Latest news with #KoreanPeninsulaPopulationInstituteforFuture
Time of India
a day ago
- Business
- Time of India
South Korea faces dramatic population crash, could have just 7.5 million people by 2125
South Korea's Worst-Case Scenario: Just 7.5 Million People by 2125 Live Events Aging Population to Outnumber Working-Age Adults Younger Koreans Prioritize Stability Over Family Life FAQs (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel South Korea's population may shrink to only 15% of where it stands today by 2125 if the current trend of demographic decline continues, found a private research institute in Seoul, as per a Korean Peninsula Population Institute for Future estimated that under its worst-case scenario, the nation's population would decline from 51.68 million today to only 7.53 million by 2125, which is less than the number of people currently living just in the city of Seoul, as per The Korea Herald report. Even in the most optimistic scenario, the population would decline to less than a third of its present size, at just over 15 million, according to the report. While the median projection for the 2125 population is 11.15 million people, as per the research also found that the rapidly increasing pace of population fall in the median scenario would see the population drop 30% by 2075 and then by more than half over the following 50 years, according to The Korea READ: Vinod Khosla's dire warning: AI could wipe out 80% of jobs and crush Fortune 500 giants by 2030 The institute used a cohort component method to find the latest long-term forecast of Korea's demographic trends over the next century, as per the report. The method is an internationally recognised technique that estimates future populations by incorporating factors like birth rates, mortality rates and immigration patterns, reported The Korea to the report, the drop in population is because of falling birth rates and also due to a compounding effect; with fewer people in each successive generation, the pool of potential parents shrinks, further accelerating the research found that even the ageing crisis is expected to deepen, and in 75 years, the worst forecast is that for every 100 people of working age, defined as 15 to 64 years old, there will be 140 seniors aged 65 or older, as reported by The Korea present, 100 working-age individuals support about 30 senior citizens, which indicates that South Korea is on track to become an 'inverted pyramid' society, where the number of dependents will outnumber those who provide support, according to the READ: Diddy and the Mann Act: What the law says and why he's not guilty of trafficking The research also mentioned details of a social sentiment analysis based on some 60,000 posts from the workplace community app Blind, which focused on the thoughts of people in their 20s to 40s about marriage and childbirth, as per the findings of Blind show that younger generations now prioritise 'money' and 'housing' over 'love' when discussing marriage, reported The Korea Herald. Financial burdens were a key concern in the conversations regarding childbirth, as per the study concluded that decisions on marriage and parenting are increasingly influenced by economic conditions, rather than personal preference, according to The Korea READ: Diddy verdict in — you won't believe his net worth or how he's paying those massive legal bills Because fewer people are having children, and each smaller generation means even fewer parents in the between 7.5 million (worst-case) and 15.7 million (best-case), down from 51.7 million today, as per the Korea Herald report.
Straits Times
2 days ago
- Politics
- Straits Times
South Korean population could drop by 85% in next 100 years: Study
Sign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inbox South Korea is on track to become an 'inverted pyramid' society, where the number of dependents far outnumbers those who provide support. SEOUL - South Korea's population could plummet to just 15 per cent of its current level by 2125 if the nation's ongoing demographic decline continues unabated, according to a private think tank in Seoul on July 2. In its latest long-term forecast, the Korean Peninsula Population Institute for Future used a cohort component method to project South Korea's demographic trends over the next century. This internationally recognised technique estimates future populations by incorporating factors such as birth rates, mortality rates and immigration patterns. Under the institute's worst-case scenario, South Korea's population could drop to 7.53 million by 2125 – a sharp fall from the current 51.68 million. This would be even less than the current population of the city of Seoul alone, which is over 9.3 million. Even under the most optimistic projection, the population would shrink to 15.73 million, or less than one-third of its current size. The median projection puts the 2125 population at 11.15 million. The report also highlights the rapidly accelerating pace of population decline. In the median scenario, the population would fall by 30 per cent by 2075, and then by more than half over the subsequent 50 years. This decline is not only due to falling birth rates but also a compounding effect: With fewer people in each successive generation, the pool of potential parents shrinks, further accelerating the decrease. South Korea's demographic pyramid, once shaped like a 'stingray' with a broad base of younger people, is forecast to morph into a 'cobra' shape by 2125, with narrowing bands across all age groups and the population heavily skewed toward older groups. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore 3 out of 4 in Singapore cannot identify deepfake content: Cyber Security Agency survey Singapore Ong Beng Seng's court hearing rescheduled one day before he was expected to plead guilty Singapore Three hair salons raided in clampdown on touting, vice, drugs in Geylang and Joo Chiat Singapore GrabCab, Singapore's newest taxi operator, hits the roads with over 40 cabs to be rolled out in July Singapore The romance continues: Former 'Singapore girl', 77, returns to Osaka Expo after 55 years Singapore Two men charged over fatal accident between two ships near Pedra Branca island Singapore Police looking into claim by driver who caused teen's death that he was an NUS student Singapore 3 weeks' jail for man who touched himself on train, flicked bodily fluid on female passenger The ageing crisis is expected to deepen as well. In 75 years, the worst forecast is that for every 100 people of working age – defined as 15 to 64 years old – there will be 140 seniors aged 65 or older. Currently, 