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New York Post
30-07-2025
- Politics
- New York Post
Democrat Mikie Sherrill holds single-digit lead over Jack Ciattarelli in NJ gov race: poll
Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill holds a small but clear lead over Republican Jack Ciattarelli in their battle to become governor of New Jersey, according to a poll out this week. Sherrill (D-NJ) has a 45%-37% edge over her GOP foe among likely voters, with 16% undecided, according to the Fairleigh Dickinson University survey released Tuesday. The poll found support for Ciattarelli slightly softer than support for Sherrill, with 87% of Democrats saying they would 'definitely' or 'probably' vote for their nominee and 86% of Republicans saying the same of theirs. Advertisement 'Unless something goes horribly awry, partisans are going to vote for their party's candidate,' said FDU Poll Executive Director Dan Cassino. 3 Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill has distanced herself from the New York City mayoral race after socialist Zohran Mamdani's shock win. AP 3 Republican Jack Ciattarelli overperformed the polls and shocked political observers with his narrow defeat in the 2021 contest. Luiz C. Ribeiro for New York Post Advertisement 'While Republicans have been narrowing the gap, there are still more Democrats than Republicans in the state, and Ciattarelli needs to start pulling in more independents and Democrats if he wants to win.' The survey found a plurality of independents (41%) undecided in the race, with 30% supporting Sherrill and 23% supporting Ciattarelli; and just 2% of self-described Democrats backing the GOP nominee. Polling of the race has been sporadic, but shown Sherrill as the favorite to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy A Rutgers-Eagleton/SSRS survey earlier this month pegged Sherrill with a roughly 20-point lead following the June primaries. Advertisement Ciattarelli is aiming to become the first Republican to win a New Jersey gubernatorial election since Chris Christie in 2013 after he came within 2.8 percentage points of besting Murphy four years ago. Back then, Democrats had to reckon with voter backlash to some of former President Joe Biden's policies. Now Republicans are the ones in political power in Washington, DC, changing the national dynamic that colors the race. 'There's a reason why Ciattarelli is focusing so much on local issues, and trying not to talk about President Trump,' Cassino said. 'The more nationalized this race is, the worse Ciattarelli does overall, even as it helps him a bit among Republicans.' The poll found 81% of voters who approve of President Trump's performance say they will back Ciattarelli, while 77% who disapprove plan to back Sherrill. Advertisement 3 Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill has long been considered the frontrunner in the New Jersey gubernatorial race. AP 'Ciattarelli is walking a fine line with Trump: he needs to consolidate Trump supporters, but do so without making the race too national, or turning off voters who don't like what's happening in Washington,' Cassino added. 'For Sherrill, on the other hand, there's no downside to bashing Trump as much as she likes.' The FDU poll sampled 806 likely voters by phone July 17–23 with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.4 percentage points.
Yahoo
29-07-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
Sherrill leading Ciattarelli by 8 points in New Jersey governor race: Survey
Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-N.J.) leads Republican Jack Ciattarelli by 8 points in New Jersey's gubernatorial race in one of the first independent polls of the general election. The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll released on Tuesday showed Sherrill leading with 45 percent support to Ciattarelli's 37 percent, with 16 percent of survey respondents undecided. The race could be a key indicator of political parties' strength ahead of next year's midterms as Republicans seek to build on gains that the party made in the state in the November election and Democrats try to keep the Garden State blue. Pollsters found Democrats and Republicans overwhelmingly lining up behind their parties' nominees, with 87 percent of Democrats saying they'll support Sherrill and 86 percent of Republicans planning to back Ciattarelli. But with voter registration in the state clearly favoring Democrats, Ciattarelli will likely need to pull some independent and Democratic support to notch an upset win. 'Unless something goes horribly awry, partisans are going to vote for their party's candidate,' said Dan Cassino, the executive director of the FDU Poll, in a release. 