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Yahoo
2 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Analysts assess the potential impact of Trump's surprise 50% steel tariffs
-- U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly announced on Friday that steel and aluminum tariffs will double to 50%. The move, set to come into effect on June 4, was unveiled during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. It was later confirmed on TruthSocial and comes amid broader debates around U.S. industrial policy and foreign investment. Analysts are now evaluating the implications of this surprise decision, with most agreeing that the immediate domestic effects may be less severe than the broader geopolitical risks. JPMorgan's Tatsuya Maruyama said the direct impact on major Japanese steelmakers such as Nippon Steel Corp (TYO:5401), JFE Holdings, Inc. (TYO:5411), and Kobe Steel, Ltd. (TYO:5406) is expected to be limited, given that 'the U.S. accounts for about 4% of Japan's steel exports.' Maruyama pointed out in a Monday note that Nippon Steel and JFE export only about 1% of their total shipments to the U.S., while Kobe Steel exports about 3%. Still, he warned that 'rising global protectionism' is a growing concern, noting that a wave of anti-dumping measures and safeguards in regions like South Korea, the EU, and India could further strain global trade dynamics. 'If such countermeasures gain momentum, Japanese steel products may also be targeted and the export environment may worsen,' Maruyama continued. Meanwhile, analysts at BMO Capital Markets believe the sudden tariff hike could jolt domestic markets. 'The doubling of import tariffs, if maintained, is likely to create a panic in the market and trigger a restocking cycle that in our view has the potential to push prices >$1,000/st in the near-term,' the analysts said. However, they believe the spike would be temporary given macro uncertainty and seasonal demand trends. The broker upgraded Nucor (NYSE:NUE) to Outperform but downgraded Algoma Central (TSX:ALC), which it called 'a relative tariff loser.' The aluminum market may be more exposed, according to BMO. The U.S. covers only about 20% of its own aluminum consumption domestically, making it more vulnerable to supply disruptions. 'If tariffs do double, this is expected to put material upside pressure on the Midwest premium (MWP),' BMO wrote, estimating it could reach '$0.75/lb-plus' in theory, although higher aluminum cost will likely weigh on demand and thus offset some upside pressure. That said, the brokerage sees Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX) as well positioned to benefit from a rise in the Midwest premium, while Alcoa (NYSE:AA) could see a negative impact of $1–2 per share, or 4–7%, due to its reliance on Canadian production. Still, BMO expects Alcoa may redirect some of its Canadian output to the EU market. Related articles Analysts assess the potential impact of Trump's surprise 50% steel tariffs Street Calls of the Week VIDEO: How to analyze a stock like a pro with the CEO of HF Foods
Globe and Mail
5 days ago
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Steel Casting Market Report on the Untapped Growth Opportunities in the Industry
The Steel Casting Market is witnessing steady growth driven by demand across automotive, construction, and industrial sectors. Technological advancements in casting processes further support market expansion. Key players such as Precision Castparts Corp., Hitachi Metals, and Kobe Steel continue to lead through innovation and global reach, shaping the competitive landscape. The market for steel casting is approximated to be USD 33.90 billion in 2025, and it is projected to reach USD 42.18 billion by 2029, at a CAGR of 5.6%. The Research report presents a complete judgment of the market which consists of future trends, steel casting market growth factors, consumption, production volume, CAGR value, attentive opinions, profit margin, price, and industry-validated market data. during the forecast period. Steel casting refers to the pouring of molten steel into molds to produce specified shapes and parts with high strength, toughness, and wear resistance. These castings are used widely in automotive, construction, aerospace, energy, and machinery due to their toughness and resistance to extreme conditions. The steel casting market is being driven by factors such as rapid industrialization, increased demand from automotive and renewable energy sectors, and technological advancements in casting technologies. Still, high production costs, supply chain disruptions, and competition from lightweight materials restrain growth in the market. Emerging markets, customization demand, and sustainability trends offer substantial opportunities for growth in the following years. Download PDF Brochure: By Type, carbon steel casting accounted for the largest market share in 2024 Carbon steel casting leads with the highest share in the global steel casting market in 2024. It finds its application within a large majority of industries ranging from automotive and construction to the manufacturing sector as well. Its strength, machining, and good durability are compared to other varieties of steel available at a more reduced cost. Some of the high demanding components include an engine block, valves, and structural parts which are usually found in cast form. The versatility of carbon steel in handling both high and low temperatures, along with its ability to withstand wear and corrosion, further drives its demand in critical applications. By Process, Sand Casting Process accounted for the largest market share in 2024 The highest demand for sand casting process is because of its flexibility, economy, and capacity for large and intricate components. Its application is extensive among construction machinery, automotive, mining, and energy industries where large and intricate steel parts are in high demand. Sand casting is particularly preferred for its flexibility towards a high range of sizes and sizes, for both small and high volumes. In addition, its relatively low tooling costs as well as the flexibility to use various alloys are the reasons it finds widespread preference. Its versatility in being applied to diverse sectors ensures that sand casting is at the core of the steel casting market. By Formulation, Solvent-based formulation accounted for the largest share in 2024. Solvent-based formulation currently dominate the market due to their their proven in performance and widely applicablility to all forms of industries. Such formulation is preferred when excellent adhesion, durability, and resistance under extreme conditions to be sustained in critical components of a construction