Latest news with #EchelonInsights
The Hill
19-07-2025
- Politics
- The Hill
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be ‘none of the above'?
Did you hear the one where former Vice President Kamala Harris, former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg and California Gov. Gavin Newsom were the leading candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2028? Neither have I. Nor have any Democrats I speak with who concern themselves with real-world politics. In a recent poll from a company called Echelon Insights — which describes itself as 'erasing old industry lines that separate the process of conducting research from the tools to act on it' — Harris was leading the Democratic field with 26 percent of the primary vote, followed by Buttigieg at 11 percent, Newsom at 10 percent, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) at 7 percent and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) at 6 percent. I have spoken with numerous Democrats in or around the business of politics over the last few months. Not one believes that Harris will — or should be — the nominee. Similarly, none believe the other four names topping the poll will be the standard-bearer come November 2028. As has been stated many times in the past, a good lawyer can get a grand jury to indict a ham sandwich. The same holds true for polling. Depending on where you poll and how you shade the questions, a poll can bolster the views and desires of one partisan entity over the other, be they Democrats or Republicans. As for a recent glaring example of such polling flaws — purposeful or innocent — look no further than the truly laughable final Des Moines Register-Mediacom Iowa Poll of the 2024 election season conducted by Selzer and Co. In a state Trump was heavily favored to win, the jaw-dropping poll showed Harris leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent. Of course, Trump went on to crush Harris in Iowa by 13 points, meaning the poll was a whopping 16 points off. 'How,' curious minds wondered, 'could a legitimate poll be that far off?' Some, including Trump himself, openly speculated whether it had been a tactic to suppress the Republican vote in the state. Trump was rightfully so bothered by the massive and mysterious failure of that poll that he decided to sue pollster J. Ann Selzer, her polling firm, the Des Moines Register newspaper and its parent company Gannett. Although the suit was later dropped, Selzer chose to retire from the polling business. All that is to say that more and more people in the business put little stock in any of these polls. Of course, at some point, some Democrat is going to emerge as the frontrunner and then the eventual nominee. After Trump's decisive victory in 2024, every Democrat I spoke with believed their party would learn from its mistakes and tone-deafness and move back toward the center — back toward once again listening to the voices of working-class and disenfranchised Americans. Not only has the party not done so, but it has doubled and tripled down on 'woke' and 'DEI' rhetoric while still loudly pushing its main 'policy' plank from 2024: 'We hate Trump.' Of course, the 'we hate Trump' strategy did nothing to address the 'bread and butter' issues upending the lives of working-class and disenfranchised Americans in 2024 and it is doing less for them now. And yet, 'rising voices' such as Reps. Ocasio-Cortez and Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) still invoke that strategy incessantly in egocentric attempts at gaining attention. Here is a suggestion for Democratic-leaning polling companies. Why not poll the minority, poor and disenfranchised constituents in the districts represented by Ocasio-Cortez and Crockett? Why not ask which 'bread and butter' emergencies either is fixing by appearing on show after show proclaiming their hatred of Trump? How has the 'leadership' of Ocasio-Cortez and Crockett improved the real lives of those constituents? Most Americans want to see those 'bread and butter' issues fixed. They don't live in entrenched and elite bubbles of entitlement. They exist in an often brutally tough world, in which many still must choose which necessity they will have to go without that month. They don't care if you 'hate Trump' or not. They want to feed and protect their children. And yet Democratic leaders still refuse to wrest control back from the far-left wing of their party. Why? Are they truly that afraid and intimidated by what really does amount to a tiny percentage of their base? In the meantime, the 2028 Republican Party bench could not be stronger. Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, and Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are all on the list. And guess what? Just as in 2024, all are laser-focused on the 'bread and butter' issues that most affect the quality of life of working-class and disenfranchised Americans. So who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028? As the internal battle for control of that party goes on, my money is still on 'none of the above.'
