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July 15 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis
July 15 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis

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time2 days ago

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July 15 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis

Race 1 (1,600m) (7) BETTER MAN comes back from a small break. On his best form, he will be tough to beat. (4) NEW WORLD stayed on beautifully for second last time. From a good draw, he will be right there in the finish. (9) DIAMOND DAYS is still improving. Although the bad draw is a concern, he has a good place chance if he gets some luck in the running. (8) YAMAZAKI ran a better race last time. If he can build on that, he could sneak into the quartet. Race 2 (1,000m) (5) STORMWATCH was green and stayed on strongly for second on debut. If she has improved, she will be very hard to beat. (2) SWIFT SERENITY ran fourth last time behind Stormwatch. She should be there among the places. (3) SPLASH OF COLOUR ran a disappointing race last time. The drop in trip could help her chances. Newcomer (1) WITHOUT HESITATION has drawn gate 1. Watch her closely. Race 3 (1,000m) (7) NIGHTRAIN stayed on well to finish third on debut. He has ability and looks hard to beat. (6) AFRICAN MEMOIR has run two lovely races in succession, and finished just in front of Nightrain last time. Include him in all bets. (3) FEAR OF FIRE ran a fair race on debut. He drops in trip to 1,000m and could certainly run into the places at a decent price. (8) FLEUR DE VILLE has been well tried in the maiden ranks. On her best form, she could make the quartet pay. Race 4 (1,400m) (8) UNITED FRONT will be very hard to beat. He showed tremendous speed early and fought hard to finish second on debut. It will take a smart horse to beat him. (3) SIERRA SAGRADA comes back from a break and gelding. He ran a disappointing fifth last time, but he is better than that, so respect his chances from a neat draw. (9) KONNICHIWA has been rested for 92 days. The draw will make life tough for him, but he tries hard and will be running on powerfully late. (6) FUTURE FREE ran a shocker up the straight at Hollywoodbets Kenilworth last time. He steps up in trip. Watch him closely. Race 5 (1,400m) (1) APRICITY made up solid ground to finish second last time. She enjoyed the step-up in trip to 1,400m. From a good draw, she will go very close to winning. (2) KISSES's last two runs over ground have been good. She ran a lovely race from a bad draw last time but, if she can build on her recent form, she will have a nice each-way chance. (3) PACIFIC WATERS ran a fair race on debut. She steps up in trip and gets the service of Gavin Lerena. Watch for a big run. (6) SPECIAL GLAMOUR ran a much better race with the tongue tie last time. If she can bring that run to the track, she will have a say in the finish. Race 6 (1,000m) (1) CHURCHILLIAN ran the race of his life in the Listed Somerset 1,200 last time. He showed good speed early, and stayed on strongly for second in a tight finish. He can win a race like this on pure ability. (11) OCTOBER STORM won well on debut, even though he was green. He can improve from that. Include him in all bets. (2) ESCARPMENT was just off the speed early, but stayed on nicely for second last time. On his best form, he could finish among the places at a decent price. (4) IRELAND FOREVER has been rested for 72 days. The blinkers go on, watch for improvement. Race 7 (1,200m) (5) TRIP TO MAPUTO ran a great race on the Poly last time. Her penultimate run up the straight at Hollywoodbets Kenilworth was impressive. If the gaps open at the right time, she will be hard to beat. (1) BABELICIOUS won a good race last time. Her form is very consistent, include her in all bets. (4) WINTER RAINFALL has run three decent races in succession. Watch her closely at a decent price. (8) SUMMER LILY has been rested for 79 days. Her last run in the Grade 3 Poinsettia Stakes at Hollywoodbets Scottsville was good. If she does not need the run badly, she will run a massive race. Race 8 (1,500m) (5) SUGAR MOUNTAIN has won his last two races. He has a good turn of foot and, from a good draw, he must have a solid winning chance again. (7) PROMETTERE was very unlucky last time, when the gaps opened late and he flew home to finish second. Jockey Richard Fourie knows him well and he will be right there in the finish. (9) SEEKING THE STARS ran a lovely third behind Sugar Mountain last time. If he gets some luck in transit from a wide draw, he could finish in the placings. (4) SONG TO THE MOON ran a fair race last time. He drops in trip, and carries a light weight. He will be doing good work late with jockey Muzi Yeni on board. Race 9 (1,400m) (2) BOOGIEFIED ran a top race last time. He gets a good draw and can run a good race again. (8) AZZURRI won impressively over 1,200m last time. The step-up to 1,400m helps and, if he can get into a good position early from a wide draw, he will have a massive winning chance. (12) HAPPY DAYS has drawn wide again. He has run three excellent runs in succession. If he gets some luck in the running, he will be storming home late. (13) WAR CHARIOT is consistent and Fourie knows him well. The only negative is the bad draw.

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