'While Republicans have been narrowing the gap, there are still more Democrats than Republicans in the state, and Ciattarelli needs to start pulling in more independents and Democrats if he wants to win.' The poll showed Sherrill leading Ciattarelli among independents by 7 points, with 30 percent support to his 23 percent, but with a plurality of 41 percent of respondents undecided. The survey also showed whether the race hinges on local or national issues could be critical to determining the winner. Respondents in the poll were first asked about their preference in the governor's race and then about a series of local or national issues. Democrats' and Republicans' support for each candidate stayed mostly the same after, but independents' support for the GOP candidate rose by 7 points among those asked about local issues and dropped by 4 points among those asked about national issues. 'Ciattarelli is walking a fine line with Trump: He needs to consolidate Trump supporters, but do so without making the race too national, or turning off voters who don't like what's happening in Washington,' Cassino said. 'For Sherrill, on the other hand, there's no downside to bashing Trump as much as she likes.' The results come after another independent general election poll from the Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling last month that found Sherrill ahead by a much larger margin of 20 points. But Ciattarelli's top strategist slammed the result as an outlier and pointed to recent polling misses in New Jersey that underestimated Republicans. This included the 2021 gubernatorial race, in which Ciattarelli was the Republican nominee for the first time and only lost to Gov. Phil Murphy (D) by 3 points, much closer than polls indicated. President Trump also outperformed expectations in the November election, only losing the state by about 6 points. The Fairleigh Dickinson poll was conducted July 17-23 among 806 registered voters. The standard sampling error was 3.4 percentage points. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.


The Hill
29-07-2025
- Politics
- The Hill
Sherrill leading Ciattarelli by 8 points in New Jersey governor race: Survey
Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-N.J.) leads Republican Jack Ciattarelli by 8 points in New Jersey's gubernatorial race in one of the first independent polls of the general election. The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll released on Tuesday showed Sherrill leading with 45 percent support to Ciattarelli's 37 percent, with 16 percent of survey respondents undecided. The race could be a key indicator of political parties' strength ahead of next year's midterms as Republicans seek to build on gains that the party made in the state in the November election and Democrats try to keep the Garden State blue. Pollsters found Democrats and Republicans overwhelmingly lining up behind their parties' nominees, with 87 percent of Democrats saying they'll support Sherrill and 86 percent of Republicans planning to back Ciattarelli. But with voter registration in the state clearly favoring Democrats, Ciattarelli will likely need to pull some independent and Democratic support to notch an upset win. 'Unless something goes horribly awry, partisans are going to vote for their party's candidate,' said Dan Cassino, the executive director of the FDU Poll, in a release. 'While Republicans have been narrowing the gap, there are still more Democrats than Republicans in the state, and Ciattarelli needs to start pulling in more independents and Democrats if he wants to win.' The poll showed Sherrill leading Ciattarelli among independents by 7 points, with 30 percent support to his 23 percent, but with a plurality of 41 percent of respondents undecided. The survey also showed whether the race hinges on local or national issues could be critical to determining the winner. Respondents in the poll were first asked about their preference in the governor's race and then asked about a series of local or national issues. Democrats' and Republicans' support for each candidate stayed mostly the same after, but independents' support for the GOP candidate rose by 7 points among those asked about local issues and dropped by 4 points among those asked about national issues. 'Ciattarelli is walking a fine line with Trump: he needs to consolidate Trump supporters, but do so without making the race too national, or turning off voters who don't like what's happening in Washington,' Cassino said. 'For Sherrill, on the other hand, there's no downside to bashing Trump as much as she likes.' The results come after another independent general election poll from the Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling last month that found Sherrill ahead by a much larger margin of 20 points. But Ciattarelli's top strategist slammed the result as an outlier and pointed to recent polling misses in New Jersey that underestimated Republicans. This included the 2021 gubernatorial race, in which Ciattarelli was the Republican nominee for the first time and only lost to Gov. Phil Murphy (D) by 3 points, much closer than polls indicated. President Trump also outperformed expectations in the November election, only losing the state by about 6 points. The FDU poll was conducted from July 17-23 among 806 registered voters. The standard sampling error was 3.4 percentage points.


