payloads in summer 2026 and begin private astronaut missions in fall 2026, but offered no acceleration to that timeline. With cash burn persisting and no change to its roadmap, investors may remain cautious despite the better-than-expected results. Based on the one year price targets offered by 7 analysts, the average target price for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is $8.82 with a high estimate of $36.00 and a low estimate of $1.00. The average target implies a upside of +163.33% from the current price of $3.35. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

Will Virgin Galactic Abandon the Space Tourism Business?
Will Virgin Galactic Abandon the Space Tourism Business?

Yahoo

time09-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Will Virgin Galactic Abandon the Space Tourism Business?

In June 2024, space tourism pioneer Virgin Galactic (NYSE: SPCE) launched its Unity spaceplane with a planeload of space tourists for the last time. In the months since, the company has continued working on its new spaceplane, dubbed the Delta class. Expected to enter service sometime in 2026, the new Delta class should offer multiple improvements over Unity. For example, reconditioning and engine replacement requirements on Unity limited that spaceplane to flying no more frequently than once per month, but Delta will be able to fly twice per week. Also important for the company's revenue-generating potential, instead of the four passengers Delta could carry, Delta-class spaceplanes will be large enough to accommodate six paying passengers per flight. That's a 50% improvement in passenger capacity, times a ninefold improvement in launch frequency, yielding a potential 1,250% improvement in revenues, over and above any changes in ticket pricing. (Virgin Galactic's earlier tickets sold for less than $250,000 apiece, whereas tickets sold more recently have been going for $450,000 and up.) By my calculations, flying just one Delta-class spaceplane at full capacity, and as frequently as promised, could generate monthly revenues in excess of $22 million for Virgin Galactic -- versus just $1 million in revenue from early Unity flights. But Virgin Galactic could potentially make even more money than that by limiting the number of passengers carried on its planes... or even exiting the tourism business entirely. How might that happen? We got our first clue last week, when Virgin Galactic announced that it is partnering with space infrastructure specialist Redwire (NYSE: RDW), hiring it to manufacture "research payload lockers" for its Delta spaceplanes. Virgin says the lockers will be used to carry microgravity research experiments aboard Delta, useful for conducting "research in preparation for orbital, lunar, or Martian missions" by other companies. Now, these lockers aren't tiny. Flying without passengers, says Virgin, "each spaceship will be capable of holding five payload racks, for up to 20 lockers total." So each rack can accommodate four lockers. Alternatively, Virgin might mix and match its seating arrangement, flying missions with some tourists and some payload racks -- basically swapping out one passenger per four-locker rack. Why would Virgin Galactic want to do this, though? That brings us to our next clue. Researching the potential revenue that Virgin Galactic might be able to generate from carrying boxed-up scientific experiments rather than living and breathing humans, I came across a 2020 article from Penn State discussing research costs in suborbital space (which is where Virgin Galactic flies, because its spaceplanes lack the power to maintain orbital velocity). According to Penn State graduate fellow Benjamin Donovan, a single suborbital rocket mission "typically costs less than $5 million," which is a lot less than what some longer space experiments might cost, but a lot more than the $250,000 or even $450,000 price of a tourist seat on Delta. And if Virgin Galactic can substitute four such suborbital research projects per passenger seat removed, well, the math speaks for itself: The math is simple: 4 x $5 million = $20 million. Meaning Virgin Galactic can earn more money flying cargo than flying tourists. In fact, even if this cost estimate is off by an order of magnitude and Virgin Galactic can only charge, say $2 million to carry a stack of four research projects sub-orbitally, that's still a 5x improvement over the revenue it could generate from carrying a single tourist to space and back. That's a strong argument in favor of Virgin favoring cargo over tourists in its spaceflights. The argument for Virgin Galactic exiting the space tourism game entirely, or simply scaling back its tourist ambitions, gets even stronger when you consider how badly Virgin is losing this race already. While Unity sits in mothballs, and Virgin works feverishly to get Delta ready for flight, rival space tourism company Blue Origin just keeps launching New Shepard rockets packed full of space tourists. To date, Blue Origin has already flown nine flights, carrying 47 tourists to space, versus Virgin Galactic's seven successful tourism flights. At the same time, SpaceX has entered the space tourism game through collaborations with Shift4 Payments and Axiom Space, and is also making progress on its orbital-class Starship spacecraft, which could carry tourists into space 100 at a time. As competition heats up in space tourism, it may be time for Virgin Galactic to reexamine its business model and find a better and more profitable use for its spaceplanes. Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you'll want to hear this. On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a 'Double Down' stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you're worried you've already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it's too late. And the numbers speak for themselves: Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you'd have $336,677!* Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you'd have $43,109!* Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you'd have $546,804!* Right now, we're issuing 'Double Down' alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.*Stock Advisor returns as of February 3, 2025 Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Shift4 Payments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Will Virgin Galactic Abandon the Space Tourism Business? was originally published by The Motley Fool

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