Latest news with #HTXDeepThink
Malaysian Reserve
20-05-2025
- Business
- Malaysian Reserve
HTX DeepThink: Bullish Sentiment Builds as BTC Holds Steady-Which Altcoins Will Lead the Rotation?
SINGAPORE, May 20, 2025 /CNW/ — As mid-May unfolds, crypto market sentiment continues to rise. While major assets trend steadily upward, capital is beginning to rotate into fundamentally solid altcoins. In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research shares her macro outlook and strategic insights, with a spotlight on rotation opportunities across the SUI ecosystem and the emerging AttentionFi sector. Macro Outlook: Rising Bullish Sentiment Amidst Steady Short-Term Uptrend This week's U.S. economic calendar is light on major data releases. Market attention is primarily directed towards Federal Reserve officials' interpretations of recent commentary suggesting a possible single interest rate cut in 2025. Analysis of options market data shows a prevailing bullish sentiment: the Call/Put open interest ratio has reached 1.55, accompanied by increasing premiums for call options. At the same time, short-term implied volatility (IV) has dropped to a new 18-month low of 35–40%. In short: the market is experiencing 'euphoric sentiment amid calm volatility.' Under such conditions, Bitcoin could retest new highs within the next 30–45 days, targeting the $105K–$115K range. However, this mix of high sentiment and low volatility often conceals the build-up of excessive leverage. A sudden surge in IV or a meaningful drop below $100K could trigger a sharp deleveraging event. Strategic Positioning: Capital Rotation into High-Quality Altcoins for Momentum Capture From a capital allocation perspective, rotating a portion of capital into fundamentally strong and liquid altcoins may present an opportunity to capitalize on potential spillover momentum from Bitcoin's upward trajectory. This edition of HTX DeepThink highlights promising sectors and projects worthy of investor attention. SUI Ecosystem: All-Time High Market Cap, Undervalued Core Project The SUI chain has reached an all-time high in market cap, but its ecosystem projects have yet to follow with substantial gains. This opens a window for early positioning in undervalued ecosystem leaders. HTX has listed two standout projects within the SUI ecosystem: Haedal and Bluefin. Haedal is the dominant LST (liquid staking) protocol on SUI, commanding 76% of market share and benefiting from strong network effects. Bluefin, SUI's flagship perpetual DEX, currently holds a market cap of only $31.6M yet has achieved an annualized revenue of $8.2M, implying a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just 3.8x—far lower than GMX (9.1x) and Drift (12.4x). The upcoming V2 upgrade will introduce veTokenomics and new trading incentives, potentially boosting both user activity and protocol revenues. Given the rising attention on SUI's mainnet, Haedal and Bluefin appear to exhibit dual potential for valuation recovery and Beta-driven upside, which may warrant mid-term attention from market participants. AttentionFi: Capitalizing on Bull Market User Acquisition Premium New Web3 projects are launching rapidly, and the cost of user acquisition is soaring. In traditional channels like Telegram, Google, or Red Note, user acquisition cost (UAC) is calculated via 'traffic × conversion rate.' With CPCs at $0.5–1.0 and conversion rates around 10%, it can cost $5–10 to acquire a real, retained user. Kaito offers a far more efficient 'attention engine.' Its API charges based on a combination of reputation score and meaningful engagement. As a result, project teams can acquire real users with 3–4x higher retention at just $2–3 per user—much lower than traditional channels. With this model, Kaito has grown rapidly, expanding from 30 to 120 integrated projects in the past three months, and quadrupling API call volume. Meanwhile, $KAITO staking has surged to 19.7M tokens, and the protocol has cumulatively bought back and burned 3.7M tokens, creating a strong demand-supply mismatch and deflationary pressure that supports higher price ceilings. On Base chain's IDO platform Virtuals, users who stake ≥5,000 $KAITO can earn Virgen Points to redeem IDO allocations. Several recent IDOs have seen 10–30x returns on day one, forming a lucrative loop: stake → points → arbitrage. With the recent listing of $KAITO on HTX, its liquidity is expanding—and in a bull market where competition for user attention intensifies, Kaito's combination of low-cost, high-precision targeting and deflationary tokenomics makes it a promising asset to watch. *The above content is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product. About HTX DeepThink: HTX DeepThink is a flagship market insights column created by HTX, dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers 'Find Order in Chaos.' About HTX Research HTX Research is the dedicated research arm of HTX Group, responsible for conducting in-depth analyses, producing comprehensive reports, and delivering expert evaluations across a broad spectrum of topics, including cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends.
