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Today's housing market is a mirror of the times we're living in, new study shows
Today's housing market is a mirror of the times we're living in, new study shows

New York Post

time07-05-2025

  • Business
  • New York Post

Today's housing market is a mirror of the times we're living in, new study shows

The American dream of homeownership is feeling increasingly like a fantasy for some. Gallup's annual housing market survey, released Wednesday, paints a pessimistic picture of the real estate market. Most Americans view current market conditions as decidedly unfavorable, the survey concluded, and they are bracing for further price increases in the coming year. The responses of more than 1,000 American adults were included in Gallup's sample for its annual Economy and Personal Finance survey. The survey measures housing market perceptions and home-buying intentions across the country. 5 Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the prospect of homeownership. Getty Images/iStockphoto 5 A home advertises an open house, hoping to attract uncertain buyers. moodboard – 5 Americans across the country reported the cost of homeownership as their greatest barrier. Mangostar – Roughly one third of respondents reported renting their homes. Of that cohort, the percentage for that plan to buy a home within five or 10 years was just 53% — the lowest ever recorded by Gallup. Also, 45% of respondents don't expect to buy a home in the foreseeable future. More than half said they expect home prices to increase this year. The results come at the same time as widespread economic uncertainty and lackluster spring sales reported by the National Association of Realtors. Home sales in March declined by the most since November 2022. There are plenty of reasons why a renter may not want to become a homeowner — like convenience, bad credit, an unstable job or just simple timing. But the cost of homeownership, including the down payment, is a bigger home-buying barrier for renters than it has been in the past, the survey revealed. Only 11% of renters cited convenience as their reason for renting, suggesting not renting today is largely an economic choice, rather than a preferential one. 5 For sale signs are piling up across US metros. Home sales nationwide significantly slowed this spring. Hernan Schmidt – 5 High prices, elevated mortgage rates and an uncertain economy are dampening the hopes of prospective homebuyers. fizkes – Among US adults who currently rent their home, 68% say they do so because they can't afford to buy or do not have enough money for a down payment. When Gallup asked this question in 2013, just 45% gave this reason. Americans remain broadly skeptical about the housing market, as they have been since 2022, with a majority — 72% — answering that it's a bad time to buy a house. But the Gallup data found real divides in perceptions when sorted by region and politics. East Coasters, the survey found, are more likely to expect home prices to rise than other regions. Republicans answered the survey with significantly more optimism than their counterparts — 33% of Republicans surveyed said that now is a good time to buy a home, compared to just 18% last year. This cohort's expectations for rising home prices also dropped dramatically, from 69% in 2024 to 48% this year. Despite declines from their 2022 highs, home prices remain head and shoulders above levels from a decade ago. The financial squeeze of high prices, elevated mortgage rates and an uncertain economy has effectively locked out a segment of Americans from looking forward to homeownership. Despite this pessimism, a large proportion of Americans — 37% — still believe that real estate is the best long-term investment a person can make.

Americans' economic, financial expectations sink in April
Americans' economic, financial expectations sink in April

Yahoo

time23-04-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Americans' economic, financial expectations sink in April

The Brief A record 53% of Americans say their personal finances are getting worse, and most now expect the economy and stock market to decline. Just 29% believe the stock market will rise in the next six months, down from 61% in January; pessimism about job prospects and economic growth has surged. Gallup and the IMF cite Trump's tariffs as a key factor behind the economic gloom, with global growth forecast to slow and U.S. inflation expected to rise. WASHINGTON - A new Gallup poll showed that Americans' mood towards the economy and their own finances, sunk in April and, in some cases, substantially. Research showed that 53% of Americans believe their personal financial situation is getting worse, a record high. Methodology Gallup's annual Economy and Personal Finance survey was conducted from April 1 to April 14. Most of the poll was conducted after President Donald Trump announced "Liberation Day" tariffs on numerous countries on April 2. RELATED: Americans considering filing for bankruptcy hits highest level since pandemic By the numbers Gallup showed that Americans have grown more pessimistic about the direction of the stock market and economic growth in the wake of Trump taking office. RELATED: Can Trump fire the fed chair? President lashes out at Powell for economic outlook The findings showed: Just 29% now expect the stock market to go up over the next six months, while 58% think it will decline. This is a near reversal from late January, when 61% foresaw the market gaining and 18% declining. Similarly, 38% are currently optimistic about U.S. economic growth, predicting it will increase over the next six months, while 48% think it is likely to decline. This differs from the strongly positive tilt in January, when 53% believed economic growth would rise and 29% thought it would decline. 58% now believe it's a bad time to find a quality job, whereas 38% consider it a good time. This is a change from January, when the public was split between calling it a good time (48%) and a bad time (45%). Gallup said the results showed that this is the most pessimistic outlook for jobs that researchers have recorded in four years, since January 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic. The survey also revealed: A quarter of Americans believe the economy is currently growing, 33% perceive it's slowing down, and 42% say it is in a recession (27%) or economic depression (15%). Attitudes are more positive about where the economy will be a year from now, with 45% predicting it will be growing by that time and fewer thinking it will be slowing down (7%). However, the percentage expecting the economy to be in a recession or depression (47% combined) is slightly larger than the 42% saying that about the current economy. RELATED: China's economy grew 5.4% before US tariffs hit; slowdown likely, analysts warn Dig deeper "Public attitudes about several specific aspects of the U.S. economy have changed markedly in the short time Trump has been in office, as Americans' expectations for the stock market, economic growth and employment have turned negative and consumers are feeling unusually pessimistic about their personal finances," researchers said. Big picture view The U.S. and global economies will likely slow significantly in the wake of Trump's tariffs and the uncertainty they have created, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday. The IMF said that the global economy will grow just 2.8% this year, down from its forecast in January of 3.3%, according to its latest World Economic Outlook. And in 2026, global growth will be 3%, the fund predicts, also below its previous 3.3% estimate. The forecasts underscore the widespread impact of both the tariffs and the uncertainty they have created. Every country in the world is affected, the IMF said, by hikes in US import taxes that have now lifted average U.S. duties to about 25%, the highest in a century. RELATED: These stores are poised to benefit if US tariffs drive up new clothing costs The Trump administration has slapped duties on cars, steel, and aluminum, as well as 25% import taxes on most goods from Canada and Mexico. The White House has also imposed 10% tariffs on nearly all imports, and a huge 145% duty on goods from China, though smartphone and computers have been exempted. China has retaliated with 125% duties on US goods. Inflation will likely worsen in the United States, rising to about 3% by the end of this year, while it will be little changed in China, the IMF forecast. The Source The Associated Press contributed to this report. The information in this story comes primarily from Gallup's annual Economy and Personal Finance survey, conducted from April 1 to April 14, which measured Americans' views on their personal finances, the job market, the stock market, and overall economic conditions. This story was reported from Los Angeles.

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