Newsweek
29-07-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
Mikie Sherrill Chances of Defeating Jack Ciattarelli in New Jersey—New Poll
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Democratic Representative Mike Sherrill held a single-digit lead over Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the latest poll of the New Jersey gubernatorial race released on Tuesday. A spokesperson for Ciattarelli told Newsweek that public polls have had "wild inconsistencies" throughout the election cycle and that the election has "been a margin of error race." Newsweek reached out to Sherrill's campaign for comment via email. Why It Matters The off-year gubernatorial election is viewed as a major bellwether for both major political parties in New Jersey, which has reliably supported Democrats in the past but moved toward Republicans last November. Democratic Governor Phil Murphy, last reelected in 2021 against Ciattarelli, cannot run again due to term limits, leaving the seat open. Historically, the party out of power in Washington performs well in off-year gubernatorial elections, and Democrats are hopeful that President Donald Trump's diminishing approval rating will be a boon to Sherrill. But Republicans believe Ciattarelli can continue making inroads with voter groups that shifted to the right over the past few years in the Garden State, and most polls show a tight race. Representative Mikie Sherrill speaks to reporters on August 24, 2021, in Washington. Representative Mikie Sherrill speaks to reporters on August 24, 2021, in To Know The new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University (FDU) shows Sherrill with a narrow lead. In the survey, 45 percent of respondents said they plan to back Sherrill, with 37 percent supporting Ciattarelli, while 16 percent were undecided. The poll also found that when voters were asked about local issues, Ciattarelli's support among independents increased by 7 percentage points. But when asked questions about national politics, his support among independents fell by about 4 percentage points. However, among Republicans, 3 percent moved from saying they would probably vote for him to definitely vote for him when asked about national issues. Dan Cassino, professor of government and politics at FDU and executive director of the FDU Poll, said in the poll write-up that the more nationalized the race becomes, "the worse Ciattarelli does overall, even as it helps him a bit among Republicans." Ciattarelli must walk a "fine line" of consolidating Trump supporters without making the race "too national" and alienate voters who are unhappy with the current administration, Cassino wrote. The FDU poll surveyed 806 registered voters from July 17-23 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Most polls point to a similarly close race. An internal poll from the Ciattarelli campaign, conducted by National Research last month showed him with support from 42 percent of respondents, while 45 percent backed Sherrill. That poll surveyed 600 likely voters on June 11-12 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. A Rutgers University poll published earlier in July, however, showed 51 percent of voters planned to back Sherrill to 31 percent for Ciattarelli. The poll surveyed 621 adults from June 13-16 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 5.4 percentage points. Republicans have not won a New Jersey gubernatorial race since 2013 and have not carried it on the presidential level since 1988. But they see a chance to make more inroads with voters after Trump narrowed his margin in the state by 10 points. He lost the state by 6 points in 2024, down from a 16-point loss in 2020 and a 14-point loss in 2016. What People Are Saying The Ciattarelli campaign told Newsweek: "The wild inconsistencies of these university-based public polls, which were all dead wrong four years ago, speak for themselves. Since the start of the general election, this has been a margin-of-error race. If it wasn't, entrenched special interests wouldn't be lying on Sherrill's behalf or investing millions in her campaign. One thing is for sure, the people of New Jersey are ready for change and that's exactly what Jack will deliver as governor." Dan Cassino, executive director of the FDU Poll, in the polling memo: "Unless something goes horribly awry, partisans are going to vote for their party's candidate. While Republicans have been narrowing the gap, there are still more Democrats than Republicans in the state, and Ciattarelli needs to start pulling in more independents and Democrats if he wants to win." What Happens Next The New Jersey gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 4. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as Lean Democrat, meaning it is "considered competitive" but Sherrill has "an advantage." Virginia is the only other state with a gubernatorial race this year.