Cision Canada
20-05-2025
- Business
- Cision Canada
HTX DeepThink: Bullish Sentiment Builds as BTC Holds Steady--Which Altcoins Will Lead the Rotation?
SINGAPORE, May 20, 2025 /CNW/ -- As mid-May unfolds, crypto market sentiment continues to rise. While major assets trend steadily upward, capital is beginning to rotate into fundamentally solid altcoins. In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research shares her macro outlook and strategic insights, with a spotlight on rotation opportunities across the SUI ecosystem and the emerging AttentionFi sector. Macro Outlook: Rising Bullish Sentiment Amidst Steady Short-Term Uptrend This week's U.S. economic calendar is light on major data releases. Market attention is primarily directed towards Federal Reserve officials' interpretations of recent commentary suggesting a possible single interest rate cut in 2025. Analysis of options market data shows a prevailing bullish sentiment: the Call/Put open interest ratio has reached 1.55, accompanied by increasing premiums for call options. At the same time, short-term implied volatility (IV) has dropped to a new 18-month low of 35–40%. In short: the market is experiencing "euphoric sentiment amid calm volatility." Under such conditions, Bitcoin could retest new highs within the next 30–45 days, targeting the $105K–$115K range. However, this mix of high sentiment and low volatility often conceals the build-up of excessive leverage. A sudden surge in IV or a meaningful drop below $100K could trigger a sharp deleveraging event. Strategic Positioning: Capital Rotation into High-Quality Altcoins for Momentum Capture From a capital allocation perspective, rotating a portion of capital into fundamentally strong and liquid altcoins may present an opportunity to capitalize on potential spillover momentum from Bitcoin's upward trajectory. This edition of HTX DeepThink highlights promising sectors and projects worthy of investor attention. SUI Ecosystem: All-Time High Market Cap, Undervalued Core Project The SUI chain has reached an all-time high in market cap, but its ecosystem projects have yet to follow with substantial gains. This opens a window for early positioning in undervalued ecosystem leaders. HTX has listed two standout projects within the SUI ecosystem: Haedal and Bluefin. Haedal is the dominant LST (liquid staking) protocol on SUI, commanding 76% of market share and benefiting from strong network effects. Bluefin, SUI's flagship perpetual DEX, currently holds a market cap of only $31.6M yet has achieved an annualized revenue of $8.2M, implying a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just 3.8x—far lower than GMX (9.1x) and Drift (12.4x). The upcoming V2 upgrade will introduce veTokenomics and new trading incentives, potentially boosting both user activity and protocol revenues. Given the rising attention on SUI's mainnet, Haedal and Bluefin appear to exhibit dual potential for valuation recovery and Beta-driven upside, which may warrant mid-term attention from market participants. AttentionFi: Capitalizing on Bull Market User Acquisition Premium New Web3 projects are launching rapidly, and the cost of user acquisition is soaring. In traditional channels like Telegram, Google, or Red Note, user acquisition cost (UAC) is calculated via "traffic × conversion rate." With CPCs at $0.5–1.0 and conversion rates around 10%, it can cost $5–10 to acquire a real, retained user. Kaito offers a far more efficient "attention engine." Its API charges based on a combination of reputation score and meaningful engagement. As a result, project teams can acquire real users with 3–4x higher retention at just $2–3 per user—much lower than traditional channels. With this model, Kaito has grown rapidly, expanding from 30 to 120 integrated projects in the past three months, and quadrupling API call volume. Meanwhile, $KAITO staking has surged to 19.7M tokens, and the protocol has cumulatively bought back and burned 3.7M tokens, creating a strong demand-supply mismatch and deflationary pressure that supports higher price ceilings. On Base chain's IDO platform Virtuals, users who stake ≥5,000 $KAITO can earn Virgen Points to redeem IDO allocations. Several recent IDOs have seen 10–30x returns on day one, forming a lucrative loop: stake → points → arbitrage. With the recent listing of $KAITO on HTX, its liquidity is expanding—and in a bull market where competition for user attention intensifies, Kaito's combination of low-cost, high-precision targeting and deflationary tokenomics makes it a promising asset to watch. *The above content is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product. About HTX DeepThink: HTX DeepThink is a flagship market insights column created by HTX, dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers " Find Order in Chaos." About HTX Research HTX Research is the dedicated research arm of HTX Group, responsible for conducting in-depth analyses, producing comprehensive reports, and delivering expert evaluations across a broad spectrum of topics, including cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends.
