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Irish Times
06-05-2025
- Business
- Irish Times
Trade war threat spooks shoppers
April's trade war threat spooked shoppers last month, but there are no indications yet that Irish people plan to rein in spending, a survey indicates. The news comes as a Government report shows that consumers were key to recovery from Covid-19 lockdowns. Global uncertainty sparked by US president Donald Trump 's pledge early in the month to tariff imports led to consumer sentiment here plunging, according to the Irish League of Credit Unions (ILCU). The organisation said on Tuesday that fears that a global trade war would lead to 'markedly weaker economic conditions' at home left confidence at its weakest in two years. READ MORE 'Irish consumers are now altogether more nervous and negative about the economic and financial environment than they were at the start of this year,' said the league in a statement. Irish people are more nervous and negative about the economic and financial environment than at the start of the year, it added. 100 days of Trump: 'It's like The Karate Kid, tax on, tax off, tariffs on, tariffs off' Listen | 42:49 Consumers in other countries share Irish shoppers' nervousness as surveys worldwide last month found similar sentiments, the statement noted. However, the survey carried out by the credit union league with Core Research , most people are not planning to rein in spending yet. Irish League of Credit Unions chief executive David Malone noted that its sentiment survey highlighted that despite 'current economic uncertainty, the majority of Irish consumers are now planning to spend on home improvements'. Meanwhile, a Department of Finance report shows that a rebound in consumer spending aided the economy in recovering from Government-imposed Covid curbs. Families accumulated cash as lockdowns forced them to stay indoors, cutting their opportunity to spend, states the report, The Irish Economy – five years on from the pandemic. 'Once restrictions were formally lifted, healthy balance sheets and the release of pent-up demand triggered a large and fairly rapid rebound in consumer spending,' it notes. The report, due for release on Tuesday, states that this rebound in spending was key to the economy's recovery from Government restraints. However, Irish people ended up paying far more for goods and services after Covid than before, the civil servants in the department's economics division acknowledge. [ Irish consumers nervous about Trump policy shift as sentiment remains subdued Opens in new window ] Several shocks, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which came as the Government rolled back the last of its restrictions, drove the most severe bout of inflation in decades. Prices are now about 20 per cent higher than they were before the government locked the State down five years ago, the research indicates. The department claims that businesses have created about 400,000 jobs here over the last five years, keeping unemployment at 5 per cent since 2022. 'Government supports helped maintain the link between employers and employees and prevented long-term 'scarring' effects on the labour market,' the department maintains.
Belfast Telegraph
24-04-2025
- Business
- Belfast Telegraph
Hopes for increases in house prices buoy consumers on both sides of Irish border: report
But there are also concerns about the impact which tariffs and cost of living pressures might have on finances between now and 2030, the Credit Union Consumer Sentiment Survey found. In both Northern Ireland and the Republic, just under 40% of people expect the economy to be weaker in five years time, while just under 30% expect it to be stronger. Overall, consumers in the south had grown more downbeat about the medium term, while NI consumers were slightly less pessimistic. However, Northern Ireland consumers tended to be more pessimistic about the outlook for the jobs market. But in NI, the numbers who were positive about improvements in their household incomes by 2030 did outweigh those who were expecting incomes to drop. And expectations of improved household incomes seemed to be prompted by 'very pronounced' views that house prices would be higher in 2030 than they are now. The survey was commissioned by the Irish League of Credit Unions (ILCU) in partnership with Core Research. Economist Austin Hughes, who wrote the report based on the survey, said: 'With the threat of a trade war highlighting common global concerns and improving domestic activity and incomes of late giving some shared sense of more positive developments, the sentiment survey suggests there are good grounds for more similarities than differences in the views of consumers in the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland on their economic and financial circumstances.' David Malone, chief executive of the ILCU, added: While consumers in both the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland are understandably concerned about a troubling global economic outlook, the expectation of a modest improvement of incomes and higher house prices suggests many consumers see a future of opportunity as well as challenge.' The research has been released as the All-Island Credit Union Sector Conference takes place on Friday at the ICC in Belfast. The conference will host over 500 credit union leaders.