News18
17-07-2025
- Politics
- News18
Kamala Harris Eyeing A Comeback? Ex-US Vice President Leads 2028 Democratic Primary Poll
Last Updated: Kamala Harris leads the 2028 Democratic nomination poll with 26% followed by Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom. Former US Vice President Kamala Harris, who lost in a landslide to Donald Trump in 2024, is now the early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, according to a new poll from Echelon Insights. Kamala Harris commands 26% support among Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters- far ahead of other contenders. Trailing Kamala Harris are former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg with 11% and California Governor Gavin Newsom with 10%. Another 13% of Democratic voters remain undecided. Earlier when Kamala Harris was excluded from the polling list- amid reports she may consider a run for California governor- support redistributed slightly. Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom both rose to 12%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumped to 9% and Senator Cory Booker reached 8%. Minnesota Governor Tim Walz rounded out the top five with 7%. JD Vance Dominates Early GOP Field Among Republican voters, US Vice President JD Vance leads with a commanding 42%, a full 33-point advantage over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis who earned 9% support. Other GOP figures included Marco Rubio (7%), Nikki Haley (6%), Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (5%) and Vivek Ramaswamy (4%). Sixteen percent of Republican voters said they were unsure. Among political outsiders, entrepreneur Mark Cuban polled at 3% while Stephen A. Smith and Jon Stewart received 1% each. First Published: Disclaimer: Comments reflect users' views, not News18's. Please keep discussions respectful and constructive. Abusive, defamatory, or illegal comments will be removed. News18 may disable any comment at its discretion. By posting, you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
Newsweek
17-07-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
Donald Trump Voters Change Their Tune on Arming Ukraine
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Support among President Donald Trump's voters for the U.S. providing military aid to Ukraine has increased over the past six months, according to a polling firm. The Echelon Insights poll found a rise in the proportion of Trump supporters backing U.S. aid to Ukraine compared with when the president returned to the White House in January. When respondents were told that it was Trump's decision, their support rose even further. Newsweek has contacted the White House for comment. Why It Matters Trump had cast doubt on Washington's continuing role as the world's largest provider of military aid to Ukraine to fight against Russian aggression. Concerns in Kyiv about U.S. commitment grew during the early months of Trump's second term amid temporary pauses in assistance and a pivot toward closer relations with Moscow. However, following a successful NATO summit and his growing unhappiness with Russian President Vladimir Putin's rejection of a U.S. peace deal, Trump appears to have reversed his reluctance for arming Kyiv—as long as NATO pays for the weapons. President Donald Trump departing the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 15. President Donald Trump departing the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 15. Anna Moneymaker//Getty Images What To Know The Echelon Insights survey of 1,084 voters was conducted between July 14 and 17. It had a 3.6 percent margin of error and asked voters of all stripes a wide range of questions, including two on the U.S.'s support for Ukraine. The first question said, "Do you support or oppose continuing to give weapons to Ukraine for the conflict with Russia?" Of the voters who backed Trump in the 2024 election, 49 percent either strongly or somewhat supported the move. In comparison, 36 percent either somewhat or strongly opposed it. When respondents were told that Trump had made the decision, the figure was higher. The second question said, "Do you support or oppose Donald Trump's decision to continue giving weapons to Ukraine for the conflict with Russia?" In response, 65 percent of Trump voters backed the provision of arms to Ukraine, almost three times the 22 percent who opposed the move. The results suggest a shift in attitudes among Trump supporters toward aid for Ukraine over the past six months. In a split test, more Trump voters now favor continuing to give weapons to Ukraine. Baseline, they support it 49-36. When we say it was Trump's decision, they support it 65-22. — Patrick Ruffini (@PatrickRuffini) July 14, 2025 In a poll with a 3.5 percent margin of error conducted between January 22 and 24, shortly after the Republican president returned to the White House, 36 percent of his supporters believed continued American military support for Kyiv was a good idea, compared with 38 percent who believed it was a bad idea. Yuriy Boyechko, the CEO and founder of Hope for Ukraine, told Newsweek that he welcomed Trump's announcement of renewed supplies of military equipment to Ukraine. But he said they needed to be accompanied by economic pressure on Russia. He also said the 50-day deadline Trump has given Russia to agree to a deal or else face additional secondary sanctions "is way too long" given reports that Putin plans a major offensive in the coming months. What People Are Saying Echelon pollster Patrick Ruffini wrote on X: "In a split test, more Trump voters now favor continuing to give weapons to Ukraine." Yuriy Boyechko, the CEO and founder of Hope for Ukraine, told Newsweek: "At the present moment, Trump's approach to aiding Ukraine has not really materialized since most of it is just promises and statements." He added: "Putin has announced that he plans a major offensive in Ukraine over the next 60 days, so both the U.S. and Western countries need to act quickly by supplying more military equipment and imposing crippling sanctions against Russia." What Happens Next Trump has said U.S. weapons can go to Ukraine if paid for by NATO's European members, although there appears to be uncertainty about the details of the plan. He also said some weapons systems could be delivered to Ukraine "within days," though European and U.S. officials cited by Reuters said the proposal had been hastily devised without prior notification.
