25-07-2025
The 12 days that turned back the clock on Iran's nuclear program
Now that the rhetorical debris has settled from Israel's 12-day war with Iran, there's growing evidence that Iran's nuclear program suffered such severe damage that it will be neutered for at least a year, and probably far longer.
'Iran is no longer a threshold nuclear state,' one well-informed Israeli source told me. He said that Iran would now require at least one to two years to build a deliverable nuclear weapon, assuming it could somehow hide its activities. Tehran could conceivably try to demonstrate a crude nuclear device more quickly. But Israel would probably see the test coming and could mount a disabling attack, the source said.