Latest news with #IndependentForecasters
The Independent
2 days ago
- Climate
- The Independent
Will Hurricane Erin bring 600-mile rainstorms to the UK? Met Office issue forecast for end of dry spell
Nationwide rain could bring an end to the UK's ongoing dry spell in just a few days as Hurricane Erin continues to advance over the Atlantic Ocean. Upgraded to category four on Monday, the hurricane is threatening to bring severe storms and waves to the Caribbean and the east coast of the US in the coming days. This atmospheric activity is likely to bring a 'changeable' period of weather to the UK in the coming days, the Met Office 's long-term forecast said, especially in the North and West. Independent forecasters predicted that countrywide rain could begin to hit the country from Wednesday 27 August, with storms stretching as far as 600 miles as most of the nation is hit. At its heaviest this rain could reach around 5mm an hour, but most regions will see between 0.2 and 3mm. The Met Office said the chance of widely wetter and windier weather like storms developing is 'small', but admits it is 'highly uncertain' at this stage. The cause of the uncertainty is the area of low pressure that Hurricane Erin will send towards the UK from across the Atlantic. This leads to unsettled weather conditions, while high pressure causes settled and fine weather conditions. Brits will likely enjoy fine and dry weather owing to high pressure over the bank holiday, which will be 'increasingly eroded' by the low pressure from the West in the following days, the Met Office said. After Hurricane Erin has travelled northwards, past the eastern side of Canada, 'it's likely to push its way across the Atlantic,' said Alex Burkill from the Met Office. This can 'really play havoc with the forecast confidence for what's going to happen as we go through next week', he added. Forecasts are likely to become clearer in the coming days. The UK has seen back-to-back heatwaves this summer, as European nations across the continent also grapple with high heat. The Met Office has said that summer 2025 may is shaping up to be the UK's hottest on record, according to provisional statistics. Met Office scientist, Emily Carlisle, said: 'It's looking like this summer is on track to be one of the warmest, if not 'the' warmest, since the series began in 1884. What's striking is the consistency of the warmth. June and July were both well above average and even outside of heatwaves, temperatures have remained on the warmer side.' In the coming week, dry weather is set to continue for most of the UK following last week's high heats. Parts of the country could see temperatures reach 27C on Monday and Tuesday. A northeasterly breeze means northern and eastern parts of the UK will be cooler on these days, reaching the low 20s. The continued dry spell comes after officials warned England was suffering from 'nationally significant' water shortfalls, despite rain in July. Sunday's highest temperature was 27.7C in Somerset, while West Sussex and Inverness in Scotland also reached 27C.
The Independent
3 days ago
- Climate
- The Independent
Forecasters reveal when Hurricane Erin could bring rain to the UK
Hurricane Erin, now a Category 4 storm over the Atlantic, is threatening to bring severe storms and waves to the Caribbean and the US East Coast in the coming days. This hurricane's activity is likely to cause a 'changeable' period of weather in the UK, potentially ending the nation's ongoing dry spell, especially in the North and West. Independent forecasters predict widespread rain could begin to hit the UK from Wednesday, 27 August, with storms stretching across most of the country. The Met Office states the chance of wetter and windier weather developing is 'small' and 'highly uncertain' due to the low-pressure system Erin will send towards the UK. The UK has experienced back-to-back heatwaves this summer, with provisional statistics suggesting it could be the hottest on record, but the current fine weather is expected to be eroded by Erin's influence.
The Independent
3 days ago
- Climate
- The Independent
Hurricane Erin could bring end to UK dry spell with rain after bank holiday weekend
Nationwide rain could bring an end to the UK's ongoing dry spell in just a few days as Hurricane Erin continues to advance over the Atlantic Ocean. Upgraded to category four on Monday, the hurricane is threatening to bring severe storms and waves to the Caribbean and the east coast of the US in the coming days. This atmospheric activity is likely to bring a 'changeable' period of weather to the UK in the coming days, the Met Office 's long-term forecast said, especially in the North and West. Independent forecasters predicted that countrywide rain could begin to hit the country from Wednesday 27 August, with storms stretching as far as 600 miles as most of the nation is hit. At its heaviest this rain could reach around 5mm an hour, but most regions will see between 0.2 and 3mm. The Met Office said the chance of widely wetter and windier weather like storms developing is 'small', but admits it is 'highly uncertain' at this stage. The cause of the uncertainty is the area of low pressure that Hurricane Erin will send towards the UK from across the Atlantic. This leads to unsettled weather conditions, while high pressure causes settled and fine weather conditions. Brits will likely enjoy fine and dry weather owing to high pressure over the bank holiday, which will be 'increasingly eroded' by the low pressure from the West in the following days, the Met Office said. After Hurricane Erin has travelled northwards, past the eastern side of Canada, 'it's likely to push its way across the Atlantic,' said Alex Burkill from the Met Office. This can 'really play havoc with the forecast confidence for what's going to happen as we go through next week', he added. Forecasts are likely to become clearer in the coming days. The UK has seen back-to-back heatwaves this summer, as European nations across the continent also grapple with high heat. In the coming week, dry weather is set to continue for most of the UK following last week's high heats. Parts of the country could see temperatures reach 27C on Monday and Tuesday. A northeasterly breeze means northern and eastern parts of the UK will be cooler on these days, reaching the low 20s. The continued dry spell comes after officials warned England was suffering from 'nationally significant' water shortfalls, despite rain in July. Sunday's highest temperature was 27.7C in Somerset, while West Sussex and Inverness in Scotland also reached 27C.