100 working-age individuals support around 30 seniors, indicating that South Korea is on track to become an 'inverted pyramid' society, where the number of dependents far outnumbers those who provide support. The report also incorporates a social sentiment analysis based on some 60,000 posts from the workplace community app Blind, focusing on the thoughts of people in their 20s to 40s about marriage and childbirth. The findings revealed that younger generations now prioritise 'money' and 'housing' over 'love' when discussing marriage. Financial burdens consistently emerged as the dominant concern in the conversations regarding childbirth. The report concluded that decisions around marriage and parenting are increasingly influenced by economic conditions, rather than personal preference. The institute proposed a series of urgent policy directions to tackle the crisis, such as expanding support to reduce the burden of childbirth and child-rearing and establishing a practical work-life balance culture. It also emphasised the importance of raising the retirement age and promoting continuous employment while reforming immigration policy. Above all, the institute stressed the need to restructure the economy around productivity, moving away from a system dependent on demographic growth. The stark projections underscore the urgent demographic challenge South Korea faces as it grapples with one of the world's lowest birth rates and fastest-aging populations. As of 2024, South Korea's total fertility rate – the average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime – has ticked up slightly to 0.75, but it remains well below the replacement level of 2.1. THE KOREA HERALD/ASIA NEWS NETWORK
South China Morning Post
16-03-2025
- Health
- South China Morning Post
Most young people in Korea view marriage and childbirth with mix of sadness, fear, disgust
Despite a slight rebound in South Korea's total fertility rate in 2024, young people overwhelmingly associate marriage and childbirth with negative emotions such as sadness, fear and disgust, according to a new study. Advertisement The Korean Peninsula Population Institute for Future (KPPIF), a non-profit population policy research institute, analysed roughly 50,000 posts related to marriage, childbirth and parenting on the workplace community platform Blind. The findings highlight the prevailing negative perceptions towards marriage and childbirth among young people. The study examined posts from December 2017 to November 2024 using frequency, topic, network and sentiment analysis to gain insights into young people's perspectives, the institute said. Couples walk along a street in the Sinchon area of Seoul. Photo: AFP According to the sentiment analysis, more than 60 per cent of posts on marriage, childbirth and parenting expressed negative emotions.
Korea Herald
11-03-2025
- Business
- Korea Herald
Marriage, childbirth evoke fear, not joy among young South Koreans, study finds
Amid birth rate crisis, new support plans unveiled, including 'fast-track' airport entry for large families, affordable housing Marriage and parenthood are increasingly associated with fear and anxiety among South Korea's younger generation, according to an analysis released Tuesday. Despite government efforts to reverse the country's declining birth rate through a range of policies, negative perceptions toward family life persist, reflecting deep-rooted societal and economic concerns. According to an analysis of posts on Blind, an online community for young workers, two-thirds of marriage-related posts carried emotions of "sadness," "fear" or "abomination." Of these, 32.3 percent displayed feelings of "sadness" while 24.6 percent exhibited "fear" and 10.2 percent were categorized under "abomination." On the other hand, only 9.3 percent of the posts expressed happiness. A similar trend could be observed for childbirth and childrearing. According to the institute, over 60 percent of childbirth-related posts carried these negative emotions, with "abomination" leading at 23.8 percent, followed by "fear" (21.3 percent) and "sadness" (15.3 percent). Nearly 70 percent of posts about childrearing exhibited such emotions. The analysis was conducted by not-for-profit private-sector think tank Korean Peninsula Population Institute for Future. It was based on some 50,000 Blind posts combined from December 2017 to November last year about marriage, childbirth or childrearing. The same analysis also indicated that the word "money" appeared in nearly 30 percent of all posts related to marriage and in 13.2 percent of posts about childbirth. Moreover, nearly 60 percent of the marriage-related posts centered around the "preparations and conditions for marriage," while almost 20 percent of childbirth-related posts talked about "financial support related to childbirth." This came as South Korea showed signs of a rebound from the downtrend in its birth rate. On average, the number of children born to a South Korean woman in her lifetime was estimated at 0.75 in 2024, up from 0.72 the previous year. It was the first rebound in South Korea's fertility rate in nine years. However, the institute noted that young people's perceptions of marriage, childbirth and childrearing remains negative. It cautioned that the recent rise in the birth rate may be temporary, as it could be driven by a base effect following the COVID-19 pandemic, making it too early to conclude that the trend will continue. Yoo Hye-jeong, director of the population research center at the KPPIF, called for a strong policy drive to address the young generation's financial difficulties and their struggle to achieve a work-family balance so that the rebound in the birth rate can continue. Meanwhile, acting president and Deputy Prime Minister Choi Sang-mok on Tuesday laid out a new batch of support plans for young married couples or couples willing to get married. The government laid out plans to enable families with at least three kids get priority in airport boarding processes in South Korea when traveling overseas and offer affordable public housing to a wider range of newlywed couples or couples with a newborn child. Also, Seoul and local governments will work together in May on a pilot program in which some 5,000 senior citizens will drop off children at schools and kindergartens amid high demand for childcare workers among working parents. South Korea is now suffering the double blow of an extremely low birth rate and an aging population. In December, over 20 percent of South Korea's population was aged 65 or older, marking South Korea's official transition into a superaged society.
