Latest news with #EmersonPoll
Forbes
27-06-2025
- Politics
- Forbes
NEW 2028 POLL: Shock Bad News For Kamala Harris, But Very Good News For JD Vance
On "Forbes Newsroom," Matt Taglia, Senior Director of Emerson College Polling, discussed a new Emerson poll showing the top candidates in the 2028 presidential election. Watch the full interview above.
New York Post
23-06-2025
- Business
- New York Post
Kalshi shows bettors putting money on Zohran Mamdani beating Andrew Cuomo in NYC mayoral pr
The betting odds are shifting in socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani's favor. An Emerson Poll released at 6 a.m. on Monday showed Assemblyman Mamdani at 52% and Andrew Cuomo at 48% in a ranked-choice voting simulation. Later Monday morning on betting platform Kalshi, Cuomo's odds of winning the Democratic primary fell to 46% — down from more than 70% Sunday night — in a drastic shift. 'It is one of the biggest changes we've ever seen on our site — Mamdani went from 18% last Friday [and less than 25% over the weekend] to more than 50%,' Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour told me. 4 Over the course of the election, Mamdani's odds have risen to compete with Cuomo. 4 On Monday, Kalshi's switch from seeing Cuomo lead to seeing Mamdani lead was, according to Kalshi's CEO Tarek Mansour, 'One of the biggest changes we've ever seen on our site.' By Monday afternoon, Kalshi showed Cuomo with a slight lead over Mamdani, 58% to 42%, but Mansour called it a 'coin flip.' The exchange, which is regulated by the CFTC, is apolitical, so Mansour is staying out of the fray. But, he told me, this is critical information to be aware of ahead of Tuesday's Democratic primary. 'The early and the young voters have come in much more than previously expected,' Mansour said. 'New Yorkers should do with that information what they will.' 4 Former Governor Andrew Cuomo isn't a sure bet. Andrew Schwartz / Kalshi — the first legal election betting platform in the US in over a century — gives voters more transparency and makes them feel more involved in the process, Mansour argues, because it lets them put their money where their mouths are. And unlike polls, which take time to conduct and process, betting odds reflect the latest information in real time. The platform is run like a futures exchange where a marketplace facilitates trades about what could happen. Conventional exchanges, such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, process bets about oil or cattle prices. Kalshi does the same thing — just for current events. 4 The rise of socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani reflects New York City's changing demographics after many wealthy New Yorkers fled during COVID. Robert Miller Someone who believes in the likelihood of an event — like Cuomo winning — will place a bet, and Kalshi matches them with someone willing to take the other side of the bet. This story is part of NYNext, an indispensable insider insight into the innovations, moonshots and political chess moves that matter most to NYC's power players (and those who aspire to be). Not everyone is surprised by Monday's turn of events. Longtime Democratic strategist Hank Sheinkopf told me it is just one more indication the city has shifted in part because so many residents fled during COVID to more tax-friendly states, 'All significantly contested elections are indicative of a demographic shift.' Kathy Wylde, the longtime president of the non-profit organization Partnership for New York and CEO-whisperer, said she isn't shocked either. 'I think that the city's electoral process has been dysfunctional for a while with low voter participation, campaign finance laws, term limits, and the public finance system,' she told me. 'We've got a million registered voters who can't participate [because only registered Democrats can vote in the primary] and [registered Independents] are probably among the more rational voters. It is a skewed faction.' Wylde added, 'What is going on is a great argument for open primaries which will hopefully be on the ballot in November.' Send NYNext a tip: nynextlydia@
Yahoo
30-04-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
New poll shows President Trump's approval after first 100 days
HENDERSON, Ky. (WEHT)—As President Trump reaches his first 100 days in office, a new poll from Emerson College shows Americans' views on his job performance. Governor Beshear requests more counties be approved for federal assistance When asked if they approve or disapprove of the job President Trump is doing, 44.7% of respondents said they approved, while 45.3% said they disapprove. 10% of those surveyed say they are neutral. Since the 50-day Emerson Poll, the President's approval has decreased by two points, while his disapproval has not changed. Emerson Poll: Voters sour on Political Parties as Economy becomes key issue Despite several unpopular policies, President Trump still holds a strong base of voters who, if given the chance, say they would vote for him again. However, many voters have areas of concern for the President, including economic and foreign policy. Voters generally disapprove of the President's actions on tariffs and the Russia-Ukraine war, and continue to be divided on the President's immigration and deportation policy. When asked about President Trump's economic policy, 49% of those surveyed think the President's economic policy is making the economy worse, while 29% think the administration's policies are making the economy better. 23% of those surveyed believe it has no effect or it is too soon to tell. Overall, 37% approve of Trump's handling of the United States' economy, while 49% disapprove, which is consistent with Emerson College's 50-day poll. On tariff policy, 34% approve and 51% disapprove. Approval regarding President Trump's handling of the Russia-Ukraine war has decreased significantly since the 50-day poll. According to the new poll, just 27% of those surveyed approve of President Trump's handling of the war, a 14-point drop since March. 52% of those surveyed disapprove. 30% of voters approve of the President's handling of the war between Israel and Hamas, an 8-point drop since March, while 46% of voters disapprove. EPD and VCSO confirm ICE operations taking place in Evansville Approval of the President's handling of immigration policy has decreased from 48% to 45% this month, while disapproval has increased from 40% to 44%. Deportation policy is slightly lower, with 43% of those surveyed saying they approve and 46% saying they disapprove. When asked if President Trump's second term so far has been more of a success or failure than his first term, 48% say they consider it to be more of a success, while 52% say his second term has been more of a failure than his first. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
