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EU experts predict 18% tariffs on US imports by 2025 end: Survey
EU experts predict 18% tariffs on US imports by 2025 end: Survey

Fibre2Fashion

time19 hours ago

  • Business
  • Fibre2Fashion

EU experts predict 18% tariffs on US imports by 2025 end: Survey

Economic experts across the European Union (EU) anticipate a rise in tariff levels on imports from the United States by the end of 2025, with an average expected rate of 18 per cent, according to Economic Expert Survey (EES) conducted by the ifo Institute. Experts in France, Spain, Portugal, the Netherlands, Slovakia, and Romania foresee some of the highest tariffs—between 20 and 25 per cent. Meanwhile, Central European countries such as Germany, Austria, and Poland expect tariffs in the 15 to 20 per cent range, while Italy, Sweden, and Bulgaria anticipate lower rates of 10 to 15 per cent, ifo institute said on its website. In contrast, experts from non-EU European nations expect significantly lower tariffs on US imports. Swiss and Norwegian experts anticipate rates of five to ten per cent, while their British counterparts expect a 12 per cent tariff. On the other hand, US experts project a 19 per cent average tariff on EU imports to the United States. EU experts expect average tariffs on US imports to rise to 18 per cent by end-2025, though they recommend lower rates at 12.8 per cent, as per the Economic Expert Survey (EES). Non-EU nations foresee lower tariffs. US experts expect 19 per cent tariffs on EU imports but favour just three per cent. Experts overall prefer moderate tariffs and oppose rising protectionism, especially towards US goods. When asked about their normative views—what tariffs should be by the end of 2025—European experts generally advocate much lower rates. The EU average for desired tariffs on US imports stands at 12.8 per cent, with France, Portugal, and Spain still showing higher-than-average preferences (10–20 per cent), but lower than their expected figures, the survey revealed. Germany, Austria, Italy, Finland, and Sweden prefer even more moderate rates, ranging from five to 15 per cent. Notably, experts from Switzerland are the only group whose expectations and normative assessments closely align. US experts favoured even lower tariff levels on EU imports, advocating a rate of just three per cent—far below the levels European experts propose for US goods. The survey also highlighted that expectations for general tariffs on all imports (regardless of origin) are lower and less varied than for US-specific imports. EU experts expect average general tariffs to stand at 13.1 per cent by the end of 2025, with most countries—including France, Germany, Italy, and Spain—expecting rates in the 10 to 15 per cent range. Romania again stands out with a projection of 20 to 25 per cent. On the normative side, EU experts believe that ideal general tariffs should be around 9.2 per cent, reflecting a broader preference for lower trade barriers. Most assessments fall in the five to 15 per cent range, indicating that experts largely disapprove of the expected protectionist trends. The findings underscored a consistent theme: across both US-specific and general tariffs, economic experts in Europe advocate lower rates than they expect will be enacted, particularly in relation to US imports. The gap between expected and desired tariffs is notably wider for US-specific trade, suggesting greater concern over escalating trade tensions with the United States. Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)

Holidaymakers in France could be turned away at the border for five reasons
Holidaymakers in France could be turned away at the border for five reasons