Malaysian Reserve
08-05-2025
- Business
- Malaysian Reserve
HTX DeepThink: Fed Sits Tight Amid Bind; Trump's New Token on Horizon?
SINGAPORE, May 8, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — HTX DeepThink is a flagship market insights column created by HTX, dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers 'Find Order in Chaos.' This week, what does Trump's emerging token plan mean for crypto markets? Why is the Fed holding rates steady? Behind Bitcoin's rebound, are hidden risks lurking? In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research breaks it all down. Trump Media Group's Utility Token: A Potential Shift in U.S. Equity Tokenization On April 30, Trump Media & Technology Group announced it would collaborate with the Truth digital wallet to launch a new utility token called DJT. Initially, DJT will facilitate payments for the Truth+ subscription service, with plans to expand its utility across the Truth ecosystem. It's the first time a publicly listed U.S. media company is launching a utility token tied to a real-world product ecosystem, signifying a historic convergence between traditional equities and on-chain asset formats. Although the team has yet to announce a release date, blockchain platform, or tokenomics, the rollout appears to follow Trump's classic strategy: hype first, details later. DJT is hitting the market at just the right moment as memecoin mania is cooling and narratives are shifting toward utility and payment integration. Similar to HTX's recent listing of WLFI's USD1, demand for 'practical crypto assets' is surging. DJT combines powerful political branding with real ecosystem support, offering long-term value potential far beyond that of short-lived meme-driven tokens. U.S.-China Trade Talks: A Temporary Easing Amidst Persistent Tensions This weekend, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant and Trade Representative Jamison Greer will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva. This meeting, the first high-level U.S.-China trade talks since heightened tensions in spring 2025, signals a potential diplomatic thaw. Although both sides still dispute who initiated the talks, the meeting alone sends a strong signal of reengagement and diplomatic thawing. With tariffs at historic highs, markets are interpreting the summit as a short-term de-escalation of geopolitical risks—sparking a relief rally in risk assets. Following the news, Bitcoin rose by approximately 3.6%, briefly surpassing $97,000. This reflects how sensitive capital flows remain to macro-level easing signals. While structural differences between the two nations are far from resolved, the current window of policy détente may offer a short-term liquidity boost for digital assets, gold, and tech stocks. Powell Throws : 'Now Is Not the Time to Cut Rates' On May 8, the Fed held interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the third consecutive meeting. While it was widely expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a noticeably more cautious tone during the press conference: 'Now is not the time for us to lead with a rate cut.' 'The cost of waiting is relatively low.' 'Whether we cut this year depends on how things develop.' The Fed is currently caught in a 'dual bind': on one hand, disinflation has stalled, with PCE and CPI both above the 2% target. On the other, the central bank's fiscal position is deteriorating. A 25–30 bps rate cut could shave $20 billion off annual income, further reducing remittances to the Treasury and raising concerns over the Fed's policy independence. As a result, despite markets currently pricing in three rate cuts in 2025, the Fed is more likely to take a 'data-driven, delayed transition' approach. Bitcoin's Market Dynamics: Macroeconomic Data to Dictate Direction Despite BTC rebounding to around $99,000 on geopolitical and monetary optimism, the options market is not confirming a strong directional bias. Deribit data shows implied volatility on June and July calls rising only modestly, while 25d risk reversals remain neutral to slightly bearish, and skew curves are relatively flat. Notably, large Gamma exposures are clustered around the $95,000–$100,000 range, indicating that BTC is currently trapped in a 'high-volatility, low-conviction' zone awaiting macro catalysts. If CPI and jobs data for May–June remain hot, the Fed may push back on rate cut expectations—risking a BTC pullback. Conversely, if inflation cools and unemployment ticks up, Powell may pivot dovishly, providing a green light for BTC to break out of its volatility compression range and resume its bullish trend. *The above content is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product. About HTX Research HTX Research is the dedicated research arm of HTX Group, responsible for conducting in-depth analyses, producing comprehensive reports, and delivering expert evaluations across a broad spectrum of topics, including cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends. Photo – – – View original content:
Cision Canada
08-05-2025
- Business
- Cision Canada
HTX DeepThink: Fed Sits Tight Amid Bind; Trump's New Token on Horizon?