Politico
06-03-2025
- Politics
- Politico
The GOP popularity contest
Presented by Good Thursday morning! Jack Ciattarelli has the highest name recognition and net favorability out of four Republican gubernatorial candidates named in a new FDU poll. But there are signs that Ciattarelli's advantages are 'tenuous,' according to FDU. 'The fact that Ciattarelli has run before means that voters know who he is, but he also has much higher unfavorables than the other Republicans in the race,' said Dan Cassino, the FDU Poll's executive director. 'He's currently in the strongest position, but these numbers show how tenuous that advantage is.' Here's the numbers: 78 percent of Republicans surveyed know who Ciattarelli is, compared to 54 percent for Bill Spadea, 43 percent for Jon Bramnick and 41 percent for Ed Durr. Thirty-nine percent of Republicans have favorable views of Ciattarelli versus 15 percent who have unfavorable views. By contrast, 22 percent have favorable views of Spadea and 10 percent have unfavorable views of him. 'The large number of Republicans who don't have an opinion about Spadea means that he has room to grow his support,' Cassino said. 'But to do that, he'll have to break through in media coverage, something that's proving hard for everyone in the race.' All the candidates — even moderate Jon Bramnick — get net positive marks from Republican voters who have heard enough about them to have an opinion. But interestingly, among voters 45 and under, a group that disproportionately considers itself to be 'MAGA' Republicans, the candidates are basically tied in favorability. You can find the full pull results on the FDU Poll's website. While Cassino says Spadea will have to break through in media coverage, given the downsizing of New Jersey's press and splintering of news sources, I think it might be about paid media rather than earned media. So far, Spadea hasn't been able to match Ciattarelli's fundraising. That might be key. And judging by the numbers so far and the Republican base's enthusiasm for Trump, it doesn't look like most of the candidates' on each other for not being Trumpy enough have broken through. HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Ellen Park, Roland Straten WHERE'S MURPHY? No public schedule QUOTE OF THE DAY: 'Finding Waste, Fraud and Abuse before it was cool' — The promotion for Acting Comptroller Kevin Walsh's speech at Rider University net week TIPS? FEEDBACK? Email me at mfriedman@ WHAT TRENTON MADE IF YOU'RE BETTING ON THIS, PLEASE CALL 1-800-GAMBLER — 'NJ Transit, locomotive engineers continue to negotiate as strike deadline looms,' by The Record's Colleen O'Dea: 'Anyone taking bets on whether or not NJ Transit's locomotive engineers will strike? Kalshi is. The New York-based financial exchange and prediction platform began taking wagers March 1 on whether train operators will walk off the job, which could happen as soon as March 22. … Details on how the negotiations between the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen and NJ Transit have been are scant of late. NJ Transit President & CEO Kris Kolluri isn't hedging his bets or throwing all his chips in — he's just not making any wagers. 'I'm not a betting man,' he told reporters at an unrelated event last week when asked about the negotiations. 'There's a pathway to get there, the question is can we do it in a way that is thoughtful and that is reasonable, and I'm still confident we can get there.' The two parties have been at the table nearly every day since Kolluri took over as head of the agency in January. Before Kolluri's arrival, the two sides had been nearly at a standstill.' WINDOW DRESSING — 'NJ Transit accelerates its plan to rid trains of cloudy windows,' by NJ Advance Media's Larry Higgs: 'NJ Transit CEO Kris Kolluri unveiled a plan Wednesday to replace every cloudy window in its fleet of multilevel rail cars within three years. The $18.5 million dollar plan will replace 13,000 windows in the agency's multilevel I and II rail cars, an effort started last year by Kolluri's predecessor Kevin Corbett. Kolluri decided to accelerate window replacement under his three-point plan to improve the customer experience, cutting the replacement time from as high as eight years to three.' —'Murphy's proposal to hike gambling taxes draws mixed reaction' —'NJ Transit scraps plan for MetLife Stadium bus terminal as World Cup transitway proceeds' —'EV supporters fear Murphy budget incentives not enough' —'Inaction on bills to cut prison population prompts plea for lawmakers to act' —'Taking stock five years after COVID-19 first hit New Jersey' —'I-80 sinkhole concerns date back to 2009, state records