Daily Mirror

time4 days ago

  • Daily Mirror

Holidaymakers in France could be turned away at the border for five reasons

The European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) will be needed for travel to and between 25 EU countries and four other nations from 2027 Brits planning to jet off to France, Spain and other popular holiday spots could soon be turned away at the border if they don't have a travel permit. Post- Brexit rules mean that anyone travelling on a British passport will need this document before heading to any part of the Schengen area, which includes 25 EU countries and four others. ‌ EU bosses are introducing the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS), a new travel permit, to beef up security and tighten the borders of the Schengen zone. The scheme has been delayed several times, but according to the latest update, UK travellers won't need one for EU travel until at least April 2027. ‌ ‌ Earlier this year, the EU's Directorate-General for Migration and Home Affairs announced that the ETIAS will be launched in the last quarter of 2026. However, due to a transitional and grace period, the requirement to apply for an ETIAS before setting off won't become mandatory until 2027. The roll-out of ETIAS is tied to the launch of the Entry/Exit System (EES), and each permit will set you back €20 (£17.44). After numerous delays, the EU has agreed to start implementing the EES from October this year. ‌ This phased introduction allows member states to gradually introduce the new border system over a six-month period, reports the Liverpool Echo. It will be required for travel to and between the following nations: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland. If you're journeying to a Schengen area destination with a UK passport, you'll be required to register biometric information, including fingerprints or photographs, when you arrive. The EES registration will substitute the existing system of manually stamping passports as visitors enter the EU. ‌ The ETIAS is linked to an individual's passport and stays valid for three years or until the passport expires, whichever comes first. Should you obtain a new passport, you'll be required to obtain a fresh ETIAS travel authorisation. Possessing a valid ETIAS travel authorisation permits multiple entries into the territories of participating European nations for brief visits, typically up to 90 days within any 180-day period. Nevertheless, this doesn't guarantee entry. At the border, officials will request your passport and supplementary documents to confirm you satisfy the entry requirements. Most ETIAS applications are processed and approved "almost immediately", but mistakes in your application could result in rejection. Without a valid ETIAS, you'll be barred from entering countries like France, Spain and Italy. SchengenVisaInfo has outlined five potential reasons for your ETIAS application being turned down: You don't have a valid passport You miss to attend a required interview You submit an incomplete application You're considered a '"risk" You have a Schengen Information System (SIS) alert If your ETIAS application is rejected, you have the right to challenge the decision.

Five reasons why Scots could be refused entry to Spain or Greece
Five reasons why Scots could be refused entry to Spain or Greece

Daily Record

time4 days ago

  • Daily Record

Five reasons why Scots could be refused entry to Spain or Greece

New rules will soon come into play, following Brexit Scots heading to Spain, Greece and other popular destinations could soon be refused entry for five reasons, according to travel experts. One of these includes making a mistake when filling out an application most UK travellers will soon need to complete. ‌ Post-Brexit rules dictate that anyone travelling on a British passport to the Schengen area, which comprises around 25 EU countries and four other nations, will soon need an European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) - a new travel permit that will become a requirement from 2027. ‌ Only children and those aged over 70 will be exempt. EU leaders said earlier this year the ETIAS scheme, being introduced to enhance security, will be launched in the last quarter of 2026, after a number of postponements. ‌ However due to a transitional and grace period, the necessity to apply for an ETIAS before departure won't become mandatory until 2027. The roll-out of ETIAS is tied to the implementation of the Entry/Exit System (EES), and each permit will cost 20 euros. After numerous postponements, the EU has agreed to gradually introduce the EES from October this year. It will be required for travel to and between the following nations: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland. ‌ If you're journeying to a Schengen area destination with a UK passport, you'll be required to register your biometric information, including fingerprints or photographs, when you arrive. The EES registration will substitute the existing method of manually stamping passports when tourists enter the EU. Having a valid ETIAS travel authorisation permits multiple entries into the territories of participating European nations for brief visits, typically up to 90 days within any 180-day period. Most ETIAS applications are handled and approved "almost immediately", but mistakes in your application could result in refusal. Without a valid ETIAS, you'll be refused entry to countries like France, Spain and Italy, and SchengenVisaInfo has outlined five reasons why your ETIAS application might be rejected. These include not filling out the application properly, being flagged as a "risk", having a flag against your name in the Schengen Information System (SIS), or not attending an interview when invited to do so. If your ETIAS application is denied, you have the right to challenge the decision.

Travel to France: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS
Travel to France: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS

Local France

time5 days ago

  • Local France

Travel to France: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS

They've been in the planning for years, and postponed several times due to concerns about readiness, but the EU's two big travel changes are now due to come into effect between late 2025 and 2026. At the time of writing, the start date for the Entry & Exit System (EES) is October 12th, 2025, with a six-month phased introduction. It will be followed by the European Travel Authorisation and Information System (ETIAS) in the final quarter of 2026 - exact date still is to be confirmed. ETIAS will also be rolled out in a phased introduction over six months. There's no guarantee that these won't be postponed again, but as things stand travel will begin to change later this year. You can read the full explanation of these two systems HERE , but essentially EES is an enhanced biometric passport check which also digitises enforcement of the 90-day rule to replace manual passport stamping, while ETIAS is an online visa waiver required for tourists and other visitors into the EU/Schengen zone. There's no doubt that these will have a big impact on travel in and out of the Schengen zone, and unsurprisingly, readers of The Local have questions. Advertisement Much of the official information is aimed at tourists, rather than people who have a visa or residency permit in an EU/Schengen zone country. Here are some of the most common questions we have been asked, broken down into sections on first EES and then ETIAS. EES (Entry & Exit System) I'm not an EU citizen, but I'm a resident of an EU country, do I need to complete EES pre-registration? This is the big question for readers of The Local, many of whom are non-EU citizens who live in an EU/Schengen zone country with either a long-stay visa or a residency permit. They are not covered by EES and do not have to complete EES pre registration or provide biometrics - the reason for this is that a primary function of the system is to better monitor the '90 day rule', which of course residents are not limited by. However, while it is clear that residents are not covered by EES, exactly how this will work in practice at an airport, station or port remains frustratingly unclear, with foreign EU residents told only to not use automated passport gates and try to find a manned booth where you can show both your passport and visa/residency permit. I'm a second home owner, does this apply to me? It depends - do you have a visa or not? Some second-home owners want to spend more than 90 days out of every 180 at their property in France, so they get a short-term visa (less than six months), which allows them extended stays but does not make them a resident of the country. Visa-holders are not required to complete EES, but anyone who doesn't have a visa or residency permit is required to complete EES pre-registration, owning property does not, in itself, give you any specific rights in the country where your property is located. I have a visa, what about me? Visa-holders are not required to complete EES pre-registration and this applies to all types of visa, with the exception of those who hold the short-stay Schengen visa. Advertisement While nationals of countries such as the UK, USA, Canada and Australia benefit from up to 90 days of visa-free travel into the EU/Schengen zone, citizens of other countries - including Turkey and India - need a visa even for short visits. Those coming for a stay of less than 90 days - for example tourists or people paying family visits - get a Schengen visa. Schengen visa holders are not exempt from EES. Holders of other visa types - for example student visas, working visas, non-lucrative or visitor visas - are exempt from EES requirements. I'm a citizen of an EU, EEA or Schengen zone country. You are exempt from EES requirements. I'm a dual national, holding the passports of both an EU and non-EU country (eg Franco-British or Italian-American). - For dual nationals it depends on the passport you are travelling on - those travelling on the non-EU passport will need EES, those travelling on the EU passport won't. One quick caveat here - the EES website is not actually up and running yet, so we don't know exactly how the online pre-registration process will work. The rule is outlined above is how it is supposed to work in theory - hopefully it will avoid the fiasco of the UK's ETA system which in effect bars British dual nationals from travelling on their non-UK passport. How much does it cost? There is no fee for EES, it's ETIAS that has a cost. Advertisement How do I prepare for this? Assuming you're not in one of the exempt groups, you will need to complete EES pre registration the first time you cross an external Schengen border after the introduction of the system. The pre registration involves filling out a questionnaire with personal details, and supplying fingerprints and a facial scan. Exactly how these details will be taken depends on the system at the entry port - for example the process at Port of Dover passengers for the car ferries will be slightly different to the airport protocols. But once you have completed the registration you will not need to do that again until you get a new passport - after that it will simply be a case of scanning your passport at the automated passport controls. Some airports and ports are already running live testing of their systems so you might encounter this when you travel. There is at present no way of completing pre-registration in advance of arrival at the airport/port/station - any website offering to complete EES for you is a scam site. Are there scams? Unfortunately yes, scammers are already taking advantage of both EES and ETIAS to try to get your money and personal details. Advertisement Will it be required everywhere after October 12th? Due to concerns about delays and readiness, the European Commission has opted for a phased introduction for this, aiming for full implementation within six months (so by April 2026). So it's not a big bang roll out at every port and airport. During the introduction phase it will be up to each country to choose which ports/airports/stations that will enforce EES, although they must have a certain percentage of entry points using the system. There will also be the option for ports to pause EES checks in the event of long queues, something projected to be a particular problem at the busy UK-France border. ETIAS After EES comes ETIAS, its current start date is the final quarter of 2026 (so between October and December), but it won't be introduced until EES is fully up and running, so any further delays to that will effect ETIAS too. This is different in format to EES - it requires travellers to go online in advance of their trip, fill in a form and pay the €20 fee in order to receive the ETIAS travel authorisation. Once purchased this will last three years (or until you get a new passport) and covers multiple trips. I'm a resident of an EU/Schengen country, am I exempt? Yes. ETIAS is mostly aimed at tourists and visitors - non-EU citizens who live in an EU, EEA or Schengen zone country with a visa or residency permit are exempt. Simply show your passport and visa/residency permit at the border, just as you do now. I'm a second-home owner, am I exempt? As with EES, it depends on whether you have a visa or not. Visa-holders are exempt, people travelling under the 90-day allowance are not. I'm only making a weekend trip, am I exempt? No, ETIAS is required for all tourists and visitors to the Schengen zone, even if they are only making a short trip. Advertisement I have a Schengen visa, am I exempt? If you are a national of a country that does not benefit from the 90-day rule for visa free travel then you will need the short-stay visitor visa known as the Schengen visa in order to enter the Bloc. Because you have a visa, you are exempt from ETIAS. The same applies to all other visa holders. I'm a pensioner, am I exempt? If you are over the age of 70 or under the age of 18 you are not exempt from the requirement for an ETIAS visa waiver, but you are exempt from the fee. Simply fill out the online form and, once you have entered your date of birth, the form will skip the payment section. Can I apply now? No. The ETIAS website is not yet up and running, it is expected to come online a couple of months before the start date (which is, at present, late 2026). Any website which at present is claiming to process ETIAS applications or offering to help you with them is a scam. Advertisement Is this a phased introduction too? Yes, although in a slightly different way to EES. Once ETIAS is introduced, you will still be allowed into the EU without one for the first six months - this is intended as the 'education phase', where those travelling without an ETIAS will be informed of the new requirements, but won't be blocked from entering the EU. Only after spring 2027 (if all goes according to plan) will people start to be turned back at the border if they don't have an ETIAS. Still confused? Put your questions in the comment section below and we will do our best to answer them