SINGAPORE, May 8, 2025 /CNW/ -- HTX DeepThink is a flagship market insights column created by HTX, dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers " Find Order in Chaos." This week, what does Trump's emerging token plan mean for crypto markets? Why is the Fed holding rates steady? Behind Bitcoin's rebound, are hidden risks lurking? In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research breaks it all down. Trump Media Group's Utility Token: A Potential Shift in U.S. Equity Tokenization On April 30, Trump Media & Technology Group announced it would collaborate with the Truth digital wallet to launch a new utility token called DJT. Initially, DJT will facilitate payments for the Truth+ subscription service, with plans to expand its utility across the Truth ecosystem. It's the first time a publicly listed U.S. media company is launching a utility token tied to a real-world product ecosystem, signifying a historic convergence between traditional equities and on-chain asset formats. Although the team has yet to announce a release date, blockchain platform, or tokenomics, the rollout appears to follow Trump's classic strategy: hype first, details later. DJT is hitting the market at just the right moment as memecoin mania is cooling and narratives are shifting toward utility and payment integration. Similar to HTX's recent listing of WLFI's USD1, demand for "practical crypto assets" is surging. DJT combines powerful political branding with real ecosystem support, offering long-term value potential far beyond that of short-lived meme-driven tokens. U.S.-China Trade Talks: A Temporary Easing Amidst Persistent Tensions This weekend, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant and Trade Representative Jamison Greer will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva. This meeting, the first high-level U.S.-China trade talks since heightened tensions in spring 2025, signals a potential diplomatic thaw. Although both sides still dispute who initiated the talks, the meeting alone sends a strong signal of reengagement and diplomatic thawing. With tariffs at historic highs, markets are interpreting the summit as a short-term de-escalation of geopolitical risks—sparking a relief rally in risk assets. Following the news, Bitcoin rose by approximately 3.6%, briefly surpassing $97,000. This reflects how sensitive capital flows remain to macro-level easing signals. While structural differences between the two nations are far from resolved, the current window of policy détente may offer a short-term liquidity boost for digital assets, gold, and tech stocks. On May 8, the Fed held interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the third consecutive meeting. While it was widely expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a noticeably more cautious tone during the press conference: "Now is not the time for us to lead with a rate cut." "The cost of waiting is relatively low." "Whether we cut this year depends on how things develop." The Fed is currently caught in a "dual bind": on one hand, disinflation has stalled, with PCE and CPI both above the 2% target. On the other, the central bank's fiscal position is deteriorating. A 25–30 bps rate cut could shave $20 billion off annual income, further reducing remittances to the Treasury and raising concerns over the Fed's policy independence. As a result, despite markets currently pricing in three rate cuts in 2025, the Fed is more likely to take a "data-driven, delayed transition" approach. Bitcoin's Market Dynamics: Macroeconomic Data to Dictate Direction Despite BTC rebounding to around $99,000 on geopolitical and monetary optimism, the options market is not confirming a strong directional bias. Deribit data shows implied volatility on June and July calls rising only modestly, while 25d risk reversals remain neutral to slightly bearish, and skew curves are relatively flat. Notably, large Gamma exposures are clustered around the $95,000–$100,000 range, indicating that BTC is currently trapped in a "high-volatility, low-conviction" zone awaiting macro catalysts. If CPI and jobs data for May–June remain hot, the Fed may push back on rate cut expectations— risking a BTC pullback. Conversely, if inflation cools and unemployment ticks up, Powell may pivot dovishly, providing a green light for BTC to break out of its volatility compression range and resume its bullish trend. *The above content is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product. cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends.
