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Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years
Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years

The Age

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • The Age

Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years

In Melbourne's outer north, Donnybrook house values jumped 294.1 per cent, to more than $722,000. Nearby Mickleham rose 289 per cent to almost $724,000. The increases have come as new house and land packages have been rolled out in Melbourne's growth corridors, and more residents have moved in. Melton's local government area had nearly 79,000 residents in 2006, ABS Census data shows, more than doubling to 178,960 a decade and a half later. But in a tale of two cities, the strongest growth was in desirable inner suburb Kew East, which flew 349.5 per cent to a median $2.12 million. Neighbouring Balwyn and Balwyn North rose more than 300 per cent each. Cotality's head of Australian research Eliza Owen said inner-city house value rises were fuelled by wealthier buyers and a lack of available properties rather than the shift of Millennials seeking family homes. 'It's the highly exclusive parts of the market that see the biggest growth in value,' Owen said. 'And it's these parts of the inner city that represent the most desirable and most scarce properties because there is no more developable land.' Loading Owen said the pandemic and remote working prompted a shift in where buyers are purchasing, allowing them to live further from CBD offices. 'It's really not so much of a surprise to see house values in outer suburbs grow, because of this normalisation of remote work and the Millennial shift – but I think there will be limitations to how far it can go, as higher interest rates and affordability issues bite,' Owen said. The Demographics Group co-founder Simon Kuestenmacher said Millennials – born between the early 1980s and mid-1990s – are now the largest generation ever in Australia, and were already changing the face of some of Melbourne's outer suburbs. Those who once lived in trendy inner-city enclaves, but were priced out, are moving to outer suburbs to buy. He said it meant the outer suburbs are 'hipsterising', with trendy places to have a coffee. With substantial greenfield development in Melbourne, prices will remain cheaper than other capital cities, although he noted the lack of infrastructure being built like schools, supermarkets and public transport. Even so, Millennials are expected to keep moving to the fringes for at least the next 12 years, he said, as they couple up and have a family. Kuestenmacher said new migrants are also driving the trend to the affordable outer suburbs. Loading 'They want large homes so they move to areas like Point Cook,' he said. 'Migrants don't have the backing of the bank of mum and dad so they choose to live somewhere affordable.' Investors are catching on. Ray White Melton's Martin Mintoff, the Horster-Haarburgers' agent, said investors were becoming a larger part of the outer suburban buying market, pushing up values. 'At the moment we're seeing a massive shift. Investors were cashing out, but now we're seeing investors from Perth, Sydney and Brisbane in particular,' Mintoff said. 'A lot of them are paying figures that were unheard of for four-bedroom houses.' Buyer's advocates were looking for off-market deals for their interstate clients, he said, and the outer west market has shifted from 80 per cent owner-occupier buyers and 20 per cent investors, to 50-50. It was similar in outer northern suburbs like Donnybrook. Harcourts Mernda's Vanny Bains said while prices had been rising, the past 12 months were challenging, given the rises in interest rates – before the recent reductions. 'It's all doing OK now,' Bains said. 'We're expecting things to go back to normal as interest rates keep dropping this year.' Local investor Sarbjeet Singh hopes to see the market pick up again. Over the past six months Singh has listed three houses in Donnybrook for sale, building them over the past few years through volume builders. All have sold to various buyers – the latest to a young family. Last year he sold to a Sydney investor who had not seen through the house. 'Price-wise, houses are 40 per cent cheaper than Sydney,' Singh said. 'The same house up there would cost $1.1 million to $1.2 million.' Singh agreed prices had risen, but the past 12 months had been challenging for investors. 'In 2018 it was very good, you could sell within two weeks sometimes – at the moment it's taking around three months,' Singh said. 'I'm pretty much breaking even at the moment so that's what I'm waiting for is interest rates to fall.'

Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years
Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years

Sydney Morning Herald

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • Sydney Morning Herald

Melbourne suburbs where house values rose most over 20 years

In Melbourne's outer north, Donnybrook house values jumped 294.1 per cent, to more than $722,000. Nearby Mickleham rose 289 per cent to almost $724,000. The increases have come as new house and land packages have been rolled out in Melbourne's growth corridors, and more residents have moved in. Melton's local government area had nearly 79,000 residents in 2006, ABS Census data shows, more than doubling to 178,960 a decade and a half later. But in a tale of two cities, the strongest growth was in desirable inner suburb Kew East, which flew 349.5 per cent to a median $2.12 million. Neighbouring Balwyn and Balwyn North rose more than 300 per cent each. Cotality's head of Australian research Eliza Owen said inner-city house value rises were fuelled by wealthier buyers and a lack of available properties rather than the shift of Millennials seeking family homes. 'It's the highly exclusive parts of the market that see the biggest growth in value,' Owen said. 'And it's these parts of the inner city that represent the most desirable and most scarce properties because there is no more developable land.' Loading Owen said the pandemic and remote working prompted a shift in where buyers are purchasing, allowing them to live further from CBD offices. 'It's really not so much of a surprise to see house values in outer suburbs grow, because of this normalisation of remote work and the Millennial shift – but I think there will be limitations to how far it can go, as higher interest rates and affordability issues bite,' Owen said. The Demographics Group co-founder Simon Kuestenmacher said Millennials – born between the early 1980s and mid-1990s – are now the largest generation ever in Australia, and were already changing the face of some of Melbourne's outer suburbs. Those who once lived in trendy inner-city enclaves, but were priced out, are moving to outer suburbs to buy. He said it meant the outer suburbs are 'hipsterising', with trendy places to have a coffee. With substantial greenfield development in Melbourne, prices will remain cheaper than other capital cities, although he noted the lack of infrastructure being built like schools, supermarkets and public transport. Even so, Millennials are expected to keep moving to the fringes for at least the next 12 years, he said, as they couple up and have a family. Kuestenmacher said new migrants are also driving the trend to the affordable outer suburbs. Loading 'They want large homes so they move to areas like Point Cook,' he said. 'Migrants don't have the backing of the bank of mum and dad so they choose to live somewhere affordable.' Investors are catching on. Ray White Melton's Martin Mintoff, the Horster-Haarburgers' agent, said investors were becoming a larger part of the outer suburban buying market, pushing up values. 'At the moment we're seeing a massive shift. Investors were cashing out, but now we're seeing investors from Perth, Sydney and Brisbane in particular,' Mintoff said. 'A lot of them are paying figures that were unheard of for four-bedroom houses.' Buyer's advocates were looking for off-market deals for their interstate clients, he said, and the outer west market has shifted from 80 per cent owner-occupier buyers and 20 per cent investors, to 50-50. It was similar in outer northern suburbs like Donnybrook. Harcourts Mernda's Vanny Bains said while prices had been rising, the past 12 months were challenging, given the rises in interest rates – before the recent reductions. 'It's all doing OK now,' Bains said. 'We're expecting things to go back to normal as interest rates keep dropping this year.' Local investor Sarbjeet Singh hopes to see the market pick up again. Over the past six months Singh has listed three houses in Donnybrook for sale, building them over the past few years through volume builders. All have sold to various buyers – the latest to a young family. Last year he sold to a Sydney investor who had not seen through the house. 'Price-wise, houses are 40 per cent cheaper than Sydney,' Singh said. 'The same house up there would cost $1.1 million to $1.2 million.' Singh agreed prices had risen, but the past 12 months had been challenging for investors. 'In 2018 it was very good, you could sell within two weeks sometimes – at the moment it's taking around three months,' Singh said. 'I'm pretty much breaking even at the moment so that's what I'm waiting for is interest rates to fall.'

‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave
‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave

The Age

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • The Age

‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave

Melbourne buyers looking for a suburb where they can find a forever home, surrounded by others who want the same, have options in both prestige and affordable neighbourhoods. Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) figures show properties change hands the least in the blue-chip Mornington Peninsula suburb of Portsea, statistically part of greater Melbourne, where the median dwelling value is $2.64 million. Those who sold during the 12 months to April had held on to their properties for a median period of 21.9 years. It was followed by Vermont South in the leafy outer-east, which had a median hold period of 20.6 years and Tootgarook at 18.9 years. Their median values were $1,488,000 and $897,000, respectively. Cotality head of Australian research Eliza Owen said the top suburbs all recorded median hold periods – the time between sales of a property – longer than the city's median of 9.6 years. 'What we usually see with suburbs associated with long hold periods is they tend to be associated with areas that are long-held family suburbs,' she said. 'Suburbs that have a relatively low portion of renters … they're often suburbs where young couples with kids were buying 10 to 20 years ago.' A cluster of suburbs in the Brimbank council area, west of Melbourne, fit into this category and were relatively affordable, Owen said, despite being among the longest-held neighbourhoods across the city. Keilor Downs, Delahey and Taylors Lakes were sixth, seventh and eighth on the list and had median hold periods between 16.2 years and 16.7 years. Their median values ranged from about $700,000 to almost $1 million. Lifelong residents there aren't surprised. Dimitra Mouyis said she rarely had to leave the area when living there.

‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave
‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave

Sydney Morning Herald

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • Sydney Morning Herald

‘You'd be silly to sell': The Melbourne suburbs no one wants to leave

Melbourne buyers looking for a suburb where they can find a forever home, surrounded by others who want the same, have options in both prestige and affordable neighbourhoods. Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) figures show properties change hands the least in the blue-chip Mornington Peninsula suburb of Portsea, statistically part of greater Melbourne, where the median dwelling value is $2.64 million. Those who sold during the 12 months to April had held on to their properties for a median period of 21.9 years. It was followed by Vermont South in the leafy outer-east, which had a median hold period of 20.6 years and Tootgarook at 18.9 years. Their median values were $1,488,000 and $897,000, respectively. Cotality head of Australian research Eliza Owen said the top suburbs all recorded median hold periods – the time between sales of a property – longer than the city's median of 9.6 years. 'What we usually see with suburbs associated with long hold periods is they tend to be associated with areas that are long-held family suburbs,' she said. 'Suburbs that have a relatively low portion of renters … they're often suburbs where young couples with kids were buying 10 to 20 years ago.' A cluster of suburbs in the Brimbank council area, west of Melbourne, fit into this category and were relatively affordable, Owen said, despite being among the longest-held neighbourhoods across the city. Keilor Downs, Delahey and Taylors Lakes were sixth, seventh and eighth on the list and had median hold periods between 16.2 years and 16.7 years. Their median values ranged from about $700,000 to almost $1 million. Lifelong residents there aren't surprised. Dimitra Mouyis said she rarely had to leave the area when living there.

The million-dollar suburbs that just flipped in buyers' favour
The million-dollar suburbs that just flipped in buyers' favour

The Age

time24-06-2025

  • Business
  • The Age

The million-dollar suburbs that just flipped in buyers' favour

A range of sought-after locales are tipping into buyers' favour over winter, bucking the seasonal trend of shrinking pools of properties to choose from. Nationally, total listings have fallen 7 per cent since mid-April – which typically marks the beginning of the winter market slowdown – Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) data shows. But Cotality's head of Australian research, Eliza Owen, said some regions saw overall listing numbers rise. 'It's unusual for this time of year, basically – usually you would be seeing total listings trending down because fewer people are putting listings on the market in winter,' she said. 'This could indicate these are buyers' markets because there are more homes on the market than a few weeks ago.' The area with the biggest rise in the number of properties for sale was Melbourne's Bayside statistical area, which is mostly made up of the Bayside Council suburbs, including blue-chip Brighton and neighbouring Sandringham. The area's median value was $1.67 million, and there were 52 more homes for sale in early June than in mid-April. Owen said some parts of Melbourne had subdued reactions to the Reserve Bank's cash rate cuts, which have been identified as the cause of a bump in buyer activity and sentiment. 'Areas like Bayside, which is a relatively high-end pocket of the market, and has a more subtle reaction to cash rate decreases,' she said. Sellers could have decided to list because of the sentiment boost, Owen said, but found buyers to be less keen than expected. 'Buyers could be shying away because of an uncertain geopolitical environment and tariff uncertainty … Now may not be the best time to commit to buying a property.'

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