show' TRUMP ERA IMMIGRATION — 'Immigrants feeling pressured with few allies in power,' by NJ Spotlight News' David Cruz: 'Immigrants and immigrant rights advocates find themselves battling not only executive orders and policy directives that have resulted in more raids by Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents, but anti-immigrant sentiment that has struck fear in the community. ICE has announced it will reopen Delaney Hall in Newark as a 1,000-bed immigrant detention center while the state Legislature has failed to consider the Immigrant Trust Act for a vote. That bill would codify a directive from the state attorney general limiting cooperation protocols between local and federal institutions. 'We have to have the people that are in power read the ITA, to be part of this process,' said Ana Paola Pazmino at a recent rally at the Elizabeth Detention Center. 'Delaney Hall is not opening just because Trump started. This is happening because all the politicians have done nothing within this past year. And it's making us angry now.'' —'Why Trump's tariffs could have 'bigger impacts' this time around' LOCAL CAMDEN SMOKE RISING — ''It's hellish now': EMR fire leaves Camden residents worried about health and contamination,' by WHYY's Sophia Schmidt: 'Residents affected by the four-alarm fire at a metal recycler in South Camden a week and a half ago are still recovering from the experience. 'It's hellish now, to live on this block and live in this neighborhood,' said Aliyia Jones, who lives with her mother and 19-year-old daughter less than 2,000 feet away from EMR's fenceline. A Camden County spokesperson said the fire was EMR's sixth since 2016. Community members worry it won't be the last. They fear pollution from the frequent blazes will leave a lasting mark on the community's health.' PATERSON — 'Lawsuit says Paterson police escalated tensions with Najee Seabrooks before he was shot,' by The Paterson Press' Joe Malinconico: 'Family members have filed a federal wrongful death lawsuit against the city over the 2023 fatal police shooting of Najee Seabrooks, a 31-year-old employee of the Paterson Healing Collective anti-violence group. … The lawsuit blamed Paterson police for fuelling tensions at the scene instead of calming the confrontation, especially when a SWAT team showed up with riot gear. Seabrooks was suffering from delusions and paranoia, and even began cutting himself with a kitchen knife, causing him to weaken from his loss of blood, said the lawsuit, which was filed in United States District Court in Newark late on Monday. At that point, the police at the scene should have allowed 'the passage of time to naturally de-escalate the situation' because Seabrooks was likely to pass out from his blood loss, the lawsuit said. 'Instead, they maintained their strategic and confrontational 'standoff' position, with guns still drawn, and continued to pressure Mr. Seabrooks to come out of the bathroom and surrender,' the lawsuit said.' HOBROKEN — 'How can Jersey City and Hoboken handle December 2 runoffs just 13 days after certification?' by New Jersey Globe's David Wildstein: 'Recent legislative changes to the election calendar create complications in non-partisan municipal runoffs and potentially forces election officials to immediately violate at least some state laws. Candidates for mayor and city council in Jersey City and Hoboken must get a majority of votes – 50% plus one – in the November non-partisan municipal election to win; otherwise, they must compete in a December 2 runoff. With a large field, few believe any of the mayoral candidates will win outright, making the runoff inevitable. The short window to prepare and print ballots while strictly following state law is impossible. 'We're flying by the seat of our pants here,' a top election official told the New Jersey Globe. 'There are so many contradictions. They update some laws, but not all.' —'McCann Stamato to put up bill to ease logistics for Hoboken & Jersey City runoffs' IT'S A TOUGH TIME FOR PILOTS — 'Polistina, Levinson at odds over casino PILOT and what county should do for Atlantic City,' by The Press of Atlantic City's Michelle Brunetti Post: 'Saying Atlantic County needs to do more to improve the city if it wants a larger share of future casino payments-in-lieu-of-taxes, state Sen. Vince Polistina called for the county to take on a big job like relighting Pacific Avenue.. … County Executive Dennis Levinson, who has been feuding with Polistina and Atlantic County GOP Chair Don Purdy over insurance contracts and more, said improving the city is the state's job as the governmental entity in charge under the state takeover. … Polistina