automobile industry and energy sector. Solvent-based formulations ensures that results on complex and high-strength steel parts are consistent and that is where the reliability of finished products will be maintained. As an established efficiency and adaptability factor, they continue to dominate the market despite growing environmental regulations, especially in regions that place a priority on performance rather than the use of eco-friendly alternatives. Get a Sample Copy of This Report: By Application, Power generartion segment accounted for the largest share in 2024 The power generation segment dominated the steel casting market in 2024 due to the rising demand for energy across the globe and the growing upgradations in infrastructure. Steel castings are the backbone of the manufacturing of components in the turbines, generators, and other heavy-duty equipment used in thermal, hydro, nuclear, and renewable energy plants. Steel's strength, resistance to high temperatures, and mechanical strength make it a critical component in many power generation applications where extreme conditions prevail. Renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, added more momentum to the demand for steel castings because these sources require precision-engineered steel components. Asia Pacific accounted for the largest share of the steel casting Market in 2024 The Asia-Pacific region is projected to dominate the steel casting market, driven by strong industrial base, increasing infrastructure development, and expanding manufacturing sector. India and Japan have also emerged as lead contributors in this account because of their increasing demand for steel component usage in the Automotive, Construction, and Energy Sector respectively. The large-scale infrastructure projects undertaken by China and giant industrial output of India coupled with rapid construction activities and automotive production certainly enhanced the demand for steel castings. Coupled with the abundance of raw materials, the cheap labor charges, and advancements in manufacturing technologies, this has added further robustness to the region. Government policies that helped accelerate industrialization further assisted the market to reach further heights. It has also been fueled by ever-increasing foreign investments. Steel Casting Companies The steel casting Market comprises major players such as ArcelorMittal (Luxembourg), Doosan Corporation (South Korea), Kobe Steel, Ltd., (Japan), Nucor Corporation (US), Isgec Heavy Engineering Ltd. (India), and Georg Fischer Ltd. (Switzerland), The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (Japan), Nelcast Limited (India), Ferralloy, Inc. (US), POSCO (South Korea) and others are covered in the steel casting market. Expansions, acquisitions, joint ventures, and new product developments are some of the major strategies adopted by these key players to enhance their positions in the steel casting Market. ArcelorMittal (Luxembourg) was formed in 2006 with the merger of Arcelor and Mittal Steel. With the help of a broad range of employees, the company manufactured a wide range of high-quality finished and semi-finished steel products. The company has steel manufacturing plants in 16 countries and serves its customers in 155 countries across the globe in different end-use industries such as automotive, construction, appliances, energy, transport, and machinery. ArcelorMittal produces blooms, rebar, billets, wire rods, sections, castings, sheet piles, rails, and drawn wires, along with seamless and welded tubular products. ArcelorMittal offers a wide range of standard and special rebar for use in reinforced concrete structures in all possible fields of application. The company is one of the largest steel manufacturers in North America, South America, and Europe. Doosan Corporation (South Korea) is a multinational conglomerate primarily engaged in various sectors, including power generation facilities, industrial equipment, construction machinery, engines, and the manufacture of castings and forgings. The company is a global leader in the design and production of major nuclear equipment, contributing significantly to energy infrastructure worldwide. In addition to manufacturing, Doosan Corporation has extended its reach into key sectors, such as engineering, construction, and environmental solutions, further enhancing its global competitiveness. Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing of products like power plant equipment, chemical and petrochemical plant equipment, iron and steel making machinery, marine diesel engines, and heavy castings and forgings. Kobe Steel, Ltd., (Japan) also known by its unified brand name KOBELCO, is a prominent Japanese steel manufacturer headquartered in Chuo-ku, Kobe. With a diverse portfolio, the company offers a range of innovative and reliable products and technologies across several industries, including iron and steel, welding, aluminum and copper, machinery, engineering, construction machinery, and electric power. As of March 2024, the Kobe Steel Group operates with 202 subsidiaries and 45 affiliated companies, cementing its strong presence in the global industrial sector. About MarketsandMarkets™ MarketsandMarkets™ has been recognized as one of America's best management consulting firms by Forbes, as per their recent report. MarketsandMarkets™ is a blue ocean alternative in growth consulting and program management, leveraging a man-machine offering to drive supernormal growth for progressive organizations in the B2B space. We have the widest lens on emerging technologies, making us proficient in co-creating supernormal growth for clients. Earlier this year, we made a formal transformation into one of America's best management consulting firms as per a survey conducted by Forbes. The B2B economy is witnessing the emergence of $25 trillion of new revenue streams that are substituting existing revenue streams in this decade alone. We work with clients on growth programs, helping them monetize this $25 trillion opportunity through our service lines – TAM Expansion, Go-to-Market (GTM) Strategy to Execution, Market Share Gain, Account Enablement, and Thought Leadership Marketing. Built on the 'GIVE Growth' principle, we work with several Forbes Global 2000 B2B companies – helping them stay relevant in a disruptive ecosystem. Our insights and strategies are molded by our industry experts, cutting-edge AI-powered Market Intelligence Cloud, and years of research. The KnowledgeStore™ (our Market Intelligence Cloud) integrates our research, facilitates an analysis of interconnections through a set of applications, helping clients look at the entire ecosystem and understand the revenue shifts happening in their industry.