Travel to Germany: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS
Travel to Germany: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS

Local Germany

time5 days ago

  • Local Germany

Travel to Germany: Your questions answered about EES And ETIAS

They've been in the planning for years, and postponed several times due to concerns about readiness, but the EU's two big travel changes are now due to come into effect between late 2025 and 2026. At the time of writing, the start date for the Entry & Exit System (EES) is October 12th, 2025, with a six-month phased introduction. It will be followed by the European Travel Authorisation and Information System (ETIAS) in the final quarter of 2026 - exact date still is to be confirmed. ETIAS will also be rolled out in a phased introduction over six months. There's no guarantee that these won't be postponed again, but as things stand travel will begin to change later this year. You can read the full explanation of these two systems HERE , but essentially EES is an enhanced biometric passport check which also digitises enforcement of the 90-day rule to replace manual passport stamping, while ETIAS is an online visa waiver required for tourists and other visitors into the EU/Schengen zone. There's no doubt that these will have a big impact on travel in and out of the Schengen zone, and unsurprisingly, readers of The Local have questions. Advertisement Much of the official information is aimed at tourists, rather than people who have a visa or residency permit in an EU/Schengen zone country. Here are some of the most common questions we have been asked, broken down into sections on first EES and then ETIAS. EES (Entry & Exit System) I'm not an EU citizen, but I'm a resident of an EU country, do I need to complete EES pre-registration? This is the big question for readers of The Local, many of whom are non-EU citizens who live in an EU/Schengen zone country with either a long-stay visa or a residency permit. They are not covered by EES and do not have to complete EES pre registration or provide biometrics - the reason for this is that a primary function of the system is to better monitor the '90 day rule', which of course residents are not limited by. However, while it is clear that residents are not covered by EES, exactly how this will work in practice at an airport, station or port remains frustratingly unclear, with foreign EU residents told only to not use automated passport gates and try to find a manned booth where you can show both your passport and visa/residency permit. I'm a second home owner, does this apply to me? It depends - do you have a visa or not? Some second-home owners want to spend more than 90 days out of every 180 at their property in Germany, so they get a short-term visa (less than six months), which allows them extended stays but does not make them a resident of the country. Visa-holders are not required to complete EES, but anyone who doesn't have a visa or residency permit is required to complete EES pre-registration, owning property does not, in itself, give you any specific rights in the country where your property is located. I have a visa, what about me? Visa-holders are not required to complete EES pre-registration and this applies to all types of visa, with the exception of those who hold the short-stay Schengen visa. Advertisement While nationals of countries such as the UK, USA, Canada and Australia benefit from up to 90 days of visa-free travel into the EU/Schengen zone, citizens of other countries - including Turkey and India - need a visa even for short visits. Those coming for a stay of less than 90 days - for example tourists or people paying family visits - get a Schengen visa. Schengen visa holders are not exempt from EES. Holders of other visa types - for example student visas, working visas, non-lucrative or visitor visas - are exempt from EES requirements. I'm a citizen of an EU, EEA or Schengen zone country. You are exempt from EES requirements. I'm a dual national, holding the passports of both an EU and non-EU country (eg German-British or Italian-American). - For dual nationals it depends on the passport you are travelling on - those travelling on the non-EU passport will need EES, those travelling on the EU passport won't. One quick caveat here - the EES website is not actually up and running yet, so we don't know exactly how the online pre-registration process will work. The rule is outlined above is how it is supposed to work in theory - hopefully it will avoid the fiasco of the UK's ETA system which in effect bars British dual nationals from travelling on their non-UK passport. How much does it