is continuing to have conversations with the Governor's Office and others in Trenton about a possible new PILOT, he said. The existing PILOT with 2021 amendments, which the county is suing to overturn, runs out in 2026 … Levinson, who was not at the meeting but watched it online, has long held the PILOT was never a good idea and the city should go back to traditional real estate assessment and property taxes on casinos.' OCEAN COUNTY COMMISSIONERS DEMAND TO KNOW WHAT KIND OF TOYS, CONSIDER BAN — 'New Jersey library gets book returned 99 years late,' by ABC 6's Matteo Iadonisi: 'Mary Cooper found a library book borrowed by her grandfather in 1926 and returned it 99 years late. The book, 'Home-Made Toys for Girls and Boys' by A. Neely Hall, was stamped by the Ocean County Library. Cooper recalls that her grandfather, Charles Tilton, was a boatwright and carpenter who may have desired to build something for his daughter, who was Cooper's mother. The back of the book revealed it was borrowed in March of 1926 and designated for return by the end of the month. Tilton passed away the following year. 'I said, I have to return this book to the library,' said Cooper. 'I was sure they would like to have it back.'' —'Newark gains 415 new school board voters ages 16-17' —'Atlantic City Housing Authority leaves disabled woman in limbo in rush to empty Stanley Holmes Village' —'Restoration of historic Passaic County Court House kicks off with $11 million contract' —'Ramapo Indian Hills school board to hire new general counsel to avoid 'huge conflict'' —'Upper Township incumbents to face primary challenge in June' —'Middletown BOE rehires politically connected lawyer Bruce Padula' —"Middletown Coach Accused Of Sex Assault Quit, Not Eligible For Pension' —Brennan: 'Here's why your property taxes are soaring while Jersey City schools struggle' EVERYTHING ELSE LESNIAK TO RULE HUDSON COUNTY FROM HIS KEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE — 'NJCU board votes unanimously 'to pursue a strategic merger' with Kean,' by Hudson County View's John Heinis: 'The New Jersey City University (NJCU) Board of Trustees voted unanimously (7-0) 'to pursue a strategic merger' with Kean University at a special meeting this afternoon. … New Jersey Secretary of Higher Education Brian K. Bridge, Ph.D has named 'seasoned expert' Henry Amoroso as the state fiscal monitor for NJCU in the midst of their budget woes back in August 2023. Since then, Moody's and Fitch Ratings moved the university's credit rating from negative to stable.' MAYBE WE SHOULDN'T TAKE HIGH SCHOOL SPORTS SO SERIOUSLY — 'Lawyer for embattled state wrestling champ blasts statements supporting NJSIAA,' by NJ Advance Media's Ryan Patti: 'Patrick J. Jennings, the attorney representing Anthony Knox, Jr., said Wednesday the statements from the NJSIAA's Executive Committee, Sen. Paul Sarlo and others should have no impact on the Mercer County Superior Court's expected decision of whether or not to uphold the temporary restraining order currently allowing Knox to wrestle in this week's NJSIAA/IBEW Local 102 State Championships … 'Anthony Knox, Jr. did nothing wrong,' Jennings said. … In his case last week, Jennings argued that the NJSIAA is violating the Due Process Clause in the 14th Amendment. … Knox was charged Tuesday with simple assault of a minor and disorderly conduct for his involvement in the incident, and a Collingswood police offer said in court documents he saw Knox 'repeatedly punch' a minor. In his statement Tuesday, Sarlo (D-Bergen), a member of the NJSIAA's Executive Committee, said the court's decision 'set a bad precedent for scholastic sports.'' THE JAWS OF LIVESTREAM — 'Marijuana activist NJ Weedman seriously injured in motorcycle crash,' by Kevin Shea for 'Ed 'NJ Weedman' Forchion, the longtime marijuana advocate, was seriously injured last weekend when a truck collided with his motorcycle in Trenton. Forchion livestreamed the crash aftermath on Facebook while lying on the ground surrounded by wreckage and while city EMTs treated him. He was taken to a hospital, where he continued posting videos. Police later issued the truck driver — a 51-year-old resident of Elmhurst, New York — tickets for careless driving, failure to yield at an intersection, and failure to stop or yield, police spokesperson Capt. Lisette Rios said.' … He posted on Facebook Tuesday that he suffered spinal fractures and three ribs.' —'University Hospital President and CEO Ed Jimenez goes to Main Line Health' —'Concern that sea-level rise will flood drinking-water intakes in Philadelphia, southern NJ' —'This mistake costs N.J. drivers extra money when they pay the N.Y.C. congestion toll'