Japan Times
13-05-2025
- Business
- Japan Times
Three major Japan steelmakers say they expect profit falls in fiscal 2025
Japan's three major steelmakers forecast that their consolidated net profits will decline in fiscal 2025, which will end next March, according to the companies' earnings reports released by Monday. Nippon Steel and JFE Holdings expect to see product prices fall because of the yen's appreciation as well as a market deterioration caused by overproduction in China. They also assume that their earnings will be negatively impacted by tariff measures introduced by U.S. President Donald Trump's administration. Kobe Steel projects a profit fall in its electricity business. Overall net profit is expected to go down 42.9% from the previous year to ¥200 billion at Nippon Steel, 18.4% to ¥75 billion at JFE and 16.8% to ¥100 billion at Kobe Steel. Stay updated on the trade wars. Quality journalism is more crucial than ever. Help us get the story right. For a limited time, we're offering a discounted subscription plan. Unlimited access US$30 US$18 /mo FOREVER subscribe NOW Assuming that demand for steel materials will diminish as a consequence of a decline in automobile sales caused by Trump's tariff measures, Nippon Steel estimates the U.S. policy's negative impact on its business profit at tens of billions of yen and JFE at ¥12 billion. "The tariffs came on top of the (overproduction) problem of China. The Japanese steel industry is in a very tough situation," Nippon Steel President Tadashi Imai said, noting that it is difficult to make quantitative predictions. Kobe Steel plans to reflect the impact of the tariffs in its earnings forecasts when the outlook becomes clearer. In fiscal 2024, which ended in March this year, Nippon Steel and JFE posted declines in their consolidated sales and significant drops in their net profits, while Kobe Steel saw its consolidated sales and net profit climb partly thanks to its robust construction machinery business.
Nikkei Asia
12-05-2025
- Business
- Nikkei Asia
Komatsu, Caterpillar warn of profit hits as tariffs weigh on demand
TOKYO -- Major Japanese construction equipment manufacturers see a tough year ahead, earnings out by Monday show, with the Trump administration's tariffs expected to cut into global demand and raise costs. In the construction machinery segment of Kobe Steel, owner of Kobelco Construction Machinery, sales fell 4% to 388 billion yen ($2.61 billion) and ordinary profit doubled to 18.7 billion yen in the fiscal year ended this past March. For fiscal 2025, the company forecasts the segment's sales at 400 billion yen, up 3%, but ordinary profit at 9.5 billion yen, down 49%.
Trade Arabia
08-05-2025
- Business
- Trade Arabia
Marubeni buys low-carbon ammonia from ExxonMobil
Marubeni and ExxonMobil have signed a long-term offtake agreement for approximately 250,000 tonnes of low-carbon ammonia per year from ExxonMobil's facility in Baytown, Texas, which is expected to produce virtually carbon-free hydrogen with approximately 98% of CO2 removed and low-carbon ammonia. Marubeni will supply the ammonia mainly to Kobe Power Plant, a fully owned subsidiary of Kobe Steel. Marubeni has also agreed to acquire an equity stake in ExxonMobil's low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia facility. ExxonMobil's facility is expected to be the world's largest of its kind upon startup, capable of producing up to 1 billion cubic feet (bcf) daily of low-carbon hydrogen, which is virtually carbon-free, and more than 1 million tons of low-carbon ammonia per year. Contingent on ongoing supportive government policy and necessary regulatory permits, a final investment decision is expected in 2025. 'This is another positive step forward for our landmark project,' said Barry Engle, president of ExxonMobil Low Carbon Solutions. 'By using American-produced natural gas we can boost global energy supply, support Japan's decarbonization goals and create jobs at home. Our strong relationship with Marubeni sets the stage for delivering low-carbon ammonia from the U.S. to Japan for years to come." 'Marubeni will take this first step together with ExxonMobil in the aim of establishing a global low-carbon ammonia supply chain for Japan through the supply of low-carbon ammonia to the Kobe Power Plant,' said Yoshiaki Yokota, Senior Managing Executive Officer, Member of Corporate Management Committee, Supervisor of Energy & Chemicals Div. and Power & Infrastructure Services Div., Marubeni Corporation. 'Additionally, we aim to collaborate beyond this supply chain and strive towards the launch of a global market for low-carbon ammonia. We hope to continue to actively cooperate with ExxonMobil, with a view of utilizing this experience and relationship we have built to strategically decarbonize our power projects in Japan and Southeast Asia in the near future.' By Japan's fiscal year 2030, Kobe Power Plant aims to co-fire low-carbon ammonia with existing fuel, reducing CO2 emissions. Through this supply chain, Marubeni aims to assist the decarbonization of not only Japan's power sector but also its hard-to-abate sectors, such as the steel manufacturing industry, chemical industry, transportation industry and others. -TradeArabia News Service