Cision Canada
29-04-2025
- Business
- Cision Canada
HTX DeepThink: Tariff Shift and Capital Inflows -- A Brief Window for Crypto Opportunity
SINGAPORE, April 29, 2025 /CNW/ -- HTX DeepThink is dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers " Find Order in Chaos." This week, Bitcoin surged to $95,000 as President Trump signaled a softer stance on tariffs, boosting market sentiment. However, uncertainty around trade negotiations persists. With critical economic data releases on the horizon, early May may offer a brief but significant liquidity window for crypto markets. In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research breaks down the shifting macro landscape and outlines key risks and opportunities for the digital asset space. Trump's Second 100 Days Agenda: Delivering on Promises, Catching the Next Wave In his first 100 days, President Trump swiftly implemented several crypto‐friendly measures, including refining the stablecoin regulatory framework and cutting government spending via DOGE. Next, the White House will focus on finalizing trade agreements and advancing a Russia–Ukraine peace effort, while pushing through the "Big, Beautiful" package—featuring large tax cuts, robust border security measures, and regulatory rollbacks—and securing Senate passage of the FIT21 bill to provide a clear framework for U.S. digital‐asset regulation. Last Week's Market Recap: Decoupling and Key Drivers Last week, crypto markets initially decoupled from U.S. equities, driven by a weakening dollar, increased crypto allocations from traditional firms and financial institutions, rising on‐chain stablecoin issuance, and continued net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs—pushing Bitcoin up to $88,000. Later, softened rhetoric on tariffs from President Trump and Treasury Secretary Bissenet further boosted sentiment. However, while signals of trade progress were encouraging, actual agreements remain months away, and hard‐line tariff hawks within the administration continue to exert significant influence, posing major uncertainty for the outlook. Key Data Ahead: Short‐ and Medium‐Term Inflection Points This week's macro calendar is pivotal. April 30 @ 12:30 UTC: U.S. Q1 GDP (expected 0.2–0.4%, down from 2.4%) and Core PCE (month-over-month: ~0.1%) May 2 @ 12:30 UTC: April nonfarm payrolls (estimated 130K vs. 228K prior) and unemployment rate (steady at 4.2%) If the data shows weakening growth but easing inflation, it will bolster mid-year rate-cut expectations and likely lift risk assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum in tandem. Conversely, if all metrics exceed forecasts, rate-cut hopes may be delayed or rate-hike fears revived, driving Treasury yields and the dollar higher and weighing on the crypto market in the short term. In extreme cases: Negative GDP + job losses → panic sell-off, rebound on easing bets Hot inflation + stalled growth → stagflation risks emerge Fed Holds Steady: The "Self‐Preservation" Behind a Technically Valid Rate Cut As of now, the Fed's reserve balances stand at about $3.3 trillion, overnight reverse repos at $94 billion, and the Treasury General Account remains high—conditions that technically allow for a rate cut. Yet in FY 2024, the Fed paid $226.8 billion in interest on reserves and RRP, while earning only $158.8 billion on Treasuries and MBS, resulting in a $77.5 billion net loss. A 0.3 ppt rate cut would reduce annual portfolio income by roughly $20 billion on $6.7 trillion of assets, widening losses and slashing remittances to the U.S. Treasury. To preserve its financial sustainability and political independence, the Fed has chosen to keep rates unchanged. Liquidity Window & Summer Risks: Timing the Optimal Entry If this week's data align with a slowdown, May may offer a brief liquidity window as funds rotate back into crypto. However, once the debt ceiling is raised—likely in June to July—the Treasury will refill its TGA to $50–60 billion via new bond issuance, draining equivalent liquidity from markets. Short‐term rates will rise, and risk assets will come under pressure; historically, Bitcoin and the broader market have fallen about 5%–10% in the weeks following such TGA rebuilds. Investors should therefore capitalize on the early‐May window while hedging for the summer liquidity drain. Outlook: Stay Disciplined, Follow the Trend Against a backdrop of intersecting policy catalysts and liquidity shifts, near‐term tactics should focus on key data releases and the May liquidity window, while longer‐term attention centers on FIT21 implementation and continued institutional adoption of BTC and other assets like Solana. The next major uptrend may well arise under these dual tailwinds—seize the opportunity. *The above content is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product. cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends.