cost? There is no fee for EES, it's ETIAS that has a cost. Advertisement How do I prepare for this? Assuming you're not in one of the exempt groups, you will need to complete EES pre registration the first time you cross an external Schengen border after the introduction of the system. The pre registration involves filling out a questionnaire with personal details, and supplying fingerprints and a facial scan. Exactly how these details will be taken depends on the system at the entry port - for example the process at Port of Dover passengers for the car ferries will be slightly different to the airport protocols. But once you have completed the registration you will not need to do that again until you get a new passport - after that it will simply be a case of scanning your passport at the automated passport controls. Some airports and ports are already running live testing of their systems so you might encounter this when you travel. There is at present no way of completing pre-registration in advance of arrival at the airport/port/station - any website offering to complete EES for you is a scam site. Are there scams? Unfortunately yes, scammers are already taking advantage of both EES and ETIAS to try to get your money and personal details. Advertisement Will it be required everywhere after October 12th? Due to concerns about delays and readiness, the European Commission has opted for a phased introduction for this, aiming for full implementation within six months (so by April 2026). So it's not a big bang roll out at every port and airport. During the introduction phase it will be up to each country to choose which ports/airports/stations that will enforce EES, although they must have a certain percentage of entry points using the system. There will also be the option for ports to pause EES checks in the event of long queues, something projected to be a particular problem at the border. ETIAS After EES comes ETIAS, its current start date is the final quarter of 2026 (so between October and December), but it won't be introduced until EES is fully up and running, so any further delays to that will effect ETIAS too. This is different in format to EES - it requires travellers to go online in advance of their trip, fill in a form and pay the €20 fee in order to receive the ETIAS travel authorisation. Once purchased this will last three years (or until you get a new passport) and covers multiple trips. I'm a resident of an EU/Schengen country, am I exempt? Yes. ETIAS is mostly aimed at tourists and visitors - non-EU citizens who live in an EU, EEA or Schengen zone country with a visa or residency permit are exempt. Simply show your passport and visa/residency permit at the border, just as you do now. I'm a second-home owner, am I exempt? As with EES, it depends on whether you have a visa or not. Visa-holders are exempt, people travelling under the 90-day allowance are not. I'm only making a weekend trip, am I exempt? No, ETIAS is required for all tourists and visitors to the Schengen zone, even if they are only making a short trip. Advertisement I have a Schengen visa, am I exempt? If you are a national of a country that does not benefit from the 90-day rule for visa free travel then you will need the short-stay visitor visa known as the Schengen visa in order to enter the Bloc. Because you have a visa, you are exempt from ETIAS. The same applies to all other visa holders. I'm a pensioner, am I exempt? If you are over the age of 70 or under the age of 18 you are not exempt from the requirement for an ETIAS visa waiver, but you are exempt from the fee. Simply fill out the online form and, once you have entered your date of birth, the form will skip the payment section. Can I apply now? No. The ETIAS website is not yet up and running, it is expected to come online a couple of months before the start date (which is, at present, late 2026). Any website which at present is claiming to process ETIAS applications or offering to help you with them is a scam. Advertisement Is this a phased introduction too? Yes, although in a slightly different way to EES. Once ETIAS is introduced, you will still be allowed into the EU without one for the first six months - this is intended as the 'education phase', where those travelling without an ETIAS will be informed of the new requirements, but won't be blocked from entering the EU. Only after spring 2027 (if all goes according to plan) will people start to be turned back at the border if they don't have an ETIAS. Still confused? Put your questions in the comment section below and we will do our best to answer them

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