Sky News AU
15-07-2025
- Politics
- Sky News AU
Three Democrats win double-digit support in early 2028 presidential primary poll — with one clear frontrunner
Former Vice President Kamala Harris is the 2028 Democratic presidential primary frontrunner by a substantial margin, according to a poll released Monday. Harris, who lost the 2024 race in a landslide to President Trump, received 26% support from Democrats and Democrat-leaning voters in the survey conducted by Echelon Insights. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and California Gov. Gavin Newsom were the only other Democrats to muster double-digit support at 11% and 10% respectively. Rounding out the top five were Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), whom 7% of Democrats said they would vote for if the primary were held today, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), who garnered a 6% backing. At 3%, entrepreneur Mark Cuban led the group of political outsiders included in the survey, with sports commentator Stephen A. Smith and comedian Jon Stewart receiving 1% apiece. Thirteen percent of voters indicated that they were unsure who they would vote for, with the primaries still more than two years away. Support for Newsom and Buttigieg increased slightly when Harris – who is reportedly mulling a run for governor in California – was not included in the poll, with both polling at 12%. Ocasio-Cortez (9%) topped and Booker (8%) in that scenario, and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (7%) jumped into the top 5. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance – at 42% support – held a commanding 33-point lead over his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who was backed by 9% of GOP and GOP-leaning voters. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (7%), former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (6%), Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (5%) and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (4%) were within striking distance of DeSantis, but well behind Vance. Sixteen percent of respondents were unsure about who they would vote for. Originally published as Three Democrats win double-digit support in early 2028 presidential primary poll — with one clear frontrunner
Time of India
15-07-2025
- Politics
- Time of India
US presidential elections 2028: Three top Democrats lead primary poll; who are they?
Kamala Harris has emerged as the early Democratic frontrunner for the 2028 US presidential race, according to a new poll, placing her well ahead of other potential candidates despite her landslide defeat in 2024 against Trump The survey, conducted by Echelon Insights and released on Monday, shows the former US vice president leading the Democratic primary field with 26% support among Democrats and Democrat-leaning voters. Buttigieg and Newsom trail behind Harris Former transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg and California governor Gavin Newsom are the only other Democrats to receive double-digit support in the poll, with 11% and 10% respectively. Rounding out the top five are senator Cory Booker of New Jersey, backed by 7% of respondents, and New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who gained 6% support. The poll also included a few political outsiders. Entrepreneur Mark Cuban led that group with 3%, while sports commentator Stephen A. Smith and comedian Jon Stewart each received 1%. Thirteen percent of Democratic respondents said they were undecided, a reminder that the primaries are still more than two years away and voter sentiment could shift. Support shifts when Harris excluded The poll also tested the field without Harris, who is reportedly considering a run for governor in California. In that scenario, both Buttigieg and Newsom saw a slight boost, rising to 12% each. Without Harris in the mix, Ocasio-Cortez jumped to third place with 9%, followed by Booker at 8% and Minnesota governor Tim Walz, who entered the top five with 7%. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like She Took 1 Teaspoon Before Bed – Her Belly Was Gone in a Week Hollywood News | USA Click Here Undo JD Vance dominates Republican field On the Republican side, US vice president JD Vance is the clear leader. The poll shows him with 42% support from Republican and Republican-leaning voters, a commanding 33-point lead over his nearest competitor, Florida governor Ron DeSantis, who polled at 9%. Trailing them are Secretary of State Marco Rubio (7%), former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley (6%), health and human services secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (5%) and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (4%). Sixteen percent of Republican respondents said they were not sure whom they would support, reports the New York Post.
